Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for JULIETTE-19
Off-shore
31 Aug 2019 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone JULIETTE-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 83 km/h
Maximum storm surge 4.7 m (01 Sep 00:00 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 83 km/h 4.7 m 737 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 97 km/h 4.7 m 839 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

97 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 31 Aug 2019 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 31 Aug 2019 12:00 83 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 31 Aug 2019 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
50-100 mmMexico24,594 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 31 Aug 2019 12:00 737 -
- - - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

4.7 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  4.7m in La Fortuna, Mexico. This height is estimated for 01 Sep 2019 00:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 31 Aug 2019 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
01 Sep 2019 00:00 La Fortuna Mexico  4.7
01 Sep 2019 00:00 El Cardoncito Mexico  4.7
01 Sep 2019 00:00 Los Frailes Mexico  4.7
01 Sep 2019 00:00 Tambobiche Mexico  4.2
01 Sep 2019 00:00 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  3.3
31 Aug 2019 23:15 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.3
31 Aug 2019 22:45 Molino Lacy Mexico  0.2
31 Aug 2019 23:00 Tecomate Mexico  0.2
31 Aug 2019 23:00 Puerto Libertad Mexico  0.2
31 Aug 2019 23:00 El Desemboque Mexico  0.2
31 Aug 2019 19:45 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.2
31 Aug 2019 20:00 Bahia de Tortugas Mexico  0.2
31 Aug 2019 19:30 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.2
31 Aug 2019 22:45 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.2
31 Aug 2019 19:30 Cedros Mexico  0.1
31 Aug 2019 20:15 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.1
31 Aug 2019 20:15 El Guatamota Mexico  0.1
31 Aug 2019 20:15 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.1
31 Aug 2019 20:30 Datilito Mexico  0.1
31 Aug 2019 20:30 La Paz Mexico  0.1
31 Aug 2019 20:30 Rosario Mexico  0.1
31 Aug 2019 22:00 San Rafael Mexico  0.1
31 Aug 2019 22:00 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.1
31 Aug 2019 19:30 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.1