Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for HALONG-19
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone HALONG-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 263 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (06 Nov 18:00 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 263 km/h 0.2 m 338 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 274 km/h 0.6 m 621 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 06 Nov 2019 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 02 Nov 2019 12:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 02 Nov 2019 18:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 03 Nov 2019 00:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 03 Nov 2019 06:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 03 Nov 2019 12:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 03 Nov 2019 18:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 04 Nov 2019 00:00 144 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 04 Nov 2019 06:00 133 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 04 Nov 2019 12:00 144 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 04 Nov 2019 18:00 187 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 05 Nov 2019 00:00 227 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 05 Nov 2019 06:00 223 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 05 Nov 2019 12:00 176 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 05 Nov 2019 18:00 274 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 06 Nov 2019 00:00 241 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 06 Nov 2019 06:00 234 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 06 Nov 2019 12:00 263 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h

Rainfall

621 mm

Up to 2 thousand can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 06 Nov 2019 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmFederated States of Micronesia, Marshall Islands1,663
+
Marshall Islands1,134 
Federated States of Micronesia529 
50-100 mmMarshall Islands, Federated States of Micronesia11,657
+
Marshall Islands7,289 
Federated States of Micronesia4,368 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 02 Nov 2019 12:00 174 -
- - - - - Marshall Islands
Blue 2 02 Nov 2019 18:00 144 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 03 Nov 2019 00:00 175 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 03 Nov 2019 06:00 129 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 03 Nov 2019 12:00 165 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 03 Nov 2019 18:00 115 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 04 Nov 2019 00:00 112 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 04 Nov 2019 06:00 127 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 04 Nov 2019 12:00 153 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 04 Nov 2019 18:00 183 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 05 Nov 2019 00:00 205 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 05 Nov 2019 06:00 174 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 05 Nov 2019 12:00 243 -
- - - - - Federated States of Micronesia
Blue 14 05 Nov 2019 18:00 238 Few people -
- - - - Federated States of Micronesia
Blue 15 06 Nov 2019 00:00 249 -
- - - - - Federated States of Micronesia
Blue 16 06 Nov 2019 06:00 371 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 06 Nov 2019 12:00 426 2 thousand
- - - - Marshall Islands, Federated States of Micronesia




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Koamikura, Japan. This height is estimated for 06 Nov 2019 18:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 06 Nov 2019 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
06 Nov 2019 18:00 Koamikura Japan  0.2
06 Nov 2019 18:00 Tsukihama Japan  0.2
06 Nov 2019 18:00 Kobuchi Japan  0.2
06 Nov 2019 18:00 Ommaehama Japan  0.2
06 Nov 2019 18:00 Oharahama Japan  0.2
06 Nov 2019 18:00 Ogatsu Japan  0.2
06 Nov 2019 18:00 Yagawa Japan  0.2
06 Nov 2019 18:00 Samenoura Japan  0.2
06 Nov 2019 18:00 Kukunari Japan  0.2
06 Nov 2019 18:00 Aikawa Japan  0.2
06 Nov 2019 18:00 Funagoshi Japan  0.2
06 Nov 2019 18:00 Terahama Japan  0.2
06 Nov 2019 18:00 Tatsuhama Japan  0.2
06 Nov 2019 18:00 Ohama Japan  0.2
06 Nov 2019 18:00 Ozashi Japan  0.2
06 Nov 2019 18:00 Tomari Japan  0.2
06 Nov 2019 18:00 Izushima Japan  0.2
06 Nov 2019 18:00 Kodaki Japan  0.2
06 Nov 2019 18:00 Kuwahama Japan  0.2
06 Nov 2019 18:00 Yoriiso Japan  0.2
06 Nov 2019 18:00 Niiyama Japan  0.2
06 Nov 2019 18:00 Terama Japan  0.2
06 Nov 2019 18:00 Kumazawa Japan  0.2
06 Nov 2019 18:00 Osu Japan  0.2
06 Nov 2019 16:30 Kudschi Japan  0.2
06 Nov 2019 16:30 Minato Japan  0.2
06 Nov 2019 16:30 Honnami Japan  0.2
06 Nov 2019 16:30 Nei Japan  0.2
06 Nov 2019 16:30 Kuji Japan  0.2
06 Nov 2019 16:30 Noda Japan  0.2
06 Nov 2019 16:30 Ojiri Japan  0.2
06 Nov 2019 16:30 Tamagawa Japan  0.2
06 Nov 2019 16:30 Minami-Samuraihama Japan  0.2
06 Nov 2019 16:30 Kuki Japan  0.2
06 Nov 2019 16:30 Kosode Japan  0.2
06 Nov 2019 16:30 Noda-Tamagawa Japan  0.2
06 Nov 2019 16:30 Torii Japan  0.2
06 Nov 2019 16:30 Horinai Japan  0.2
06 Nov 2019 16:30 Fudai Japan  0.2
06 Nov 2019 16:30 Shimanokoshi Japan  0.2
06 Nov 2019 16:30 Shimanokoe Japan  0.2
06 Nov 2019 18:00 Okuki Japan  0.2
06 Nov 2019 18:00 Kanahama Japan  0.2
06 Nov 2019 18:00 Uwano Japan  0.2
06 Nov 2019 18:00 Okkoshi Japan  0.2
06 Nov 2019 18:00 Denkiani Japan  0.2
06 Nov 2019 18:00 Kadonohama Japan  0.2
06 Nov 2019 18:00 Kawajiri Japan  0.2
06 Nov 2019 18:00 Kawasiri Japan  0.2
06 Nov 2019 18:00 Okubo Japan  0.2
06 Nov 2019 18:00 Tamagawa Japan  0.2
06 Nov 2019 18:00 Taneichi Japan  0.2
06 Nov 2019 18:00 Yagi Japan  0.2
06 Nov 2019 18:00 Uge Japan  0.2
06 Nov 2019 18:00 Kita-Samuraihama Japan  0.2
06 Nov 2019 18:00 Shiromae Japan  0.2
06 Nov 2019 18:00 Unozumai Japan  0.2
06 Nov 2019 18:00 Ryoishi Japan  0.2
06 Nov 2019 18:00 Hakozaki Japan  0.2
06 Nov 2019 18:00 Kirikiri Japan  0.2
06 Nov 2019 18:00 Tsugaruishi Japan  0.2
06 Nov 2019 18:00 Yamada Japan  0.2
06 Nov 2019 18:00 Anto Japan  0.2
06 Nov 2019 18:00 Akamae Japan  0.2
06 Nov 2019 18:00 Funakoshi Japan  0.2
06 Nov 2019 18:00 Osawa Japan  0.2
06 Nov 2019 18:00 Omoe Japan  0.2
06 Nov 2019 18:00 Sasasawa Japan  0.2
06 Nov 2019 18:00 Koyatori Japan  0.2
06 Nov 2019 18:00 Ishihama Japan  0.2
06 Nov 2019 18:00 Sukuiso Japan  0.2
06 Nov 2019 18:00 Oura Japan  0.2