Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for CRISTINA-20
in Mexico,

Impact

Tropical Cyclone CRISTINA-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 54 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (06 Jul 08:45 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 54 km/h 0.3 m 242 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 101 km/h 0.4 m 727 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

101 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 06 Jul 2020 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 06 Jul 2020 00:00 76 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h





Rain exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 06 Jul 2020 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmMexico14738 
50-100 mmMexico5942271 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 06 Jul 2020 00:00 860 10 thousand
- - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Puerto Venustiano Carranza, Mexico. This height is estimated for 06 Jul 2020 08:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 06 Jul 2020 00:00 UTC
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
06 Jul 2020 08:45 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.3
06 Jul 2020 05:15 La Gloria Mexico  0.3
06 Jul 2020 05:15 Chaparral Mexico  0.3
06 Jul 2020 10:45 Maudlowe United States  0.2
06 Jul 2020 10:45 Tivoli United States  0.2
06 Jul 2020 10:45 Spanish Village United States  0.2
06 Jul 2020 10:45 Austwell United States  0.2
06 Jul 2020 10:45 Green Lake United States  0.2
06 Jul 2020 10:45 North Seadrift United States  0.2
06 Jul 2020 10:45 Long Mott United States  0.2
06 Jul 2020 10:45 Seadrift United States  0.2
06 Jul 2020 07:30 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.2
06 Jul 2020 07:30 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.2
06 Jul 2020 08:00 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
06 Jul 2020 08:00 Cuamecate Mexico  0.2
06 Jul 2020 07:45 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.2
06 Jul 2020 10:00 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.2
06 Jul 2020 07:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
06 Jul 2020 10:00 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.2
06 Jul 2020 10:00 Tecomate Mexico  0.2
06 Jul 2020 02:45 Rancho Magueyes Mexico  0.2
06 Jul 2020 02:45 El Mezquite Mexico  0.2
06 Jul 2020 02:45 El Mezquital Mexico  0.2
06 Jul 2020 07:30 Novillero Mexico  0.2
06 Jul 2020 07:30 El Nuevo Mexico  0.2
06 Jul 2020 10:15 El Barril Mexico  0.2
06 Jul 2020 10:30 San Rafael Mexico  0.2
06 Jul 2020 06:15 Alamo Beach United States  0.1
06 Jul 2020 06:15 Point Comfort United States  0.1
06 Jul 2020 06:15 Magnolia Beach United States  0.1
06 Jul 2020 06:15 Indianola United States  0.1
06 Jul 2020 06:15 Olivia United States  0.1
06 Jul 2020 06:15 Weedhaven United States  0.1
06 Jul 2020 06:15 Port Alto United States  0.1
06 Jul 2020 06:15 Port O'Connor United States  0.1
06 Jul 2020 06:15 Carancahua United States  0.1
06 Jul 2020 06:15 El Campo Club Community United States  0.1
06 Jul 2020 08:15 Cedros Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 12:00 Datilito Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 12:00 La Paz Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 12:00 Rosario Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 07:30 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 08:15 La Florida Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 08:15 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 05:45 Camp Hulen United States  0.1
06 Jul 2020 07:00 Palacios United States  0.1
06 Jul 2020 07:00 Collegeport United States  0.1
06 Jul 2020 07:00 Citrus Grove United States  0.1
06 Jul 2020 07:30 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 07:45 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 08:00 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 05:30 Guasimas Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 02:30 El Martillo United States  0.1
06 Jul 2020 02:30 Yarborough United States  0.1
06 Jul 2020 07:30 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 11:00 Tastiota Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 06:30 Arroyo City Subdivision Colonia United States  0.1
06 Jul 2020 06:30 Buena Vista United States  0.1
06 Jul 2020 06:30 Holly Beach United States  0.1
06 Jul 2020 06:30 South Padre Island United States  0.1
06 Jul 2020 04:00 Ejido Guandalupe Victoria Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 01:45 La Playa Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 08:30 El Guatamota Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 07:45 La Puerta Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 07:30 Caimanero Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 07:30 Jarilla Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 05:15 Empalme Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 02:45 Peary Place United States  0.1
06 Jul 2020 02:45 Flour Bluff United States  0.1
06 Jul 2020 01:45 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 02:15 Colonia Simon Bolivar Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 02:15 Ejido Lavaderos Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 02:15 El Porvenir Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 01:45 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 01:45 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 01:45 Buenaventura Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 02:45 Corpus Christi United States  0.1
06 Jul 2020 02:45 North Beach United States  0.1
06 Jul 2020 02:45 Gardendale United States  0.1
06 Jul 2020 02:45 Orange Grove United States  0.1
06 Jul 2020 02:45 Port Ingleside United States  0.1
06 Jul 2020 08:00 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 05:00 Doyle United States  0.1
06 Jul 2020 05:00 Portland United States  0.1
06 Jul 2020 05:00 Caruthers Cove Colonia United States  0.1
06 Jul 2020 05:00 Ingleside United States  0.1
06 Jul 2020 05:00 Kenney Lane West Colonia United States  0.1
06 Jul 2020 05:00 Indian Trails Lane Colonia United States  0.1
06 Jul 2020 05:00 Country Estates Colonia United States  0.1
06 Jul 2020 07:00 Cachoana Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 04:15 Gregory United States  0.1
06 Jul 2020 04:15 Country Acres Colonia United States  0.1
06 Jul 2020 05:15 Guaymas Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 08:00 Queretaro Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 08:00 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 09:00 La Boca Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 02:00 El Americano Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 02:00 Los Ebanos Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 05:00 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 05:00 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 04:45 Loreto Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 04:45 Ligui Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 07:30 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 08:00 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 04:45 Mulege Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 04:45 Los Dolores Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 04:45 Tripui Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 05:00 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 04:45 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 02:45 Aransas Pass United States  0.1
06 Jul 2020 02:45 Estes United States  0.1
06 Jul 2020 02:45 Mustang Beach United States  0.1
06 Jul 2020 02:45 Port Aransas United States  0.1
06 Jul 2020 02:45 Rockport United States  0.1
06 Jul 2020 02:45 Shell Ridge United States  0.1
06 Jul 2020 07:45 Huajapan Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 07:45 El Roble Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 07:30 Pesqueria Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 07:30 San Dionisio del Mar Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 07:30 San Francisco del Mar Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 07:45 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 05:30 Bay Harbor United States  0.1
06 Jul 2020 05:30 Sea Isle United States  0.1
06 Jul 2020 05:30 Jamaica Beach United States  0.1
06 Jul 2020 05:30 Anderson Ways United States  0.1
06 Jul 2020 05:30 Galveston United States  0.1
06 Jul 2020 05:00 San Jose Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 05:00 Atanacio Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 05:00 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.1

Calculation folder at this link