Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for ELIDA-20
in Mexico

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ELIDA-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 50 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (09 Aug 00:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 50 km/h 0.5 m 301 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 83 km/h 0.7 m 1042 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

83 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 08 Aug 2020 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 08 Aug 2020 12:00 68 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 08 Aug 2020 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmMexico353,751 
50-100 mmMexico7,461,779 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 08 Aug 2020 12:00 947 350 thousand
- - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.5m in Puerto Venustiano Carranza, Mexico. This height is estimated for 09 Aug 2020 00:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 08 Aug 2020 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
09 Aug 2020 00:00 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.5
09 Aug 2020 00:00 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.3
09 Aug 2020 00:00 Cedros Mexico  0.2
09 Aug 2020 00:00 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2020 21:00 Aguaje Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2020 19:30 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2020 19:30 El Guatamota Mexico  0.2
09 Aug 2020 00:00 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.2
08 Aug 2020 18:00 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
08 Aug 2020 18:00 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.1
08 Aug 2020 18:00 Buenaventura Mexico  0.1
08 Aug 2020 20:45 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.1
08 Aug 2020 19:30 Novillero Mexico  0.1
08 Aug 2020 19:30 Cuantla Mexico  0.1
08 Aug 2020 18:00 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.1
08 Aug 2020 19:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
08 Aug 2020 19:15 El Nuevo Mexico  0.1
08 Aug 2020 19:15 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.1
08 Aug 2020 22:30 Molino Mexico  0.1
08 Aug 2020 22:30 Molino Lacy Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2020 00:00 Santa Catarina Mexico  0.1
09 Aug 2020 00:00 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.1
08 Aug 2020 19:30 Cuamecate Mexico  0.1
08 Aug 2020 17:45 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.1
08 Aug 2020 19:15 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.1
08 Aug 2020 20:30 Guasimas Mexico  0.1
08 Aug 2020 18:45 La Playa Mexico  0.1
08 Aug 2020 20:30 Empalme Mexico  0.1
08 Aug 2020 19:15 San Blas Mexico  0.1
08 Aug 2020 19:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
08 Aug 2020 17:45 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.1
08 Aug 2020 19:00 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.1
08 Aug 2020 20:30 San Jose Mexico  0.1
08 Aug 2020 20:30 Atanacio Mexico  0.1
08 Aug 2020 20:30 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.1
08 Aug 2020 22:30 Puerto Libertad Mexico  0.1
08 Aug 2020 19:30 La Puerta Mexico  0.1
08 Aug 2020 19:30 Jarilla Mexico  0.1
08 Aug 2020 21:00 El Castillo Mexico  0.1
08 Aug 2020 22:45 El Desemboque Mexico  0.1
08 Aug 2020 19:15 Caimanero Mexico  0.1
08 Aug 2020 21:15 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.1
08 Aug 2020 20:45 San Rafael Mexico  0.1
08 Aug 2020 20:30 La Boca Mexico  0.1
08 Aug 2020 23:15 Tecomate Mexico  0.1
08 Aug 2020 23:00 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.1
08 Aug 2020 19:45 Topolobampo Mexico  0.1
08 Aug 2020 19:45 Cachoana Mexico  0.1
08 Aug 2020 18:30 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.1
08 Aug 2020 18:30 Queretaro Mexico  0.1
08 Aug 2020 19:15 San Francisco Mexico  0.1
08 Aug 2020 19:15 Monteon Mexico  0.1
08 Aug 2020 19:15 La Lima Mexico  0.1
08 Aug 2020 20:15 Borabampo Mexico  0.1
08 Aug 2020 20:30 Guaymas Mexico  0.1
08 Aug 2020 18:15 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.1
08 Aug 2020 19:15 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.1
08 Aug 2020 19:15 San Carlos Mexico  0.1