Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for NOUL-20
in Laos, Thailand, Viet Nam, Cambodia, China

Impact

Tropical Cyclone NOUL-20 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Vietnam
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 76 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (15 Sep 19:30 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Cambodia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 76 km/h 0.2 m 273 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 133 km/h 0.9 m 558 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

133 km/h

Up to 20 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 15 Sep 2020 18:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormVietnam19,882 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 15 Sep 2020 12:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 15 Sep 2020 18:00 104 -
- - - - - Vietnam
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 15 Sep 2020 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmPhilippines548,496 
100-250 mmVietnam, Laos, Thailand, Cambodia, Philippines18,355,967
+
Vietnam4,731,918 
Laos757,283 
Thailand938,905 
Philippines11,533,428 
Cambodia394,433 
50-100 mmChina, Vietnam, Burma, Laos, Thailand, Philippines, Cambodia112,881,598
+
China14,360,262 
Vietnam51,917,787 
Burma23,603 
Laos838,076 
Thailand10,850,452 
Philippines31,124,796 
Cambodia3,766,622 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 15 Sep 2020 12:00 193 -
- - - - - Philippines
Blue 2 15 Sep 2020 18:00 662 18.9 million
- - - China, Vietnam, Burma, Laos, Thailand, Philippines, Cambodia




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in San Jose, Philippines. This height is estimated for 15 Sep 2020 19:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 15 Sep 2020 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
15 Sep 2020 19:30 San Jose Philippines  0.2
15 Sep 2020 19:30 Calauag Philippines  0.2
15 Sep 2020 19:30 Bantulan Philippines  0.2
15 Sep 2020 19:30 Culasian Philippines  0.2
15 Sep 2020 19:30 Danleg Philippines  0.2
15 Sep 2020 19:30 Dumaran Philippines  0.2
15 Sep 2020 22:15 Barceloneta Philippines  0.2
15 Sep 2020 22:15 Mandao Philippines  0.2
15 Sep 2020 22:15 Fundado Philippines  0.2
15 Sep 2020 22:15 Karigsa Philippines  0.2
15 Sep 2020 22:15 Calabanga Philippines  0.2
15 Sep 2020 23:45 Bebeladan Philippines  0.2
15 Sep 2020 23:45 Pancol Philippines  0.2
15 Sep 2020 23:45 Camago Philippines  0.2
15 Sep 2020 23:45 Manlalec Philippines  0.2
15 Sep 2020 23:45 Igan Barrio Philippines  0.2
15 Sep 2020 23:45 Palarican Philippines  0.2
15 Sep 2020 23:45 Oton Philippines  0.2
15 Sep 2020 23:45 Palalong Philippines  0.2
15 Sep 2020 23:45 Maytiguid Philippines  0.2
15 Sep 2020 23:45 Batas Philippines  0.2
15 Sep 2020 19:30 Taytay Philippines  0.2
15 Sep 2020 21:30 Rach Gia Vietnam  0.2
15 Sep 2020 21:30 Kien Thanh Vietnam  0.2
15 Sep 2020 23:45 Casian Philippines  0.2
15 Sep 2020 23:45 Capayas Philippines  0.2
15 Sep 2020 23:45 Santa Teresita Philippines  0.2
15 Sep 2020 23:45 Bacao Philippines  0.2
15 Sep 2020 23:45 Madoldolon Philippines  0.2
15 Sep 2020 23:45 Banglen Philippines  0.2
15 Sep 2020 23:45 Taloto Philippines  0.2
15 Sep 2020 23:45 Bohol Philippines  0.2
15 Sep 2020 23:45 Dalayauan Philippines  0.2
15 Sep 2020 23:00 Sawanga Bacon Philippines  0.2
15 Sep 2020 23:00 Abuyog Philippines  0.2
15 Sep 2020 23:00 Gubat Philippines  0.2
15 Sep 2020 23:00 Rapu Rapu Philippines  0.2
15 Sep 2020 23:00 Prieto Diaz Philippines  0.2
15 Sep 2020 23:00 Linao Philippines  0.2
15 Sep 2020 23:15 San Jose Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 23:15 Bobon Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 23:15 Catarman Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 23:15 Capayan Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 23:15 Maquinalo Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 23:15 Mondragon Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 18:15 Batang Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 18:15 Damipac Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 18:15 Ugnisan Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 18:15 Bonongan Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 18:15 Salvacion Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 18:15 Bogtong Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 18:15 Carigmalan Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 18:15 Concepcion Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 18:15 Kiwit Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 18:15 Culion Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 18:15 Decalachao Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 18:15 Nanping China  0.1
15 Sep 2020 18:15 Cuihengcun China  0.1
15 Sep 2020 18:15 Xiazha China  0.1
15 Sep 2020 18:15 Maogang China  0.1
15 Sep 2020 18:15 Macau Macau (China)  0.1
15 Sep 2020 18:15 Taipa Macau (China)  0.1
15 Sep 2020 18:15 Coloane Macau (China)  0.1
15 Sep 2020 18:15 Heung chau China  0.1
15 Sep 2020 18:15 Ch'i-ao China  0.1
15 Sep 2020 19:00 Atimonan Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 19:00 Pag-aguasan Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 19:00 Concepcion Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 19:00 Alabat Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 19:00 Mascarina Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 19:00 Apad Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 19:00 Gumaca Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 19:00 Argosino Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 23:45 Tinintinan Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 19:00 Cabag Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 20:30 Bagacay Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 20:30 Palo Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 20:30 Tacloban Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 20:30 Santa Elena Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 20:30 San Antonio Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 20:30 Mongabong Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 20:30 Tanauan Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 20:30 Basey Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 20:30 Nouvelas Oriental Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 20:30 Osmena Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 20:30 Binocyahan Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 20:30 Icting Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 20:30 Marabut Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 20:30 Bagahupi Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 20:30 Taguite Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 19:00 Perez Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 19:00 Cavilla Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 19:45 Sibaltan Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 19:45 Pinamalayan Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 19:45 Barotuan Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 19:45 Dipnay Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 18:45 Bancuan Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 18:45 San Nicolas Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 18:45 Coron Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 18:00 Busuanga Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 19:45 Vinzons Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 19:45 Daet Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 19:45 Talaga Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 19:45 Tagontong Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 19:45 Mambongalon Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 19:45 Barana Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 19:45 Miguel Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 19:45 Pandan Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 19:45 Calibangbangan Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 19:00 Bataguanan Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 19:00 Bangwang Daan Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 19:00 Banuang Daan Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 19:00 Borac Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 18:45 San Jose Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 20:15 Ap Giong Ke Vietnam  0.1
15 Sep 2020 19:00 Molpok Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 19:00 Bulalacao Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 19:45 Ap Cau Thang Vietnam  0.1
15 Sep 2020 19:45 Xom Ba Tra Vietnam  0.1
15 Sep 2020 18:45 Buenavista Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 18:45 Mauban Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 20:15 Polillo Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 20:15 Bisliang Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 20:15 Cabungalunan Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 20:15 Abucay Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 20:15 Calutcot Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 20:15 Patnanongan Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 18:00 Inandeng Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 18:00 Alimanguan Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 18:00 San Miguel Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 18:45 Calamias Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 19:45 San Pedro Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 19:45 Maroyogroyog Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 19:45 San Nicolas Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 19:45 Guadalupe Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 19:45 Linapacan Philippines  0.1
16 Sep 2020 00:00 Imtin China  0.1
16 Sep 2020 00:00 Cheung Wo Hong Kong (China)  0.1
16 Sep 2020 00:00 Pak Sha Au Hong Kong (China)  0.1
16 Sep 2020 00:00 Khitschhung China  0.1
16 Sep 2020 00:00 Dapeng China  0.1
16 Sep 2020 00:00 Taipang China  0.1
16 Sep 2020 00:00 Shagang China  0.1
16 Sep 2020 00:00 Aotou China  0.1
15 Sep 2020 19:15 Ma-hsieh China  0.1
15 Sep 2020 19:15 Badongxu China  0.1
15 Sep 2020 19:15 Potou China  0.1
15 Sep 2020 19:15 Bengtang China  0.1
15 Sep 2020 19:15 Baisha China  0.1
15 Sep 2020 19:15 Shaoyao China  0.1
15 Sep 2020 19:15 Xingyou China  0.1
15 Sep 2020 19:15 Huangpo China  0.1
15 Sep 2020 19:15 Chiu-wu-ch'uan China  0.1
15 Sep 2020 21:15 Magtang Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 21:15 Lamon Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 21:15 Union Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 21:15 Tinambac Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 21:15 Gongonan Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 19:15 Calaguikhik Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 19:15 Talingting Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 19:15 Pangas Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 19:15 Binauangan Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 19:15 Mactang Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 19:15 Capalonga Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 19:15 Bagas Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 19:15 Bitaogan Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 19:15 Caramoan Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 19:15 Guijalo Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 19:15 Bikal Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 19:15 Pandanan Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 19:15 Colongcogong Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 18:00 Gulang-gulang Philippines  0.1
16 Sep 2020 00:00 Tai Po Industrial Estate Hong Kong (China)  0.1
16 Sep 2020 00:00 Fung Yuen Hong Kong (China)  0.1
16 Sep 2020 00:00 Dabu Hong Kong (China)  0.1
16 Sep 2020 00:00 Sha Tau Kok China  0.1
16 Sep 2020 00:00 Cheung Kang Hong Kong (China)  0.1
16 Sep 2020 00:00 Yau Ma Po Hong Kong (China)  0.1
16 Sep 2020 00:00 Sai Kung Hong Kong (China)  0.1
16 Sep 2020 00:00 Long Ke Hong Kong (China)  0.1
15 Sep 2020 19:15 Calmung Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 19:15 Pagauanen Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 19:15 El Nido Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 20:15 Tagana-an Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 20:15 Placer Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 20:15 Kinabutan Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 20:15 Gigaquit Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 20:15 Talavera Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 20:15 Claver Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 20:15 Urbistondo Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 20:15 Taganito Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 21:15 Jinhe China  0.1
15 Sep 2020 21:15 Qianshan China  0.1
15 Sep 2020 21:15 Wai-lo China  0.1
15 Sep 2020 20:15 Ilian Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 18:15 Houmen China  0.1
15 Sep 2020 18:15 Magong China  0.1
15 Sep 2020 23:45 Dagang China  0.1
15 Sep 2020 23:45 Yuwotou China  0.1
15 Sep 2020 23:45 Huangge China  0.1
15 Sep 2020 23:45 Min-chung China  0.1
15 Sep 2020 23:45 Wan-ch'ing-sha China  0.1
15 Sep 2020 23:45 Qishan China  0.1
15 Sep 2020 23:45 Cheng'anwei China  0.1
15 Sep 2020 23:45 Fumunchai China  0.1
15 Sep 2020 23:45 Fumuntschai China  0.1
15 Sep 2020 18:00 Barton Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 18:15 Caruray Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 18:15 Rizal Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 18:15 Malcampo Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 20:30 Surigao Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 20:30 Buenavista Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 20:30 Matas Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 20:30 Cadgianao Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 18:00 Lajiwei China  0.1
16 Sep 2020 00:00 Dashatou China  0.1
16 Sep 2020 00:00 Jiang'ouwei China  0.1
16 Sep 2020 00:00 Baihao China  0.1
16 Sep 2020 00:00 Taiping China  0.1
15 Sep 2020 20:45 Guleitou China  0.1
15 Sep 2020 20:45 Gangkou China  0.1
15 Sep 2020 20:45 Hsia-mei China  0.1
15 Sep 2020 20:45 Liu'ao China  0.1