Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for KUJIRA-20 Off-shore from 26 Sep 2020 18:00 UTC to 29 Sep 2020 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KUJIRA-20

Off-shore

27 Sep 2020 12 UTC

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to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KUJIRA-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries	Russia
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	83 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.8 m (28 Sep 14:45 UTC)
Vulnerability	--

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	83 km/h	0.8 m	193 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	140 km/h	0.8 m	329 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

140 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 27 Sep 2020 12:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	Russia	110

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	26 Sep 2020 18:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	Russia, Japan
2	27 Sep 2020 00:00	76	-	-	-	-	-	-	Russia
3	27 Sep 2020 06:00	76	-	-	-	-	-	-	Russia
4	27 Sep 2020 12:00	144	-	-	-	-	-	-	Russia

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 27 Sep 2020 12:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000
1	26 Sep 2020 18:00	175	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	27 Sep 2020 00:00	84	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	27 Sep 2020 06:00	130	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	27 Sep 2020 12:00	237	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.8 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.8m in Onirusu, Russia. This height is estimated for 28 Sep 2020 14:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 27 Sep 2020 12:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	28 Sep 2020 14:45	Onirusu	Russia	0.8
	28 Sep 2020 14:45	Protochnaya	Russia	0.8
	28 Sep 2020 14:45	Golovnino	Russia	0.8
	28 Sep 2020 14:45	Alekhino	Russia	0.8
	28 Sep 2020 14:45	Danilovo	Russia	0.8
	28 Sep 2020 14:45	Oshiusu	Russia	0.8
	30 Sep 2020 05:00	Fushiko-tobuto	Japan	0.8
	30 Sep 2020 05:00	Svetloye	Japan	0.8
	30 Sep 2020 05:00	Nishi-wada	Japan	0.8
	30 Sep 2020 05:00	Nemuro	Japan	0.8
	30 Sep 2020 05:15	Tokotan	Japan	0.7
	30 Sep 2020 05:15	Bekkai	Japan	0.7
	27 Sep 2020 15:15	Churuigenya	Japan	0.7
	27 Sep 2020 15:15	Kumbetsu	Japan	0.7
	27 Sep 2020 15:15	Shibetsu	Japan	0.7
	27 Sep 2020 15:15	Odaito	Japan	0.7
	27 Sep 2020 15:45	Rukushibetsu	Japan	0.6
	28 Sep 2020 14:45	Nakanokotan	Russia	0.6
	28 Sep 2020 14:45	Medelevo	Russia	0.6
	28 Sep 2020 14:45	Chibukarabetsu	Russia	0.6
	28 Sep 2020 14:45	Goryachiy	Russia	0.6
	27 Sep 2020 15:30	Ruchi	Russia	0.6
	28 Sep 2020 14:45	Yuzhno-Kurilsk	Russia	0.6
	27 Sep 2020 17:00	Anama	Russia	0.5
	27 Sep 2020 17:00	Kekkyowan	Russia	0.5
	27 Sep 2020 17:00	Shikotan	Russia	0.5
	27 Sep 2020 17:00	Kambaraiso	Russia	0.5
	27 Sep 2020 16:45	Tomoshiri	Japan	0.5
	27 Sep 2020 16:15	Reydovo	Russia	0.5
	27 Sep 2020 16:15	Rokubanchi	Russia	0.5
	27 Sep 2020 16:15	Higashirucharu	Russia	0.5
	27 Sep 2020 16:45	Hikiushi	Japan	0.5
	27 Sep 2020 16:45	Nassafu	Japan	0.5
	27 Sep 2020 16:00	Shamambe	Russia	0.5
	27 Sep 2020 15:45	Parusnoye	Russia	0.5
	27 Sep 2020 15:15	Tayezhnyy	Russia	0.5
	27 Sep 2020 15:15	Lesozavodskiy	Russia	0.5
	27 Sep 2020 15:15	Dobroye	Russia	0.5
	27 Sep 2020 15:15	Odesskiy	Russia	0.5
	27 Sep 2020 15:15	Mataruzaru	Russia	0.5
	27 Sep 2020 15:15	Selivanovka	Russia	0.5
	27 Sep 2020 15:15	Sanjibotsu	Russia	0.5
	27 Sep 2020 15:30	Chipputomari	Japan	0.5
	27 Sep 2020 15:30	Utoro	Japan	0.5
	27 Sep 2020 16:15	Moshirikeshi	Russia	0.5
	27 Sep 2020 16:15	Sokitani	Russia	0.5
	27 Sep 2020 16:15	Slavnoye	Russia	0.5
	27 Sep 2020 16:00	Medvezhye	Russia	0.5
	27 Sep 2020 15:45	Rausu	Japan	0.5
	27 Sep 2020 17:15	Gavrilovka	Russia	0.5
	27 Sep 2020 17:15	Grigor'yevo	Russia	0.5
	27 Sep 2020 17:15	Krutenki	Russia	0.5
	27 Sep 2020 17:15	Kunashiri	Russia	0.5
	27 Sep 2020 17:15	Tyatino	Russia	0.5
	27 Sep 2020 15:45	Sopochnyy	Russia	0.5
	27 Sep 2020 15:45	Sentyabrskiy	Russia	0.5
	27 Sep 2020 16:15	Gordeyevka	Russia	0.5
	27 Sep 2020 16:15	Kruglovo	Russia	0.5
	28 Sep 2020 14:15	Malaya Rechka	Russia	0.5
	28 Sep 2020 14:15	Il'inka	Russia	0.5
	28 Sep 2020 14:15	Nazarovo	Russia	0.5
	27 Sep 2020 15:30	Ptichye	Russia	0.5
	27 Sep 2020 16:00	Podgornyy	Russia	0.4
	27 Sep 2020 17:15	Rudnaya	Russia	0.4
	27 Sep 2020 15:45	Kurilsk	Russia	0.4
	27 Sep 2020 15:45	Yanketo	Russia	0.4
	27 Sep 2020 15:45	Kitovyy	Russia	0.4
	27 Sep 2020 15:45	Matoiso	Russia	0.4
	27 Sep 2020 15:15	Mammae	Russia	0.4
	27 Sep 2020 15:15	Okeanskiy	Russia	0.4
	27 Sep 2020 16:15	Kuybyshevo	Russia	0.4
	27 Sep 2020 16:15	Rybaki	Russia	0.4
	27 Sep 2020 16:15	Chippuporo	Russia	0.4
	27 Sep 2020 17:15	Mysovoye	Russia	0.4
	27 Sep 2020 16:00	Osenniy	Russia	0.4
	27 Sep 2020 16:00	Zolotoy	Russia	0.4
	27 Sep 2020 16:00	Kasatka	Russia	0.4
	27 Sep 2020 16:00	Mysovaya	Russia	0.4
	27 Sep 2020 16:00	Otlivnyy	Russia	0.4
	27 Sep 2020 15:15	Rokko	Russia	0.4
	27 Sep 2020 15:45	Rebaushi	Russia	0.4
	27 Sep 2020 16:45	Chikkaporo	Russia	0.4
	27 Sep 2020 16:00	Iodnyy	Russia	0.4
	27 Sep 2020 16:00	Kompaneysk	Russia	0.4
	27 Sep 2020 16:15	Zeikomae	Russia	0.4
	27 Sep 2020 16:15	Akiajiba	Russia	0.4
	27 Sep 2020 15:15	Berezovka	Russia	0.4
	27 Sep 2020 15:15	Riyaushi	Russia	0.4
	27 Sep 2020 15:45	Sasirui	Japan	0.4
	27 Sep 2020 16:00	Ryabinovka	Russia	0.4
	27 Sep 2020 18:00	Hamanaka	Japan	0.4
	27 Sep 2020 18:00	Kiritappu	Japan	0.4
	27 Sep 2020 18:00	Moraito	Japan	0.4
	27 Sep 2020 16:30	Astaurova	Russia	0.4
	27 Sep 2020 15:30	Neskuchnoye	Russia	0.4
	27 Sep 2020 16:00	Kastrikum	Russia	0.4
	27 Sep 2020 17:00	Sunahama	Russia	0.4
	27 Sep 2020 17:00	Aitomari	Russia	0.4
	27 Sep 2020 17:00	Pontokomoi	Russia	0.4
	27 Sep 2020 17:00	Kamenka	Russia	0.4
	27 Sep 2020 17:00	Kitaura	Russia	0.4
	27 Sep 2020 17:00	Nishimae	Russia	0.4
	27 Sep 2020 17:00	Tokkariiso	Russia	0.4
	27 Sep 2020 17:00	Kafenotsu	Russia	0.4
	27 Sep 2020 15:30	Tokkarimui	Japan	0.4
	27 Sep 2020 15:30	Kobukarikotan	Japan	0.4
	27 Sep 2020 16:45	Nov'	Russia	0.4
	27 Sep 2020 16:30	Sernozavodskiy	Russia	0.4
	27 Sep 2020 17:00	Masuba	Russia	0.3
	27 Sep 2020 17:00	Kombuusu	Russia	0.3
	27 Sep 2020 17:00	Ayvazovskoye	Russia	0.3
	27 Sep 2020 16:00	Kitoboynyy	Russia	0.3
	27 Sep 2020 16:00	Kostochko	Russia	0.3
	27 Sep 2020 16:00	Kraternyy	Russia	0.3
	27 Sep 2020 16:15	Aleutka	Russia	0.3
	27 Sep 2020 19:45	Mo-chirippu	Japan	0.3
	27 Sep 2020 18:00	Akkeshi	Japan	0.3
	27 Sep 2020 18:00	Shinryu	Japan	0.3
	27 Sep 2020 18:00	Itoizawa	Japan	0.3
	29 Sep 2020 10:45	Barrigada	Guam	0.2
	29 Sep 2020 10:45	Camp Quezon	Guam	0.2
	29 Sep 2020 10:45	Harmon Village	Guam	0.2
	29 Sep 2020 10:45	Oceanview	Guam	0.2
	29 Sep 2020 10:45	Dededo	Guam	0.2
	29 Sep 2020 10:45	South Acres	Guam	0.2
	29 Sep 2020 10:45	Asbeco	Guam	0.2
	29 Sep 2020 10:45	Adacao	Guam	0.2
	29 Sep 2020 10:45	Ipapao	Guam	0.2
	29 Sep 2020 10:45	Potts Junction	Guam	0.2
	29 Sep 2020 10:45	Perez Acres	Guam	0.2
	29 Sep 2020 10:45	Spring Hill Subdivision	Guam	0.2
	29 Sep 2020 10:45	Upi	Guam	0.2
	29 Sep 2020 10:45	Gayinero	Guam	0.2
	29 Sep 2020 10:45	Asatdas	Guam	0.2
	29 Sep 2020 10:45	Lupog	Guam	0.2
	29 Sep 2020 10:45	Songsong	Northern Mariana Islands	0.2
	29 Sep 2020 10:45	Rota	Northern Mariana Islands	0.2
	29 Sep 2020 10:45	Teteto	Northern Mariana Islands	0.2
	29 Sep 2020 10:45	Sinapalo	Northern Mariana Islands	0.2
	29 Sep 2020 10:30	Sunharon Roads	Northern Mariana Islands	0.2
	29 Sep 2020 10:30	Afetna	Northern Mariana Islands	0.2
	29 Sep 2020 10:30	Susupi	Northern Mariana Islands	0.2
	29 Sep 2020 10:30	Chalan Kanoa	Northern Mariana Islands	0.2
	29 Sep 2020 10:30	Aslito	Northern Mariana Islands	0.2
	29 Sep 2020 10:30	Laolao	Northern Mariana Islands	0.2
	29 Sep 2020 10:30	Garapan	Northern Mariana Islands	0.2
	29 Sep 2020 10:30	Mutcho	Northern Mariana Islands	0.2
	29 Sep 2020 10:30	Tanapag	Northern Mariana Islands	0.2
	29 Sep 2020 10:30	Saipan	Northern Mariana Islands	0.2
	29 Sep 2020 10:30	Kagman	Northern Mariana Islands	0.2
	29 Sep 2020 10:30	San Roque	Northern Mariana Islands	0.2
	27 Sep 2020 20:30	Shomushon	Northern Mariana Islands	0.2
	27 Sep 2020 20:30	Marasu	Northern Mariana Islands	0.2

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.