Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for JOBO-21
in Tanzania, Seychelles
22 Apr 2021 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone JOBO-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 83 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (22 Apr 12:45 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Tanzania)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 83 km/h 0.2 m 343 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 137 km/h 0.2 m 699 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

137 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 22 Apr 2021 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 21 Apr 2021 00:00 90 -
- - - - - Seychelles
GREEN 2 21 Apr 2021 06:00 104 -
- - - - - Seychelles
GREEN 3 21 Apr 2021 12:00 137 -
- - - - - Seychelles
GREEN 4 21 Apr 2021 18:00 130 -
- - - - - Seychelles
GREEN 5 22 Apr 2021 00:00 108 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 22 Apr 2021 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
500-750 mmComoros14,701 
250-500 mmMozambique, Comoros131,939
+
Mozambique194 
Comoros131,745 
100-250 mmTanzania, Mozambique, Comoros204,731
+
Tanzania431 
Mozambique34,492 
Comoros169,808 
50-100 mmTanzania, Mozambique, Comoros237,666
+
Tanzania54,720 
Mozambique46,040 
Comoros136,906 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 21 Apr 2021 00:00 202 -
- - - - - Seychelles
Blue 2 21 Apr 2021 06:00 229 Few people
- - - - Seychelles
Blue 3 21 Apr 2021 12:00 353 Few people
- - - - Seychelles
Blue 4 21 Apr 2021 18:00 651 Few people
- - - - Seychelles
Blue 5 22 Apr 2021 00:00 876 350 thousand
- - Tanzania, Mozambique, Comoros




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Magawa, Tanzania. This height is estimated for 22 Apr 2021 12:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 22 Apr 2021 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
22 Apr 2021 12:45 Magawa Tanzania  0.2
22 Apr 2021 12:45 Msindaji Tanzania  0.2
22 Apr 2021 12:45 Mchungu Tanzania  0.2
22 Apr 2021 12:45 Dondo Tanzania  0.1
22 Apr 2021 12:45 Kisiju Tanzania  0.1
22 Apr 2021 07:00 Marovoha Madagascar  0.1
22 Apr 2021 07:00 Ampitily Madagascar  0.1
22 Apr 2021 07:00 Ambalatsingy Madagascar  0.1
22 Apr 2021 07:00 Singalana Madagascar  0.1
22 Apr 2021 07:00 Antaribao Madagascar  0.1
22 Apr 2021 07:00 Ambodibonara Madagascar  0.1
22 Apr 2021 07:00 Tsaratanana Madagascar  0.1
22 Apr 2021 07:00 Ampasindava Madagascar  0.1
22 Apr 2021 07:00 Ankinganifahatelo Madagascar  0.1
22 Apr 2021 03:15 Donge Tanzania  0.1
22 Apr 2021 03:15 Mkokotoni Tanzania  0.1
22 Apr 2021 03:15 Bwereu Tanzania  0.1
22 Apr 2021 03:15 Banda Kuu Tanzania  0.1
22 Apr 2021 03:15 Mkuuni Tanzania  0.1
22 Apr 2021 03:15 Gazija Tanzania  0.1
22 Apr 2021 03:00 Bandarini Tanzania  0.1
22 Apr 2021 03:00 Kutani Tanzania  0.1
22 Apr 2021 03:00 Buuni Village Tanzania  0.1
22 Apr 2021 01:30 Mkadini Tanzania  0.1
22 Apr 2021 07:00 Somanga Tanzania  0.1
22 Apr 2021 07:00 Pombwe Tanzania  0.1
22 Apr 2021 07:00 Jaja Tanzania  0.1
22 Apr 2021 08:30 Kiombani Tanzania  0.1
22 Apr 2021 12:45 Nyambati Tanzania  0.1
22 Apr 2021 12:45 Salale Tanzania  0.1
22 Apr 2021 01:00 Ampondrahazo Madagascar  0.1
22 Apr 2021 01:00 Ambolobozokely Madagascar  0.1
22 Apr 2021 01:00 Ambaritsatrana Madagascar  0.1
22 Apr 2021 17:45 Gulioni Tanzania  0.1
22 Apr 2021 17:45 Mapopwe Tanzania  0.1
22 Apr 2021 17:45 Mdudu Mdogo Tanzania  0.1
22 Apr 2021 17:45 Dikoni Tanzania  0.1
22 Apr 2021 17:45 Chwaka Tanzania  0.1
22 Apr 2021 17:45 Kitogani Tanzania  0.1
22 Apr 2021 17:45 Ukongoroni Tanzania  0.1
22 Apr 2021 17:45 Pingwe Tanzania  0.1
22 Apr 2021 17:45 Paje Tanzania  0.1
22 Apr 2021 03:15 Matapatapa Tanzania  0.1
22 Apr 2021 06:45 Antetikireja Madagascar  0.1