Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for DOLORES-21 in Mexico from 18 Jun 2021 09:00 UTC to 20 Jun 2021 09:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for DOLORES-21

in Mexico

18 Jun 2021 12 UTC

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to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone DOLORES-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	HWRF
Exposed countries	United States, Mexico
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	86 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.3 m (18 Jun 18:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
HWRF Current	86 km/h	0.3 m	354 mm	0.5
HWRF Overall	122 km/h	0.7 m	442 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

122 km/h

Up to 530 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 18 Jun 2021 12:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	United States, Mexico	525,444	+
	United States	561
	Mexico	524,882

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

Alert	N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
	1	18 Jun 2021 06:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
	2	18 Jun 2021 12:00	162	-		-	-	-	-	-	United States, Mexico

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 18 Jun 2021 12:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
500-750 mm	Mexico	13,961
250-500 mm	Mexico	1,400,993
100-250 mm	Mexico	2,816,923
50-100 mm	Mexico	7,423,881

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

Alert	N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
	1	18 Jun 2021 06:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
	2	18 Jun 2021 12:00	693	4.2 million					-	-	Mexico

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.3m in Henderson Point, United States. This height is estimated for 18 Jun 2021 18:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 18 Jun 2021 12:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	18 Jun 2021 18:00	Henderson Point	United States	0.3
	18 Jun 2021 18:00	De Lisle	United States	0.3
	18 Jun 2021 18:00	Pass Christian	United States	0.3
	18 Jun 2021 18:00	Cuevas	United States	0.3
	18 Jun 2021 18:00	White Harbor	United States	0.3
	18 Jun 2021 18:00	Long Beach	United States	0.3
	18 Jun 2021 18:00	Gulfport	United States	0.3
	18 Jun 2021 18:00	Mississippi City	United States	0.3
	18 Jun 2021 18:00	Handsboro	United States	0.3
	18 Jun 2021 18:00	Loraine	United States	0.3
	18 Jun 2021 18:00	Wool Market	United States	0.3
	18 Jun 2021 18:00	Edgewater Park	United States	0.3
	18 Jun 2021 18:00	Beauvoir	United States	0.3
	18 Jun 2021 18:00	English Lookout	United States	0.3
	18 Jun 2021 18:00	Ansley	United States	0.3
	18 Jun 2021 18:00	Bayside Park	United States	0.3
	18 Jun 2021 18:00	Lakeshore	United States	0.3
	18 Jun 2021 18:00	Shoreline Park	United States	0.3
	18 Jun 2021 18:00	Waveland	United States	0.3
	18 Jun 2021 18:00	Bay St Louis	United States	0.3
	18 Jun 2021 18:00	Hesperides	United States	0.3
	18 Jun 2021 18:00	Nairn	United States	0.3
	18 Jun 2021 18:00	Empire	United States	0.3
	18 Jun 2021 18:00	Sunrise	United States	0.3
	18 Jun 2021 18:00	Buras	United States	0.3
	18 Jun 2021 18:00	Ostrica	United States	0.3
	18 Jun 2021 18:00	Neptune	United States	0.3
	18 Jun 2021 18:00	Fort Jackson	United States	0.3
	18 Jun 2021 18:00	Boothville	United States	0.3
	18 Jun 2021 18:00	Duvic	United States	0.3
	18 Jun 2021 18:00	Cedar Lake	United States	0.3
	18 Jun 2021 18:00	Biloxi	United States	0.3
	18 Jun 2021 18:00	D'Iberville	United States	0.3
	18 Jun 2021 18:00	Saint Martin	United States	0.3
	18 Jun 2021 18:00	Ocean Springs	United States	0.3
	18 Jun 2021 18:00	Gulf Hills	United States	0.3
	18 Jun 2021 18:00	Gulf Park Estates	United States	0.2
	18 Jun 2021 18:00	Pascagoula	United States	0.2
	18 Jun 2021 18:00	Moss Point	United States	0.2
	18 Jun 2021 18:00	Bayou La Batre	United States	0.2
	18 Jun 2021 18:00	Coden	United States	0.2
	18 Jun 2021 18:00	Hilda	United States	0.2
	18 Jun 2021 18:00	Gautier	United States	0.2
	18 Jun 2021 18:00	Cheniere Caminada	United States	0.2
	18 Jun 2021 18:00	Bassa Bassa	United States	0.2
	18 Jun 2021 18:00	Grand Isle	United States	0.2
	18 Jun 2021 18:00	Nelson	United States	0.2
	18 Jun 2021 18:00	Little Woods	United States	0.2
	18 Jun 2021 18:00	South Point	United States	0.2
	18 Jun 2021 18:00	Martello Castle	United States	0.2
	18 Jun 2021 18:00	Chef Menteur	United States	0.2
	18 Jun 2021 18:00	Greens Ditch	United States	0.2
	18 Jun 2021 18:00	Fort Pike	United States	0.2
	18 Jun 2021 18:00	Lake Catherine	United States	0.2
	18 Jun 2021 18:00	Shell Beach	United States	0.2
	18 Jun 2021 18:00	Alluvial City	United States	0.2
	18 Jun 2021 18:00	Yscloskey	United States	0.2
	18 Jun 2021 18:00	Riolets	United States	0.2
	18 Jun 2021 18:00	Dauphin Island	United States	0.2
	18 Jun 2021 18:00	Delchamps	United States	0.2
	18 Jun 2021 18:00	Heron Bay	United States	0.2
	18 Jun 2021 18:00	Alabama Port	United States	0.2
	18 Jun 2021 18:00	Bayleys Corner	United States	0.2
	18 Jun 2021 18:00	Mon Louis	United States	0.2
	18 Jun 2021 18:00	Bellefontaine	United States	0.2
	18 Jun 2021 18:00	Fort Gaines	United States	0.2
	18 Jun 2021 18:00	Fort Morgan	United States	0.2
	18 Jun 2021 18:00	West Point	United States	0.2
	18 Jun 2021 18:00	Breton	United States	0.2
	18 Jun 2021 18:00	La Choya	Mexico	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 18:00	Puerto Penasco	Mexico	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 18:00	Grand Ecaille	United States	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 18:00	Happy Jack	United States	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 18:00	Potash	United States	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 18:00	Rancho Bahia	Mexico	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 18:00	San Felipe	Mexico	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 18:00	Puertecitos	Mexico	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 18:00	El Tornillal	Mexico	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 16:15	Datilito	Mexico	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 16:15	La Paz	Mexico	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 16:15	Rosario	Mexico	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 18:00	Puerto Libertad	Mexico	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 18:00	El Golfo de Santa Clara	Mexico	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 17:00	Port Eads	United States	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 17:00	South Pass	United States	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 18:00	Molino	Mexico	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 18:00	Molino Lacy	Mexico	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 18:00	La Boca	Mexico	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 17:00	Agua del Coyote	Mexico	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 17:00	Las Tinajas	Mexico	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 17:45	El Desemboque	Mexico	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 17:15	San Rafael	Mexico	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 18:00	Novillero	Mexico	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 17:45	Cabo Tepoca	Mexico	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 16:45	San Juanico	Mexico	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 16:45	Boca del Melgoita	Mexico	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 16:45	Buenaventura	Mexico	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 18:00	Puerto Venustiano Carranza	Mexico	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 18:00	Tecomate	Mexico	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 18:00	Cuantla	Mexico	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 17:15	Bahia Kino	Mexico	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.