Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for DOLORES-21
in Mexico

Impact

Tropical Cyclone DOLORES-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 104 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.6 m (19 Jun 00:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 104 km/h 0.6 m 402 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 122 km/h 0.7 m 442 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

122 km/h

Up to 460 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 18 Jun 2021 18:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMexico463,455 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 18 Jun 2021 06:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 18 Jun 2021 12:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 18 Jun 2021 18:00 130 -
- - - - - Mexico
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 18 Jun 2021 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
500-750 mmMexico302 
250-500 mmMexico381,945 
100-250 mmMexico3,890,640 
50-100 mmMexico9,516,678 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 18 Jun 2021 06:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 18 Jun 2021 12:00 354 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 3 18 Jun 2021 18:00 643 4.3 million
- - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.6 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.6m in English Lookout, United States. This height is estimated for 19 Jun 2021 00:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 18 Jun 2021 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
19 Jun 2021 00:00 English Lookout United States  0.6
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Ansley United States  0.6
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Bayside Park United States  0.6
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Lakeshore United States  0.6
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Shoreline Park United States  0.6
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Waveland United States  0.6
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Bay St Louis United States  0.6
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Henderson Point United States  0.6
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Pass Christian United States  0.6
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Cuevas United States  0.6
19 Jun 2021 00:00 White Harbor United States  0.6
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Long Beach United States  0.6
19 Jun 2021 00:00 De Lisle United States  0.5
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Gulfport United States  0.5
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Mississippi City United States  0.5
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Handsboro United States  0.5
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Loraine United States  0.5
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Wool Market United States  0.5
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Edgewater Park United States  0.5
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Beauvoir United States  0.5
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Biloxi United States  0.4
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Cedar Lake United States  0.4
19 Jun 2021 00:00 D'Iberville United States  0.4
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Saint Martin United States  0.4
18 Jun 2021 23:15 Hesperides United States  0.4
18 Jun 2021 23:15 Nairn United States  0.4
18 Jun 2021 23:15 Empire United States  0.4
18 Jun 2021 23:15 Ostrica United States  0.4
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Ocean Springs United States  0.4
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Gulf Hills United States  0.4
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Happy Jack United States  0.4
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Potash United States  0.4
18 Jun 2021 19:45 Gulf Park Estates United States  0.3
18 Jun 2021 18:45 Sunrise United States  0.3
18 Jun 2021 18:45 Buras United States  0.3
18 Jun 2021 18:45 Neptune United States  0.3
18 Jun 2021 18:45 Fort Jackson United States  0.3
18 Jun 2021 18:45 Boothville United States  0.3
18 Jun 2021 18:45 Duvic United States  0.3
18 Jun 2021 22:00 Little Woods United States  0.3
18 Jun 2021 22:00 South Point United States  0.3
18 Jun 2021 22:00 Martello Castle United States  0.3
18 Jun 2021 22:00 Chef Menteur United States  0.3
18 Jun 2021 22:00 Greens Ditch United States  0.3
18 Jun 2021 22:00 Fort Pike United States  0.3
18 Jun 2021 22:00 Lake Catherine United States  0.3
18 Jun 2021 22:00 Shell Beach United States  0.3
18 Jun 2021 22:00 Alluvial City United States  0.3
18 Jun 2021 22:00 Yscloskey United States  0.3
18 Jun 2021 22:00 Riolets United States  0.3
18 Jun 2021 19:30 Hilda United States  0.3
18 Jun 2021 19:30 Gautier United States  0.3
18 Jun 2021 20:45 El Golfo de Santa Clara Mexico  0.3
18 Jun 2021 19:30 Pascagoula United States  0.3
18 Jun 2021 19:30 Moss Point United States  0.3
18 Jun 2021 20:45 El Tornillal Mexico  0.3
18 Jun 2021 23:45 West Point United States  0.3
18 Jun 2021 23:45 Breton United States  0.3
18 Jun 2021 21:00 San Felipe Mexico  0.2
18 Jun 2021 18:45 Bayou La Batre United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 18:45 Coden United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 19:15 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.2
18 Jun 2021 20:15 La Choya Mexico  0.2
18 Jun 2021 20:15 Puerto Penasco Mexico  0.2
18 Jun 2021 18:45 Nelson United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 18:15 Cheniere Caminada United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 18:15 Bassa Bassa United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 18:15 Grand Isle United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 18:45 Dauphin Island United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 18:45 Delchamps United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 18:45 Heron Bay United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 18:45 Alabama Port United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 18:45 Bayleys Corner United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 18:45 Mon Louis United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 18:45 Bellefontaine United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 22:15 North Side United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 22:15 Saint Malo United States  0.2
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Grand Ecaille United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 18:30 Fort Gaines United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 18:30 Fort Morgan United States  0.2
19 Jun 2021 00:00 White Kitchen United States  0.2
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Pearlington United States  0.2
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Jackson Landing United States  0.2
19 Jun 2021 00:00 North Shore Beach United States  0.2
19 Jun 2021 00:00 North Shore United States  0.2
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Eden Isle United States  0.2
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Howze Beach United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 19:00 Rancho Bahia Mexico  0.2
18 Jun 2021 21:45 Puertecitos Mexico  0.2
18 Jun 2021 22:45 Frenier United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 22:45 Ruddock United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 22:45 La Branche United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 22:45 Kenner United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 22:45 Metairie United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 18:45 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
18 Jun 2021 18:45 Cuamecate Mexico  0.2
18 Jun 2021 21:30 Molino Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 21:30 Molino Lacy Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 18:15 Datilito Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 18:15 La Paz Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 18:15 Rosario Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 21:00 San Rafael Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 21:15 Tecomate Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 21:15 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 20:45 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 21:15 Puerto Libertad Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 21:30 El Desemboque Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 18:30 Novillero Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 20:00 Buenaventura Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 20:00 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Galveston United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Port Bolivar United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Smith Point United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Fort Travis United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Flake United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Elmgrove United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Crystal Beach United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Patton United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Bolivar Peninsula United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Caplen United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 18:15 Port Eads United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 18:15 South Pass United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 20:30 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 22:00 Cypremort Point United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 22:00 Cote Blanche Landing United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 21:00 Chabihau Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 21:00 Mina de Oro Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Gilchrist United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 00:00 High Island United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 20:00 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 18:00 La Boca Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Sabine United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Sabine Pass United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 22:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 22:15 El Nuevo Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 21:15 Johnson's Bayou United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 21:15 Constance Beach United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 21:15 Peveto Beach United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 21:15 Holly Beach United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 19:15 Cocodrie United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 23:00 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 23:00 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 20:30 El Barril Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 21:15 Hopedale United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 21:30 El Tular Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 21:30 Cabo Rojito Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 21:00 Chelem Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 21:00 Progreso Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 21:30 Cameron United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 21:30 Oak Grove United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 21:15 Sisal Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 22:00 La Puerta Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 22:00 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 20:15 Tastiota Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 21:00 Pixoy Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 21:00 Telchac Puerto Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 21:00 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 19:45 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 21:30 Grand Chenier United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 22:15 Madisonville United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 22:15 Houltonville United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 22:15 Lewisburg United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 18:45 Jarilla Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 23:30 Cheniere Au Tigre United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 23:30 Intracoastal City United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 18:45 Caimanero Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 19:15 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 21:45 Cerrito Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 20:45 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 20:45 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 18:30 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 22:00 Atanacio Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 22:00 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 18:45 Altata Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 18:45 El Castillo Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Hitchcock United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Jamaica Beach United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Texas City Junction United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Bayou Vista United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Anderson Ways United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Virginia Point United States  0.1