Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for CEMPAKA-21
in China

Impact

Tropical Cyclone CEMPAKA-21 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Taiwan
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 58 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (25 Jul 18:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (China)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 58 km/h 0.5 m 147 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 144 km/h 1.2 m 795 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

144 km/h

Up to 30 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 22 Jul 2021 18:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormTaiwan25,705 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 18 Jul 2021 18:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 19 Jul 2021 00:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 19 Jul 2021 06:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 19 Jul 2021 12:00 108 -
- - - - - China
GREEN 5 19 Jul 2021 18:00 112 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 20 Jul 2021 00:00 144 -
- - - - - China
GREEN 7 20 Jul 2021 06:00 126 -
- - - - - China
GREEN 8 20 Jul 2021 12:00 119 -
- - - - - China
GREEN 9 20 Jul 2021 18:00 65 -
- - - - - China
GREEN 10 21 Jul 2021 00:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 21 Jul 2021 06:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 21 Jul 2021 12:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 21 Jul 2021 18:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 22 Jul 2021 00:00 61 -
- - - - - Taiwan
GREEN 15 22 Jul 2021 06:00 61 -
- - - - - Taiwan
GREEN 16 22 Jul 2021 12:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 22 Jul 2021 18:00 61 -
- - - - - Taiwan
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 22 Jul 2021 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmLaos, Thailand, Philippines75,651
+
Laos92 
Philippines41,930 
Thailand33,628 
100-250 mmChina, Vietnam, Laos, Thailand, Philippines15,538,240
+
China657,637 
Vietnam475,502 
Laos2,377,787 
Philippines7,505,481 
Thailand4,521,831 
50-100 mmChina, Vietnam, Taiwan, Laos, Philippines, Thailand, Cambodia33,103,749
+
China6,159,960 
Vietnam19,604,307 
Taiwan5,523 
Laos813,718 
Philippines3,600,410 
Thailand2,900,778 
Cambodia19,050 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 18 Jul 2021 18:00 142 80 thousand
- - - - Laos, Vietnam, Cambodia
Blue 2 19 Jul 2021 00:00 171 -
- - - - - Laos, Cambodia
Blue 3 19 Jul 2021 06:00 157 -
- - - - - Hong Kong, China
Blue 4 19 Jul 2021 12:00 126 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 19 Jul 2021 18:00 223 -
- - - - - Laos, Vietnam
Blue 6 20 Jul 2021 00:00 221 Few people
- - - - China, Laos, Thailand
Blue 7 20 Jul 2021 06:00 274 170 thousand
- - - - China
Blue 8 20 Jul 2021 12:00 187 440 thousand
- - - - China
Blue 9 20 Jul 2021 18:00 151 790 thousand
- - - - China
Blue 10 21 Jul 2021 00:00 75 -
- - - - - China
Blue 11 21 Jul 2021 06:00 66 -
- - - - - China
Blue 12 21 Jul 2021 12:00 103 Few people
- - - - China, Laos, Thailand
Blue 13 21 Jul 2021 18:00 107 10 thousand
- - - - China, Laos, Thailand
Blue 14 22 Jul 2021 00:00 103 -
- - - - - China
Blue 15 22 Jul 2021 06:00 39 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 22 Jul 2021 12:00 62 -
- - - - - Philippines
Blue 17 22 Jul 2021 18:00 303 15.6 million
- - - China, Vietnam, Taiwan, Laos, Philippines, Thailand, Cambodia




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.5m in Sha-fan-chieh, China. This height is estimated for 25 Jul 2021 18:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 22 Jul 2021 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
25 Jul 2021 18:00 Sha-fan-chieh China  0.5
25 Jul 2021 18:00 Jinxiang China  0.5
25 Jul 2021 17:45 Pucheng China  0.5
25 Jul 2021 17:45 Shacheng China  0.5
25 Jul 2021 17:45 Xiaguan China  0.5
25 Jul 2021 17:30 Huang-ch'i China  0.5
25 Jul 2021 18:00 Yacheng China  0.4
25 Jul 2021 18:00 Sansha China  0.4
25 Jul 2021 18:00 Changchun China  0.4
25 Jul 2021 18:00 Wuqu China  0.4
25 Jul 2021 18:00 Luxia China  0.4
25 Jul 2021 17:30 Xiahu China  0.4
25 Jul 2021 17:30 Da'ao China  0.4
25 Jul 2021 17:45 Tung-ch'ung China  0.4
25 Jul 2021 17:45 Xinan China  0.4
25 Jul 2021 18:00 Anhai China  0.4
25 Jul 2021 16:45 Bili China  0.4
25 Jul 2021 16:45 Chien-chiang China  0.4
25 Jul 2021 17:30 Ting-hai China  0.4
25 Jul 2021 17:45 Ch'ang-t'an-wo Taiwan  0.4
25 Jul 2021 18:00 Tung-tai China  0.3
25 Jul 2021 18:00 Baisheng China  0.3
25 Jul 2021 18:00 Mabi China  0.3
25 Jul 2021 18:00 Guanban China  0.3
25 Jul 2021 18:00 Langqi China  0.3
25 Jul 2021 18:00 Changmen China  0.3
25 Jul 2021 18:00 Fengwo China  0.3
25 Jul 2021 18:00 Yunlong China  0.3
25 Jul 2021 18:00 Tantou China  0.3
25 Jul 2021 18:00 Chin-feng China  0.3
25 Jul 2021 18:00 Wuhang China  0.3
25 Jul 2021 18:00 Chiang-t'ien China  0.3
25 Jul 2021 18:00 Chang-chiang China  0.3
25 Jul 2021 18:00 Guhuai China  0.3
25 Jul 2021 18:00 Guanjing China  0.3
25 Jul 2021 18:00 Qingfeng China  0.3
25 Jul 2021 18:00 Pingtan China  0.3
25 Jul 2021 18:00 Houtian China  0.3
25 Jul 2021 18:00 Beicuo China  0.3
22 Jul 2021 18:00 San Shah China  0.3
22 Jul 2021 18:00 Gaoshan China  0.3
22 Jul 2021 18:00 Ta-ch'iu China  0.3
22 Jul 2021 18:00 Cao Yu China  0.3
25 Jul 2021 18:00 Fuye China  0.2
25 Jul 2021 18:00 Nanri China  0.2
25 Jul 2021 18:00 Shicheng China  0.2
25 Jul 2021 18:00 Tangbian China  0.2
25 Jul 2021 18:00 Jiangjing China  0.2
25 Jul 2021 18:00 Gangtou China  0.2
25 Jul 2021 18:00 Pinghai China  0.2
25 Jul 2021 18:00 Yuxi China  0.2
25 Jul 2021 18:00 Longtian China  0.2
25 Jul 2021 18:00 Chiang-k'ou China  0.2
25 Jul 2021 18:00 Daitou China  0.2
25 Jul 2021 17:45 Ch'i-ting Taiwan  0.2
25 Jul 2021 15:15 Wangchuan China  0.2
25 Jul 2021 15:15 Fengting China  0.2
25 Jul 2021 15:15 Dawu China  0.2
25 Jul 2021 15:15 Fengwei China  0.2
25 Jul 2021 15:15 Hsiao-tso China  0.2
25 Jul 2021 15:15 Zhongmen China  0.2
25 Jul 2021 18:00 Hushi China  0.2
25 Jul 2021 18:00 P'u-hsi China  0.2
25 Jul 2021 18:00 P'u-hsi-ch'eng China  0.2
25 Jul 2021 18:00 Meizhou China  0.2
25 Jul 2021 17:45 Tung-hsiao Taiwan  0.2
25 Jul 2021 17:30 Hai huang Taiwan  0.2
25 Jul 2021 17:30 Yuan-li Taiwan  0.2
25 Jul 2021 16:00 Dongsha China  0.2
25 Jul 2021 16:00 Lingchuan China  0.2
25 Jul 2021 17:30 Ching-shui Taiwan  0.2
25 Jul 2021 17:30 Qian'an China  0.2
25 Jul 2021 17:30 Chongwu China  0.2
23 Jul 2021 01:00 Bailong China  0.2
23 Jul 2021 01:00 Beimu China  0.2
23 Jul 2021 01:00 Yong'an China  0.2
23 Jul 2021 01:00 Shankou China  0.2
23 Jul 2021 01:00 Yingluo China  0.2
25 Jul 2021 18:00 Hsiang-chih China  0.2
25 Jul 2021 18:00 Zhangban China  0.2
25 Jul 2021 18:00 Shihu China  0.2
25 Jul 2021 18:00 Dongyuan China  0.2
25 Jul 2021 18:00 Shih-shih China  0.2
25 Jul 2021 18:00 Yakou China  0.2
25 Jul 2021 18:00 Yongning China  0.2
25 Jul 2021 18:00 Lu-kang Taiwan  0.2
22 Jul 2021 23:30 Caotan China  0.2
25 Jul 2021 18:00 Weitou China  0.2
25 Jul 2021 18:00 Chin-ching China  0.2
25 Jul 2021 18:00 Sha-shan Taiwan  0.2
25 Jul 2021 18:00 Wang-kung Taiwan  0.2
22 Jul 2021 23:15 Longtousha China  0.2
24 Jul 2021 13:15 Yingzai China  0.1
25 Jul 2021 18:00 San-hsing Taiwan  0.1
25 Jul 2021 18:00 T'ai-hsi Taiwan  0.1
25 Jul 2021 18:00 Chin-men Tao Taiwan  0.1
25 Jul 2021 18:00 Yang-chai Taiwan  0.1
22 Jul 2021 22:45 Ch'i-shui China  0.1
22 Jul 2021 22:45 Haikang China  0.1
25 Jul 2021 16:15 Chung-ch'i Taiwan  0.1
23 Jul 2021 00:15 Gaode China  0.1
23 Jul 2021 00:15 Guchengling China  0.1
25 Jul 2021 18:00 Ch'ing-hsu Taiwan  0.1
25 Jul 2021 18:00 Shijing China  0.1
24 Jul 2021 22:45 Lianhe China  0.1
24 Jul 2021 22:45 Anhai China  0.1
24 Jul 2021 22:45 Tung-shih China  0.1
25 Jul 2021 18:00 Sa-ti Taiwan  0.1
25 Jul 2021 18:00 Hai-kou Taiwan  0.1
25 Jul 2021 18:00 Chi-pei Taiwan  0.1
23 Jul 2021 00:00 Beihai China  0.1
25 Jul 2021 18:00 Ch'ang-an Taiwan  0.1
25 Jul 2021 17:45 Wai-an Taiwan  0.1
25 Jul 2021 17:45 Chu-kao-wan Taiwan  0.1
25 Jul 2021 17:45 Feng-kuei-li Taiwan  0.1
25 Jul 2021 17:45 P'eng-hu-erh-ts'un Taiwan  0.1
25 Jul 2021 17:45 Ma-kung Taiwan  0.1
25 Jul 2021 17:45 Ch'eng-ch'ien Taiwan  0.1
25 Jul 2021 17:45 Lung-men Taiwan  0.1
24 Jul 2021 22:45 Chin-men Taiwan  0.1
22 Jul 2021 22:45 Liu-sha-ying China  0.1
24 Jul 2021 12:00 Yuen Long Hong Kong (China)  0.1
24 Jul 2021 12:00 Tai Po Hong Kong (China)  0.1
24 Jul 2021 12:00 Tai Po Industrial Estate Hong Kong (China)  0.1
24 Jul 2021 12:00 Fung Yuen Hong Kong (China)  0.1
24 Jul 2021 12:00 Dabu Hong Kong (China)  0.1
24 Jul 2021 12:00 Sha Tau Kok China  0.1
24 Jul 2021 12:00 Cheung Kang Hong Kong (China)  0.1
24 Jul 2021 12:00 Imtin China  0.1
24 Jul 2021 12:00 Cheung Wo Hong Kong (China)  0.1
24 Jul 2021 12:00 Pak Sha Au Hong Kong (China)  0.1
24 Jul 2021 12:00 Long Ke Hong Kong (China)  0.1
24 Jul 2021 12:00 Khitschhung China  0.1
25 Jul 2021 18:00 An-ting Taiwan  0.1
25 Jul 2021 18:00 Aotou China  0.1
25 Jul 2021 18:00 Hsia-lun Taiwan  0.1
25 Jul 2021 18:00 Songyu China  0.1
25 Jul 2021 18:00 Xucuo China  0.1
25 Jul 2021 18:00 Gulangyu China  0.1
25 Jul 2021 18:00 Xiamen China  0.1
25 Jul 2021 18:00 Chen-hai China  0.1
25 Jul 2021 18:00 Daomei China  0.1
25 Jul 2021 18:00 Jiangtou China  0.1
25 Jul 2021 18:00 Zhenhai China  0.1
25 Jul 2021 18:00 Hecuo China  0.1
24 Jul 2021 12:00 Cheung Sha Wan Hong Kong (China)  0.1
24 Jul 2021 12:00 Tsz Wa Chan Hong Kong (China)  0.1
24 Jul 2021 12:00 Yau Ma Po Hong Kong (China)  0.1
24 Jul 2021 12:00 Sai Kung Hong Kong (China)  0.1
25 Jul 2021 18:00 Chu-mu-shui Taiwan  0.1
25 Jul 2021 18:00 Hua-hsu Taiwan  0.1
25 Jul 2021 18:00 Hsing-lin China  0.1
25 Jul 2021 18:00 Dianqian China  0.1
25 Jul 2021 18:00 Liuwudian China  0.1
25 Jul 2021 15:45 Hsin-chiang Taiwan  0.1
25 Jul 2021 15:45 Wu-nan Taiwan  0.1
22 Jul 2021 22:45 Shuiwei China  0.1
22 Jul 2021 23:15 Hsi-ch'ang-hsu China  0.1
22 Jul 2021 23:15 Hsi-ch'ang China  0.1
22 Jul 2021 23:15 Shagang China  0.1
22 Jul 2021 23:15 Dangjiang China  0.1
22 Jul 2021 23:15 Qianjiang China  0.1
25 Jul 2021 17:45 Chiang-chun-ao Taiwan  0.1
24 Jul 2021 06:45 Hai Phong Vietnam  0.1
24 Jul 2021 06:45 Thuy U Vietnam  0.1
24 Jul 2021 06:45 Dai Loc Vietnam  0.1
24 Jul 2021 06:45 Quang Yen Vietnam  0.1
24 Jul 2021 06:45 Hoang Chau Vietnam  0.1
22 Jul 2021 22:30 Liusha China  0.1
22 Jul 2021 22:30 Mai-ch'en-hsu China  0.1
22 Jul 2021 23:15 Guanjing China  0.1
23 Jul 2021 02:30 Paipu China  0.1
23 Jul 2021 02:30 Baimajing China  0.1
23 Jul 2021 02:30 Hsin-ying China  0.1
23 Jul 2021 02:30 Eman China  0.1
23 Jul 2021 02:30 Taan China  0.1
23 Jul 2021 02:30 Hsin-chou China  0.1
25 Jul 2021 12:00 Xindian China  0.1
25 Jul 2021 12:00 Ma-chiang China  0.1
24 Jul 2021 07:00 Gia Luan Vietnam  0.1
22 Jul 2021 18:00 Cuihengcun China  0.1
22 Jul 2021 18:00 Min-chung China  0.1
22 Jul 2021 18:00 Xiazha China  0.1
22 Jul 2021 18:00 Qishan China  0.1
22 Jul 2021 18:00 Cheng'anwei China  0.1
22 Jul 2021 18:00 Ch'i-ao China  0.1
25 Jul 2021 17:45 Chung-p'ing Taiwan  0.1
24 Jul 2021 07:15 Ubon Bi Vietnam  0.1
24 Jul 2021 07:15 Dong Vang Vietnam  0.1
22 Jul 2021 23:45 Hsi-niu-chiao China  0.1
22 Jul 2021 23:45 Pingshan China  0.1
25 Jul 2021 02:30 Fugong China  0.1
25 Jul 2021 02:30 Haicang China  0.1
25 Jul 2021 02:30 Gangwei China  0.1
22 Jul 2021 22:45 Maichen China  0.1
25 Jul 2021 18:00 Fotan China  0.1
25 Jul 2021 18:00 Chang-t'an Taiwan  0.1
22 Jul 2021 18:00 Huangge China  0.1
22 Jul 2021 18:00 Wan-ch'ing-sha China  0.1
22 Jul 2021 18:00 Jiang'ouwei China  0.1
22 Jul 2021 18:00 Fumunchai China  0.1
22 Jul 2021 18:00 Fumuntschai China  0.1
22 Jul 2021 18:00 Baihao China  0.1
22 Jul 2021 18:00 Taiping China  0.1
22 Jul 2021 18:00 Sha-ching China  0.1
22 Jul 2021 18:00 Heping China  0.1
24 Jul 2021 07:45 Mong Cai Vietnam  0.1
24 Jul 2021 07:45 Jiangpingxu China  0.1
24 Jul 2021 07:45 Jiangping China  0.1
24 Jul 2021 07:45 Wanwei China  0.1
25 Jul 2021 18:00 Fu-hsing Taiwan  0.1
25 Jul 2021 18:00 Pu-tai Taiwan  0.1
22 Jul 2021 18:00 Nantou China  0.1
22 Jul 2021 19:30 Chiu-chieh China  0.1
22 Jul 2021 19:30 Shekou China  0.1
22 Jul 2021 19:30 Castle Peak New Town Hong Kong (China)  0.1
22 Jul 2021 19:30 Tuen Mun Hong Kong (China)  0.1
25 Jul 2021 02:45 Guankou China  0.1
25 Jul 2021 15:30 Yung-lung Taiwan  0.1