Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for ROSE-21
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ROSE-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 40 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (23 Sep 11:30 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 40 km/h 0.3 m 17 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 162 km/h 0.3 m 342 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

162 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 23 Sep 2021 06:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 19 Sep 2021 18:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 20 Sep 2021 00:00 47 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 20 Sep 2021 06:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 20 Sep 2021 12:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 20 Sep 2021 18:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 21 Sep 2021 00:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 21 Sep 2021 06:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 21 Sep 2021 12:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 21 Sep 2021 18:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 22 Sep 2021 00:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 22 Sep 2021 06:00 47 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 22 Sep 2021 12:00 43 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 22 Sep 2021 18:00 40 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 23 Sep 2021 00:00 43 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 23 Sep 2021 06:00 155 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 23 Sep 2021 06:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 19 Sep 2021 18:00 71 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 20 Sep 2021 00:00 74 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 20 Sep 2021 06:00 144 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 20 Sep 2021 12:00 68 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 20 Sep 2021 18:00 63 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 21 Sep 2021 00:00 139 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 21 Sep 2021 06:00 175 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 21 Sep 2021 12:00 31 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 21 Sep 2021 18:00 29 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 22 Sep 2021 00:00 37 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 22 Sep 2021 06:00 18 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 22 Sep 2021 12:00 14 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 22 Sep 2021 18:00 15 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 23 Sep 2021 00:00 16 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 23 Sep 2021 06:00 370 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Prazeres, Cape Verde. This height is estimated for 23 Sep 2021 11:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 23 Sep 2021 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
23 Sep 2021 11:30 Prazeres Cape Verde  0.3
23 Sep 2021 11:30 Espingueira Cape Verde  0.3
23 Sep 2021 11:30 Derrubado Cape Verde  0.3
23 Sep 2021 11:30 Curral Velho Cape Verde  0.3
23 Sep 2021 11:30 Joao Barrosa Cape Verde  0.3
23 Sep 2021 11:30 Fundo de Figueiras Cape Verde  0.3
23 Sep 2021 11:30 Cabeco Dos Tarefes Cape Verde  0.3
23 Sep 2021 11:30 Gata Cape Verde  0.3
23 Sep 2021 11:15 Palmeira Cape Verde  0.2
23 Sep 2021 11:15 Beirona Cape Verde  0.2
23 Sep 2021 11:15 Santa Maria Cape Verde  0.2
23 Sep 2021 11:15 Vila Santa Maria Cape Verde  0.2
23 Sep 2021 11:15 Feijoal Cape Verde  0.2
23 Sep 2021 11:15 Pedra Lume Cape Verde  0.2
23 Sep 2021 11:30 Morro Cape Verde  0.2
23 Sep 2021 11:30 Vila do Maio Cape Verde  0.2
23 Sep 2021 11:30 Calheta Cape Verde  0.2
23 Sep 2021 11:30 Morrinho Cape Verde  0.2
23 Sep 2021 11:30 Cascabulho Cape Verde  0.2
23 Sep 2021 11:30 Santo Antonio Cape Verde  0.2
23 Sep 2021 11:30 Pedro Vaz Cape Verde  0.2
23 Sep 2021 11:30 Alcatraz Cape Verde  0.2
23 Sep 2021 11:15 Vila de Sal Rei Cape Verde  0.1
23 Sep 2021 11:15 Provoacao Velha Cape Verde  0.1
23 Sep 2021 11:15 Povocao Velha Cape Verde  0.1
23 Sep 2021 11:15 Sal Rel Cape Verde  0.1
23 Sep 2021 11:15 Cabecadas Cape Verde  0.1
23 Sep 2021 11:15 Rabil Cape Verde  0.1
23 Sep 2021 11:15 Ponta Adiante Cape Verde  0.1
23 Sep 2021 11:15 Bofareira Cape Verde  0.1
23 Sep 2021 11:45 Barreiro Cape Verde  0.1
23 Sep 2021 11:45 Figueira da Horta Cape Verde  0.1
23 Sep 2021 11:15 Sao Pedro Cape Verde  0.1
23 Sep 2021 11:15 Vila do Porto Novo Cape Verde  0.1
23 Sep 2021 11:15 Porto Novo Cape Verde  0.1
23 Sep 2021 11:15 Mindelo Cape Verde  0.1
23 Sep 2021 11:15 Salamansa Cape Verde  0.1
23 Sep 2021 11:15 Madeiral Cape Verde  0.1
23 Sep 2021 11:15 Calhau Cape Verde  0.1
23 Sep 2021 11:45 Pedrinha Cape Verde  0.1
23 Sep 2021 11:30 Vila do Maio (Porto Inglez) Cape Verde  0.1
23 Sep 2021 11:30 Maio Cape Verde  0.1
23 Sep 2021 11:30 Achada Baleia Cape Verde  0.1
23 Sep 2021 11:30 Moia Moia Cape Verde  0.1
23 Sep 2021 11:30 Porto Lobo Cape Verde  0.1
23 Sep 2021 11:30 Salas Cape Verde  0.1
23 Sep 2021 11:30 Renque Purga Cape Verde  0.1
23 Sep 2021 11:30 Joao Teves Cape Verde  0.1
23 Sep 2021 11:30 Santa Antonio Cape Verde  0.1
23 Sep 2021 11:30 Montagarro Cape Verde  0.1
23 Sep 2021 11:30 Vila Nova Cape Verde  0.1
23 Sep 2021 11:30 Praia Cape Verde  0.1
23 Sep 2021 11:30 Fazenda Cape Verde  0.1
23 Sep 2021 11:30 Mato Jorge Cape Verde  0.1
23 Sep 2021 11:30 Capela Cape Verde  0.1
23 Sep 2021 11:30 Ponta Mendes Cape Verde  0.1
23 Sep 2021 11:30 Ponta Sao Francisco Cape Verde  0.1
23 Sep 2021 11:30 Portal Cape Verde  0.1
23 Sep 2021 11:30 Sao Tome Cape Verde  0.1
23 Sep 2021 11:30 Cancelo Cape Verde  0.1
23 Sep 2021 11:30 Praia Baixo Cape Verde  0.1
23 Sep 2021 11:30 Pedra Badejo Cape Verde  0.1
23 Sep 2021 11:30 Fazenda Cape Verde  0.1
23 Sep 2021 11:30 Porto D' Achada Cape Verde  0.1
23 Sep 2021 11:30 Cidade Vehla Cape Verde  0.1
23 Sep 2021 11:30 Salineiro Cape Verde  0.1
23 Sep 2021 11:30 Maria Parda Cape Verde  0.1
23 Sep 2021 11:30 Lem Cape Verde  0.1
23 Sep 2021 11:30 Costa D' Achada Cape Verde  0.1
23 Sep 2021 11:30 Dias Cape Verde  0.1
23 Sep 2021 11:30 Trindade Cape Verde  0.1
23 Sep 2021 11:30 Gouveia Cape Verde  0.1
23 Sep 2021 11:30 Porto Gouveia Cape Verde  0.1
23 Sep 2021 11:30 Velha Cape Verde  0.1
23 Sep 2021 11:30 Calheta Cape Verde  0.1
23 Sep 2021 11:30 Serelbo Cape Verde  0.1
23 Sep 2021 11:30 Toril Cape Verde  0.1
23 Sep 2021 11:30 Bel Bel Cape Verde  0.1
23 Sep 2021 11:30 Pinchossa Cape Verde  0.1
23 Sep 2021 11:30 Santa Cruz Cape Verde  0.1
23 Sep 2021 11:30 Ribeirao Delmasso Cape Verde  0.1
23 Sep 2021 11:30 Poilaosinho Cape Verde  0.1
23 Sep 2021 11:15 Figueiras de Baixo Cape Verde  0.1
23 Sep 2021 11:15 Cha de Paulo Cape Verde  0.1
23 Sep 2021 11:15 Cha da Igreja Cape Verde  0.1
23 Sep 2021 11:15 Fajansinha Cape Verde  0.1
23 Sep 2021 11:15 Selada do Mocha Cape Verde  0.1
23 Sep 2021 11:15 Fontainhas Cape Verde  0.1
23 Sep 2021 11:15 Caculi Cape Verde  0.1
23 Sep 2021 11:15 Vila Maria Pia Cape Verde  0.1
23 Sep 2021 11:15 Mao para Tras Cape Verde  0.1
23 Sep 2021 11:15 Monte Joana Cape Verde  0.1
23 Sep 2021 11:15 Pombas Cape Verde  0.1
23 Sep 2021 11:15 Janela Cape Verde  0.1