Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for RICK-21
in Mexico
23 Oct 2021 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone RICK-21 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 133 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (26 Oct 07:45 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 133 km/h 0.3 m 114 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 162 km/h 0.7 m 471 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 23 Oct 2021 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMexico109,512 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 22 Oct 2021 12:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 22 Oct 2021 18:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 23 Oct 2021 00:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 23 Oct 2021 06:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 23 Oct 2021 12:00 184 -
- - - - - Mexico
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall

471 mm

Up to 350 thousand can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 23 Oct 2021 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmMexico349,380 
50-100 mmMexico1,766,414 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 22 Oct 2021 12:00 104 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 22 Oct 2021 18:00 99 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 23 Oct 2021 00:00 93 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 23 Oct 2021 06:00 166 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 23 Oct 2021 12:00 774 350 thousand
- - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Puerto Penasco, Mexico. This height is estimated for 26 Oct 2021 07:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 23 Oct 2021 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
26 Oct 2021 07:45 Puerto Penasco Mexico  0.3
25 Oct 2021 20:30 La Choya Mexico  0.3
26 Oct 2021 07:45 Rancho Bahia Mexico  0.3
24 Oct 2021 07:00 Sabine United States  0.3
24 Oct 2021 07:00 Sabine Pass United States  0.3
24 Oct 2021 07:00 Johnson's Bayou United States  0.3
24 Oct 2021 07:15 Constance Beach United States  0.3
24 Oct 2021 07:15 Peveto Beach United States  0.3
24 Oct 2021 07:15 Holly Beach United States  0.3
24 Oct 2021 07:15 Cameron United States  0.3
24 Oct 2021 07:30 High Island United States  0.3
26 Oct 2021 08:00 Puerto Libertad Mexico  0.3
24 Oct 2021 08:00 Port Bolivar United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 08:00 Smith Point United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 08:00 Fort Travis United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 08:00 Flake United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 08:00 Elmgrove United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 08:00 Crystal Beach United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 08:00 Patton United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 08:00 Bolivar Peninsula United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 08:00 Caplen United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 08:00 Gilchrist United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:45 Cedar Point United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:45 Beach City United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:45 Oak Island United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:45 Anahuac United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 08:30 Bayview United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 08:30 Bacliff United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 08:30 Nadeau United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 08:30 Texas City Junction United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 08:30 Bayou Vista United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 08:30 San Leon United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 08:30 Texas City United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 08:30 Anderson Ways United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 08:30 Virginia Point United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 08:30 Galveston United States  0.2
26 Oct 2021 07:45 Tecomate Mexico  0.2
26 Oct 2021 07:45 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.2
26 Oct 2021 08:15 El Desemboque Mexico  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:30 Morgan's Point United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:30 Red Bluff United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:30 Seabrook United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:30 Morgan Point United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:30 Baytown United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:30 Pelly United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:15 Webster United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:15 Clear Lake City United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:15 Nassau Bay United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:15 Kilkare United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:15 Lakeside United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:15 Taylor Lake United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:15 La Porte United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:15 El Lago United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:15 Clear Lake Shores United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:15 Kemah United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:15 Shoreacres United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:15 Bayside Terrace United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:15 Todville United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 07:15 Sixmile United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 07:15 Port Lavaca United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 07:15 Alamo Beach United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 07:15 Point Comfort United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 07:15 Magnolia Beach United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 07:15 Olivia United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 07:15 Weedhaven United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 07:15 Port Alto United States  0.2
26 Oct 2021 08:30 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.2
25 Oct 2021 05:30 Zihuatanejo Mexico  0.2
25 Oct 2021 06:15 Barrio Nuevo Mexico  0.2
26 Oct 2021 08:30 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.2
26 Oct 2021 08:15 El Barril Mexico  0.2
26 Oct 2021 08:30 San Rafael Mexico  0.2
24 Oct 2021 09:15 Hoskins United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 09:15 Peterson Landing United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 09:15 Port Morris United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 09:15 Red Fish Cove United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 09:15 Bay Harbor United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 09:15 Sea Isle United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 09:15 Hitchcock United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 09:15 Jamaica Beach United States  0.2
25 Oct 2021 06:15 Lagunillas Mexico  0.2
25 Oct 2021 08:30 Kenney Lane West Colonia United States  0.2
25 Oct 2021 08:30 Indian Trails Lane Colonia United States  0.2
25 Oct 2021 08:30 Country Acres Colonia United States  0.2
25 Oct 2021 08:30 Country Estates Colonia United States  0.2
25 Oct 2021 08:30 Aransas Pass United States  0.2
25 Oct 2021 08:30 Estes United States  0.2
25 Oct 2021 08:30 Rockport United States  0.2
25 Oct 2021 08:30 Shell Ridge United States  0.2
25 Oct 2021 08:30 Copano Village United States  0.2
25 Oct 2021 08:30 Fulton United States  0.2
25 Oct 2021 08:30 Holiday Beach United States  0.2
25 Oct 2021 08:30 Lamar United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 02:00 Carancahua United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 02:00 El Campo Club Community United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 02:00 Camp Hulen United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 02:00 Palacios United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 02:00 Collegeport United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 02:00 Simpsonville United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 02:00 Citrus Grove United States  0.2
25 Oct 2021 06:15 Melchor Ocampo Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 09:00 Joluta Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 19:45 Novillero Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 02:00 Indianola United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 02:00 Port O'Connor United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 05:00 Maudlowe United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 05:00 Tivoli United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 05:00 Spanish Village United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 05:00 Austwell United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 05:00 Seadrift United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 03:00 Corpus Christi United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 03:00 North Beach United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 03:00 Gardendale United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 03:00 Doyle United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 03:00 Orange Grove United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 03:00 Peary Place United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 03:00 Portland United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 03:00 Flour Bluff United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 03:00 Caruthers Cove Colonia United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 03:00 Ingleside United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 03:00 Port Ingleside United States  0.1
25 Oct 2021 07:15 Playa Azul Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 04:45 Gregory United States  0.1
25 Oct 2021 02:15 Calvario Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 19:45 Cuantla Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 19:45 Cuamecate Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 00:00 Yarborough United States  0.1
26 Oct 2021 08:15 Tastiota Mexico  0.1
26 Oct 2021 09:00 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 09:00 Quintana United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 09:00 Surfside United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 09:00 Mims United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 09:00 Surfside Beach United States  0.1
25 Oct 2021 08:00 Las Pinas Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 05:15 Mustang Beach United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 05:15 Port Aransas United States  0.1
25 Oct 2021 20:15 Guasimas Mexico  0.1
26 Oct 2021 08:45 Mulege Mexico  0.1
26 Oct 2021 09:15 Empalme Mexico  0.1
26 Oct 2021 08:30 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
26 Oct 2021 08:45 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
26 Oct 2021 09:00 Los Dolores Mexico  0.1
26 Oct 2021 09:00 Guaymas Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 20:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 16:45 El Nuevo Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 09:15 Hoskins United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 09:15 Bryan Beach United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 09:15 Valasco Heights United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 09:15 Freeport United States  0.1
23 Oct 2021 19:45 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.1
26 Oct 2021 08:45 San Ignacio Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 05:15 Coyuquillas Mexico  0.1
26 Oct 2021 09:00 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 21:15 La Gloria Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 21:15 Chaparral Mexico  0.1
26 Oct 2021 09:00 Liliba Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 21:00 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 21:00 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 20:15 Loreto Mexico  0.1