Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for TERRY-21
Off-shore
04 Nov 2021 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone TERRY-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 43 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (04 Nov 23:30 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 43 km/h 0.0 m 192 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 54 km/h 0.2 m 462 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

54 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 04 Nov 2021 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 04 Nov 2021 00:00 43 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 04 Nov 2021 12:00 50 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 04 Nov 2021 12:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 04 Nov 2021 00:00 146 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 04 Nov 2021 12:00 383 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in El Ajustillo, Honduras. This height is estimated for 04 Nov 2021 23:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 04 Nov 2021 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
04 Nov 2021 23:30 El Ajustillo Honduras  0.2
04 Nov 2021 23:30 Puerto Grande Honduras  0.2
04 Nov 2021 23:30 Gualora Honduras  0.2
04 Nov 2021 23:30 Las Piletas Honduras  0.2
04 Nov 2021 23:30 El Moray Honduras  0.2
04 Nov 2021 23:30 Estero del Espino Honduras  0.2
04 Nov 2021 23:30 Barrancones Honduras  0.2
04 Nov 2021 23:30 Condega Honduras  0.2
04 Nov 2021 23:30 Cedeno Honduras  0.2
04 Nov 2021 23:30 Buena Vista Honduras  0.2
04 Nov 2021 23:30 Albania Honduras  0.2
04 Nov 2021 23:30 El Tambor Honduras  0.2
04 Nov 2021 22:15 Hacienda Santa Elena Costa Rica  0.2
04 Nov 2021 22:15 El Ostional Nicaragua  0.2
04 Nov 2021 22:15 El Jobo Costa Rica  0.2
04 Nov 2021 22:15 Hacienda Murcielago Costa Rica  0.2
04 Nov 2021 22:15 Cuatro Caminos Nicaragua  0.2
04 Nov 2021 22:15 Murcielago Costa Rica  0.2
04 Nov 2021 22:15 Puerto Soleo Costa Rica  0.2
04 Nov 2021 23:30 El Carmen Nicaragua  0.2
04 Nov 2021 23:30 Las Pozas Nicaragua  0.2
04 Nov 2021 23:30 El Capulin Nicaragua  0.2
04 Nov 2021 22:30 Canoguero El Salvador  0.2
04 Nov 2021 22:30 El Cacao El Salvador  0.2
04 Nov 2021 22:30 Conchaguita El Salvador  0.2
04 Nov 2021 22:30 Guerrero El Salvador  0.2
04 Nov 2021 22:30 La Union El Salvador  0.2
04 Nov 2021 22:30 El Tanque Nicaragua  0.1
04 Nov 2021 22:30 El Puente Nicaragua  0.1
04 Nov 2021 22:45 Agua El Salvador  0.1
04 Nov 2021 23:30 El Capulin Honduras  0.1
04 Nov 2021 23:30 Campamento Honduras  0.1
04 Nov 2021 23:30 El Hato Honduras  0.1
04 Nov 2021 19:45 Buenavista Mexico  0.1
04 Nov 2021 22:15 La Chacara Nicaragua  0.1
04 Nov 2021 22:15 Santo Tomas Nicaragua  0.1
04 Nov 2021 22:15 Mangle Alto Nicaragua  0.1
04 Nov 2021 20:00 Arista Mexico  0.1
04 Nov 2021 20:00 Solo Dios Mexico  0.1
04 Nov 2021 22:15 San Pablo Costa Rica  0.1
04 Nov 2021 22:15 Nancite Costa Rica  0.1
04 Nov 2021 22:15 Corozal Costa Rica  0.1
04 Nov 2021 22:15 Colorado Costa Rica  0.1
04 Nov 2021 22:15 Abangares Costa Rica  0.1
04 Nov 2021 22:15 Montana Grande Costa Rica  0.1
04 Nov 2021 22:15 Lepanto Costa Rica  0.1
04 Nov 2021 22:15 Abangaritos Costa Rica  0.1
04 Nov 2021 22:15 Lagarto Costa Rica  0.1
04 Nov 2021 22:15 Cabo Blanco Costa Rica  0.1
04 Nov 2021 22:15 Morales Costa Rica  0.1
04 Nov 2021 22:15 Gigante Costa Rica  0.1
04 Nov 2021 22:45 Conchaguita El Salvador  0.1
04 Nov 2021 19:30 Boqueron Mexico  0.1
04 Nov 2021 19:30 Pasito de la Senora Mexico  0.1
04 Nov 2021 21:00 Murucagua Honduras  0.1
04 Nov 2021 20:30 San Jose Rama Blanca Guatemala  0.1
04 Nov 2021 20:30 Sipacate Guatemala  0.1
04 Nov 2021 20:30 El Naranjo Guatemala  0.1
04 Nov 2021 22:45 Masachapa Nicaragua  0.1
04 Nov 2021 22:45 Loma Alegre Nicaragua  0.1
04 Nov 2021 22:45 Huiste Nicaragua  0.1
04 Nov 2021 22:45 Boquita Nicaragua  0.1
04 Nov 2021 22:45 Casares Nicaragua  0.1
04 Nov 2021 22:45 Ahuchuetes Nicaragua  0.1
04 Nov 2021 20:30 Paquera Costa Rica  0.1
04 Nov 2021 20:30 Puerto Chomes Costa Rica  0.1
04 Nov 2021 20:30 San Lucas Costa Rica  0.1
04 Nov 2021 20:30 Trenconal Costa Rica  0.1
04 Nov 2021 20:30 Puntarenas Costa Rica  0.1
04 Nov 2021 20:30 Hacienda Puerto Alto Costa Rica  0.1
04 Nov 2021 20:30 Pitahaya Costa Rica  0.1
04 Nov 2021 20:15 La Concepion Mexico  0.1
04 Nov 2021 20:15 Barra de San Jose Mexico  0.1
04 Nov 2021 22:30 Balneario El Espino El Salvador  0.1
04 Nov 2021 22:30 La Periquera El Salvador  0.1
04 Nov 2021 23:00 Cachimba Mexico  0.1
04 Nov 2021 21:45 Puerto Carazo Costa Rica  0.1