Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for IAN-22
in United States, Cuba
27 Sep 2022 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone IAN-22 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries United States
Exposed population 5 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 205 km/h
Maximum storm surge
Vulnerability Low (Cuba)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 205 km/h n.a. 334 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 248 km/h 5.0 m 448 mm 2.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

248 km/h

Up to 5 thousand in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 27 Sep 2022 18:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 1United States5,028 
Tropical StormUnited States5,687,994 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 23 Sep 2022 06:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 23 Sep 2022 12:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 23 Sep 2022 18:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 24 Sep 2022 00:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 24 Sep 2022 06:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 24 Sep 2022 12:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 24 Sep 2022 18:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 25 Sep 2022 00:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 25 Sep 2022 06:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 25 Sep 2022 12:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 25 Sep 2022 18:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 26 Sep 2022 00:00 112 -
- - - - - Cayman Islands
GREEN 13 26 Sep 2022 06:00 140 -
- - - - - Cayman Islands
GREEN 14 26 Sep 2022 12:00 155 -
- - - - - Cayman Islands
GREEN 15 26 Sep 2022 18:00 169 -
- - - - - Cuba, Cayman Islands
GREEN 16 27 Sep 2022 00:00 184 1 thousand
- - - Cuba
GREEN 17 27 Sep 2022 06:00 187 160 thousand
- - United States, Cuba
GREEN 18 27 Sep 2022 12:00 202 220 thousand
- - United States, Cuba
GREEN 19 27 Sep 2022 18:00 241 1.4 million
- - United States, Cuba
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 27 Sep 2022 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmUnited States39,490 
100-250 mmUnited States7,363,035 
50-100 mmUnited States13,321,288 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 23 Sep 2022 06:00 350 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 23 Sep 2022 12:00 340 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 23 Sep 2022 18:00 389 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 24 Sep 2022 00:00 210 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 24 Sep 2022 06:00 438 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 24 Sep 2022 12:00 335 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 24 Sep 2022 18:00 407 -
- - - - - Colombia
Blue 8 25 Sep 2022 00:00 247 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 25 Sep 2022 06:00 246 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 25 Sep 2022 12:00 164 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 25 Sep 2022 18:00 181 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 26 Sep 2022 00:00 154 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 26 Sep 2022 06:00 185 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 26 Sep 2022 12:00 154 -
- - - - - Cayman Islands
Blue 15 26 Sep 2022 18:00 163 Few people
- - - - Cuba, Cayman Islands
Blue 16 27 Sep 2022 00:00 151 2 thousand
- - - - United States, Cuba
Blue 17 27 Sep 2022 06:00 218 580 thousand
- - - - United States, Cuba
Blue 18 27 Sep 2022 12:00 317 320 thousand
- - - - Cuba
Blue 19 27 Sep 2022 18:00 925 14.9 million
- - United States, Bahamas, Cuba




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

No locations affected by storm surge > 10 cm

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 27 Sep 2022 18:00 UTC
    

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