Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for TWELVE-22
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone TWELVE-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 58 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (05 Oct 00:00 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 58 km/h 0.2 m 127 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 94 km/h 0.5 m 469 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

94 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 04 Oct 2022 18:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 04 Oct 2022 18:00 76 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 04 Oct 2022 18:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 04 Oct 2022 18:00 496 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Euca, Brazil. This height is estimated for 05 Oct 2022 00:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 04 Oct 2022 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
05 Oct 2022 00:00 Euca Brazil  0.2
04 Oct 2022 23:15 Anaburu Guinea-Bissau  0.2
04 Oct 2022 23:15 Egara Guinea-Bissau  0.2
04 Oct 2022 23:15 Equisar Guinea-Bissau  0.2
04 Oct 2022 23:15 Bruce Guinea-Bissau  0.2
04 Oct 2022 23:15 Cabuno Guinea-Bissau  0.2
05 Oct 2022 00:00 Agua Doce Brazil  0.2
04 Oct 2022 23:45 El Mamghar Mauritania  0.2
05 Oct 2022 00:00 Minerva Brazil  0.2
05 Oct 2022 00:00 Nazare Brazil  0.2
05 Oct 2022 00:00 Maye Brazil  0.2
04 Oct 2022 23:00 Bagongo Guinea-Bissau  0.1
04 Oct 2022 23:00 Quecete Guinea-Bissau  0.1
05 Oct 2022 00:00 Bela Vista Brazil  0.1
05 Oct 2022 00:00 Almeriana Brazil  0.1
04 Oct 2022 23:15 Bote Guinea-Bissau  0.1
04 Oct 2022 23:45 Cachalame Guinea-Bissau  0.1
04 Oct 2022 23:45 Acuminca Guinea-Bissau  0.1
04 Oct 2022 23:45 Bedache Guinea-Bissau  0.1
04 Oct 2022 23:45 Betelhe Guinea-Bissau  0.1
04 Oct 2022 23:45 Acubede Guinea-Bissau  0.1
04 Oct 2022 23:45 Bichau Guinea-Bissau  0.1
04 Oct 2022 23:45 Anipoco Guinea-Bissau  0.1
04 Oct 2022 23:45 Binte Guinea-Bissau  0.1
05 Oct 2022 00:00 Colonia do Pescadores Brazil  0.1
04 Oct 2022 23:00 Igim Guinea-Bissau  0.1
04 Oct 2022 23:00 Jufunco Guinea-Bissau  0.1
04 Oct 2022 23:00 Ossor Guinea-Bissau  0.1
04 Oct 2022 23:00 Bolor Guinea-Bissau  0.1
04 Oct 2022 23:00 Bolola Guinea-Bissau  0.1
04 Oct 2022 23:00 Mata de Uco Guinea-Bissau  0.1
04 Oct 2022 22:15 Saloulou Senegal  0.1
04 Oct 2022 22:15 Kandiankoum Senegal  0.1
04 Oct 2022 22:15 Boune Senegal  0.1
04 Oct 2022 22:15 Eloaye Senegal  0.1
04 Oct 2022 22:15 Boko Senegal  0.1
04 Oct 2022 22:15 Kafountine Senegal  0.1
04 Oct 2022 22:15 Cabadio Senegal  0.1