Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for CALVIN-17 in Mexico from 11 Jun 2017 21:00 UTC to 13 Jun 2017 12:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for CALVIN-17

in Mexico

12 Jun 2017 18 UTC

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to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone CALVIN-17 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	HWRF
Exposed countries	Mexico
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	61 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.2 m (12 Jun 19:30 UTC)
Vulnerability	Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
HWRF Current	61 km/h	0.2 m	n.a.	0.5
HWRF Overall	63 km/h	0.1 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

63 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 12 Jun 2017 18:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	Mexico	03

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	11 Jun 2017 18:00	110	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	12 Jun 2017 00:00	70	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	12 Jun 2017 06:00	64	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	12 Jun 2017 18:00	61	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 12 Jun 2017 18:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000
1	11 Jun 2017 18:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	12 Jun 2017 00:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	12 Jun 2017 06:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	12 Jun 2017 18:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.2m in San Dionisio del Mar, Mexico. This height is estimated for 12 Jun 2017 19:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 12 Jun 2017 18:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	12 Jun 2017 19:30	San Dionisio del Mar	Mexico	0.2
	12 Jun 2017 19:30	San Francisco del Mar	Mexico	0.2
	12 Jun 2017 19:30	La Majada	Mexico	0.2
	12 Jun 2017 19:15	Pesqueria	Mexico	0.2
	12 Jun 2017 19:45	Huajapan	Mexico	0.2
	12 Jun 2017 19:45	El Roble	Mexico	0.2
	12 Jun 2017 19:45	Cachimba	Mexico	0.2
	13 Jun 2017 00:00	Chiltepec	Mexico	0.1
	13 Jun 2017 00:00	Hidalgo	Mexico	0.1
	12 Jun 2017 19:15	Costa Rica	Mexico	0.1
	13 Jun 2017 02:00	Cabeza de Vaca	Guatemala	0.1
	13 Jun 2017 02:00	Baranca	Belize	0.1
	13 Jun 2017 02:00	San Juan	Guatemala	0.1
	13 Jun 2017 02:00	Cocoli	Guatemala	0.1
	13 Jun 2017 02:00	Buena Vista	Guatemala	0.1
	13 Jun 2017 02:00	Livingston	Guatemala	0.1
	12 Jun 2017 19:00	Salina Cruz	Mexico	0.1
	12 Jun 2017 19:00	Lagarto	Mexico	0.1
	12 Jun 2017 21:15	Cattle Landing	Belize	0.1
	12 Jun 2017 21:30	Macho Creek	Guatemala	0.1
	12 Jun 2017 21:30	Punta Manabique	Guatemala	0.1
	12 Jun 2017 22:45	Tamiahua	Mexico	0.1
	12 Jun 2017 22:45	Laja	Mexico	0.1
	12 Jun 2017 18:45	Majada Villalobos	Mexico	0.1
	12 Jun 2017 21:45	Cambalache	Guatemala	0.1
	12 Jun 2017 21:45	La Graciosa	Guatemala	0.1
	13 Jun 2017 00:15	Garrapateras	Mexico	0.1
	12 Jun 2017 20:00	Arista	Mexico	0.1
	12 Jun 2017 20:00	Buenavista	Mexico	0.1
	14 Jun 2017 19:30	Calderita	Mexico	0.1
	14 Jun 2017 19:30	Dos Hermanas	Mexico	0.1
	14 Jun 2017 19:30	Calderas	Mexico	0.1
	12 Jun 2017 22:00	Puerto Santo Tomas de Castilla	Guatemala	0.1
	12 Jun 2017 22:00	Puerto Barrios	Guatemala	0.1
	12 Jun 2017 22:00	Piedra Parada	Guatemala	0.1
	12 Jun 2017 22:00	Corozo	Guatemala	0.1
	12 Jun 2017 22:00	Machacal	Guatemala	0.1
	14 Jun 2017 19:45	Chetumal	Mexico	0.1
	14 Jun 2017 19:45	Santeneja	Belize	0.1
	12 Jun 2017 19:45	Solo Dios	Mexico	0.1
	12 Jun 2017 21:15	Santa Rosa Aguan	Honduras	0.1
	12 Jun 2017 21:15	Limon	Honduras	0.1
	12 Jun 2017 21:15	Farallones	Honduras	0.1
	13 Jun 2017 05:00	Las Barrillas	Mexico	0.1
	14 Jun 2017 21:45	El Mogotillo	El Salvador	0.1
	14 Jun 2017 21:45	El Cacao	El Salvador	0.1
	14 Jun 2017 21:45	La Union	El Salvador	0.1
	14 Jun 2017 21:45	Murucagua	Honduras	0.1
	14 Jun 2017 21:45	Conchaguita	El Salvador	0.1
	14 Jun 2017 21:45	El Capulin	Honduras	0.1
	14 Jun 2017 21:45	El Zapote	Honduras	0.1
	14 Jun 2017 21:45	El Ajustillo	Honduras	0.1
	14 Jun 2017 21:45	Puerto Grande	Honduras	0.1
	14 Jun 2017 21:45	El Volcancillo	Honduras	0.1
	14 Jun 2017 21:45	Gualora	Honduras	0.1
	14 Jun 2017 21:45	Las Piletas	Honduras	0.1
	14 Jun 2017 21:45	El Moray	Honduras	0.1
	14 Jun 2017 06:30	Matapalo	Costa Rica	0.1
	14 Jun 2017 06:30	Plazuela	Costa Rica	0.1
	14 Jun 2017 06:30	Coco	Costa Rica	0.1
	14 Jun 2017 06:30	Nacascolo	Costa Rica	0.1
	14 Jun 2017 06:30	Panama	Costa Rica	0.1
	14 Jun 2017 06:30	Cacao	Costa Rica	0.1
	14 Jun 2017 06:30	Iguanita	Costa Rica	0.1
	12 Jun 2017 23:15	Boqueron	Mexico	0.1
	12 Jun 2017 23:15	Pasito de la Senora	Mexico	0.1
	12 Jun 2017 21:45	San Francisco del Mar	Guatemala	0.1
	13 Jun 2017 05:15	Salinas	Mexico	0.1
	13 Jun 2017 05:15	Buen Pais	Mexico	0.1
	13 Jun 2017 05:15	Alvarado	Mexico	0.1
	13 Jun 2017 05:15	Conejo	Mexico	0.1
	12 Jun 2017 20:45	El Tigre	Honduras	0.1
	12 Jun 2017 20:45	Barra Ulua	Honduras	0.1
	12 Jun 2017 20:45	Rio Tinto	Honduras	0.1
	12 Jun 2017 20:45	San Juan	Honduras	0.1
	12 Jun 2017 20:45	Tela	Honduras	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.