Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for CALVIN-17
in Mexico
14 Jun 2017 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone CALVIN-17 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 30 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.1 m (15 Jun 21:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 30 km/h 0.1 m n.a. 0.5
ECMWF Overall 30 km/h 0.1 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

30 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 14 Jun 2017 00:00 UTC (Overall situation)

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 11 Jun 2017 00:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 11 Jun 2017 12:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 12 Jun 2017 00:00 55 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 12 Jun 2017 12:00 52 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 13 Jun 2017 00:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 13 Jun 2017 12:00 26 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 14 Jun 2017 00:00 30 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 14 Jun 2017 00:00 UTC (Overall situation)

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 11 Jun 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 2 11 Jun 2017 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 3 12 Jun 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 4 12 Jun 2017 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 5 13 Jun 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 6 13 Jun 2017 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 7 14 Jun 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.1 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.1m in Las Pozas, Nicaragua. This height is estimated for 15 Jun 2017 21:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 14 Jun 2017 00:00 UTC (Overall situation)
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
15 Jun 2017 21:00 Las Pozas Nicaragua  0.1
15 Jun 2017 21:00 La Chacara Nicaragua  0.1
15 Jun 2017 21:00 El Capulin Nicaragua  0.1
15 Jun 2017 21:00 Condega Honduras  0.1
15 Jun 2017 21:00 Mangle Alto Nicaragua  0.1
13 Jun 2017 20:15 Chetumal Mexico  0.1
13 Jun 2017 20:15 Calderita Mexico  0.1
13 Jun 2017 20:15 Santeneja Belize  0.1
13 Jun 2017 20:15 Dos Hermanas Mexico  0.1
15 Jun 2017 22:00 El Mogotillo El Salvador  0.1
15 Jun 2017 22:00 El Cacao El Salvador  0.1
15 Jun 2017 22:00 La Union El Salvador  0.1
15 Jun 2017 22:00 Murucagua Honduras  0.1
15 Jun 2017 22:00 Conchaguita El Salvador  0.1
15 Jun 2017 22:00 El Capulin Honduras  0.1
15 Jun 2017 22:00 El Zapote Honduras  0.1
15 Jun 2017 22:00 El Ajustillo Honduras  0.1
15 Jun 2017 22:00 Puerto Grande Honduras  0.1
15 Jun 2017 22:00 El Volcancillo Honduras  0.1
15 Jun 2017 22:00 Gualora Honduras  0.1
15 Jun 2017 22:00 Las Piletas Honduras  0.1
15 Jun 2017 22:00 El Moray Honduras  0.1
15 Jun 2017 20:45 Cedeno Honduras  0.1
15 Jun 2017 20:45 Albania Honduras  0.1
13 Jun 2017 20:00 Calderas Mexico  0.1
15 Jun 2017 17:00 Canoguero El Salvador  0.1
15 Jun 2017 17:00 Guerrero El Salvador  0.1
13 Jun 2017 08:45 La Majada Mexico  0.1
13 Jun 2017 08:45 Huajapan Mexico  0.1