Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for ELEVEN-18 Off-shore from 22 Sep 2018 03:00 UTC to 23 Sep 2018 15:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for ELEVEN-18

Off-shore

24 Sep 2018 00 UTC

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Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ELEVEN-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	0 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.2 m (21 Sep 20:30 UTC)
Vulnerability	--

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
ECMWF Current	0 km/h	0.2 m	n.a.	0.5
ECMWF Overall	0 km/h	0.2 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

-4 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 24 Sep 2018 00:00 UTC (Overall situation)

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5
1	21 Sep 2018 12:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	22 Sep 2018 00:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	22 Sep 2018 12:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	23 Sep 2018 00:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	23 Sep 2018 12:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	24 Sep 2018 00:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 24 Sep 2018 00:00 UTC (Overall situation)

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000
1	21 Sep 2018 12:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	22 Sep 2018 00:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	22 Sep 2018 12:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	23 Sep 2018 00:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	23 Sep 2018 12:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	24 Sep 2018 00:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.2m in Carupano, Venezuela. This height is estimated for 21 Sep 2018 20:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 24 Sep 2018 00:00 UTC (Overall situation)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	21 Sep 2018 20:30	Carupano	Venezuela	0.2
	21 Sep 2018 20:30	Puerto Santo	Venezuela	0.2
	21 Sep 2018 20:45	Rio Caribe	Venezuela	0.2
	22 Sep 2018 01:15	Agua Fria	Venezuela	0.2
	22 Sep 2018 01:30	San Juan de las Galdonas	Venezuela	0.2
	25 Sep 2018 13:15	Irapa	Venezuela	0.2
	25 Sep 2018 13:15	Soro	Venezuela	0.2
	22 Sep 2018 01:30	San Juan	Venezuela	0.2
	21 Sep 2018 23:00	Fullarton	Trinidad and Tobago	0.2
	21 Sep 2018 23:00	Coromandel Settlement	Trinidad and Tobago	0.2
	21 Sep 2018 23:00	Chatham	Trinidad and Tobago	0.2
	21 Sep 2018 23:00	San Francique	Trinidad and Tobago	0.2
	21 Sep 2018 23:00	Los Bajos	Trinidad and Tobago	0.2
	21 Sep 2018 23:00	Irois	Trinidad and Tobago	0.2
	21 Sep 2018 23:00	Point Fortin	Trinidad and Tobago	0.2
	21 Sep 2018 23:15	Morne Diablo	Trinidad and Tobago	0.2
	21 Sep 2018 20:45	Hackney	Guyana	0.2
	21 Sep 2018 20:45	Marlborough	Guyana	0.2
	21 Sep 2018 20:15	Unare	Venezuela	0.2
	21 Sep 2018 20:45	La Linea	Venezuela	0.2
	22 Sep 2018 01:30	Corriverton	Suriname	0.2
	22 Sep 2018 01:30	Nieuw Nickerie	Suriname	0.2
	25 Sep 2018 01:00	Mision San Francisco de Guayo	Venezuela	0.2
	25 Sep 2018 01:00	La Esperanza	Venezuela	0.2
	25 Sep 2018 01:00	Jotajana	Venezuela	0.2
	21 Sep 2018 23:45	La Lune	Trinidad and Tobago	0.2
	21 Sep 2018 21:30	Lower Manzanilla	Trinidad and Tobago	0.2
	21 Sep 2018 21:30	Lower Fishing Pond	Trinidad and Tobago	0.2
	21 Sep 2018 21:30	Saint Joseph	Trinidad and Tobago	0.2
	22 Sep 2018 01:45	Puerto Escondido	Venezuela	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 19:00	Remire	French Guiana	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 19:00	Montjoly	French Guiana	0.1
	21 Sep 2018 23:45	Palencho	Venezuela	0.1
	25 Sep 2018 01:15	Guiria	Venezuela	0.1
	25 Sep 2018 01:15	Puerto de Hierro	Venezuela	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 01:30	Brighton	Guyana	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 01:30	Goldspie	Guyana	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 01:30	Number Forty-six	Guyana	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 01:30	Leeds	Guyana	0.1
	21 Sep 2018 16:00	Soburojo	Venezuela	0.1
	23 Sep 2018 20:00	West End Village	Anguilla	0.1
	23 Sep 2018 20:00	Lowlands	Netherlands Antilles	0.1
	23 Sep 2018 20:00	Sandy Ground	Guadeloupe	0.1
	23 Sep 2018 20:00	Marigot	Guadeloupe	0.1
	23 Sep 2018 20:00	Blowing Point	Anguilla	0.1
	23 Sep 2018 20:00	Koolbaai	Netherlands Antilles	0.1
	23 Sep 2018 20:00	Concordia	Guadeloupe	0.1
	23 Sep 2018 20:00	St Louis	Guadeloupe	0.1
	23 Sep 2018 20:00	The Valley	Anguilla	0.1
	23 Sep 2018 20:00	Fort Amsterdam	Netherlands Antilles	0.1
	23 Sep 2018 20:00	Dutch Cul de Sac	Netherlands Antilles	0.1
	23 Sep 2018 20:00	Grand Case	Guadeloupe	0.1
	23 Sep 2018 20:00	Colombier	Guadeloupe	0.1
	23 Sep 2018 20:00	Philipsburg	Netherlands Antilles	0.1
	23 Sep 2018 20:00	Orleans	Guadeloupe	0.1
	23 Sep 2018 20:00	Point Blanche	Netherlands Antilles	0.1
	23 Sep 2018 20:00	Anse Marcel	Guadeloupe	0.1
	23 Sep 2018 20:00	French Cul de Sac	Guadeloupe	0.1
	23 Sep 2018 20:00	Green Cay	Guadeloupe	0.1
	21 Sep 2018 21:30	Salibea	Trinidad and Tobago	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 19:00	Roche Brigandin	French Guiana	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 19:00	Sinnamary	French Guiana	0.1
	21 Sep 2018 21:30	Saint Margaret	Trinidad and Tobago	0.1
	21 Sep 2018 15:00	Matelot	Trinidad and Tobago	0.1
	21 Sep 2018 15:00	Grande Riviere	Trinidad and Tobago	0.1
	21 Sep 2018 15:00	Rampanalgas	Trinidad and Tobago	0.1
	21 Sep 2018 15:00	Redhead	Trinidad and Tobago	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 01:30	Rosehall	Guyana	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 01:30	Tarlogie Farm	Guyana	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 00:30	Fyrish	Guyana	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 00:15	Burnside	Suriname	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 00:30	Fort Wellington	Guyana	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 00:00	Weldaad	Guyana	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 00:00	Number Forty	Guyana	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 00:00	Totness	Suriname	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 00:00	Hamilton	Suriname	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 19:15	Trou Poisson	French Guiana	0.1
	26 Sep 2018 00:45	Capure	Venezuela	0.1
	21 Sep 2018 23:45	Belfield	Guyana	0.1
	21 Sep 2018 23:45	Enmore	Guyana	0.1
	21 Sep 2018 23:45	Helena	Guyana	0.1
	21 Sep 2018 15:00	Guayaguayare	Trinidad and Tobago	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 19:00	Kourou	French Guiana	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.