Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for ELEVEN-18 Off-shore from 22 Sep 2018 03:00 UTC to 23 Sep 2018 15:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for ELEVEN-18

Off-shore

24 Sep 2018 06 UTC

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to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ELEVEN-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	81 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.3 m (22 Sep 13:30 UTC)
Vulnerability	--

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
HWRF Current	81 km/h	0.3 m	n.a.	0.5
HWRF Overall	81 km/h	0.3 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

81 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 24 Sep 2018 06:00 UTC (Overall situation)

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5
1	22 Sep 2018 00:00	65	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	22 Sep 2018 06:00	81	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	22 Sep 2018 12:00	72	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	22 Sep 2018 18:00	75	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	23 Sep 2018 00:00	76	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	23 Sep 2018 06:00	76	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	23 Sep 2018 12:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	23 Sep 2018 18:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	24 Sep 2018 00:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	24 Sep 2018 06:00	76	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 24 Sep 2018 06:00 UTC (Overall situation)

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000
1	22 Sep 2018 00:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	22 Sep 2018 06:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	22 Sep 2018 12:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	22 Sep 2018 18:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	23 Sep 2018 00:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	23 Sep 2018 06:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	23 Sep 2018 12:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	23 Sep 2018 18:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	24 Sep 2018 00:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	24 Sep 2018 06:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.3m in Carupano, Venezuela. This height is estimated for 22 Sep 2018 13:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 24 Sep 2018 06:00 UTC (Overall situation)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	22 Sep 2018 13:30	Carupano	Venezuela	0.3
	22 Sep 2018 13:30	Puerto Santo	Venezuela	0.3
	22 Sep 2018 13:30	Rio Caribe	Venezuela	0.3
	22 Sep 2018 13:30	Agua Fria	Venezuela	0.3
	22 Sep 2018 13:30	San Juan de las Galdonas	Venezuela	0.2
	22 Sep 2018 23:45	Mision San Francisco de Guayo	Venezuela	0.2
	22 Sep 2018 23:45	La Esperanza	Venezuela	0.2
	22 Sep 2018 23:45	Jotajana	Venezuela	0.2
	22 Sep 2018 13:15	San Juan	Venezuela	0.2
	22 Sep 2018 13:30	Unare	Venezuela	0.2
	22 Sep 2018 16:45	Fullarton	Trinidad and Tobago	0.2
	22 Sep 2018 16:45	Coromandel Settlement	Trinidad and Tobago	0.2
	22 Sep 2018 16:45	Chatham	Trinidad and Tobago	0.2
	22 Sep 2018 16:45	San Francique	Trinidad and Tobago	0.2
	22 Sep 2018 16:45	Los Bajos	Trinidad and Tobago	0.2
	22 Sep 2018 16:45	Irois	Trinidad and Tobago	0.2
	22 Sep 2018 16:45	Point Fortin	Trinidad and Tobago	0.2
	22 Sep 2018 05:30	Corriverton	Suriname	0.2
	22 Sep 2018 05:30	Nieuw Nickerie	Suriname	0.2
	22 Sep 2018 20:45	La Linea	Venezuela	0.2
	22 Sep 2018 04:15	Hackney	Guyana	0.2
	22 Sep 2018 04:15	Marlborough	Guyana	0.2
	22 Sep 2018 18:15	Puerto Escondido	Venezuela	0.2
	22 Sep 2018 16:30	Morne Diablo	Trinidad and Tobago	0.2
	22 Sep 2018 04:30	Brighton	Guyana	0.2
	22 Sep 2018 04:30	Goldspie	Guyana	0.2
	22 Sep 2018 04:30	Number Forty-six	Guyana	0.2
	22 Sep 2018 04:30	Leeds	Guyana	0.2
	22 Sep 2018 04:15	Belfield	Guyana	0.2
	22 Sep 2018 04:15	Enmore	Guyana	0.2
	22 Sep 2018 04:15	Helena	Guyana	0.2
	22 Sep 2018 04:30	Rosehall	Guyana	0.2
	22 Sep 2018 04:30	Tarlogie Farm	Guyana	0.2
	22 Sep 2018 04:30	Palencho	Venezuela	0.2
	22 Sep 2018 04:45	Weldaad	Guyana	0.2
	22 Sep 2018 04:45	Number Forty	Guyana	0.2
	22 Sep 2018 04:15	Fort Wellington	Guyana	0.2
	22 Sep 2018 03:45	Soburojo	Venezuela	0.2
	22 Sep 2018 04:15	Fyrish	Guyana	0.2
	22 Sep 2018 09:30	Lower Manzanilla	Trinidad and Tobago	0.2
	22 Sep 2018 09:30	Lower Fishing Pond	Trinidad and Tobago	0.2
	22 Sep 2018 09:30	Saint Joseph	Trinidad and Tobago	0.2
	22 Sep 2018 04:30	La Lune	Trinidad and Tobago	0.2
	22 Sep 2018 04:30	Burnside	Suriname	0.2
	22 Sep 2018 04:30	Totness	Suriname	0.2
	22 Sep 2018 04:30	Hamilton	Suriname	0.2
	22 Sep 2018 06:45	Irapa	Venezuela	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 06:45	Soro	Venezuela	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 05:00	Organabo	French Guiana	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 04:00	Anna Regina	Guyana	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 04:00	Hampton Court	Guyana	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 03:00	Matelot	Trinidad and Tobago	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 03:00	Grande Riviere	Trinidad and Tobago	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 03:00	Salibea	Trinidad and Tobago	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 03:00	Rampanalgas	Trinidad and Tobago	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 03:00	Redhead	Trinidad and Tobago	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 19:00	Parry Lands	Trinidad and Tobago	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 19:00	Plaisance	Trinidad and Tobago	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 19:00	California	Trinidad and Tobago	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 19:00	San Fernando	Trinidad and Tobago	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 19:00	Hermitage	Trinidad and Tobago	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 18:45	Carapichaima	Trinidad and Tobago	0.1
	23 Sep 2018 01:15	Remire	French Guiana	0.1
	23 Sep 2018 01:15	Montjoly	French Guiana	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 04:30	Fleche	French Guiana	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 04:30	Mamaribo	French Guiana	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 19:00	La Retraite	Trinidad and Tobago	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 19:00	Dibe	Trinidad and Tobago	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 19:00	Port-of-Spain	Trinidad and Tobago	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 19:00	Cacandee Settlement	Trinidad and Tobago	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 04:15	Bellevue	French Guiana	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 08:00	Puerto de Hierro	Venezuela	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 02:45	Saint Margaret	Trinidad and Tobago	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 03:45	Guayaguayare	Trinidad and Tobago	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 19:00	Coolie Block	Trinidad and Tobago	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 19:00	La Pastora	Trinidad and Tobago	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 03:45	Iracoubo	French Guiana	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 04:30	Trou Poisson	French Guiana	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 04:30	Roche Brigandin	French Guiana	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 04:30	Sinnamary	French Guiana	0.1
	23 Sep 2018 09:00	West End Village	Anguilla	0.1
	23 Sep 2018 09:00	Lowlands	Netherlands Antilles	0.1
	23 Sep 2018 09:00	Sandy Ground	Guadeloupe	0.1
	23 Sep 2018 09:00	Marigot	Guadeloupe	0.1
	23 Sep 2018 09:00	Blowing Point	Anguilla	0.1
	23 Sep 2018 09:00	Koolbaai	Netherlands Antilles	0.1
	23 Sep 2018 09:00	Concordia	Guadeloupe	0.1
	23 Sep 2018 09:00	St Louis	Guadeloupe	0.1
	23 Sep 2018 09:00	The Valley	Anguilla	0.1
	23 Sep 2018 09:00	Fort Amsterdam	Netherlands Antilles	0.1
	23 Sep 2018 09:00	Dutch Cul de Sac	Netherlands Antilles	0.1
	23 Sep 2018 09:00	Grand Case	Guadeloupe	0.1
	23 Sep 2018 09:00	Colombier	Guadeloupe	0.1
	23 Sep 2018 09:00	Philipsburg	Netherlands Antilles	0.1
	23 Sep 2018 09:00	Orleans	Guadeloupe	0.1
	23 Sep 2018 09:00	Point Blanche	Netherlands Antilles	0.1
	23 Sep 2018 09:00	Anse Marcel	Guadeloupe	0.1
	23 Sep 2018 09:00	French Cul de Sac	Guadeloupe	0.1
	23 Sep 2018 09:00	Green Cay	Guadeloupe	0.1
	23 Sep 2018 02:45	Baie-Mahault	Guadeloupe	0.1
	23 Sep 2018 02:45	Pointe-a-Pitre	Guadeloupe	0.1
	23 Sep 2018 02:45	Port-Louis	Guadeloupe	0.1
	23 Sep 2018 02:45	Saint-Jacques	Guadeloupe	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 19:45	Guiria	Venezuela	0.1
	23 Sep 2018 06:15	John Hughes	Antigua and Barbuda	0.1
	23 Sep 2018 06:15	Boons Bay	Antigua and Barbuda	0.1
	23 Sep 2018 06:15	Cedar Grove	Antigua and Barbuda	0.1
	23 Sep 2018 06:15	Saint Johnston Village	Antigua and Barbuda	0.1
	23 Sep 2018 06:15	Potters Village	Antigua and Barbuda	0.1
	23 Sep 2018 06:15	Osbourn	Antigua and Barbuda	0.1
	23 Sep 2018 06:15	Barnes Hill	Antigua and Barbuda	0.1
	23 Sep 2018 06:15	Falmouth Harbour	Antigua and Barbuda	0.1
	23 Sep 2018 06:15	Cobbs Cross	Antigua and Barbuda	0.1
	23 Sep 2018 06:15	English Harbour	Antigua and Barbuda	0.1
	23 Sep 2018 06:15	Pares	Antigua and Barbuda	0.1
	23 Sep 2018 06:15	Betty's Hope	Antigua and Barbuda	0.1
	23 Sep 2018 06:15	Newfield	Antigua and Barbuda	0.1
	23 Sep 2018 06:15	Willikies	Antigua and Barbuda	0.1
	23 Sep 2018 06:15	Half Moon Bay	Antigua and Barbuda	0.1
	23 Sep 2018 01:30	Caussade	French Guiana	0.1
	23 Sep 2018 05:00	Saint George's	Grenada	0.1
	23 Sep 2018 05:00	The Lance	Grenada	0.1
	23 Sep 2018 05:00	Prickley Bay	Grenada	0.1
	23 Sep 2018 05:00	Victoria	Grenada	0.1
	23 Sep 2018 05:00	Thebaide	Grenada	0.1
	23 Sep 2018 05:00	Grenville	Grenada	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.