Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for ELEVEN-18 Off-shore from 22 Sep 2018 03:00 UTC to 23 Sep 2018 15:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for ELEVEN-18

Off-shore

24 Sep 2018 18 UTC

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Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ELEVEN-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	105 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.2 m (22 Sep 18:15 UTC)
Vulnerability	--

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	105 km/h	0.2 m	n.a.	0.5
GFS Overall	105 km/h	0.2 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

105 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 24 Sep 2018 18:00 UTC (Overall situation)

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5
1	22 Sep 2018 00:00	41	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	22 Sep 2018 06:00	46	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	22 Sep 2018 12:00	55	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	22 Sep 2018 18:00	63	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	23 Sep 2018 00:00	66	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	23 Sep 2018 06:00	91	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	23 Sep 2018 12:00	105	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	23 Sep 2018 18:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	24 Sep 2018 00:00	72	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	24 Sep 2018 06:00	64	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	24 Sep 2018 12:00	65	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	24 Sep 2018 18:00	62	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 24 Sep 2018 18:00 UTC (Overall situation)

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000
1	22 Sep 2018 00:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	22 Sep 2018 06:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	22 Sep 2018 12:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	22 Sep 2018 18:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	23 Sep 2018 00:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	23 Sep 2018 06:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	23 Sep 2018 12:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	23 Sep 2018 18:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	24 Sep 2018 00:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	24 Sep 2018 06:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	24 Sep 2018 12:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	24 Sep 2018 18:00	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.2m in Carupano, Venezuela. This height is estimated for 22 Sep 2018 18:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 24 Sep 2018 18:00 UTC (Overall situation)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	22 Sep 2018 18:15	Carupano	Venezuela	0.2
	22 Sep 2018 18:15	Puerto Santo	Venezuela	0.2
	22 Sep 2018 18:15	Rio Caribe	Venezuela	0.2
	23 Sep 2018 00:15	Mision San Francisco de Guayo	Venezuela	0.2
	23 Sep 2018 00:15	La Esperanza	Venezuela	0.2
	23 Sep 2018 00:15	Jotajana	Venezuela	0.2
	22 Sep 2018 18:45	Agua Fria	Venezuela	0.2
	27 Sep 2018 01:30	Irapa	Venezuela	0.2
	27 Sep 2018 01:30	Soro	Venezuela	0.2
	22 Sep 2018 17:00	Fullarton	Trinidad and Tobago	0.2
	22 Sep 2018 17:00	Coromandel Settlement	Trinidad and Tobago	0.2
	22 Sep 2018 17:00	Chatham	Trinidad and Tobago	0.2
	22 Sep 2018 17:00	San Francique	Trinidad and Tobago	0.2
	22 Sep 2018 17:00	Los Bajos	Trinidad and Tobago	0.2
	22 Sep 2018 17:00	Irois	Trinidad and Tobago	0.2
	22 Sep 2018 17:00	Point Fortin	Trinidad and Tobago	0.2
	22 Sep 2018 18:45	San Juan de las Galdonas	Venezuela	0.2
	22 Sep 2018 05:30	Corriverton	Suriname	0.2
	22 Sep 2018 05:30	Nieuw Nickerie	Suriname	0.2
	22 Sep 2018 17:30	Morne Diablo	Trinidad and Tobago	0.2
	22 Sep 2018 18:45	San Juan	Venezuela	0.2
	22 Sep 2018 09:30	Lower Manzanilla	Trinidad and Tobago	0.2
	22 Sep 2018 09:30	Lower Fishing Pond	Trinidad and Tobago	0.2
	22 Sep 2018 09:30	Saint Joseph	Trinidad and Tobago	0.2
	22 Sep 2018 04:15	Hackney	Guyana	0.2
	22 Sep 2018 04:15	Marlborough	Guyana	0.2
	22 Sep 2018 08:45	La Linea	Venezuela	0.2
	22 Sep 2018 04:30	Palencho	Venezuela	0.2
	22 Sep 2018 04:30	Belfield	Guyana	0.2
	22 Sep 2018 04:30	Enmore	Guyana	0.2
	22 Sep 2018 04:45	Fort Wellington	Guyana	0.2
	22 Sep 2018 18:30	Unare	Venezuela	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 04:45	Brighton	Guyana	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 04:45	Goldspie	Guyana	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 04:45	Number Forty-six	Guyana	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 04:45	Leeds	Guyana	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 04:15	Rosehall	Guyana	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 04:15	Tarlogie Farm	Guyana	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 04:00	Helena	Guyana	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 17:30	La Lune	Trinidad and Tobago	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 04:30	Weldaad	Guyana	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 04:30	Number Forty	Guyana	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 04:15	Fyrish	Guyana	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 03:45	Soburojo	Venezuela	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 08:30	Puerto Escondido	Venezuela	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 04:30	Burnside	Suriname	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 04:30	Totness	Suriname	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 04:30	Hamilton	Suriname	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 09:30	Salibea	Trinidad and Tobago	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 09:15	Saint Margaret	Trinidad and Tobago	0.1
	27 Sep 2018 01:15	Guiria	Venezuela	0.1
	27 Sep 2018 01:15	Puerto de Hierro	Venezuela	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 03:45	Anna Regina	Guyana	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 03:45	Hampton Court	Guyana	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 03:00	Matelot	Trinidad and Tobago	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 03:00	Grande Riviere	Trinidad and Tobago	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 03:00	Rampanalgas	Trinidad and Tobago	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 03:00	Redhead	Trinidad and Tobago	0.1
	23 Sep 2018 01:15	Remire	French Guiana	0.1
	23 Sep 2018 01:15	Montjoly	French Guiana	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 05:00	Organabo	French Guiana	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 18:45	Parry Lands	Trinidad and Tobago	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 18:45	Plaisance	Trinidad and Tobago	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 18:45	California	Trinidad and Tobago	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 18:45	San Fernando	Trinidad and Tobago	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 18:45	Carapichaima	Trinidad and Tobago	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 18:45	Hermitage	Trinidad and Tobago	0.1
	22 Sep 2018 03:30	Guayaguayare	Trinidad and Tobago	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.