Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for BARBARA-19
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone BARBARA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries United States, Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 202 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.7 m (06 Jul 06:00 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 202 km/h 0.7 m n.a. 0.5
GFS Overall 230 km/h 0.8 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 03 Jul 2019 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormUnited States, Mexico3,633
+
United States26 
Mexico3,607 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 30 Jun 2019 12:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 30 Jun 2019 18:00 162 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 01 Jul 2019 00:00 158 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 01 Jul 2019 06:00 180 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 01 Jul 2019 12:00 176 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 01 Jul 2019 18:00 176 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 02 Jul 2019 00:00 176 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 02 Jul 2019 06:00 187 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 02 Jul 2019 12:00 205 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 02 Jul 2019 18:00 220 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 03 Jul 2019 00:00 230 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 03 Jul 2019 06:00 220 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 03 Jul 2019 12:00 202 -
- - - - - United States, Mexico
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h

Rainfall

-1 mm

Up to 4 thousand can be affected rain lower than 100mm





Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 03 Jul 2019 12:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 30 Jun 2019 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 2 30 Jun 2019 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 3 01 Jul 2019 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 4 01 Jul 2019 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 5 01 Jul 2019 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 6 01 Jul 2019 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 7 02 Jul 2019 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 8 02 Jul 2019 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 9 02 Jul 2019 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 10 02 Jul 2019 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 11 03 Jul 2019 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 12 03 Jul 2019 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 13 03 Jul 2019 12:00 - - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.7 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.7m in Puertecitos, Mexico. This height is estimated for 06 Jul 2019 06:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 03 Jul 2019 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
06 Jul 2019 06:00 Puertecitos Mexico  0.7
06 Jul 2019 05:45 Molino Mexico  0.7
06 Jul 2019 05:45 Molino Lacy Mexico  0.7
06 Jul 2019 05:45 Puerto Libertad Mexico  0.6
06 Jul 2019 05:30 El Desemboque Mexico  0.6
06 Jul 2019 05:30 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.6
06 Jul 2019 05:30 Tecomate Mexico  0.6
06 Jul 2019 05:30 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.5
04 Jul 2019 13:00 Aguaje Mexico  0.5
06 Jul 2019 03:30 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.4
06 Jul 2019 03:30 San Rafael Mexico  0.4
04 Jul 2019 18:45 San Bruno Mexico  0.4
04 Jul 2019 18:45 Mulege Mexico  0.4
04 Jul 2019 19:15 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.4
06 Jul 2019 03:45 San Jose Mexico  0.3
06 Jul 2019 03:45 Atanacio Mexico  0.3
06 Jul 2019 03:45 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.3
04 Jul 2019 19:00 Guasimas Mexico  0.3
04 Jul 2019 18:45 Los Burros Mexico  0.3
06 Jul 2019 03:30 Tastiota Mexico  0.3
04 Jul 2019 18:45 San Ignacio Mexico  0.3
04 Jul 2019 18:45 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.3
06 Jul 2019 04:30 El Barril Mexico  0.3
06 Jul 2019 03:45 Borabampo Mexico  0.3
06 Jul 2019 03:15 Empalme Mexico  0.3
06 Jul 2019 03:45 Guaymas Mexico  0.3
06 Jul 2019 03:30 San Carlos Mexico  0.3
06 Jul 2019 03:45 Los Dolores Mexico  0.3
04 Jul 2019 18:45 Topolobampo Mexico  0.3
04 Jul 2019 18:45 Cachoana Mexico  0.3
06 Jul 2019 03:30 Liliba Mexico  0.3
06 Jul 2019 03:45 Datilito Mexico  0.3
06 Jul 2019 03:45 La Paz Mexico  0.3
06 Jul 2019 03:45 Rosario Mexico  0.3
04 Jul 2019 18:45 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.3
06 Jul 2019 03:45 Las Bocas Mexico  0.3
06 Jul 2019 03:45 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.3
04 Jul 2019 19:00 Loreto Mexico  0.3
04 Jul 2019 19:00 Ligui Mexico  0.3
04 Jul 2019 19:00 Tripui Mexico  0.3
06 Jul 2019 03:45 San Cosme Mexico  0.3
06 Jul 2019 03:45 Santa Marta Mexico  0.3
06 Jul 2019 03:30 San Juanico Mexico  0.3
06 Jul 2019 03:30 San Bruno Mexico  0.3
04 Jul 2019 04:00 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.3
06 Jul 2019 03:15 El Aquajito Mexico  0.2
04 Jul 2019 18:00 Novillero Mexico  0.2
04 Jul 2019 18:00 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
04 Jul 2019 18:00 Cuamecate Mexico  0.2
04 Jul 2019 18:30 Bahia de Tortugas Mexico  0.2
04 Jul 2019 18:45 Tambobiche Mexico  0.2
04 Jul 2019 05:00 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.2
05 Jul 2019 08:30 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.2
04 Jul 2019 03:45 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.2
04 Jul 2019 04:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
04 Jul 2019 04:15 La Ventana Mexico  0.2
04 Jul 2019 04:15 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.2
04 Jul 2019 18:00 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.2
05 Jul 2019 08:15 El Castillo Mexico  0.2
04 Jul 2019 04:00 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
04 Jul 2019 04:00 Buenaventura Mexico  0.2
04 Jul 2019 04:15 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.2
04 Jul 2019 03:45 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
04 Jul 2019 03:45 El Nuevo Mexico  0.2
04 Jul 2019 03:45 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.2
05 Jul 2019 08:15 San Blas Mexico  0.2
05 Jul 2019 08:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
04 Jul 2019 04:15 Altata Mexico  0.2
04 Jul 2019 04:45 San Francisco Mexico  0.2
04 Jul 2019 04:45 Monteon Mexico  0.2
04 Jul 2019 04:45 La Lima Mexico  0.2
04 Jul 2019 19:00 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.2
04 Jul 2019 19:00 El Guatamota Mexico  0.2
05 Jul 2019 02:15 La Florida Mexico  0.2
05 Jul 2019 02:15 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.2
04 Jul 2019 04:15 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.2
05 Jul 2019 08:15 La Boca Mexico  0.2
04 Jul 2019 06:15 Cedros Mexico  0.2
04 Jul 2019 18:30 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.2
04 Jul 2019 00:00 Queretaro Mexico  0.2
04 Jul 2019 03:45 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.2
04 Jul 2019 18:30 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
04 Jul 2019 04:15 La Trinadad Mexico  0.2
04 Jul 2019 04:00 Perihuete Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 04:00 Dimas Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 04:15 Las Palmas Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 04:15 La Ribera Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 04:15 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 04:15 Punta Arena Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 04:15 Los Tesos Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 19:30 Punta Mita Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 19:30 Cruz de Juanacaxtle Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 04:00 Marmol Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 18:45 Florida Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 18:45 Mazatlan Mexico  0.1
05 Jul 2019 23:30 Joluta Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 04:30 Barron Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 04:00 La Palmita Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 04:00 Caimanero Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 04:00 Jarilla Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 04:15 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.1
05 Jul 2019 23:00 Mauricio Gutierrez Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 04:15 La Puerta Mexico  0.1
05 Jul 2019 02:00 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.1
05 Jul 2019 02:00 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 04:15 Los Frailes Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 04:15 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.1
05 Jul 2019 23:00 El Marques Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 04:15 Estrecho Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 04:15 Santiago Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 04:15 Manzanillo Mexico  0.1
03 Jul 2019 13:15 Las Trojitas Mexico  0.1
03 Jul 2019 13:15 Calla de Campos Mexico  0.1
03 Jul 2019 13:15 Chula Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 18:45 El Rosario Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 18:15 El Tomale Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 18:15 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 18:15 Cunano Mexico  0.1
05 Jul 2019 23:30 Lagunillas Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 04:15 La Fortuna Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 18:30 Quinones Mexico  0.1
05 Jul 2019 23:15 Acapulco Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 19:00 Santa Marie Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 03:45 Las Pinas Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 03:45 Playa Azul Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 03:45 Melchor Ocampo Mexico  0.1
05 Jul 2019 23:30 Zihuatanejo Mexico  0.1
05 Jul 2019 23:30 Barrio Nuevo Mexico  0.1
05 Jul 2019 23:15 El Papayo Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 05:45 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.1
05 Jul 2019 02:45 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 17:45 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.1
05 Jul 2019 23:15 Nuxco Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 04:30 Coyuquillas Mexico  0.1
05 Jul 2019 23:30 Calvario Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 04:15 San Jose del Cabo Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 18:45 Bahia Asuncion Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 04:15 El Tule Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 17:45 Santa Catarina Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 04:45 Todos Santos Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 04:30 El Ciruelo Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 04:30 Cuyutlan Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 04:30 El Real Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 03:15 Chupadero Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 04:15 San Lucas Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 04:15 Maruata Mexico  0.1