Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for BARBARA-19
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone BARBARA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 176 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.6 m (03 Jul 18:15 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 176 km/h 0.6 m n.a. 0.5
GFS Overall 230 km/h 0.8 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 01 Jul 2019 18:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMexico09 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 30 Jun 2019 12:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 30 Jun 2019 18:00 162 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 01 Jul 2019 00:00 158 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 01 Jul 2019 06:00 180 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 01 Jul 2019 12:00 176 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 01 Jul 2019 18:00 176 -
- - - - - Mexico
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h

Rainfall

-1 mm

Up to Few people can be affected rain lower than 100mm





Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 01 Jul 2019 18:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 30 Jun 2019 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 2 30 Jun 2019 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 3 01 Jul 2019 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 4 01 Jul 2019 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 5 01 Jul 2019 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 6 01 Jul 2019 18:00 - - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.6 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.6m in Puertecitos, Mexico. This height is estimated for 03 Jul 2019 18:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 01 Jul 2019 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
03 Jul 2019 18:15 Puertecitos Mexico  0.6
03 Jul 2019 18:00 Molino Mexico  0.6
03 Jul 2019 18:00 Molino Lacy Mexico  0.6
03 Jul 2019 18:00 Puerto Libertad Mexico  0.6
02 Jul 2019 18:15 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.5
02 Jul 2019 08:15 Aguaje Mexico  0.5
02 Jul 2019 18:15 Tecomate Mexico  0.5
03 Jul 2019 18:00 El Desemboque Mexico  0.5
04 Jul 2019 18:00 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.4
03 Jul 2019 18:30 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.4
04 Jul 2019 18:00 San Rafael Mexico  0.4
04 Jul 2019 18:00 San Jose Mexico  0.4
04 Jul 2019 18:00 Atanacio Mexico  0.4
04 Jul 2019 18:00 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.4
04 Jul 2019 18:00 Guasimas Mexico  0.4
04 Jul 2019 05:45 Los Burros Mexico  0.4
04 Jul 2019 18:00 San Bruno Mexico  0.3
04 Jul 2019 18:00 Mulege Mexico  0.3
04 Jul 2019 18:00 Guaymas Mexico  0.3
04 Jul 2019 18:00 Empalme Mexico  0.3
04 Jul 2019 18:00 Tastiota Mexico  0.3
04 Jul 2019 18:00 El Barril Mexico  0.3
04 Jul 2019 18:00 San Carlos Mexico  0.3
04 Jul 2019 18:00 Los Dolores Mexico  0.3
04 Jul 2019 18:00 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.3
04 Jul 2019 18:00 Borabampo Mexico  0.3
04 Jul 2019 18:00 San Ignacio Mexico  0.3
04 Jul 2019 18:00 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.3
02 Jul 2019 07:00 Datilito Mexico  0.3
02 Jul 2019 07:00 La Paz Mexico  0.3
02 Jul 2019 07:00 Rosario Mexico  0.3
04 Jul 2019 18:00 Liliba Mexico  0.3
04 Jul 2019 18:00 Las Bocas Mexico  0.3
04 Jul 2019 18:00 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.3
02 Jul 2019 07:15 Loreto Mexico  0.3
02 Jul 2019 07:15 Ligui Mexico  0.3
02 Jul 2019 07:15 Tripui Mexico  0.3
04 Jul 2019 18:00 San Juanico Mexico  0.3
03 Jul 2019 07:45 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.3
04 Jul 2019 18:00 San Bruno Mexico  0.3
02 Jul 2019 07:00 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.3
04 Jul 2019 18:00 San Cosme Mexico  0.3
01 Jul 2019 18:15 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.3
04 Jul 2019 18:00 El Aquajito Mexico  0.3
02 Jul 2019 15:45 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.3
04 Jul 2019 18:00 Santa Marta Mexico  0.3
04 Jul 2019 05:00 Topolobampo Mexico  0.3
04 Jul 2019 05:00 Cachoana Mexico  0.3
04 Jul 2019 18:00 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.3
04 Jul 2019 18:00 Tambobiche Mexico  0.3
03 Jul 2019 07:00 Bahia de Tortugas Mexico  0.3
02 Jul 2019 00:30 San Francisco Mexico  0.2
02 Jul 2019 00:30 Monteon Mexico  0.2
02 Jul 2019 00:30 La Lima Mexico  0.2
01 Jul 2019 18:00 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
01 Jul 2019 18:00 Cuamecate Mexico  0.2
01 Jul 2019 18:00 Novillero Mexico  0.2
04 Jul 2019 18:00 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.2
04 Jul 2019 05:15 El Castillo Mexico  0.2
04 Jul 2019 05:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
04 Jul 2019 05:00 La Ventana Mexico  0.2
04 Jul 2019 05:00 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.2
04 Jul 2019 04:30 Altata Mexico  0.2
03 Jul 2019 06:30 La Florida Mexico  0.2
03 Jul 2019 06:30 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.2
02 Jul 2019 21:15 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
02 Jul 2019 21:15 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.2
02 Jul 2019 21:15 Buenaventura Mexico  0.2
02 Jul 2019 06:00 Queretaro Mexico  0.2
02 Jul 2019 22:45 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.2
02 Jul 2019 22:45 El Guatamota Mexico  0.2
04 Jul 2019 04:15 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.2
04 Jul 2019 05:00 La Boca Mexico  0.2
04 Jul 2019 04:30 San Blas Mexico  0.2
04 Jul 2019 04:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
04 Jul 2019 05:00 La Trinadad Mexico  0.2
04 Jul 2019 04:30 Perihuete Mexico  0.2
04 Jul 2019 04:30 Dimas Mexico  0.2
03 Jul 2019 06:30 Cedros Mexico  0.2
04 Jul 2019 04:30 Las Palmas Mexico  0.2
04 Jul 2019 04:45 La Ribera Mexico  0.2
04 Jul 2019 04:45 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.2
04 Jul 2019 04:45 Punta Arena Mexico  0.2
04 Jul 2019 04:45 Los Tesos Mexico  0.2
02 Jul 2019 21:30 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.2
02 Jul 2019 07:30 Santa Marie Mexico  0.2
01 Jul 2019 18:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
02 Jul 2019 05:30 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.2
04 Jul 2019 04:30 Los Frailes Mexico  0.2
03 Jul 2019 06:45 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.2
04 Jul 2019 04:15 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.2
02 Jul 2019 21:45 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.2
02 Jul 2019 08:15 El Nuevo Mexico  0.2
04 Jul 2019 04:30 La Fortuna Mexico  0.2
02 Jul 2019 21:15 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
02 Jul 2019 21:15 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.2
04 Jul 2019 04:30 Caimanero Mexico  0.2
04 Jul 2019 04:30 Jarilla Mexico  0.2
04 Jul 2019 04:30 La Puerta Mexico  0.2
04 Jul 2019 04:30 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.2
04 Jul 2019 04:00 Punta Mita Mexico  0.2
04 Jul 2019 04:00 Cruz de Juanacaxtle Mexico  0.2
04 Jul 2019 04:00 Marmol Mexico  0.2
04 Jul 2019 04:15 Florida Mexico  0.2
04 Jul 2019 04:15 Mazatlan Mexico  0.2
02 Jul 2019 05:30 Quinones Mexico  0.2
04 Jul 2019 04:30 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 04:15 Barron Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 04:00 La Palmita Mexico  0.1
02 Jul 2019 07:30 El Rosario Mexico  0.1
02 Jul 2019 07:00 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.1
02 Jul 2019 07:00 El Tomale Mexico  0.1
02 Jul 2019 07:00 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.1
02 Jul 2019 07:00 Cunano Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 03:45 Las Pinas Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 03:45 Playa Azul Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 03:45 Melchor Ocampo Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 03:30 Coyuquillas Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 04:15 San Jose del Cabo Mexico  0.1
02 Jul 2019 22:00 Santa Catarina Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 03:30 Calvario Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 03:30 Nuxco Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 03:45 Zihuatanejo Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 03:30 Joluta Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 03:45 Las Trojitas Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 03:45 Calla de Campos Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 03:45 Chula Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 03:30 El Papayo Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 04:00 Barrio Nuevo Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 04:00 Lagunillas Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 04:15 El Tule Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 03:45 El Marques Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 03:45 Pizota Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 03:45 Maruata Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 03:30 Acapulco Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 03:45 Puerto Vallarta Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 03:30 Estrecho Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 03:30 Santiago Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 03:30 Manzanillo Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 03:45 Bucerias Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 03:45 Corrales Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 04:30 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 04:30 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 03:45 Aquiles Serdan Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 04:15 San Lucas Mexico  0.1
02 Jul 2019 22:30 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 03:45 Cuyutlan Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 03:45 El Real Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 03:45 Chupadero Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 03:45 San Telmo Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 03:45 Mauricio Gutierrez Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 03:45 Cayaca Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 05:45 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 03:45 Apisa Mexico  0.1
02 Jul 2019 07:15 Todos Santos Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 03:45 Ipala Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 03:45 El Ciruelo Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 03:30 Barra de Navidad Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 03:30 Chamela Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 03:30 Cuitzmala Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 03:30 La Manzanilla Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 03:45 Chola Mexico  0.1
02 Jul 2019 22:45 Playa Oceano Pacifico Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 04:15 Pozo de Cota Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 04:45 El Pescadero Mexico  0.1
02 Jul 2019 14:45 Bahia Asuncion Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 04:15 La Tinaja Mexico  0.1