Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for BARBARA-19 Off-shore from 30 Jun 2019 15:00 UTC to 06 Jul 2019 12:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for BARBARA-19

Off-shore

01 Jul 2019 12 UTC

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Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone BARBARA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	158 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.6 m (04 Jul 04:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	--

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
ECMWF Current	158 km/h	0.6 m	n.a.	0.5
ECMWF Overall	61 km/h	0.8 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 01 Jul 2019 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5
1	30 Jun 2019 00:00	112	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	30 Jun 2019 12:00	148	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	01 Jul 2019 00:00	151	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	01 Jul 2019 12:00	158	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

-1 mm

Up to 40 thousand can be affected rain lower than 100mm

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 01 Jul 2019 12:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
50-100 mm	Mexico	36,221

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	30 Jun 2019 00:00	380	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	30 Jun 2019 12:00	405	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	01 Jul 2019 00:00	283	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	01 Jul 2019 12:00	466	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.6 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.6m in Puertecitos, Mexico. This height is estimated for 04 Jul 2019 04:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 01 Jul 2019 12:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	04 Jul 2019 04:00	Puertecitos	Mexico	0.6
	04 Jul 2019 04:15	Molino	Mexico	0.6
	04 Jul 2019 04:00	Molino Lacy	Mexico	0.6
	02 Jul 2019 04:30	Aguaje	Mexico	0.6
	04 Jul 2019 04:00	Puerto Libertad	Mexico	0.5
	04 Jul 2019 06:15	Bahia Kino	Mexico	0.5
	04 Jul 2019 04:30	Cabo Tepoca	Mexico	0.5
	04 Jul 2019 04:30	Tecomate	Mexico	0.5
	04 Jul 2019 06:45	San Jose	Mexico	0.5
	04 Jul 2019 06:45	Atanacio	Mexico	0.5
	04 Jul 2019 06:45	El Paredoncito	Mexico	0.5
	04 Jul 2019 06:30	Guasimas	Mexico	0.5
	04 Jul 2019 06:15	San Rafael	Mexico	0.4
	04 Jul 2019 04:00	El Desemboque	Mexico	0.4
	04 Jul 2019 06:15	Tastiota	Mexico	0.4
	04 Jul 2019 06:15	San Bruno	Mexico	0.4
	04 Jul 2019 06:15	Mulege	Mexico	0.4
	04 Jul 2019 06:30	Guaymas	Mexico	0.4
	04 Jul 2019 06:30	Empalme	Mexico	0.4
	04 Jul 2019 06:30	Los Burros	Mexico	0.4
	04 Jul 2019 06:15	Borabampo	Mexico	0.4
	04 Jul 2019 06:30	Las Bocas	Mexico	0.4
	04 Jul 2019 06:30	Camahuiroa	Mexico	0.4
	04 Jul 2019 06:30	San Carlos	Mexico	0.4
	04 Jul 2019 06:15	Los Dolores	Mexico	0.4
	04 Jul 2019 06:15	El Barril	Mexico	0.4
	04 Jul 2019 06:15	Santa Rosalia	Mexico	0.4
	04 Jul 2019 06:15	San Ignacio	Mexico	0.4
	04 Jul 2019 06:15	Santa Rosalia	Mexico	0.4
	04 Jul 2019 06:30	Liliba	Mexico	0.4
	04 Jul 2019 04:45	Agua de las Flores	Mexico	0.4
	04 Jul 2019 06:45	Tripui	Mexico	0.4
	04 Jul 2019 06:45	San Cosme	Mexico	0.4
	04 Jul 2019 06:30	San Juanico	Mexico	0.4
	04 Jul 2019 06:30	San Bruno	Mexico	0.4
	04 Jul 2019 06:30	Loreto	Mexico	0.4
	04 Jul 2019 06:30	Ligui	Mexico	0.4
	04 Jul 2019 06:30	Santa Marta	Mexico	0.3
	04 Jul 2019 06:45	Topolobampo	Mexico	0.3
	04 Jul 2019 06:45	Cachoana	Mexico	0.3
	04 Jul 2019 06:30	El Aquajito	Mexico	0.3
	01 Jul 2019 18:45	Datilito	Mexico	0.3
	01 Jul 2019 18:45	La Paz	Mexico	0.3
	01 Jul 2019 18:45	Rosario	Mexico	0.3
	04 Jul 2019 07:00	Puerto Venustiano Carranza	Mexico	0.3
	04 Jul 2019 06:45	Tambobiche	Mexico	0.3
	04 Jul 2019 06:45	San Juan de la Costa	Mexico	0.3
	04 Jul 2019 06:45	Boca del Rio	Mexico	0.3
	04 Jul 2019 06:30	La Playa Colorada	Mexico	0.3
	01 Jul 2019 19:45	Las Arenitas	Mexico	0.3
	04 Jul 2019 06:30	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.3
	04 Jul 2019 06:15	La Ventana	Mexico	0.2
	04 Jul 2019 06:30	Ensenada de los Muertos	Mexico	0.2
	04 Jul 2019 06:30	El Castillo	Mexico	0.2
	04 Jul 2019 06:30	Altata	Mexico	0.2
	04 Jul 2019 06:30	La Trinadad	Mexico	0.2
	02 Jul 2019 11:15	Bahia de Tortugas	Mexico	0.2
	04 Jul 2019 06:15	Desembarcadero de Miller	Mexico	0.2
	02 Jul 2019 10:15	San Juanico	Mexico	0.2
	02 Jul 2019 10:15	Boca del Melgoita	Mexico	0.2
	02 Jul 2019 10:15	Buenaventura	Mexico	0.2
	04 Jul 2019 06:30	Las Palmas	Mexico	0.2
	04 Jul 2019 06:30	La Ribera	Mexico	0.2
	04 Jul 2019 06:30	Punta Colorada	Mexico	0.2
	04 Jul 2019 06:30	Punta Arena	Mexico	0.2
	04 Jul 2019 06:30	Los Tesos	Mexico	0.2
	02 Jul 2019 10:00	Agua del Coyote	Mexico	0.2
	04 Jul 2019 06:30	La Boca	Mexico	0.2
	02 Jul 2019 09:45	Las Tinajas	Mexico	0.2
	03 Jul 2019 17:00	San Francisco	Mexico	0.2
	03 Jul 2019 17:00	Monteon	Mexico	0.2
	03 Jul 2019 17:00	La Lima	Mexico	0.2
	04 Jul 2019 05:45	Perihuete	Mexico	0.2
	04 Jul 2019 05:45	Dimas	Mexico	0.2
	04 Jul 2019 07:00	Puerto Cortes	Mexico	0.2
	04 Jul 2019 07:00	El Guatamota	Mexico	0.2
	03 Jul 2019 02:30	San Blas	Mexico	0.2
	03 Jul 2019 02:30	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.2
	02 Jul 2019 10:45	Cedros	Mexico	0.2
	04 Jul 2019 06:30	Los Frailes	Mexico	0.2
	01 Jul 2019 19:45	Cuantla	Mexico	0.2
	01 Jul 2019 19:45	Cuamecate	Mexico	0.2
	01 Jul 2019 19:45	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.2
	01 Jul 2019 13:00	El Nuevo	Mexico	0.2
	01 Jul 2019 13:00	Toro Mocho	Mexico	0.2
	04 Jul 2019 06:00	La Fortuna	Mexico	0.2
	04 Jul 2019 06:00	El Cardoncito	Mexico	0.2
	03 Jul 2019 15:30	Novillero	Mexico	0.2
	01 Jul 2019 19:00	Puerto Charley	Mexico	0.2
	01 Jul 2019 19:30	Adolfo Lopez Mateos	Mexico	0.2
	01 Jul 2019 19:30	Queretaro	Mexico	0.2
	04 Jul 2019 06:30	El Rosario	Mexico	0.2
	02 Jul 2019 19:15	Puerto Magdalena	Mexico	0.2
	01 Jul 2019 19:00	Quinones	Mexico	0.2
	02 Jul 2019 09:45	Santo Domingo	Mexico	0.2
	04 Jul 2019 06:30	La Florida	Mexico	0.2
	04 Jul 2019 06:15	La Palmita	Mexico	0.2
	04 Jul 2019 06:15	Caimanero	Mexico	0.2
	03 Jul 2019 16:00	Mauricio Gutierrez	Mexico	0.2
	04 Jul 2019 05:30	Isla de Palmito del Verde	Mexico	0.2
	03 Jul 2019 16:15	Estrecho	Mexico	0.2
	03 Jul 2019 16:15	Santiago	Mexico	0.2
	03 Jul 2019 16:15	Manzanillo	Mexico	0.2
	03 Jul 2019 16:15	Coyuquillas	Mexico	0.2
	03 Jul 2019 16:30	Las Pinas	Mexico	0.2
	03 Jul 2019 16:30	Playa Azul	Mexico	0.2
	03 Jul 2019 16:30	San Carlos	Mexico	0.1
	03 Jul 2019 16:15	Zihuatanejo	Mexico	0.1
	04 Jul 2019 06:00	Jarilla	Mexico	0.1
	04 Jul 2019 06:00	La Puerta	Mexico	0.1
	03 Jul 2019 16:30	Chula	Mexico	0.1
	04 Jul 2019 06:30	Mazatlan	Mexico	0.1
	04 Jul 2019 06:30	Barron	Mexico	0.1
	04 Jul 2019 05:45	Madero Amarillo	Mexico	0.1
	04 Jul 2019 06:15	Marmol	Mexico	0.1
	03 Jul 2019 16:30	Melchor Ocampo	Mexico	0.1
	04 Jul 2019 06:30	Florida	Mexico	0.1
	02 Jul 2019 10:45	Isla Natividad	Mexico	0.1
	03 Jul 2019 16:15	Calvario	Mexico	0.1
	03 Jul 2019 16:15	Lagunillas	Mexico	0.1
	03 Jul 2019 16:15	Barrio Nuevo	Mexico	0.1
	03 Jul 2019 16:15	Nuxco	Mexico	0.1
	01 Jul 2019 18:45	Rancho Datilari	Mexico	0.1
	03 Jul 2019 16:30	El Real	Mexico	0.1
	03 Jul 2019 16:30	Chupadero	Mexico	0.1
	03 Jul 2019 16:30	Apisa	Mexico	0.1
	03 Jul 2019 16:15	Joluta	Mexico	0.1
	03 Jul 2019 16:15	El Ciruelo	Mexico	0.1
	03 Jul 2019 16:15	Cuyutlan	Mexico	0.1
	01 Jul 2019 20:00	Santa Marie	Mexico	0.1
	03 Jul 2019 16:30	Calla de Campos	Mexico	0.1
	03 Jul 2019 16:15	Acapulco	Mexico	0.1
	03 Jul 2019 16:15	El Marques	Mexico	0.1
	03 Jul 2019 16:30	Las Trojitas	Mexico	0.1
	04 Jul 2019 06:00	Punta Mita	Mexico	0.1
	03 Jul 2019 00:45	El Papayo	Mexico	0.1
	03 Jul 2019 16:30	Cayaca	Mexico	0.1
	03 Jul 2019 16:15	Cuitzmala	Mexico	0.1
	03 Jul 2019 16:15	La Manzanilla	Mexico	0.1
	01 Jul 2019 18:45	Rancho Conejo	Mexico	0.1
	03 Jul 2019 16:45	Chamela	Mexico	0.1
	03 Jul 2019 16:30	San Telmo	Mexico	0.1
	03 Jul 2019 16:00	Los Inocentes	Mexico	0.1
	04 Jul 2019 06:00	Playa Oceano Pacifico	Mexico	0.1
	03 Jul 2019 16:30	Bucerias	Mexico	0.1
	04 Jul 2019 07:00	Estero la Bocana	Mexico	0.1
	03 Jul 2019 16:15	Barra de Navidad	Mexico	0.1
	03 Jul 2019 16:30	Maruata	Mexico	0.1
	04 Jul 2019 06:15	San Jose del Cabo	Mexico	0.1
	03 Jul 2019 16:15	Chola	Mexico	0.1
	03 Jul 2019 17:15	Cruz de Juanacaxtle	Mexico	0.1
	04 Jul 2019 06:15	Santa Catarina	Mexico	0.1
	03 Jul 2019 16:45	Aquiles Serdan	Mexico	0.1
	03 Jul 2019 16:45	Ipala	Mexico	0.1
	03 Jul 2019 17:00	Puerto Vallarta	Mexico	0.1
	01 Jul 2019 19:15	Cunano	Mexico	0.1
	02 Jul 2019 09:00	El Tomale	Mexico	0.1
	02 Jul 2019 09:00	Agua Fresca	Mexico	0.1
	03 Jul 2019 17:00	Pizota	Mexico	0.1
	04 Jul 2019 06:45	San Lucas	Mexico	0.1
	04 Jul 2019 06:45	El Tule	Mexico	0.1
	03 Jul 2019 16:15	Corrales	Mexico	0.1
	04 Jul 2019 06:00	Bahia Asuncion	Mexico	0.1
	03 Jul 2019 15:45	Todos Santos	Mexico	0.1
	04 Jul 2019 05:45	El Pescadero	Mexico	0.1
	04 Jul 2019 06:15	La Tinaja	Mexico	0.1
	04 Jul 2019 06:15	Pozo de Cota	Mexico	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.