Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for BARBARA-19
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone BARBARA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Mexico, United States
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 230 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.8 m (06 Jul 18:15 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 230 km/h 0.8 m n.a. 0.5
GFS Overall 230 km/h 0.8 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 05 Jul 2019 18:00 UTC (Overall situation)
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMexico, United States72
+
Mexico16 
United States56 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 30 Jun 2019 12:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 30 Jun 2019 18:00 162 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 01 Jul 2019 00:00 158 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 01 Jul 2019 06:00 180 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 01 Jul 2019 12:00 176 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 01 Jul 2019 18:00 176 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 02 Jul 2019 00:00 176 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 02 Jul 2019 06:00 187 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 02 Jul 2019 12:00 205 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 02 Jul 2019 18:00 220 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 03 Jul 2019 00:00 230 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 03 Jul 2019 06:00 220 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 03 Jul 2019 12:00 202 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 03 Jul 2019 18:00 180 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 04 Jul 2019 00:00 187 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 04 Jul 2019 06:00 166 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 04 Jul 2019 12:00 158 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 04 Jul 2019 18:00 151 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 05 Jul 2019 00:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 20 05 Jul 2019 06:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 21 05 Jul 2019 12:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 22 05 Jul 2019 18:00 94 -
- - - - - Mexico
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h

Rainfall

-1 mm

Up to Few people can be affected rain lower than 100mm





Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 05 Jul 2019 18:00 UTC (Overall situation)

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 30 Jun 2019 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 2 30 Jun 2019 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 3 01 Jul 2019 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 4 01 Jul 2019 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 5 01 Jul 2019 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 6 01 Jul 2019 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 7 02 Jul 2019 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 8 02 Jul 2019 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 9 02 Jul 2019 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 10 02 Jul 2019 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 11 03 Jul 2019 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 12 03 Jul 2019 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 13 03 Jul 2019 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 14 03 Jul 2019 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 15 04 Jul 2019 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 16 04 Jul 2019 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 17 04 Jul 2019 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 18 04 Jul 2019 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 19 05 Jul 2019 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 20 05 Jul 2019 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 21 05 Jul 2019 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 22 05 Jul 2019 18:00 - - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.8 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.8m in Puertecitos, Mexico. This height is estimated for 06 Jul 2019 18:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 05 Jul 2019 18:00 UTC (Overall situation)
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
06 Jul 2019 18:15 Puertecitos Mexico  0.8
06 Jul 2019 18:00 Molino Mexico  0.8
06 Jul 2019 18:00 Molino Lacy Mexico  0.8
06 Jul 2019 18:00 Puerto Libertad Mexico  0.7
06 Jul 2019 18:00 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.7
06 Jul 2019 18:00 Tecomate Mexico  0.7
30 Jun 2019 21:45 Aguaje Mexico  0.7
06 Jul 2019 18:00 El Desemboque Mexico  0.6
06 Jul 2019 17:45 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.5
08 Jul 2019 03:45 San Jose Mexico  0.5
08 Jul 2019 03:45 Atanacio Mexico  0.5
08 Jul 2019 03:45 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.5
08 Jul 2019 16:45 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.5
08 Jul 2019 04:00 Guasimas Mexico  0.5
08 Jul 2019 04:00 San Rafael Mexico  0.5
08 Jul 2019 03:45 San Bruno Mexico  0.4
08 Jul 2019 03:45 Mulege Mexico  0.4
08 Jul 2019 03:45 Tastiota Mexico  0.4
08 Jul 2019 03:45 Guaymas Mexico  0.4
08 Jul 2019 03:45 Empalme Mexico  0.4
08 Jul 2019 03:45 San Carlos Mexico  0.4
08 Jul 2019 03:45 Borabampo Mexico  0.4
08 Jul 2019 16:30 El Barril Mexico  0.4
08 Jul 2019 03:30 Las Bocas Mexico  0.4
08 Jul 2019 03:45 Liliba Mexico  0.4
08 Jul 2019 03:45 San Ignacio Mexico  0.4
08 Jul 2019 03:45 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.4
08 Jul 2019 03:30 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.4
08 Jul 2019 03:45 Los Dolores Mexico  0.4
08 Jul 2019 16:30 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.4
08 Jul 2019 04:00 Los Burros Mexico  0.4
07 Jul 2019 14:00 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.4
08 Jul 2019 03:45 Topolobampo Mexico  0.4
08 Jul 2019 03:45 Cachoana Mexico  0.4
08 Jul 2019 03:45 San Juanico Mexico  0.4
08 Jul 2019 03:45 San Bruno Mexico  0.4
08 Jul 2019 04:00 Loreto Mexico  0.4
08 Jul 2019 04:00 Ligui Mexico  0.4
08 Jul 2019 04:00 Tripui Mexico  0.4
08 Jul 2019 03:45 San Cosme Mexico  0.4
01 Jul 2019 17:30 Datilito Mexico  0.3
01 Jul 2019 17:30 La Paz Mexico  0.3
01 Jul 2019 17:30 Rosario Mexico  0.3
08 Jul 2019 03:30 El Aquajito Mexico  0.3
08 Jul 2019 04:00 Santa Marta Mexico  0.3
03 Jul 2019 07:00 Bahia de Tortugas Mexico  0.3
08 Jul 2019 04:00 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.3
30 Jun 2019 19:45 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.3
08 Jul 2019 03:30 Tambobiche Mexico  0.3
01 Jul 2019 03:30 San Juanico Mexico  0.3
01 Jul 2019 03:30 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.3
01 Jul 2019 03:30 Buenaventura Mexico  0.3
01 Jul 2019 18:15 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.3
01 Jul 2019 03:15 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.3
08 Jul 2019 03:00 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.3
08 Jul 2019 03:15 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.3
08 Jul 2019 03:30 Altata Mexico  0.3
08 Jul 2019 03:30 El Castillo Mexico  0.3
01 Jul 2019 17:45 Cuantla Mexico  0.3
01 Jul 2019 17:45 Cuamecate Mexico  0.3
01 Jul 2019 17:15 San Blas Mexico  0.2
01 Jul 2019 17:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
05 Jul 2019 08:45 Novillero Mexico  0.2
01 Jul 2019 04:15 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.2
01 Jul 2019 04:15 El Guatamota Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2019 03:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
01 Jul 2019 17:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
01 Jul 2019 17:30 El Nuevo Mexico  0.2
01 Jul 2019 17:30 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.2
02 Jul 2019 00:30 San Francisco Mexico  0.2
02 Jul 2019 00:30 Monteon Mexico  0.2
02 Jul 2019 00:30 La Lima Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2019 03:15 La Ventana Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2019 03:15 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2019 13:45 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2019 03:45 La Boca Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2019 13:45 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2019 13:45 Queretaro Mexico  0.2
05 Jul 2019 02:15 La Florida Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2019 12:30 Cedros Mexico  0.2
04 Jul 2019 20:00 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.2
03 Jul 2019 06:30 Santa Marie Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2019 03:15 La Trinadad Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2019 03:15 Las Palmas Mexico  0.2
04 Jul 2019 19:15 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2019 03:15 La Ribera Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2019 03:15 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2019 03:15 Punta Arena Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2019 03:15 Los Tesos Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2019 12:30 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.2
01 Jul 2019 17:30 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.2
01 Jul 2019 03:00 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2019 13:45 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.2
03 Jul 2019 06:30 El Rosario Mexico  0.2
03 Jul 2019 00:00 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2019 03:15 Los Frailes Mexico  0.2
01 Jul 2019 11:00 Jarilla Mexico  0.2
01 Jul 2019 11:00 La Puerta Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2019 02:45 Marmol Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2019 02:45 Florida Mexico  0.2
01 Jul 2019 11:00 Caimanero Mexico  0.2
04 Jul 2019 19:30 Punta Mita Mexico  0.2
04 Jul 2019 19:30 Cruz de Juanacaxtle Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2019 03:30 Perihuete Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2019 03:30 Dimas Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2019 06:00 Playa Oceano Pacifico Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2019 03:15 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2019 03:15 La Fortuna Mexico  0.2
02 Jul 2019 05:30 Quinones Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2019 02:45 La Palmita Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2019 17:30 Mazatlan Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 18:15 El Tomale Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 18:15 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 18:15 Cunano Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2019 13:15 Santa Catarina Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2019 06:00 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 18:30 Barron Mexico  0.1
01 Jul 2019 11:15 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.1
01 Jul 2019 11:15 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 18:00 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 04:15 Estrecho Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 04:15 Santiago Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 04:15 Manzanillo Mexico  0.1
03 Jul 2019 13:15 Las Trojitas Mexico  0.1
03 Jul 2019 13:15 Calla de Campos Mexico  0.1
03 Jul 2019 13:15 Chula Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 04:15 Acapulco Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 04:15 El Marques Mexico  0.1
01 Jul 2019 17:30 Todos Santos Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 04:30 El Papayo Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2019 06:00 Bahia Asuncion Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 03:45 Las Pinas Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 03:45 Playa Azul Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 03:45 Melchor Ocampo Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2019 02:15 Mauricio Gutierrez Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 04:30 Puerto Vallarta Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2019 02:15 Zihuatanejo Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2019 03:15 San Jose del Cabo Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2019 02:15 Joluta Mexico  0.1
01 Jul 2019 17:15 El Pescadero Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2019 02:00 Nuxco Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2019 02:15 Coyuquillas Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2019 02:15 Calvario Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2019 02:15 Lagunillas Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2019 02:15 Barrio Nuevo Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 03:30 Pizota Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2019 03:15 El Tule Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2019 02:00 Chola Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2019 02:00 Chamela Mexico  0.1
01 Jul 2019 17:15 La Tinaja Mexico  0.1
02 Jul 2019 08:00 San Lucas Mexico  0.1
01 Jul 2019 17:15 Pozo de Cota Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 04:30 El Ciruelo Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 04:30 Cuyutlan Mexico  0.1
04 Jul 2019 04:30 El Real Mexico  0.1