Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for RAYMOND-19
in Mexico
18 Nov 2019 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone RAYMOND-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 65 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (18 Nov 03:45 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 65 km/h 0.2 m 538 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 65 km/h 0.2 m 538 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

65 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 18 Nov 2019 00:00 UTC (Overall situation)

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 14 Nov 2019 12:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 15 Nov 2019 00:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 15 Nov 2019 12:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 16 Nov 2019 00:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 16 Nov 2019 12:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 17 Nov 2019 00:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 17 Nov 2019 12:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 18 Nov 2019 00:00 58 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 18 Nov 2019 00:00 UTC (Overall situation)
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmMexico113,993 
50-100 mmMexico1,811,491 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 14 Nov 2019 12:00 193 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 15 Nov 2019 00:00 150 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 15 Nov 2019 12:00 273 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 4 16 Nov 2019 00:00 214 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 5 16 Nov 2019 12:00 231 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 17 Nov 2019 00:00 307 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 17 Nov 2019 12:00 309 Few people
- - - - Mexico
Blue 8 18 Nov 2019 00:00 521 4 thousand
- - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in San Bruno, Mexico. This height is estimated for 18 Nov 2019 03:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 18 Nov 2019 00:00 UTC (Overall situation)
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
18 Nov 2019 03:45 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
18 Nov 2019 03:45 Loreto Mexico  0.2
15 Nov 2019 21:00 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.2
15 Nov 2019 21:00 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.2
18 Nov 2019 03:30 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
18 Nov 2019 03:45 Cachoana Mexico  0.2
18 Nov 2019 03:15 Los Burros Mexico  0.2
18 Nov 2019 03:30 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
18 Nov 2019 03:45 Las Bocas Mexico  0.2
18 Nov 2019 03:30 Mulege Mexico  0.2
18 Nov 2019 03:30 Los Dolores Mexico  0.2
20 Nov 2019 10:30 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.2
18 Nov 2019 09:45 Datilito Mexico  0.2
18 Nov 2019 09:45 La Paz Mexico  0.2
18 Nov 2019 09:45 Rosario Mexico  0.2
18 Nov 2019 03:30 Ligui Mexico  0.2
18 Nov 2019 03:30 Tripui Mexico  0.2
18 Nov 2019 03:45 San Jose Mexico  0.2
18 Nov 2019 03:45 Atanacio Mexico  0.2
18 Nov 2019 03:45 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.2
18 Nov 2019 03:45 Borabampo Mexico  0.2
18 Nov 2019 03:15 San Cosme Mexico  0.2
18 Nov 2019 03:15 Santa Marta Mexico  0.2
18 Nov 2019 03:45 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
18 Nov 2019 03:30 San Ignacio Mexico  0.1
18 Nov 2019 03:30 El Aquajito Mexico  0.1
15 Nov 2019 19:00 Salinas Mexico  0.1
15 Nov 2019 19:00 Buen Pais Mexico  0.1
15 Nov 2019 19:00 Alvarado Mexico  0.1
15 Nov 2019 19:00 Conejo Mexico  0.1
18 Nov 2019 03:30 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.1
18 Nov 2019 03:30 Tambobiche Mexico  0.1
15 Nov 2019 21:30 Anton Lizardo Mexico  0.1
18 Nov 2019 06:15 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.1
18 Nov 2019 06:15 El Guatamota Mexico  0.1
17 Nov 2019 14:45 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
17 Nov 2019 14:45 La Ventana Mexico  0.1
20 Nov 2019 02:00 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.1
15 Nov 2019 01:00 Pesqueria Mexico  0.1
15 Nov 2019 01:00 San Dionisio del Mar Mexico  0.1
15 Nov 2019 01:00 San Francisco del Mar Mexico  0.1
15 Nov 2019 05:30 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
15 Nov 2019 05:30 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.1
15 Nov 2019 05:30 Buenaventura Mexico  0.1
18 Nov 2019 11:15 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.1
18 Nov 2019 11:15 Quinones Mexico  0.1
15 Nov 2019 01:15 Salina Cruz Mexico  0.1
15 Nov 2019 01:15 Lagarto Mexico  0.1
18 Nov 2019 10:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
18 Nov 2019 10:00 El Nuevo Mexico  0.1
18 Nov 2019 12:15 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.1
18 Nov 2019 12:15 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
18 Nov 2019 10:00 Topolobampo Mexico  0.1
18 Nov 2019 03:00 El Castillo Mexico  0.1
18 Nov 2019 09:30 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.1
17 Nov 2019 14:45 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.1
18 Nov 2019 13:00 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.1
15 Nov 2019 05:15 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.1
18 Nov 2019 11:00 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.1
18 Nov 2019 11:00 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.1
18 Nov 2019 11:00 El Tomale Mexico  0.1
17 Nov 2019 16:45 San Blas Mexico  0.1
17 Nov 2019 16:45 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
15 Nov 2019 17:00 Veracruz Mexico  0.1
18 Nov 2019 19:15 Bahia Asuncion Mexico  0.1
17 Nov 2019 15:15 Altata Mexico  0.1
17 Nov 2019 08:15 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.1
17 Nov 2019 08:15 Novillero Mexico  0.1
15 Nov 2019 21:30 Salmoral Mexico  0.1
20 Nov 2019 01:45 Playa Oceano Pacifico Mexico  0.1
15 Nov 2019 01:00 Costa Rica Mexico  0.1
16 Nov 2019 03:15 Cuantla Mexico  0.1