Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for HAROLD-20
in , Tonga, Fiji, Vanuatu

Impact

Tropical Cyclone HAROLD-20 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Vanuatu
Exposed population 70 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 112 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (03 Apr 19:15 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 112 km/h 0.2 m 195 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 317 km/h 0.6 m 1019 mm 2.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

317 km/h

Up to 140 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 03 Apr 2020 18:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 1Vanuatu70,221 
Tropical StormVanuatu135,779 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 02 Apr 2020 18:00 101 -
- - - - - Solomon Islands
GREEN 2 03 Apr 2020 00:00 83 -
- - - - - Solomon Islands
GREEN 3 03 Apr 2020 06:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 03 Apr 2020 12:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 03 Apr 2020 18:00 148 70 thousand
- - - - Vanuatu
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 03 Apr 2020 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmVanuatu886 
100-250 mmSolomon Islands, Vanuatu, Fiji222,912
+
Solomon Islands1,841 
Vanuatu220,729 
Fiji342 
50-100 mmSolomon Islands, Vanuatu, Fiji, Tonga, Niue736,581
+
Solomon Islands10,934 
Vanuatu41,717 
Fiji668,125 
Tonga15,442 
Niue363 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 02 Apr 2020 18:00 170 3 thousand
- - - - Papua New Guinea, Solomon Islands
Blue 2 03 Apr 2020 00:00 144 -
- - - - - Solomon Islands
Blue 3 03 Apr 2020 06:00 80 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 03 Apr 2020 12:00 138 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 03 Apr 2020 18:00 758 220 thousand
- - - Solomon Islands, Vanuatu, Fiji, Tonga, Niue




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Korosi, Fiji. This height is estimated for 03 Apr 2020 19:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 03 Apr 2020 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
03 Apr 2020 19:15 Korosi Fiji  0.2
03 Apr 2020 19:15 Korotasere Fiji  0.2
03 Apr 2020 19:15 Naweni Fiji  0.2
03 Apr 2020 19:15 Nakarambo Fiji  0.2
03 Apr 2020 19:15 Viani Fiji  0.2
03 Apr 2020 19:15 Ndrekeniwai Fiji  0.2
03 Apr 2020 22:45 Kouaoua New Caledonia  0.2
03 Apr 2020 22:45 Ouasse New Caledonia  0.2
03 Apr 2020 18:00 Zambanarungga Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 18:00 Vure Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 18:00 Boemboe Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 18:00 Rob Roy I Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 18:00 Jiku Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 18:00 Posarae Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 22:45 Houone New Caledonia  0.1
03 Apr 2020 22:45 Tiabet New Caledonia  0.1
03 Apr 2020 22:45 Poum-Plage New Caledonia  0.1
03 Apr 2020 22:45 Paola New Caledonia  0.1
03 Apr 2020 22:45 Vieux Tuho New Caledonia  0.1
03 Apr 2020 22:45 Touho New Caledonia  0.1
03 Apr 2020 22:45 Kokengone New Caledonia  0.1
03 Apr 2020 22:45 Saint-Denis New Caledonia  0.1
03 Apr 2020 22:45 Poindimie New Caledonia  0.1
03 Apr 2020 22:45 Bayes New Caledonia  0.1
03 Apr 2020 20:15 Barora Fa I Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 20:15 Kia Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 22:30 Ometteux New Caledonia  0.1
03 Apr 2020 19:45 Mbangasau Fiji  0.1
03 Apr 2020 19:45 Lao Fiji  0.1
03 Apr 2020 23:15 Poum New Caledonia  0.1
03 Apr 2020 23:15 Paagoumene New Caledonia  0.1
03 Apr 2020 23:15 Arama New Caledonia  0.1
03 Apr 2020 23:15 Pam New Caledonia  0.1
03 Apr 2020 22:30 Mamie New Caledonia  0.1
03 Apr 2020 22:30 Yate-Village New Caledonia  0.1
03 Apr 2020 22:30 Waho New Caledonia  0.1
03 Apr 2020 22:30 Goro New Caledonia  0.1
03 Apr 2020 22:45 Kaala-Gomen New Caledonia  0.1
03 Apr 2020 22:45 Ouaco New Caledonia  0.1
03 Apr 2020 19:00 Amapa Papua New Guinea  0.1
03 Apr 2020 19:00 Taki Papua New Guinea  0.1
03 Apr 2020 19:00 Olava Papua New Guinea  0.1
03 Apr 2020 22:30 Ouanache New Caledonia  0.1
03 Apr 2020 19:45 Malake Fiji  0.1
03 Apr 2020 19:45 Biagunu Fiji  0.1
03 Apr 2020 18:30 Suavanao Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 18:30 Zuzuao Point Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 22:45 Panane New Caledonia  0.1
03 Apr 2020 22:45 Mouane New Caledonia  0.1
03 Apr 2020 22:45 Ono New Caledonia  0.1
03 Apr 2020 22:45 Wala New Caledonia  0.1
03 Apr 2020 22:45 Bweo New Caledonia  0.1
03 Apr 2020 21:45 Ponerihouen New Caledonia  0.1
03 Apr 2020 21:45 Mou New Caledonia  0.1
03 Apr 2020 21:45 Moneo New Caledonia  0.1
03 Apr 2020 23:00 Ho New Caledonia  0.1
03 Apr 2020 23:00 Meomo New Caledonia  0.1
03 Apr 2020 23:00 Houailou New Caledonia  0.1
03 Apr 2020 23:00 Ouakaya New Caledonia  0.1
03 Apr 2020 23:00 Poro New Caledonia  0.1
03 Apr 2020 18:30 Veranaue Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 18:30 Saua Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 18:30 Dhadhaje Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 18:30 Tatamba Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 18:30 Sidu Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 18:30 Lokiha Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 18:30 Sepi Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 18:30 Vuluva Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 20:45 Torakina Papua New Guinea  0.1
03 Apr 2020 20:45 Koiaris Papua New Guinea  0.1
03 Apr 2020 18:15 Nayavutoka Fiji  0.1
03 Apr 2020 18:15 Korovou Fiji  0.1
03 Apr 2020 18:15 Lodoni Fiji  0.1
03 Apr 2020 18:15 Lawaki Fiji  0.1
03 Apr 2020 18:15 Naingani Fiji  0.1
03 Apr 2020 18:15 Navuti Fiji  0.1
03 Apr 2020 18:15 Nasaga Fiji  0.1
03 Apr 2020 18:15 Rukuruku Fiji  0.1
03 Apr 2020 22:30 Pairome New Caledonia  0.1
03 Apr 2020 21:15 Jaba Papua New Guinea  0.1
03 Apr 2020 18:45 Nailou Fiji  0.1
03 Apr 2020 18:45 Vangai Fiji  0.1
03 Apr 2020 18:45 Nawi Fiji  0.1
03 Apr 2020 18:45 Vunikura Fiji  0.1
03 Apr 2020 18:45 Napuka Fiji  0.1
03 Apr 2020 22:15 Thio New Caledonia  0.1
03 Apr 2020 22:15 Saint-Gabriel New Caledonia  0.1
03 Apr 2020 22:15 Saint Roch New Caledonia  0.1
03 Apr 2020 21:00 Ganongga Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 21:00 Emu Harbour Village Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 21:00 Mbagha I Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 21:00 Pienuna Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 21:00 Serulando Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 21:00 Lotiloti Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 21:00 Lajaka Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 21:00 Sambora Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 21:00 Barakoma Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 21:00 Biloa Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 21:00 Joroveto Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 21:00 Eleoteve Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 19:45 Namboutini Fiji  0.1
03 Apr 2020 19:15 Rakiraki Fiji  0.1
03 Apr 2020 19:15 Vaileka Fiji  0.1
03 Apr 2020 19:15 Nanukuloa Fiji  0.1
03 Apr 2020 19:15 Nasau Fiji  0.1
03 Apr 2020 21:15 Aitara Mission Papua New Guinea  0.1
03 Apr 2020 18:30 Fauro I Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 22:30 Koumac New Caledonia  0.1
03 Apr 2020 18:45 Siorovi Papua New Guinea  0.1
04 Apr 2020 00:00 East Pt Papua New Guinea  0.1
03 Apr 2020 19:15 Togowere Fiji  0.1
03 Apr 2020 21:45 Mouly New Caledonia  0.1
03 Apr 2020 21:45 Lekia New Caledonia  0.1
03 Apr 2020 21:45 Fayaoue New Caledonia  0.1
03 Apr 2020 21:45 Wadrilla New Caledonia  0.1
03 Apr 2020 21:45 Ognahu New Caledonia  0.1
03 Apr 2020 21:45 Wegnec St-Joseph New Caledonia  0.1
03 Apr 2020 21:45 Ognat New Caledonia  0.1
03 Apr 2020 22:45 Ngoye New Caledonia  0.1
03 Apr 2020 22:45 Petit-Borindi New Caledonia  0.1
03 Apr 2020 22:15 Canala New Caledonia  0.1
03 Apr 2020 22:15 Kuine New Caledonia  0.1
03 Apr 2020 22:15 Nakety New Caledonia  0.1
03 Apr 2020 18:30 Takataka Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 18:30 Ahia Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 20:30 Tutuva Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 20:30 Sopanitogha Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 20:30 Ambuavao Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 20:30 Ghorambau Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 20:30 Komuvadha Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 20:30 Ngalikomba Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 20:30 Komukea Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 20:30 Kulu Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 20:30 Mbokoaghau Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 20:30 Tambunimane Solomon Islands  0.1
03 Apr 2020 20:30 Mbelasara Solomon Islands  0.1