Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for HAROLD-20
in , Tonga, Fiji, Vanuatu

Impact

Tropical Cyclone HAROLD-20 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Vanuatu
Exposed population 50 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 144 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (04 Apr 04:15 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 144 km/h 0.2 m 227 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 317 km/h 0.6 m 1019 mm 2.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

317 km/h

Up to 50 thousand in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 04 Apr 2020 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 1Vanuatu46,622 
Tropical StormVanuatu138,020 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 02 Apr 2020 18:00 101 -
- - - - - Solomon Islands
GREEN 2 03 Apr 2020 00:00 83 -
- - - - - Solomon Islands
GREEN 3 03 Apr 2020 06:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 03 Apr 2020 12:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 03 Apr 2020 18:00 112 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 04 Apr 2020 00:00 155 50 thousand
- - - - Vanuatu
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 04 Apr 2020 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmVanuatu74,662 
100-250 mmSolomon Islands, Vanuatu, Fiji299,172
+
Solomon Islands1,597 
Vanuatu119,298 
Fiji178,277 
50-100 mmSolomon Islands, Vanuatu, Fiji, Tonga789,845
+
Solomon Islands215,334 
Vanuatu56,367 
Fiji502,733 
Tonga15,411 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 02 Apr 2020 18:00 170 3 thousand
- - - - Papua New Guinea, Solomon Islands
Blue 2 03 Apr 2020 00:00 144 -
- - - - - Solomon Islands
Blue 3 03 Apr 2020 06:00 80 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 03 Apr 2020 12:00 138 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 03 Apr 2020 18:00 195 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 04 Apr 2020 00:00 793 370 thousand
- - - Solomon Islands, Vanuatu, Fiji, Tonga




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Ho, New Caledonia. This height is estimated for 04 Apr 2020 04:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 04 Apr 2020 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
04 Apr 2020 04:15 Ho New Caledonia  0.2
04 Apr 2020 04:15 Meomo New Caledonia  0.2
04 Apr 2020 04:15 Houailou New Caledonia  0.2
04 Apr 2020 04:15 Ouakaya New Caledonia  0.2
04 Apr 2020 04:15 Poro New Caledonia  0.2
04 Apr 2020 04:15 Kouaoua New Caledonia  0.2
04 Apr 2020 04:00 Korosi Fiji  0.2
04 Apr 2020 04:00 Korotasere Fiji  0.2
04 Apr 2020 04:00 Naweni Fiji  0.2
04 Apr 2020 04:00 Nakarambo Fiji  0.2
04 Apr 2020 04:00 Viani Fiji  0.2
04 Apr 2020 04:00 Ndrekeniwai Fiji  0.2
04 Apr 2020 00:30 Torakina Papua New Guinea  0.2
04 Apr 2020 00:30 Koiaris Papua New Guinea  0.2
04 Apr 2020 05:15 Kamaleai Solomon Islands  0.2
04 Apr 2020 05:15 Moisuru Papua New Guinea  0.2
04 Apr 2020 05:15 East Pt Papua New Guinea  0.2
04 Apr 2020 05:15 Olava Papua New Guinea  0.2
04 Apr 2020 00:30 Jaba Papua New Guinea  0.2
04 Apr 2020 05:15 Fauro I Solomon Islands  0.2
04 Apr 2020 01:15 Barora Fa I Solomon Islands  0.2
04 Apr 2020 01:15 Kia Solomon Islands  0.2
04 Apr 2020 04:30 Mbangasau Fiji  0.2
04 Apr 2020 04:30 Lao Fiji  0.2
04 Apr 2020 00:30 Hovoro Solomon Islands  0.2
04 Apr 2020 04:30 Malake Fiji  0.2
04 Apr 2020 04:30 Biagunu Fiji  0.2
04 Apr 2020 05:15 Harapa Solomon Islands  0.1
04 Apr 2020 04:30 Namboutini Fiji  0.1
04 Apr 2020 03:15 Poullappoe Vanuatu  0.1
04 Apr 2020 03:15 Wunpuku Vanuatu  0.1
04 Apr 2020 03:15 Walpey Vanuatu  0.1
04 Apr 2020 03:15 Menogoro Vanuatu  0.1
04 Apr 2020 03:15 Hokua Vanuatu  0.1
04 Apr 2020 03:00 Souleisere Vanuatu  0.1
04 Apr 2020 03:00 Piapouria Vanuatu  0.1
04 Apr 2020 03:00 Mae Vanuatu  0.1
04 Apr 2020 03:00 Tourebiou Vanuatu  0.1
04 Apr 2020 03:00 Atsaritibi Vanuatu  0.1
04 Apr 2020 03:00 Robertsons Vanuatu  0.1
04 Apr 2020 03:00 Terou Vanuatu  0.1
04 Apr 2020 03:00 Worovok Vanuatu  0.1
04 Apr 2020 03:00 Ladhu Vanuatu  0.1
04 Apr 2020 03:00 Lavatavo Vanuatu  0.1
04 Apr 2020 03:00 Wora Vanuatu  0.1
04 Apr 2020 03:15 Lolominiou Vanuatu  0.1
04 Apr 2020 03:00 Veranaue Solomon Islands  0.1
04 Apr 2020 03:00 Saua Solomon Islands  0.1
04 Apr 2020 03:00 Dhadhaje Solomon Islands  0.1
04 Apr 2020 03:00 Tatamba Solomon Islands  0.1
04 Apr 2020 03:00 Sidu Solomon Islands  0.1
04 Apr 2020 03:00 Lokiha Solomon Islands  0.1
04 Apr 2020 03:00 Sepi Solomon Islands  0.1
04 Apr 2020 03:00 Vuluva Solomon Islands  0.1
04 Apr 2020 05:15 Ghaomai Solomon Islands  0.1
04 Apr 2020 05:15 Koliai Solomon Islands  0.1
04 Apr 2020 05:15 Harehare Solomon Islands  0.1
04 Apr 2020 05:15 Nila Solomon Islands  0.1
04 Apr 2020 04:45 Amapa Papua New Guinea  0.1
04 Apr 2020 04:45 Taki Papua New Guinea  0.1
04 Apr 2020 03:00 Takumuna Vanuatu  0.1
04 Apr 2020 00:45 Yandina Solomon Islands  0.1
04 Apr 2020 02:30 Zambanarungga Solomon Islands  0.1
04 Apr 2020 02:30 Vure Solomon Islands  0.1
04 Apr 2020 02:30 Boemboe Solomon Islands  0.1
04 Apr 2020 02:30 Rob Roy I Solomon Islands  0.1
04 Apr 2020 03:15 Nogugu Vanuatu  0.1
04 Apr 2020 05:00 Iakobone Vanuatu  0.1
04 Apr 2020 03:15 Papoulassemouli Vanuatu  0.1
04 Apr 2020 03:00 Hog Harbour Vanuatu  0.1
04 Apr 2020 03:15 Wonisule Vanuatu  0.1
04 Apr 2020 05:30 Sopanitogha Solomon Islands  0.1
04 Apr 2020 05:30 Ambuavao Solomon Islands  0.1
04 Apr 2020 05:30 Ghorambau Solomon Islands  0.1
04 Apr 2020 05:30 Komuvadha Solomon Islands  0.1
04 Apr 2020 05:30 Ngalikomba Solomon Islands  0.1
04 Apr 2020 05:30 Komukea Solomon Islands  0.1
04 Apr 2020 05:30 Kulu Solomon Islands  0.1
04 Apr 2020 05:30 Mbokoaghau Solomon Islands  0.1
04 Apr 2020 05:30 Tambunimane Solomon Islands  0.1
04 Apr 2020 05:30 Mbelasara Solomon Islands  0.1
04 Apr 2020 05:30 Vanuagobu Solomon Islands  0.1
04 Apr 2020 05:30 Aola Solomon Islands  0.1
04 Apr 2020 03:15 Vipaka Vanuatu  0.1
04 Apr 2020 03:30 Nailou Fiji  0.1
04 Apr 2020 03:30 Nawi Fiji  0.1
04 Apr 2020 03:30 Vunikura Fiji  0.1
04 Apr 2020 03:30 Napuka Fiji  0.1
04 Apr 2020 03:15 Vesalia Vanuatu  0.1
04 Apr 2020 04:00 Jiku Solomon Islands  0.1
04 Apr 2020 04:00 Posarae Solomon Islands  0.1
04 Apr 2020 03:00 Gavigamana Vanuatu  0.1
04 Apr 2020 03:15 Segond Vanuatu  0.1
04 Apr 2020 03:15 Luganville Vanuatu  0.1
04 Apr 2020 03:15 Saraotou Vanuatu  0.1
04 Apr 2020 03:15 Asavagas Vanuatu  0.1
04 Apr 2020 03:15 Palikoulo Vanuatu  0.1
04 Apr 2020 06:00 Seghe Solomon Islands  0.1
04 Apr 2020 06:00 Mbuinitusu Solomon Islands  0.1
04 Apr 2020 06:00 Batuna Solomon Islands  0.1
04 Apr 2020 03:00 Touho New Caledonia  0.1
04 Apr 2020 03:00 Kokengone New Caledonia  0.1
04 Apr 2020 03:00 Saint-Denis New Caledonia  0.1
04 Apr 2020 03:00 Poindimie New Caledonia  0.1
04 Apr 2020 03:00 Ometteux New Caledonia  0.1
04 Apr 2020 03:00 Bayes New Caledonia  0.1
04 Apr 2020 01:00 Kunji Solomon Islands  0.1
04 Apr 2020 01:00 Vona Vona I Solomon Islands  0.1
04 Apr 2020 01:00 Mbarasipo Solomon Islands  0.1
04 Apr 2020 01:00 Mbomboe Solomon Islands  0.1
04 Apr 2020 01:00 Sulimuni Solomon Islands  0.1
04 Apr 2020 03:00 Lowarhe Vanuatu  0.1
04 Apr 2020 03:00 Longtal Vanuatu  0.1
04 Apr 2020 03:00 Coulons Vanuatu  0.1
04 Apr 2020 03:30 Vangai Fiji  0.1
04 Apr 2020 05:30 Lumu Solomon Islands  0.1
04 Apr 2020 05:30 Sitaronda Solomon Islands  0.1
04 Apr 2020 05:30 Koetungi Solomon Islands  0.1
04 Apr 2020 05:30 Alavugu Solomon Islands  0.1
04 Apr 2020 05:30 Korai Solomon Islands  0.1
04 Apr 2020 05:30 Komunihara Solomon Islands  0.1
04 Apr 2020 05:30 Poinagobo Solomon Islands  0.1
04 Apr 2020 05:30 Makina Solomon Islands  0.1
04 Apr 2020 05:30 Ione Solomon Islands  0.1
04 Apr 2020 05:30 Hu'umarere Solomon Islands  0.1
04 Apr 2020 03:15 Tasmate Vanuatu  0.1
04 Apr 2020 00:45 Lungga Solomon Islands  0.1
04 Apr 2020 00:45 Tutuva Solomon Islands  0.1
04 Apr 2020 03:15 Pualapa Vanuatu  0.1
04 Apr 2020 01:00 Menakasapa Solomon Islands  0.1
04 Apr 2020 01:00 Canaan Solomon Islands  0.1
04 Apr 2020 01:00 Mbiula Solomon Islands  0.1
04 Apr 2020 04:15 Takataka Solomon Islands  0.1
04 Apr 2020 04:15 Ahia Solomon Islands  0.1
04 Apr 2020 04:45 Paola New Caledonia  0.1
04 Apr 2020 04:45 Vieux Tuho New Caledonia  0.1
04 Apr 2020 03:15 Togowere Fiji  0.1
04 Apr 2020 03:15 Rakiraki Fiji  0.1
04 Apr 2020 03:15 Vaileka Fiji  0.1
04 Apr 2020 03:15 Nanukuloa Fiji  0.1
04 Apr 2020 03:15 Wousi Vanuatu  0.1
04 Apr 2020 02:30 Lautoka Fiji  0.1
04 Apr 2020 04:00 Ouasse New Caledonia  0.1
04 Apr 2020 00:15 Aitara Mission Papua New Guinea  0.1
04 Apr 2020 04:45 Ouanache New Caledonia  0.1
04 Apr 2020 03:00 Tolab Vanuatu  0.1
04 Apr 2020 00:45 Ganongga Solomon Islands  0.1
04 Apr 2020 00:45 Emu Harbour Village Solomon Islands  0.1
04 Apr 2020 00:45 Mbagha I Solomon Islands  0.1
04 Apr 2020 00:45 Pienuna Solomon Islands  0.1
04 Apr 2020 00:45 Serulando Solomon Islands  0.1
04 Apr 2020 00:45 Lotiloti Solomon Islands  0.1
04 Apr 2020 00:45 Lajaka Solomon Islands  0.1
04 Apr 2020 00:45 Sambora Solomon Islands  0.1
04 Apr 2020 00:45 Barakoma Solomon Islands  0.1
04 Apr 2020 00:45 Biloa Solomon Islands  0.1
04 Apr 2020 00:45 Joroveto Solomon Islands  0.1
04 Apr 2020 00:45 Eleoteve Solomon Islands  0.1
04 Apr 2020 00:45 Poum New Caledonia  0.1
04 Apr 2020 00:45 Poum-Plage New Caledonia  0.1
04 Apr 2020 00:45 Paagoumene New Caledonia  0.1
04 Apr 2020 00:45 Arama New Caledonia  0.1
04 Apr 2020 00:45 Pam New Caledonia  0.1
04 Apr 2020 03:15 Wowo Vanuatu  0.1
04 Apr 2020 03:15 Laruru Vanuatu  0.1
04 Apr 2020 03:15 Vao Vanuatu  0.1
04 Apr 2020 03:15 Laravet Vanuatu  0.1
04 Apr 2020 03:15 Vinmavis Vanuatu  0.1
04 Apr 2020 03:15 Norsup Vanuatu  0.1
04 Apr 2020 03:15 Lakatoro Vanuatu  0.1
04 Apr 2020 03:15 Katbol Vanuatu  0.1
04 Apr 2020 03:15 Limap Vanuatu  0.1
04 Apr 2020 03:15 Roghumbo Vanuatu  0.1
04 Apr 2020 03:15 Rerep Vanuatu  0.1
04 Apr 2020 00:45 Kava Solomon Islands  0.1
04 Apr 2020 00:45 Loalonga Solomon Islands  0.1
04 Apr 2020 03:00 Mesabolo Vanuatu  0.1
04 Apr 2020 05:15 Nailanga Fiji  0.1
04 Apr 2020 05:15 Sorokoba Fiji  0.1
04 Apr 2020 05:15 Ba Fiji  0.1
04 Apr 2020 04:00 Navindamu Fiji  0.1
04 Apr 2020 04:00 Nagumu Fiji  0.1
04 Apr 2020 04:00 Nanduri Fiji  0.1
04 Apr 2020 04:00 Malapu Solomon Islands  0.1
04 Apr 2020 04:00 Tuo Solomon Islands  0.1
04 Apr 2020 04:00 Lomlom Solomon Islands  0.1
04 Apr 2020 04:00 Namania Solomon Islands  0.1
04 Apr 2020 04:00 Nuali Solomon Islands  0.1
04 Apr 2020 04:00 Lipe Solomon Islands  0.1
04 Apr 2020 03:15 Mae Vanuatu  0.1
04 Apr 2020 03:00 Levonu Vanuatu  0.1
04 Apr 2020 01:00 Kukudu Solomon Islands  0.1
04 Apr 2020 03:00 Lear Vanuatu  0.1
04 Apr 2020 04:15 Vatutandova Fiji  0.1
04 Apr 2020 04:15 Nasea Fiji  0.1
04 Apr 2020 03:15 Pek Vanuatu  0.1
04 Apr 2020 03:45 Vunivatu Fiji  0.1
04 Apr 2020 03:45 Navukembuli Fiji  0.1
04 Apr 2020 03:45 Naua Fiji  0.1
04 Apr 2020 03:45 Namukalau Fiji  0.1
04 Apr 2020 05:15 Kimage Solomon Islands  0.1
04 Apr 2020 05:15 Shortland I Solomon Islands  0.1
04 Apr 2020 05:15 Maleai Solomon Islands  0.1
04 Apr 2020 00:30 Kakambona Solomon Islands  0.1
04 Apr 2020 00:30 Honiara Solomon Islands  0.1
04 Apr 2020 01:00 Zongga Solomon Islands  0.1
04 Apr 2020 03:15 Crepeta Vanuatu  0.1
04 Apr 2020 04:15 Manikiriu Solomon Islands  0.1
04 Apr 2020 04:15 Olomburi Solomon Islands  0.1
04 Apr 2020 03:00 Walaha Vanuatu  0.1
04 Apr 2020 03:00 Duin Dui Vanuatu  0.1
04 Apr 2020 03:00 Jasmori Vanuatu  0.1
04 Apr 2020 03:00 Narovorovo Vanuatu  0.1
04 Apr 2020 03:30 Losoue Vanuatu  0.1
04 Apr 2020 03:30 Tasiriki Vanuatu  0.1
04 Apr 2020 03:00 Avira Vanuatu  0.1
04 Apr 2020 01:00 Manggo Solomon Islands  0.1
04 Apr 2020 01:00 Nggoraembara Solomon Islands  0.1
04 Apr 2020 02:00 Koroinasolo Fiji  0.1
04 Apr 2020 02:00 Savu Sau Fiji  0.1
04 Apr 2020 02:00 Navinggiri Fiji  0.1
04 Apr 2020 02:00 Yangganga Fiji  0.1
04 Apr 2020 02:00 Nawailevu Fiji  0.1
04 Apr 2020 02:00 Nasarowangga Fiji  0.1