Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for VONGFONG-20
in Philippines

Impact

Tropical Cyclone VONGFONG-20 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Philippines
Exposed population 6 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 58 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (11 May 21:45 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Philippines)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 58 km/h 0.2 m 161 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 263 km/h 0.8 m 476 mm 2.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

263 km/h

Up to 1.3 million can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 11 May 2020 18:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 1Philippines6,330 
Tropical StormPhilippines1,292,529 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 11 May 2020 18:00 148 6 thousand
- - - - Philippines
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 11 May 2020 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmPhilippines841,931 
50-100 mmChina, Philippines, Malaysia3,953,434
+
China282,445 
Philippines3,641,198 
Malaysia29,791 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 11 May 2020 18:00 429 840 thousand
- - - - China, Philippines, Malaysia




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Bago, Philippines. This height is estimated for 11 May 2020 21:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 11 May 2020 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
11 May 2020 21:45 Bago Philippines  0.2
11 May 2020 21:45 Pangi Philippines  0.2
11 May 2020 21:45 Pequeno Philippines  0.2
11 May 2020 21:45 Davao Philippines  0.2
11 May 2020 21:45 Kumonal Philippines  0.2
11 May 2020 21:45 Lasang Philippines  0.2
11 May 2020 21:45 Limao Philippines  0.2
11 May 2020 21:45 Panabo Philippines  0.2
11 May 2020 21:45 Basao Philippines  0.2
11 May 2020 21:45 Samal Philippines  0.2
11 May 2020 21:45 Tagbitanag Philippines  0.2
11 May 2020 21:45 Aumbay Philippines  0.2
11 May 2020 23:00 Kuninaka Japan  0.2
11 May 2020 23:00 Ichimasui Japan  0.2
11 May 2020 23:00 Karimata Japan  0.2
11 May 2020 23:00 Sugama Japan  0.2
11 May 2020 23:00 Hirara Japan  0.2
11 May 2020 23:00 Arasato Japan  0.2
11 May 2020 23:00 Bora Japan  0.2
11 May 2020 21:45 Pandasan Philippines  0.2
11 May 2020 21:45 Maco Philippines  0.2
11 May 2020 21:45 Tibagon Philippines  0.2
11 May 2020 21:45 Pantukan Philippines  0.2
11 May 2020 23:45 Chia-li-wan Taiwan  0.1
11 May 2020 23:45 Su-ao Taiwan  0.1
11 May 2020 21:45 Hiju Philippines  0.1
11 May 2020 21:30 Melgar Philippines  0.1
11 May 2020 21:30 San Jose Philippines  0.1
11 May 2020 21:30 Loreto Philippines  0.1
11 May 2020 21:30 Malinao Philippines  0.1
11 May 2020 21:30 Valencia Philippines  0.1
11 May 2020 21:30 Layagoang Philippines  0.1
11 May 2020 22:15 Linao Philippines  0.1
11 May 2020 22:15 Bisagu Philippines  0.1
11 May 2020 22:15 Aparri Philippines  0.1
11 May 2020 22:15 Alilinu Philippines  0.1
11 May 2020 22:15 Punta Philippines  0.1
11 May 2020 22:15 Balza Philippines  0.1
11 May 2020 22:15 Buguey Philippines  0.1
11 May 2020 21:45 Matiao Philippines  0.1
11 May 2020 21:45 Ayon Philippines  0.1
11 May 2020 23:00 San Juan Philippines  0.1
11 May 2020 23:00 Fugu Philippines  0.1
11 May 2020 23:00 Naguilian Philippines  0.1
11 May 2020 23:00 Abulug Philippines  0.1
11 May 2020 23:00 Cabuluan Philippines  0.1
11 May 2020 23:00 Catuguran Philippines  0.1