Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for MANGGA-20
in Australia, Cocos (Keeling) Islands

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MANGGA-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Australia
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 79 km/h
Maximum storm surge 2.1 m (24 May 07:15 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 79 km/h 2.1 m 155 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 97 km/h 2.0 m 248 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

97 km/h

Up to 20 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 23 May 2020 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormAustralia18,833 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 21 May 2020 06:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 21 May 2020 12:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 21 May 2020 18:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 22 May 2020 00:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 22 May 2020 06:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 22 May 2020 12:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 22 May 2020 18:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 23 May 2020 00:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 23 May 2020 06:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 23 May 2020 12:00 104 -
- - - - - Australia
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 23 May 2020 12:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 21 May 2020 06:00 169 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 21 May 2020 12:00 108 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 21 May 2020 18:00 131 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 22 May 2020 00:00 109 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 22 May 2020 06:00 92 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 22 May 2020 12:00 54 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 22 May 2020 18:00 119 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 23 May 2020 00:00 126 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 23 May 2020 06:00 173 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 23 May 2020 12:00 157 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

2.1 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  2.1m in Useless Loop, Australia. This height is estimated for 24 May 2020 07:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 23 May 2020 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
24 May 2020 07:15 Useless Loop Australia  2.1
24 May 2020 08:15 Tamala Australia  2.0
24 May 2020 07:30 Dirk Hartog Australia  2.0
24 May 2020 09:30 Nanga Australia  1.7
24 May 2020 09:00 Carrarang Australia  1.7
24 May 2020 09:15 Hamelin Pool Australia  1.6
24 May 2020 09:15 Hamelin Australia  1.6
24 May 2020 07:45 Denham Australia  1.6
24 May 2020 11:45 Gladstone Australia  1.6
24 May 2020 11:45 Shark Bay Australia  1.3
24 May 2020 11:45 Monkey Mia Australia  1.3
24 May 2020 07:30 Learmonth Australia  1.0
24 May 2020 09:15 Carnarvon Australia  0.9
24 May 2020 08:00 Kalbarri Australia  0.7
24 May 2020 19:00 Wickham Australia  0.6
24 May 2020 19:00 Point Samson Australia  0.6
24 May 2020 19:00 Cossack Australia  0.6
24 May 2020 08:15 Exmouth Australia  0.6
25 May 2020 01:30 Pardoo Australia  0.6
24 May 2020 12:45 Mardie Australia  0.6
24 May 2020 17:45 Port Hedland Australia  0.6
24 May 2020 17:45 Wedgefield Australia  0.6
25 May 2020 02:45 Condon Australia  0.6
24 May 2020 09:30 Quobba Australia  0.5
24 May 2020 10:45 Onslow Australia  0.5
24 May 2020 10:45 Glenroy Australia  0.5
24 May 2020 09:15 Cape Cuvier Australia  0.5
25 May 2020 15:45 Miro Indonesia  0.5
25 May 2020 15:45 Arongsantek Indonesia  0.5
25 May 2020 15:45 Pekat Indonesia  0.5
25 May 2020 15:45 Utan Indonesia  0.5
25 May 2020 15:45 Pato Pedoe Indonesia  0.5
25 May 2020 15:45 Sumbawa Besar Indonesia  0.5
24 May 2020 03:15 Dampier Australia  0.5
24 May 2020 03:15 Karratha Australia  0.5
24 May 2020 19:30 East Lewis I Australia  0.4
25 May 2020 15:45 Idjok Indonesia  0.4
24 May 2020 09:00 Warroora Australia  0.4
25 May 2020 15:45 Laboean Mapin Indonesia  0.4
25 May 2020 15:45 Alas Indonesia  0.4
25 May 2020 15:45 Pernang Indonesia  0.4
25 May 2020 15:45 Lepeloang Indonesia  0.4
25 May 2020 15:45 Sembelie Indonesia  0.4
25 May 2020 15:45 Soengian Indonesia  0.4
25 May 2020 16:00 Lombok Indonesia  0.4
25 May 2020 15:45 Desa Anjar Indonesia  0.4
25 May 2020 15:45 Bayan Indonesia  0.4
24 May 2020 08:00 Gnaraloo Australia  0.4
24 May 2020 10:30 Ah Chong I Australia  0.3
25 May 2020 15:45 Salangan Indonesia  0.3
25 May 2020 15:45 Pringgabaja Indonesia  0.3
25 May 2020 05:00 Mangsit Indonesia  0.3
25 May 2020 05:00 Pamenang Indonesia  0.3
25 May 2020 05:00 Tandjung Indonesia  0.3
25 May 2020 05:00 Soeroengdjoekoeng Indonesia  0.3
25 May 2020 15:45 Djoelah Indonesia  0.3
25 May 2020 15:45 Tejakula Indonesia  0.3
25 May 2020 15:45 Tedjakula Indonesia  0.3
25 May 2020 15:45 Gretek Indonesia  0.3
25 May 2020 15:45 Tianjar Indonesia  0.3
25 May 2020 15:45 Kubu Indonesia  0.3
25 May 2020 15:15 Labuhanpon Indonesia  0.3
25 May 2020 15:15 Blongas Indonesia  0.3
25 May 2020 15:15 Lembar Indonesia  0.3
25 May 2020 15:15 Tandjoengkarang Indonesia  0.3
25 May 2020 15:15 Geroeng Indonesia  0.3
24 May 2020 09:15 Cardabia Australia  0.3
25 May 2020 15:45 Tjulik Indonesia  0.3
25 May 2020 15:45 Karangasem Indonesia  0.3
25 May 2020 15:45 Tenganan Indonesia  0.3
25 May 2020 15:45 Amlapura Indonesia  0.3
25 May 2020 15:30 Manggis Indonesia  0.2
25 May 2020 15:30 Batoemoenggoel Indonesia  0.2
25 May 2020 15:45 Lungkung Indonesia  0.2
25 May 2020 15:45 Lembongan Indonesia  0.2
25 May 2020 15:45 Tojapakeh Indonesia  0.2
25 May 2020 15:45 Batoemadeg Indonesia  0.2
25 May 2020 15:45 Tanglad Indonesia  0.2
25 May 2020 04:45 Blimbing Indonesia  0.2
25 May 2020 04:45 Dadapan Indonesia  0.2
25 May 2020 04:45 Banyuwangi Indonesia  0.2
25 May 2020 04:45 Banjuwangi Indonesia  0.2
25 May 2020 04:45 Soega Indonesia  0.2
25 May 2020 04:45 Gilimanuk Indonesia  0.2
25 May 2020 04:45 Penginoeman Indonesia  0.2
25 May 2020 04:45 Belimbingsari Indonesia  0.2
25 May 2020 04:45 Tjandikesuma Indonesia  0.2
26 May 2020 06:30 Mintaoe Nae Indonesia  0.2
26 May 2020 06:30 Oi Sengari Indonesia  0.2
26 May 2020 06:30 Sanggar Indonesia  0.2
26 May 2020 06:30 Kampoeng Maladjoe Indonesia  0.2
24 May 2020 09:00 Ningaloo Australia  0.2
26 May 2020 06:30 Sowa Indonesia  0.2
26 May 2020 06:30 Bontoh Indonesia  0.2
26 May 2020 06:30 Wara Indonesia  0.2
26 May 2020 06:45 Lenteng Indonesia  0.2
26 May 2020 06:45 Rinca Indonesia  0.2
26 May 2020 06:45 Lo'o Indonesia  0.2
26 May 2020 06:45 Mboera Indonesia  0.2
26 May 2020 06:45 Labuhanbadjo Indonesia  0.2
26 May 2020 06:45 Badjo Indonesia  0.2
26 May 2020 06:45 Nggorang Indonesia  0.2
26 May 2020 06:45 Toronaroe Indonesia  0.2
25 May 2020 15:45 Labih Indonesia  0.2
25 May 2020 15:45 Bandjarangkan Indonesia  0.2
26 May 2020 06:30 Komodo Indonesia  0.2
26 May 2020 06:45 Sape Indonesia  0.2
26 May 2020 06:45 Badjo Indonesia  0.2
25 May 2020 05:15 Brassan Indonesia  0.2
25 May 2020 05:15 Muntjar Indonesia  0.2
25 May 2020 08:00 Kencong Indonesia  0.2
25 May 2020 08:00 Lodjedjer Indonesia  0.2
24 May 2020 08:30 Bundera Bundera Australia  0.2
25 May 2020 10:15 Sukawati Indonesia  0.2
25 May 2020 05:00 Djareweh Indonesia  0.2
25 May 2020 04:30 Seseh Indonesia  0.1
25 May 2020 04:30 Kuta Indonesia  0.1
25 May 2020 04:30 Djimbaran Indonesia  0.1
25 May 2020 04:30 Boealoe Indonesia  0.1
25 May 2020 04:30 Benua Indonesia  0.1
25 May 2020 04:30 Denpasar Indonesia  0.1
25 May 2020 05:00 Sunut Indonesia  0.1
25 May 2020 05:15 Banjoebiroe Indonesia  0.1
25 May 2020 05:15 Cupel Indonesia  0.1
25 May 2020 05:15 Prancak Indonesia  0.1
25 May 2020 05:15 Negara Indonesia  0.1
25 May 2020 04:30 Petjatu Indonesia  0.1
25 May 2020 05:00 Banjuwedang Indonesia  0.1
26 May 2020 04:00 Huu Indonesia  0.1
26 May 2020 04:00 Madawa Indonesia  0.1
26 May 2020 04:00 Polo Indonesia  0.1
25 May 2020 05:15 Mendaja Indonesia  0.1