Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for NOUL-20
in Laos, Thailand, Viet Nam, Cambodia, China
15 Sep 2020 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone NOUL-20 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Vietnam, China, Laos, Thailand, Philippines
Exposed population 260 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 101 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (15 Sep 23:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Cambodia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 101 km/h 0.2 m 604 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 140 km/h 1.2 m 986 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

140 km/h

Up to 6.4 million can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 15 Sep 2020 18:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 1Vietnam259,042 
Tropical StormVietnam, China, Laos, Thailand, Philippines6,416,378
+
Vietnam5,581,404 
China174,039 
Laos366,495 
Thailand271,159 
Philippines23,281 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 15 Sep 2020 12:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 15 Sep 2020 18:00 158 260 thousand
- - - - Vietnam, China, Laos, Thailand, Philippines
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 15 Sep 2020 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
500-750 mmLaos, Vietnam2,226
+
Vietnam169 
Laos2,057 
250-500 mmLaos, Vietnam, Thailand, Philippines1,362,731
+
Vietnam1,137,927 
Laos192,899 
Thailand31,796 
Philippines109 
100-250 mmVietnam, Laos, China, Thailand, Cambodia, Philippines7,500,405
+
Vietnam4,146,442 
Laos1,354,716 
China55,553 
Thailand1,755,232 
Philippines187,253 
Cambodia1,209 
50-100 mmVietnam, Laos, China, Thailand, Philippines, Cambodia8,164,589
+
Vietnam3,963,544 
Laos827,140 
China840,176 
Thailand1,965,673 
Philippines546,833 
Cambodia21,223 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 15 Sep 2020 12:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 15 Sep 2020 18:00 1009 8.9 million
- - Vietnam, Laos, China, Thailand, Philippines, Cambodia




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Da Nang, Vietnam. This height is estimated for 15 Sep 2020 23:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 15 Sep 2020 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
15 Sep 2020 23:00 Da Nang Vietnam  0.2
15 Sep 2020 23:00 Xom Da Me Vietnam  0.2
15 Sep 2020 23:00 Hoi An Vietnam  0.2
16 Sep 2020 00:00 Rach Gia Vietnam  0.2
16 Sep 2020 00:00 Kien Thanh Vietnam  0.2
16 Sep 2020 00:00 Barton Philippines  0.2
16 Sep 2020 00:00 Inandeng Philippines  0.2
16 Sep 2020 00:00 Alimanguan Philippines  0.2
16 Sep 2020 00:00 San Miguel Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 23:30 Limbuak Malaysia  0.1
15 Sep 2020 23:30 Karakit Malaysia  0.1
15 Sep 2020 23:30 Bilang Bilangan Malaysia  0.1
15 Sep 2020 22:15 Barceloneta Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 22:15 Mandao Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 22:15 Fundado Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 22:15 Karigsa Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 22:15 Calabanga Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 23:45 Gulang-gulang Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 23:45 Pancol Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 23:45 Taytay Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 23:45 Igan Barrio Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 23:30 Tai Po Industrial Estate Hong Kong (China)  0.1
15 Sep 2020 23:30 Fung Yuen Hong Kong (China)  0.1
15 Sep 2020 23:30 Dabu Hong Kong (China)  0.1
15 Sep 2020 23:30 Sha Tau Kok China  0.1
15 Sep 2020 23:30 Cheung Kang Hong Kong (China)  0.1
15 Sep 2020 23:30 Imtin China  0.1
15 Sep 2020 23:30 Yau Ma Po Hong Kong (China)  0.1
15 Sep 2020 23:30 Sai Kung Hong Kong (China)  0.1
15 Sep 2020 23:30 Cheung Wo Hong Kong (China)  0.1
15 Sep 2020 23:30 Pak Sha Au Hong Kong (China)  0.1
15 Sep 2020 23:30 Long Ke Hong Kong (China)  0.1
15 Sep 2020 23:30 Khitschhung China  0.1
15 Sep 2020 23:30 Dapeng China  0.1
15 Sep 2020 23:30 Taipang China  0.1
16 Sep 2020 00:00 Nanping China  0.1
16 Sep 2020 00:00 Cuihengcun China  0.1
16 Sep 2020 00:00 Xiazha China  0.1
16 Sep 2020 00:00 Maogang China  0.1
16 Sep 2020 00:00 Macau Macau (China)  0.1
16 Sep 2020 00:00 Taipa Macau (China)  0.1
16 Sep 2020 00:00 Coloane Macau (China)  0.1
16 Sep 2020 00:00 Heung chau China  0.1
16 Sep 2020 00:00 Ch'i-ao China  0.1
15 Sep 2020 23:45 Caruray Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 23:45 Rizal Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 23:45 Malcampo Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 21:00 Ugnisan Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 21:00 Bonongan Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 21:00 Salvacion Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 21:00 Bogtong Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 21:00 Carigmalan Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 21:00 Concepcion Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 21:00 Kiwit Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 21:00 Culion Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 21:00 Decalachao Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 21:00 Bancuan Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 21:00 San Nicolas Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 21:00 Coron Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 22:45 Phu Xuan Ha Vietnam  0.1
15 Sep 2020 22:45 Tuyet iem Vietnam  0.1
15 Sep 2020 20:45 Atimonan Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 20:45 Pag-aguasan Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 20:45 Concepcion Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 20:45 Alabat Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 20:45 Mascarina Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 20:45 Apad Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 20:45 Gumaca Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 20:45 Argosino Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 23:45 Batang Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 23:45 Damipac Philippines  0.1
16 Sep 2020 00:00 Ap Giong Ke Vietnam  0.1
16 Sep 2020 00:00 Lajiwei China  0.1
15 Sep 2020 21:45 San Jose Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 21:45 Calauag Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 21:45 Bantulan Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 21:45 Culasian Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 21:45 Danleg Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 21:45 Dumaran Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 23:45 Nanad Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 23:45 Sabang Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 23:45 Marofinas Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 20:45 Cabag Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 23:45 Busuanga Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 21:45 Bebeladan Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 21:45 Camago Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 21:45 Manlalec Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 21:45 Palarican Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 21:45 Oton Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 21:45 Palalong Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 21:45 Maytiguid Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 21:45 Batas Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 20:00 Calamias Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 20:00 Bolboc Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 20:00 Looc Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 20:00 Bocboc Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 23:45 Baheli Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 23:45 Tapul Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 23:45 Buenavista Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 23:45 Maruyogon Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 23:45 Babuyan Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 20:45 Polillo Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 20:45 Bisliang Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 20:45 Cabungalunan Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 20:45 Abucay Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 20:45 Calutcot Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 20:45 Patnanongan Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 20:45 Perez Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 20:45 Cavilla Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 23:15 Shagang China  0.1
15 Sep 2020 23:15 Aotou China  0.1
15 Sep 2020 21:00 San Jose Philippines  0.1
16 Sep 2020 00:00 Xom Ba Tra Vietnam  0.1
15 Sep 2020 19:30 Buenavista Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 19:30 Borac Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 23:45 Tonggu China  0.1
15 Sep 2020 23:45 Chixi China  0.1
15 Sep 2020 21:00 Mauban Philippines  0.1
16 Sep 2020 00:00 Ap Cau Thang Vietnam  0.1
15 Sep 2020 21:00 Calamias Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 23:45 Ra Ghe Vietnam  0.1
16 Sep 2020 00:00 Binaluan Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 20:15 Calaguikhik Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 20:15 Talingting Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 20:15 Apad Lutao Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 23:00 An Cu Vietnam  0.1
15 Sep 2020 23:00 Ap Quan Nam Vietnam  0.1
15 Sep 2020 23:00 Mui Da Nang Vietnam  0.1
15 Sep 2020 20:15 Garchitorena Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 20:15 Bagas Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 20:15 Caramoan Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 20:15 Bikal Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 20:15 Pandanan Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 23:45 Bobosawen Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 23:45 Totobach Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 23:45 Anepahan Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 23:45 Iwahig Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 23:45 Malamig Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 23:45 Irahuan Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 23:45 Malinao Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 20:30 Vinzons Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 20:30 Daet Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 20:30 Talaga Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 20:30 Tagontong Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 20:30 Mambongalon Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 20:30 Barana Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 20:30 Miguel Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 21:30 Magtang Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 21:30 Lamon Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 21:30 Union Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 21:30 Tinambac Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 21:30 Gongonan Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 23:15 San-tsao China  0.1
15 Sep 2020 20:45 Bataguanan Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 20:45 Bangwang Daan Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 20:45 Banuang Daan Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 23:45 Liminancong Philippines  0.1
16 Sep 2020 00:00 Sibumbong Malaysia  0.1
15 Sep 2020 20:00 Alayao Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 20:00 Jose Panganiban Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 20:00 Paracale Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 20:30 Molpok Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 20:30 Bulalacao Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 20:45 Sibaltan Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 20:45 Pinamalayan Philippines  0.1
15 Sep 2020 20:45 Casian Philippines  0.1
16 Sep 2020 00:00 Calmung Philippines  0.1
16 Sep 2020 00:00 Pagauanen Philippines  0.1
16 Sep 2020 00:00 El Nido Philippines  0.1
16 Sep 2020 00:00 Barotuan Philippines  0.1