Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for DOLORES-21 in Mexico from 18 Jun 2021 09:00 UTC to 20 Jun 2021 09:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for DOLORES-21

in Mexico

17 Jun 2021 12 UTC

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to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone DOLORES-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	ECMWF
Exposed countries	United States, Mexico
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	54 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.2 m (17 Jun 20:15 UTC)
Vulnerability	Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
ECMWF Current	54 km/h	0.2 m	264 mm	0.5
ECMWF Overall	83 km/h	0.9 m	338 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

83 km/h

Up to 40 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 17 Jun 2021 12:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	United States, Mexico	37,940	+
	United States	2,914
	Mexico	35,025

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

Alert	N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
	1	17 Jun 2021 12:00	97	-		-	-	-	-	-	United States, Mexico

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 17 Jun 2021 12:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
250-500 mm	Mexico	25,005
100-250 mm	United States, Mexico	4,829,747	+
	United States	413,745
	Mexico	4,416,001
50-100 mm	United States, Mexico, Guatemala, Honduras, El Salvador	11,181,866	+
	United States	1,417,854
	Mexico	9,490,467
	Guatemala	265,795
	Honduras	7,112
	El Salvador	637

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

Alert	N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
	1	17 Jun 2021 12:00	400	4.9 million				-	-	-	United States, Mexico, Guatemala, Honduras, El Salvador

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.2m in Hesperides, United States. This height is estimated for 17 Jun 2021 20:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 17 Jun 2021 12:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	17 Jun 2021 20:15	Hesperides	United States	0.2
	17 Jun 2021 20:15	Nairn	United States	0.2
	17 Jun 2021 20:15	Empire	United States	0.2
	17 Jun 2021 20:15	Sunrise	United States	0.2
	17 Jun 2021 20:15	Buras	United States	0.2
	17 Jun 2021 20:15	Ostrica	United States	0.2
	17 Jun 2021 20:15	Neptune	United States	0.2
	17 Jun 2021 20:15	Fort Jackson	United States	0.2
	17 Jun 2021 20:15	Boothville	United States	0.2
	17 Jun 2021 20:15	Duvic	United States	0.2
	17 Jun 2021 20:15	El Golfo de Santa Clara	Mexico	0.2
	17 Jun 2021 20:15	El Tornillal	Mexico	0.2
	17 Jun 2021 19:15	La Choya	Mexico	0.2
	17 Jun 2021 19:15	Puerto Penasco	Mexico	0.2
	17 Jun 2021 19:45	Puerto Venustiano Carranza	Mexico	0.2
	17 Jun 2021 20:00	San Felipe	Mexico	0.2
	18 Jun 2021 00:00	Happy Jack	United States	0.2
	18 Jun 2021 00:00	Potash	United States	0.2
	17 Jun 2021 19:30	Salinas	Mexico	0.2
	17 Jun 2021 19:30	Buen Pais	Mexico	0.2
	17 Jun 2021 19:30	Alvarado	Mexico	0.2
	17 Jun 2021 23:30	English Lookout	United States	0.2
	17 Jun 2021 23:30	Ansley	United States	0.2
	17 Jun 2021 23:30	Bayside Park	United States	0.2
	17 Jun 2021 23:30	Lakeshore	United States	0.2
	17 Jun 2021 23:30	Shoreline Park	United States	0.2
	17 Jun 2021 23:30	Waveland	United States	0.2
	17 Jun 2021 23:30	Bay St Louis	United States	0.2
	17 Jun 2021 23:30	Henderson Point	United States	0.2
	17 Jun 2021 23:30	Pass Christian	United States	0.2
	17 Jun 2021 15:00	Las Barrillas	Mexico	0.2
	17 Jun 2021 22:00	Anton Lizardo	Mexico	0.1
	17 Jun 2021 21:45	City Arroyo	United States	0.1
	17 Jun 2021 21:45	Port Mansfield	United States	0.1
	17 Jun 2021 21:45	Arroyo City Subdivision Colonia	United States	0.1
	17 Jun 2021 21:45	Buena Vista	United States	0.1
	17 Jun 2021 18:00	Hoquel	Mexico	0.1
	17 Jun 2021 18:00	Champoton	Mexico	0.1
	17 Jun 2021 18:00	Haltunchen	Mexico	0.1
	17 Jun 2021 16:45	Guerrero	Mexico	0.1
	17 Jun 2021 16:45	Real de Salinas	Mexico	0.1
	17 Jun 2021 16:45	Celestum	Mexico	0.1
	17 Jun 2021 18:30	Campeche	Mexico	0.1
	17 Jun 2021 19:00	West Point	United States	0.1
	17 Jun 2021 18:30	Balantanche	Mexico	0.1
	17 Jun 2021 23:15	Cuevas	United States	0.1
	17 Jun 2021 23:15	White Harbor	United States	0.1
	17 Jun 2021 23:15	Long Beach	United States	0.1
	17 Jun 2021 18:30	Seybaplaya	Mexico	0.1
	17 Jun 2021 17:30	Noham	Mexico	0.1
	17 Jun 2021 17:30	Porfirio Diaz	Mexico	0.1
	17 Jun 2021 17:30	Chenkan	Mexico	0.1
	17 Jun 2021 21:30	Johnson's Bayou	United States	0.1
	17 Jun 2021 21:30	Constance Beach	United States	0.1
	17 Jun 2021 21:30	Peveto Beach	United States	0.1
	17 Jun 2021 21:30	Holly Beach	United States	0.1
	17 Jun 2021 21:30	Cameron	United States	0.1
	17 Jun 2021 17:30	Neyac	Mexico	0.1
	17 Jun 2021 17:30	Valton	Mexico	0.1
	17 Jun 2021 21:30	Oak Grove	United States	0.1
	17 Jun 2021 19:15	Monte de Oro	Mexico	0.1
	17 Jun 2021 19:15	San Pedro	Mexico	0.1
	17 Jun 2021 17:15	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.1
	17 Jun 2021 15:00	Sanchez Magallanes	Mexico	0.1
	17 Jun 2021 17:00	Paso Real	Mexico	0.1
	17 Jun 2021 15:15	Francisco I. Madero	Mexico	0.1
	17 Jun 2021 16:45	Ciudad del Carmen	Mexico	0.1
	17 Jun 2021 16:45	Boca Nueva	Mexico	0.1
	17 Jun 2021 18:15	Breton	United States	0.1
	17 Jun 2021 14:45	Coatzacoalcos	Mexico	0.1
	17 Jun 2021 18:30	Rancho Bahia	Mexico	0.1
	17 Jun 2021 22:00	Tecomate	Mexico	0.1
	17 Jun 2021 22:00	Cabo Tepoca	Mexico	0.1
	17 Jun 2021 15:00	Laja	Mexico	0.1
	17 Jun 2021 18:45	El Tular	Mexico	0.1
	17 Jun 2021 18:45	Cabo Rojito	Mexico	0.1
	17 Jun 2021 19:30	Puertecitos	Mexico	0.1
	17 Jun 2021 17:15	Sabancuy	Mexico	0.1
	17 Jun 2021 21:15	San Rafael	Mexico	0.1
	17 Jun 2021 21:30	Grand Chenier	United States	0.1
	17 Jun 2021 18:30	Cuantla	Mexico	0.1
	17 Jun 2021 18:30	Cuamecate	Mexico	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 00:00	Mims	United States	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 00:00	Hoskins	United States	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 00:00	Peterson Landing	United States	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 00:00	Port Morris	United States	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 00:00	Red Fish Cove	United States	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 00:00	Bay Harbor	United States	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 00:00	Sea Isle	United States	0.1
	18 Jun 2021 00:00	Jamaica Beach	United States	0.1
	17 Jun 2021 14:45	Hidalgo	Mexico	0.1
	17 Jun 2021 17:30	Little Woods	United States	0.1
	17 Jun 2021 17:30	South Point	United States	0.1
	17 Jun 2021 17:30	Martello Castle	United States	0.1
	17 Jun 2021 17:30	Chef Menteur	United States	0.1
	17 Jun 2021 17:30	Greens Ditch	United States	0.1
	17 Jun 2021 17:30	Fort Pike	United States	0.1
	17 Jun 2021 17:30	Lake Catherine	United States	0.1
	17 Jun 2021 17:30	Shell Beach	United States	0.1
	17 Jun 2021 17:30	Alluvial City	United States	0.1
	17 Jun 2021 17:30	Yscloskey	United States	0.1
	17 Jun 2021 17:30	Riolets	United States	0.1
	17 Jun 2021 16:15	Frenier	United States	0.1
	17 Jun 2021 16:15	Ruddock	United States	0.1
	17 Jun 2021 16:15	La Branche	United States	0.1
	17 Jun 2021 16:15	Kenner	United States	0.1
	17 Jun 2021 16:15	Metairie	United States	0.1
	17 Jun 2021 21:15	De Lisle	United States	0.1
	17 Jun 2021 21:15	Gulfport	United States	0.1
	17 Jun 2021 21:15	Mississippi City	United States	0.1
	17 Jun 2021 21:15	Handsboro	United States	0.1
	17 Jun 2021 21:15	Loraine	United States	0.1
	17 Jun 2021 21:15	Wool Market	United States	0.1
	17 Jun 2021 21:15	Edgewater Park	United States	0.1
	17 Jun 2021 21:15	Beauvoir	United States	0.1
	17 Jun 2021 21:30	Corpus Christi	United States	0.1
	17 Jun 2021 21:30	North Beach	United States	0.1
	17 Jun 2021 21:30	Gardendale	United States	0.1
	17 Jun 2021 21:30	Doyle	United States	0.1
	17 Jun 2021 21:30	Orange Grove	United States	0.1
	17 Jun 2021 21:30	Peary Place	United States	0.1
	17 Jun 2021 21:30	Portland	United States	0.1
	17 Jun 2021 21:30	Flour Bluff	United States	0.1
	17 Jun 2021 21:30	Caruthers Cove Colonia	United States	0.1
	17 Jun 2021 21:30	Ingleside	United States	0.1
	17 Jun 2021 21:30	Kenney Lane West Colonia	United States	0.1
	17 Jun 2021 21:30	Port Ingleside	United States	0.1
	17 Jun 2021 21:30	Indian Trails Lane Colonia	United States	0.1
	17 Jun 2021 21:15	Bahia Kino	Mexico	0.1
	17 Jun 2021 22:45	Atanacio	Mexico	0.1
	17 Jun 2021 22:45	El Paredoncito	Mexico	0.1
	17 Jun 2021 14:30	Tonala	Mexico	0.1
	17 Jun 2021 21:30	Sabine	United States	0.1
	17 Jun 2021 21:30	Sabine Pass	United States	0.1
	17 Jun 2021 14:30	Conejo	Mexico	0.1
	17 Jun 2021 14:45	Chiltepec	Mexico	0.1
	17 Jun 2021 23:30	Guasimas	Mexico	0.1
	17 Jun 2021 21:30	Las Arenitas	Mexico	0.1
	17 Jun 2021 22:15	Novillero	Mexico	0.1
	17 Jun 2021 22:45	Datilito	Mexico	0.1
	17 Jun 2021 22:45	La Paz	Mexico	0.1
	17 Jun 2021 22:45	Rosario	Mexico	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.