Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for DOLORES-21
in Mexico

Impact

Tropical Cyclone DOLORES-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries United States, Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 72 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.7 m (19 Jun 00:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 72 km/h 0.7 m 374 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 83 km/h 0.9 m 338 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

83 km/h

Up to 3 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 18 Jun 2021 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormUnited States, Mexico2,856
+
United States1,055 
Mexico1,800 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 17 Jun 2021 12:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 18 Jun 2021 00:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 18 Jun 2021 12:00 94 -
- - - - - United States, Mexico
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 18 Jun 2021 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmMexico14,384 
100-250 mmUnited States, Mexico, Guatemala3,841,958
+
United States432,156 
Mexico3,403,086 
Guatemala6,716 
50-100 mmUnited States, Mexico, Guatemala, Honduras7,360,336
+
United States2,360,419 
Mexico4,080,685 
Guatemala839,377 
Honduras79,855 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 17 Jun 2021 12:00 264 10 thousand
- - - Mexico, Guatemala
Blue 2 18 Jun 2021 00:00 232 30 thousand
- - - - Mexico
Blue 3 18 Jun 2021 12:00 543 3.9 million
- - - United States, Mexico, Guatemala, Honduras




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.7 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.7m in Happy Jack, United States. This height is estimated for 19 Jun 2021 00:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 18 Jun 2021 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Happy Jack United States  0.7
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Potash United States  0.7
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Hesperides United States  0.7
18 Jun 2021 21:30 Cheniere Caminada United States  0.6
18 Jun 2021 21:30 Bassa Bassa United States  0.6
18 Jun 2021 21:30 Grand Isle United States  0.6
19 Jun 2021 00:00 English Lookout United States  0.6
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Ansley United States  0.6
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Bayside Park United States  0.6
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Lakeshore United States  0.6
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Shoreline Park United States  0.6
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Waveland United States  0.6
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Bay St Louis United States  0.6
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Henderson Point United States  0.6
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Pass Christian United States  0.6
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Cuevas United States  0.5
19 Jun 2021 00:00 White Harbor United States  0.5
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Long Beach United States  0.5
19 Jun 2021 00:00 De Lisle United States  0.5
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Gulfport United States  0.5
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Mississippi City United States  0.5
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Handsboro United States  0.5
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Loraine United States  0.5
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Wool Market United States  0.5
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Edgewater Park United States  0.5
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Beauvoir United States  0.5
18 Jun 2021 22:30 Grand Ecaille United States  0.5
18 Jun 2021 21:00 Nairn United States  0.5
18 Jun 2021 21:00 Empire United States  0.5
18 Jun 2021 21:00 Sunrise United States  0.5
18 Jun 2021 21:00 Buras United States  0.5
18 Jun 2021 21:00 Ostrica United States  0.5
18 Jun 2021 21:00 Neptune United States  0.5
18 Jun 2021 21:00 Fort Jackson United States  0.5
18 Jun 2021 21:00 Boothville United States  0.5
18 Jun 2021 21:00 Duvic United States  0.5
18 Jun 2021 23:30 Cedar Lake United States  0.4
18 Jun 2021 23:30 Biloxi United States  0.4
18 Jun 2021 23:30 D'Iberville United States  0.4
18 Jun 2021 23:30 Saint Martin United States  0.4
18 Jun 2021 23:45 Ocean Springs United States  0.4
18 Jun 2021 23:45 Gulf Hills United States  0.4
18 Jun 2021 21:30 Little Woods United States  0.4
18 Jun 2021 21:30 South Point United States  0.4
18 Jun 2021 21:30 Martello Castle United States  0.4
18 Jun 2021 21:30 Chef Menteur United States  0.4
18 Jun 2021 21:30 Greens Ditch United States  0.4
18 Jun 2021 21:30 Fort Pike United States  0.4
18 Jun 2021 21:30 Lake Catherine United States  0.4
18 Jun 2021 21:30 Shell Beach United States  0.4
18 Jun 2021 21:30 Alluvial City United States  0.4
18 Jun 2021 21:30 Yscloskey United States  0.4
18 Jun 2021 21:30 Riolets United States  0.4
18 Jun 2021 23:00 Frenier United States  0.4
18 Jun 2021 23:00 Ruddock United States  0.4
18 Jun 2021 23:00 La Branche United States  0.4
18 Jun 2021 23:00 Kenner United States  0.4
18 Jun 2021 23:00 Metairie United States  0.4
18 Jun 2021 23:45 Gulf Park Estates United States  0.4
18 Jun 2021 22:15 Leeville United States  0.3
18 Jun 2021 22:15 Port Fourchon United States  0.3
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Cocodrie United States  0.3
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Hilda United States  0.3
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Gautier United States  0.3
18 Jun 2021 22:00 North Side United States  0.3
18 Jun 2021 22:00 Saint Malo United States  0.3
18 Jun 2021 22:30 Madisonville United States  0.3
18 Jun 2021 22:30 Houltonville United States  0.3
18 Jun 2021 22:30 Lewisburg United States  0.3
19 Jun 2021 00:00 North Shore Beach United States  0.3
19 Jun 2021 00:00 North Shore United States  0.3
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Eden Isle United States  0.3
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Howze Beach United States  0.3
19 Jun 2021 00:00 White Kitchen United States  0.3
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Jackson Landing United States  0.3
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Pascagoula United States  0.3
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Moss Point United States  0.3
19 Jun 2021 00:00 West Point United States  0.3
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Breton United States  0.3
18 Jun 2021 23:45 Intracoastal City United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 23:45 Cypremort Point United States  0.2
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Pearlington United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 23:45 La Choya Mexico  0.2
18 Jun 2021 23:45 Puerto Penasco Mexico  0.2
18 Jun 2021 23:30 Weeks United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 23:30 Louisa United States  0.2
19 Jun 2021 00:00 San Felipe Mexico  0.2
18 Jun 2021 22:30 Oak Ridge Park United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 22:30 West End United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 22:30 Lakeview United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 23:00 Bayou La Batre United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 23:00 Coden United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 23:00 El Tornillal Mexico  0.2
19 Jun 2021 00:00 El Golfo de Santa Clara Mexico  0.2
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Cheniere Au Tigre United States  0.2
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Nelson United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 23:30 Puertecitos Mexico  0.2
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Hopedale United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 22:45 Port Lavaca United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 22:45 Alamo Beach United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 22:45 Point Comfort United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 22:45 Magnolia Beach United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 22:45 Indianola United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 22:45 Olivia United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 22:45 Weedhaven United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 22:45 Port Alto United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 22:45 Port O'Connor United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 22:45 Carancahua United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 22:45 El Campo Club Community United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 23:30 Cote Blanche Landing United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 20:30 Peveto Beach United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 20:30 Holly Beach United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 20:30 Cameron United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 20:30 Constance Beach United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 21:15 Johnson's Bayou United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 20:15 Oak Grove United States  0.2
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Dauphin Island United States  0.2
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Delchamps United States  0.2
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Heron Bay United States  0.2
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Alabama Port United States  0.2
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Bayleys Corner United States  0.2
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Mon Louis United States  0.2
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Bellefontaine United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 22:45 Camp Hulen United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 21:30 Sabine United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 21:30 Sabine Pass United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 20:15 Grand Chenier United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 19:00 Port Eads United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 19:00 South Pass United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 23:00 Galveston United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 23:00 Port Bolivar United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 23:00 Smith Point United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 23:00 Fort Travis United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 23:00 Flake United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 23:00 Elmgrove United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 23:00 Crystal Beach United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 23:00 Patton United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 23:00 Bolivar Peninsula United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 23:00 Caplen United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 23:15 Gilchrist United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 23:15 High Island United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 23:30 Rancho Bahia Mexico  0.2
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Oak Island United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 22:45 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.2
18 Jun 2021 17:00 Mims United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 17:00 Hoskins United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 17:00 Peterson Landing United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 17:00 Port Morris United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 17:00 Red Fish Cove United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 17:00 Bay Harbor United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 17:00 Sea Isle United States  0.2
18 Jun 2021 17:00 Jamaica Beach United States  0.2
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Anderson Ways United States  0.2
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Palacios United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Collegeport United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Simpsonville United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Citrus Grove United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 23:45 Nadeau United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 23:45 Texas City Junction United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 23:45 Bayou Vista United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 23:45 Texas City United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 23:45 Virginia Point United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 23:30 Chinquapin United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Hitchcock United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 23:15 Corpus Christi United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 23:15 North Beach United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 23:15 Gardendale United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 23:15 Doyle United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 23:15 Orange Grove United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 23:15 Peary Place United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 23:15 Portland United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 23:15 Flour Bluff United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 23:15 Caruthers Cove Colonia United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 23:15 Ingleside United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 23:15 Kenney Lane West Colonia United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 23:15 Port Ingleside United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 23:15 Indian Trails Lane Colonia United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 22:00 City Arroyo United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 22:00 Port Mansfield United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 22:00 Arroyo City Subdivision Colonia United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 22:00 Buena Vista United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 23:00 Chinchuba United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 23:00 Mandeville United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 23:45 Freeport United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 23:45 Quintana United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 23:45 Surfside United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 23:45 Surfside Beach United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Fort Gaines United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Fort Morgan United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 14:45 Clear Lake Shores United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 14:45 Kemah United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 14:45 Todville United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 14:45 Bayview United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 14:45 Bacliff United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 14:45 San Leon United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 23:00 Molino Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 23:00 Molino Lacy Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 22:15 Bayside United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 22:15 Country Acres Colonia United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 22:15 Country Estates Colonia United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 22:15 Aransas Pass United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 22:15 Estes United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 22:15 Mustang Beach United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 22:15 Port Aransas United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 22:15 Rockport United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 22:15 Shell Ridge United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 22:15 Copano Village United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 22:15 Fulton United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Gulf Park United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Hoskins United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Bryan Beach United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Valasco Heights United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Matagorda United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 23:30 Loyola Beach United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 23:30 Orange Grove United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 23:30 La Parra Landing United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 23:30 El Martillo United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 23:30 Yarborough United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Lamar United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 18:15 Hacienda La Chepona El Salvador  0.1
18 Jun 2021 18:15 Balneario El Espino El Salvador  0.1
18 Jun 2021 18:15 La Periquera El Salvador  0.1
18 Jun 2021 18:15 Conchaguita El Salvador  0.1
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Puerto Libertad Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Gregory United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 21:30 Tecomate Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 21:30 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 20:30 Pixoy Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 18:15 El Espiritu Santo El Salvador  0.1
18 Jun 2021 18:15 Corral de Mulas El Salvador  0.1
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Maudlowe United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Spanish Village United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Austwell United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Seadrift United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 00:00 El Desemboque Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 19:00 Guerrero Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 19:00 Real de Salinas Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 17:30 Santeneja Belize  0.1
18 Jun 2021 20:00 Telchac Puerto Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 18:15 Agua El Salvador  0.1
18 Jun 2021 16:15 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 17:00 Cuantla Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 17:00 Cuamecate Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 21:30 Isla de Mendez El Salvador  0.1
18 Jun 2021 19:45 Burrwood United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 19:00 Celestum Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 20:00 Neyac Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 20:00 Valton Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 16:15 Santa Marie Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 13:45 Shoreacres United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 13:45 Bayside Terrace United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 13:45 Red Bluff United States  0.1
18 Jun 2021 13:45 Seabrook United States  0.1
19 Jun 2021 00:00 El Mezquite Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2021 00:00 Chaparral Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 21:15 Campeche Mexico  0.1
19 Jun 2021 00:00 El Barril Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 23:45 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.1
18 Jun 2021 18:30 La Herradura El Salvador  0.1
18 Jun 2021 18:30 El Zapote El Salvador  0.1
18 Jun 2021 20:30 Balantanche Mexico  0.1