Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for ENRIQUE-21 in Mexico from 25 Jun 2021 09:00 UTC to 30 Jun 2021 21:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for ENRIQUE-21

in Mexico

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Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ENRIQUE-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	HWRF
Exposed countries	Mexico
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	144 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.3 m (26 Jun 22:15 UTC)
Vulnerability	Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
HWRF Current	144 km/h	0.3 m	224 mm	0.5
HWRF Overall	173 km/h	0.4 m	665 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 26 Jun 2021 18:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	Mexico	65,259

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	25 Jun 2021 06:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	25 Jun 2021 12:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	25 Jun 2021 18:00	104	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico
4	26 Jun 2021 00:00	104	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico
5	26 Jun 2021 06:00	115	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico
6	26 Jun 2021 12:00	130	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico
7	26 Jun 2021 18:00	166	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

665 mm

Up to 1.7 million can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 26 Jun 2021 18:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
750-1000 mm	Mexico	1,955
500-750 mm	Mexico	10,323
250-500 mm	Mexico	765,702
100-250 mm	Mexico	957,771
50-100 mm	Mexico	923,575

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	25 Jun 2021 06:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	25 Jun 2021 12:00	289	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	25 Jun 2021 18:00	238	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico
4	26 Jun 2021 00:00	240	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	26 Jun 2021 06:00	256	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	26 Jun 2021 12:00	158	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	26 Jun 2021 18:00	1034	1.7 million						-	Mexico

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.3m in Puerto Charley, Mexico. This height is estimated for 26 Jun 2021 22:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 26 Jun 2021 18:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	26 Jun 2021 22:15	Puerto Charley	Mexico	0.3
	28 Jun 2021 03:45	Tecomate	Mexico	0.3
	28 Jun 2021 03:45	Cabo Tepoca	Mexico	0.3
	27 Jun 2021 09:15	Agua de las Flores	Mexico	0.3
	27 Jun 2021 09:15	Bahia Kino	Mexico	0.2
	26 Jun 2021 18:15	San Blas	Mexico	0.2
	26 Jun 2021 18:15	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 04:15	San Rafael	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 00:00	Quinones	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 05:45	Point Comfort	United States	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 05:45	Magnolia Beach	United States	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 05:45	Olivia	United States	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 05:45	Weedhaven	United States	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 05:45	Port Alto	United States	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 05:45	Carancahua	United States	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 05:45	El Campo Club Community	United States	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 05:45	Camp Hulen	United States	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 06:00	Matagorda	United States	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 06:00	Chinquapin	United States	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 00:45	Puerto Venustiano Carranza	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 01:45	Atanacio	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 01:45	El Paredoncito	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 01:30	Novillero	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 01:30	Cuantla	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 01:30	Cuamecate	Mexico	0.2
	26 Jun 2021 20:30	San Francisco	Mexico	0.2
	26 Jun 2021 20:30	Monteon	Mexico	0.2
	26 Jun 2021 20:30	La Lima	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 01:30	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 01:45	Bahia de Tortugas	Mexico	0.2
	26 Jun 2021 22:15	La Fortuna	Mexico	0.2
	26 Jun 2021 22:15	El Cardoncito	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 19:15	Guaymas	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 19:15	Empalme	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 19:00	San Juan de la Costa	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 04:00	El Barril	Mexico	0.2
	29 Jun 2021 03:00	Aguaje	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 00:15	Desembarcadero de Miller	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 05:15	Port Lavaca	United States	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 05:15	Alamo Beach	United States	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 05:15	Indianola	United States	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 19:30	El Castillo	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 01:00	La Palmita	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 01:00	Caimanero	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 01:00	Jarilla	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 01:30	San Jose	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 10:00	Los Tesos	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 10:00	Los Frailes	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 19:15	Datilito	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 19:15	La Paz	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 19:15	Rosario	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 13:00	Arista	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 01:00	La Manzanilla	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 01:00	Barra de Navidad	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 01:30	Borabampo	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 02:15	Altata	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 18:45	Los Burros	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 19:15	Santa Rosalia	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 03:30	Tastiota	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 18:30	Loreto	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 18:30	Ligui	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 18:30	Tripui	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 11:15	Rockport	United States	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 11:15	Shell Ridge	United States	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 11:15	Copano Village	United States	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 11:15	Fulton	United States	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 11:15	Holiday Beach	United States	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 11:15	Lamar	United States	0.2
	26 Jun 2021 23:30	Playa Oceano Pacifico	Mexico	0.2
	26 Jun 2021 23:30	Estero la Bocana	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 01:15	El Nuevo	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 01:15	Toro Mocho	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 10:15	San Bruno	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 10:30	Santa Rosalia	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 02:15	Guasimas	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 07:00	Las Arenitas	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 07:00	La Boca	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 19:15	Las Bocas	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 06:15	Maudlowe	United States	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 06:15	Tivoli	United States	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 06:15	Spanish Village	United States	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 06:15	Austwell	United States	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 06:15	North Seadrift	United States	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 06:15	Long Mott	United States	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 06:15	Seadrift	United States	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 19:15	San Bruno	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 04:45	Perihuete	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 04:45	Dimas	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 18:15	Topolobampo	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 18:45	San Carlos	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 19:15	Camahuiroa	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 19:15	Mulege	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 18:45	Santa Marta	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 18:45	Tambobiche	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 10:30	La Ribera	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 10:30	Punta Colorada	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 10:30	Punta Arena	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 19:00	Los Dolores	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 01:45	El Real	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 01:45	Chupadero	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 01:45	Apisa	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 01:45	Cayaca	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 18:00	Agua del Coyote	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 19:00	Liliba	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 02:30	El Aquajito	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 05:00	Gregory	United States	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 05:00	Caruthers Cove Colonia	United States	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 05:00	Ingleside	United States	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 05:00	Kenney Lane West Colonia	United States	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 05:00	Port Ingleside	United States	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 05:00	Indian Trails Lane Colonia	United States	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 05:00	Country Acres Colonia	United States	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 05:00	Country Estates Colonia	United States	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 05:00	Aransas Pass	United States	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 05:00	Estes	United States	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 05:00	Mustang Beach	United States	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 05:00	Port Aransas	United States	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 18:15	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 18:15	La Ventana	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 18:15	Ensenada de los Muertos	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 02:15	Cachoana	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 04:15	Isla de Palmito del Verde	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 10:45	Boca del Rio	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 19:15	San Juanico	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 21:00	Punta Mita	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 21:00	Cruz de Juanacaxtle	Mexico	0.2
	26 Jun 2021 23:45	Rancho Datilari	Mexico	0.2
	26 Jun 2021 23:45	Rancho Conejo	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 05:15	Port O'Connor	United States	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 06:30	Isla Natividad	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 06:30	Cedros	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 00:00	El Tomale	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 00:00	Agua Fresca	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 00:00	Cunano	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 18:30	San Ignacio	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 10:30	Garrapateras	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 10:30	Majada Villalobos	Mexico	0.2
	28 Jun 2021 10:30	Salina Cruz	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 20:15	Florida	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 20:15	Mazatlan	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 01:15	Las Tinajas	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 06:00	Huajapan	Mexico	0.2
	27 Jun 2021 18:30	San Cosme	Mexico	0.1
	26 Jun 2021 22:00	La Puerta	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 19:30	La Florida	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 04:30	Barron	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 12:15	Puerto Cortes	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 12:15	El Guatamota	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 12:45	Puerto Magdalena	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 12:45	Madero Amarillo	Mexico	0.1
	26 Jun 2021 21:15	Marmol	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 22:00	Corrales	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 22:00	Aquiles Serdan	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 22:00	Ipala	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 06:00	San Francisco del Mar	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 06:00	La Majada	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 04:45	Chola	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 10:45	La Playa Colorada	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 11:30	Nadeau	United States	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 11:30	Texas City Junction	United States	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 11:30	Bayou Vista	United States	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 11:30	Texas City	United States	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 11:30	Anderson Ways	United States	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 11:30	Virginia Point	United States	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 11:30	Galveston	United States	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 11:30	Port Bolivar	United States	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 11:30	Fort Travis	United States	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 05:45	Palacios	United States	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 05:45	Collegeport	United States	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 05:45	Simpsonville	United States	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 05:45	Citrus Grove	United States	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 06:00	El Roble	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 18:30	Las Palmas	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 18:00	Buenaventura	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 05:00	Lagarto	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 00:15	La Playa	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 17:45	Adolfo Lopez Mateos	Mexico	0.1
	26 Jun 2021 18:30	Estrecho	Mexico	0.1
	26 Jun 2021 18:30	Santiago	Mexico	0.1
	26 Jun 2021 18:30	Manzanillo	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 04:15	San Juanico	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 04:15	Boca del Melgoita	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 06:45	Santo Domingo	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 10:45	La Trinadad	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 00:45	Cuitzmala	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 04:45	Bayside	United States	0.1
	26 Jun 2021 23:30	Los Inocentes	Mexico	0.1
	26 Jun 2021 21:45	Puerto Vallarta	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 01:00	Chamela	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 22:00	Queretaro	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 16:30	San Carlos	Mexico	0.1
	26 Jun 2021 21:30	Cachimba	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 06:30	Corpus Christi	United States	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 06:30	North Beach	United States	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 06:30	Gardendale	United States	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 06:30	Doyle	United States	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 06:30	Orange Grove	United States	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 06:30	Peary Place	United States	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 06:30	Portland	United States	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 06:30	Flour Bluff	United States	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 11:45	Las Pinas	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 11:45	Playa Azul	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 11:45	Melchor Ocampo	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 14:15	Santa Maria Xandani	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 14:15	Costa Rica	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 14:15	Pesqueria	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 14:15	San Dionisio del Mar	Mexico	0.1
	26 Jun 2021 23:15	Bahia Asuncion	Mexico	0.1
	26 Jun 2021 18:30	El Ciruelo	Mexico	0.1
	26 Jun 2021 18:30	Cuyutlan	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 09:00	San Jose del Cabo	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 04:15	El Tule	Mexico	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.