Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for JAWAD-21
Off-shore
04 Dec 2021 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone JAWAD-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries China
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 65 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (06 Dec 13:00 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 65 km/h 0.4 m 69 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 83 km/h 0.5 m 253 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

83 km/h

Up to 8 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 04 Dec 2021 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormChina8,392 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 03 Dec 2021 00:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 03 Dec 2021 06:00 76 -
- - - - - China
GREEN 3 03 Dec 2021 12:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 03 Dec 2021 18:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 04 Dec 2021 00:00 65 -
- - - - - China
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 04 Dec 2021 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmIndia501,688 
50-100 mmMyanmar, India, Bangladesh, Sri Lanka70,249,114
+
Myanmar88,306 
India60,079,893 
Bangladesh10,026,208 
Sri Lanka54,705 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 03 Dec 2021 00:00 201 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 03 Dec 2021 06:00 99 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 03 Dec 2021 12:00 134 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 03 Dec 2021 18:00 95 -
- - - - - India
Blue 5 04 Dec 2021 00:00 160 500 thousand
- - - - Myanmar, India, Bangladesh, Sri Lanka




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Sidongyaung, Myanmar. This height is estimated for 06 Dec 2021 13:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 04 Dec 2021 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
06 Dec 2021 13:00 Sidongyaung Myanmar  0.4
06 Dec 2021 13:00 Thechaung Myanmar  0.4
06 Dec 2021 13:00 Kanmaw Myanmar  0.4
06 Dec 2021 13:00 Bemagyauk Ywa Myanmar  0.4
06 Dec 2021 13:00 Mawgaungdon Ywa Myanmar  0.4
06 Dec 2021 13:00 Medaw Myanmar  0.4
06 Dec 2021 13:00 Tawbya Myanmar  0.4
06 Dec 2021 12:45 Thedangyi Myanmar  0.4
06 Dec 2021 12:45 Leiktaung Myanmar  0.4
06 Dec 2021 12:45 Awebindat Myanmar  0.4
06 Dec 2021 12:45 Kabyachaung Myanmar  0.4
06 Dec 2021 12:45 Yengangyi Myanmar  0.4
05 Dec 2021 02:45 Payyoli India  0.4
05 Dec 2021 02:45 Quilandi India  0.4
05 Dec 2021 02:45 Talakkolattur India  0.4
05 Dec 2021 02:45 Kozhikode India  0.4
06 Dec 2021 11:30 Sakanthit Myanmar  0.4
06 Dec 2021 11:30 Tawbyagyi Myanmar  0.4
06 Dec 2021 11:30 Wadawchaung Myanmar  0.4
05 Dec 2021 02:45 Beypore India  0.4
06 Dec 2021 11:30 Maingtwedaung Myanmar  0.4
06 Dec 2021 11:30 Kabaw Myanmar  0.4
05 Dec 2021 02:45 Chaliyam India  0.4
05 Dec 2021 02:45 Tirurangadi India  0.4
05 Dec 2021 02:45 Tanur India  0.3
06 Dec 2021 11:30 Mayanchaung Myanmar  0.3
06 Dec 2021 11:30 Ma-ainggyon Myanmar  0.3
06 Dec 2021 11:30 Pyingyi Myanmar  0.3
06 Dec 2021 11:30 Mergui Myanmar  0.3
05 Dec 2021 03:00 Tanniyurnagaram India  0.3
06 Dec 2021 11:45 Kadin Myanmar  0.3
06 Dec 2021 11:45 Shangan Myanmar  0.3
06 Dec 2021 11:45 Taungkamet Myanmar  0.3
06 Dec 2021 11:45 Kyatchaung Myanmar  0.3
06 Dec 2021 11:45 Yedwindaung Ywa Myanmar  0.3
06 Dec 2021 12:15 Tanzon Myanmar  0.3
06 Dec 2021 12:15 Sadeinchaungoya Myanmar  0.3
06 Dec 2021 11:30 Hangapru Myanmar  0.3
06 Dec 2021 11:30 Karathuri Myanmar  0.3
06 Dec 2021 12:15 Taung-pi Ywa Myanmar  0.3
06 Dec 2021 12:15 Kalonga Ywa Myanmar  0.3
06 Dec 2021 11:00 Tharawuntaungnge Myanmar  0.3
05 Dec 2021 03:00 Ponnani India  0.3
05 Dec 2021 03:00 Veliyangod India  0.3
05 Dec 2021 03:00 Kadikkad India  0.2
06 Dec 2021 11:30 Phuruk Tew Myanmar  0.2
06 Dec 2021 11:45 Ale-hman Myanmar  0.2
06 Dec 2021 11:45 Bokpyin Myanmar  0.2
06 Dec 2021 11:45 Atwin Bokpyin Myanmar  0.2
06 Dec 2021 09:45 Kanbyin Myanmar  0.2
06 Dec 2021 09:45 Kyaukpya Myanmar  0.2
06 Dec 2021 09:45 Kabingyaung Myanmar  0.2
05 Dec 2021 03:15 Manattala India  0.2
05 Dec 2021 03:15 Chavakkad India  0.2
05 Dec 2021 03:15 Guruvayur India  0.2
05 Dec 2021 03:00 Chaughat India  0.2
05 Dec 2021 03:15 Talikkulam India  0.2
06 Dec 2021 04:15 Shwe-o Myanmar  0.2
06 Dec 2021 04:15 Alanbya Myanmar  0.2
06 Dec 2021 04:15 Mokkamu Myanmar  0.2
06 Dec 2021 04:15 Boyagyi Myanmar  0.2
06 Dec 2021 04:15 Kyaikto Myanmar  0.2
06 Dec 2021 04:15 Kyaikpi Myanmar  0.2
06 Dec 2021 04:15 Kawbein Myanmar  0.2
06 Dec 2021 04:00 Damathat Myanmar  0.2
06 Dec 2021 04:00 Pauktaw Myanmar  0.2
06 Dec 2021 04:00 Zokali Myanmar  0.2
06 Dec 2021 04:00 Taungxun Myanmar  0.2
06 Dec 2021 09:45 Kye Myanmar  0.2
05 Dec 2021 10:45 Ban Tha Chat Chai Thailand  0.2
05 Dec 2021 10:45 Ban Khok Kloi Thailand  0.2
05 Dec 2021 10:45 Thalang Thailand  0.2
05 Dec 2021 10:45 Ban Muang Mai Thailand  0.2
05 Dec 2021 10:45 Ban Ao Kham Thailand  0.2
05 Dec 2021 10:45 Ban Hin Kong Thailand  0.2
05 Dec 2021 10:45 Ban Ba Kan Pa Thailand  0.2
06 Dec 2021 04:00 Thamaseikta Myanmar  0.2
06 Dec 2021 04:15 Taunggyi Myanmar  0.2
06 Dec 2021 04:00 Budin Myanmar  0.2
06 Dec 2021 04:00 Kadaik Myanmar  0.2
06 Dec 2021 04:00 Kangyisu Myanmar  0.2
06 Dec 2021 04:00 Mahameik Myanmar  0.2
05 Dec 2021 03:15 Pappinivatti India  0.2
05 Dec 2021 04:45 Bideipur India  0.2
05 Dec 2021 09:45 Ban Lui Thailand  0.2
05 Dec 2021 09:45 Ban Khlong Sai Thailand  0.2
05 Dec 2021 09:45 Ao Luk Thailand  0.2
06 Dec 2021 03:45 Tanbingyaung Myanmar  0.2
05 Dec 2021 09:45 Ban Khao Thong Tai Thailand  0.2
05 Dec 2021 09:45 Ban Nai Nang Thailand  0.2
06 Dec 2021 09:30 Palaw Myanmar  0.2
06 Dec 2021 03:45 Khindan Myanmar  0.2
06 Dec 2021 03:45 Darein Myanmar  0.2
06 Dec 2021 09:30 Ban Khao Klom Thailand  0.1
06 Dec 2021 03:45 Hngetkyidaung Myanmar  0.1
06 Dec 2021 03:45 Thegondan Myanmar  0.1
06 Dec 2021 03:45 Thaunggon Myanmar  0.1
06 Dec 2021 03:45 Kyauktan Myanmar  0.1
06 Dec 2021 03:45 Mibya Myanmar  0.1
06 Dec 2021 03:45 Kala-ywa Myanmar  0.1
06 Dec 2021 03:45 Ase-ywa Myanmar  0.1
06 Dec 2021 09:00 Ban Ai Dao Thailand  0.1
06 Dec 2021 09:00 Ban Bang Suat Thailand  0.1
06 Dec 2021 09:00 Ban Hua Hin Thailand  0.1
06 Dec 2021 09:00 Ko Lanta Thailand  0.1
06 Dec 2021 09:00 Ban Ru Yai Thailand  0.1
06 Dec 2021 09:00 Ban Na Thailand  0.1
06 Dec 2021 09:00 Ban Huai O Thailand  0.1
06 Dec 2021 09:00 Sikao Thailand  0.1
06 Dec 2021 04:15 Shangyaung Myanmar  0.1
05 Dec 2021 10:00 Ban Nua Nam Thailand  0.1
05 Dec 2021 10:00 Kanchanadit Thailand  0.1
05 Dec 2021 10:00 Ban Pak Nam Tha Thong Thailand  0.1
05 Dec 2021 10:00 Ban Don Yuan Thailand  0.1
05 Dec 2021 03:30 Cochin India  0.1
06 Dec 2021 09:15 Ban Chang Lang Thailand  0.1
06 Dec 2021 09:15 Ban Nam Rap Thailand  0.1
06 Dec 2021 09:15 Ban To Hui Thailand  0.1
06 Dec 2021 09:15 Kantang Thailand  0.1
06 Dec 2021 09:15 Ban Bawi Thailand  0.1
06 Dec 2021 09:15 Ban Na Thale Thailand  0.1
05 Dec 2021 09:45 Ban Dong Kham Thailand  0.1
05 Dec 2021 09:45 Phuket Thailand  0.1
05 Dec 2021 09:45 Ban Ko Nakha Yai Thailand  0.1
05 Dec 2021 09:45 Ban Cho Pla Lai Thailand  0.1
06 Dec 2021 09:30 Yemyitkyi Myanmar  0.1
05 Dec 2021 03:15 Mattancheri India  0.1
06 Dec 2021 09:30 Pidat Myanmar  0.1
06 Dec 2021 09:30 Palawgon Myanmar  0.1
05 Dec 2021 10:15 Ban Na Luang Thailand  0.1
05 Dec 2021 10:15 Ban Rai Prung Thailand  0.1
05 Dec 2021 10:15 Chaiya Thailand  0.1
04 Dec 2021 08:00 Ko Ra I Thailand  0.1
04 Dec 2021 08:00 Ban Kam Phuam Thailand  0.1
06 Dec 2021 09:00 Kyaukkayan Myanmar  0.1
06 Dec 2021 09:30 Kanti Myanmar  0.1
06 Dec 2021 09:00 Kanmaw Myanmar  0.1
06 Dec 2021 09:15 Bodaungseik Myanmar  0.1
05 Dec 2021 10:15 Ban Na Klua Thailand  0.1
06 Dec 2021 08:45 Ban Khon Khlan Thailand  0.1
06 Dec 2021 08:45 Palian Thailand  0.1
04 Dec 2021 15:15 Kakinada India  0.1
06 Dec 2021 05:45 Rasalpur India  0.1
06 Dec 2021 09:00 Krabi Thailand  0.1
06 Dec 2021 03:30 Paung Myanmar  0.1
05 Dec 2021 02:45 Turavur India  0.1
06 Dec 2021 09:00 Kampong Mah Puteh Myanmar  0.1
06 Dec 2021 09:00 Talok Babai Myanmar  0.1
06 Dec 2021 09:00 Pase Panjang Myanmar  0.1
06 Dec 2021 09:00 Kampong Tengah Myanmar  0.1
06 Dec 2021 09:00 Ban Sadein Myanmar  0.1
06 Dec 2021 09:00 Kampong Lama Myanmar  0.1
06 Dec 2021 08:45 Kawthaung Myanmar  0.1
06 Dec 2021 09:00 Kampong Pulo Chili Myanmar  0.1
06 Dec 2021 09:00 Ai Taut Thailand  0.1
06 Dec 2021 09:00 Ban Khlong Mak Thailand  0.1
06 Dec 2021 09:00 Ban Hua Thanon Thailand  0.1
06 Dec 2021 09:00 Bankachon Myanmar  0.1
04 Dec 2021 03:00 Vishakhapatnam India  0.1
04 Dec 2021 03:00 Chittivalasa India  0.1
04 Dec 2021 03:00 Bhimunipatnam India  0.1
04 Dec 2021 03:00 Konada India  0.1
05 Dec 2021 08:15 Ban Na Bo Thailand  0.1
06 Dec 2021 08:45 Ban Sin Hai Thailand  0.1
06 Dec 2021 09:15 Sinmadan Myanmar  0.1
05 Dec 2021 03:30 Satabhaya India  0.1
06 Dec 2021 09:00 Aukthayetchaung Myanmar  0.1
06 Dec 2021 08:45 Ban Ko Thailand  0.1
04 Dec 2021 10:45 Kyauktwin Myanmar  0.1
04 Dec 2021 10:45 Pyinbyugyi Myanmar  0.1
04 Dec 2021 10:45 Bok Myanmar  0.1
06 Dec 2021 08:30 Ban Tha Chang Thailand  0.1
05 Dec 2021 20:15 Kattumavadi India  0.1
05 Dec 2021 20:15 Atirampattinam India  0.1
06 Dec 2021 05:30 Chandipur India  0.1
04 Dec 2021 10:30 Ban Mong Klang Thailand  0.1
04 Dec 2021 10:30 Ban Ratcha Krut Thailand  0.1
04 Dec 2021 10:30 Ban Phon Rang Thailand  0.1
04 Dec 2021 02:45 Koyyam India  0.1
04 Dec 2021 02:45 Dharmavaram India  0.1
04 Dec 2021 06:45 Ranong Thailand  0.1
05 Dec 2021 03:45 Alleppey India  0.1
05 Dec 2021 08:45 Chalaung Thailand  0.1
05 Dec 2021 08:45 Ban Laem Phan Wa Thailand  0.1
04 Dec 2021 01:45 Venkatapuram India  0.1
04 Dec 2021 01:45 Pata Polvaram India  0.1
04 Dec 2021 01:45 Pudimadaka India  0.1
04 Dec 2021 08:15 Ban Thung Dap Thailand  0.1
04 Dec 2021 08:15 Ban Nok Na Thailand  0.1
04 Dec 2021 08:15 Ban Pak Chuk Thailand  0.1
04 Dec 2021 08:15 Ban Nang Chan Thailand  0.1
04 Dec 2021 08:15 Ban Ao Luk Tum Thailand  0.1
04 Dec 2021 08:15 Ban Ko Haa Thailand  0.1
04 Dec 2021 08:15 Ban Chi Boi Thailand  0.1
04 Dec 2021 08:15 Ban Ao Ek Thailand  0.1
04 Dec 2021 08:15 Ban Kok Ko Thailand  0.1
04 Dec 2021 08:15 Ban Bang Khrang Thailand  0.1
04 Dec 2021 08:15 Khura Buri Thailand  0.1
05 Dec 2021 15:45 Mudalaipalai Sri Lanka  0.1
05 Dec 2021 15:45 Kalpitiya Sri Lanka  0.1
05 Dec 2021 15:45 Karadipuval Sri Lanka  0.1
05 Dec 2021 15:45 Pomparippu Sri Lanka  0.1
05 Dec 2021 14:30 Ambalapulai India  0.1
05 Dec 2021 14:30 Haripad India  0.1
05 Dec 2021 14:30 Kayankulam India  0.1
05 Dec 2021 03:00 Hukitala India  0.1
04 Dec 2021 01:45 Pentakota India  0.1
06 Dec 2021 09:30 Nangin Myanmar  0.1
04 Dec 2021 02:15 Kelambakkam India  0.1
06 Dec 2021 09:00 Nabule Myanmar  0.1
06 Dec 2021 09:00 Pandin-in Myanmar  0.1
06 Dec 2021 09:00 Pyingyi Myanmar  0.1
06 Dec 2021 09:00 Maungmagan Myanmar  0.1
04 Dec 2021 12:15 Anin Myanmar  0.1
04 Dec 2021 12:15 Thinbawzeik Myanmar  0.1