Overall Orange Tropical Cyclone alert for GOMBE-22 in Madagascar from 07 Mar 2022 18:00 UTC to 12 Mar 2022 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for GOMBE-22

in Madagascar

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC
Primary source
WMO-RSMC La Réunion
Beta version

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone GOMBE-22 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	54 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.3 m (12 Mar 21:15 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (Madagascar)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	54 km/h	0.3 m	58 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	169 km/h	0.8 m	588 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

169 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 12 Mar 2022 18:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	07 Mar 2022 18:00	68	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	08 Mar 2022 00:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	08 Mar 2022 06:00	65	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	08 Mar 2022 12:00	50	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	08 Mar 2022 18:00	50	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	09 Mar 2022 00:00	76	-		-	-	-	-	-	Madagascar
7	09 Mar 2022 06:00	115	-		-	-	-	-	-	Madagascar
8	09 Mar 2022 12:00	122	-		-	-	-	-	-	Madagascar
9	09 Mar 2022 18:00	119	-		-	-	-	-	-	Madagascar
10	10 Mar 2022 00:00	119	-		-	-	-	-	-	Madagascar
11	10 Mar 2022 06:00	140	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	10 Mar 2022 12:00	148	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	10 Mar 2022 18:00	169	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
14	11 Mar 2022 00:00	169	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mozambique
15	11 Mar 2022 06:00	119	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mozambique
16	11 Mar 2022 12:00	61	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
17	11 Mar 2022 18:00	54	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
18	12 Mar 2022 00:00	47	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
19	12 Mar 2022 06:00	54	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
20	12 Mar 2022 12:00	58	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
21	12 Mar 2022 18:00	68	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

TOP

Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 12 Mar 2022 18:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
100-250 mm	Madagascar	31,530
50-100 mm	Democratic Republic of the Congo, Tanzania, Zambia, Mauritius, Madagascar, Mozambique, Malawi, Reunion, Eswatini, South Africa, Lesotho	9,255,901	+
	Democratic Republic of the Congo	1,136,765
	Tanzania	126
	Zambia	407,814
	Mauritius	9,029
	Madagascar	1,721,802
	Mozambique	4,548,342
	Malawi	32,329
	Reunion	9,960
	Eswatini	479,400
	South Africa	554,948
	Lesotho	355,380

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	07 Mar 2022 18:00	187	-		-	-	-	-	-	Madagascar
2	08 Mar 2022 00:00	95	-		-	-	-	-	-	Madagascar
3	08 Mar 2022 06:00	152	200 thousand			-	-	-	-	Madagascar
4	08 Mar 2022 12:00	88	-		-	-	-	-	-	Madagascar
5	08 Mar 2022 18:00	78	-		-	-	-	-	-	Zambia, Madagascar
6	09 Mar 2022 00:00	109	-		-	-	-	-	-	Madagascar
7	09 Mar 2022 06:00	119	-		-	-	-	-	-	Madagascar
8	09 Mar 2022 12:00	231	-		-	-	-	-	-	Madagascar
9	09 Mar 2022 18:00	163	-		-	-	-	-	-	Madagascar
10	10 Mar 2022 00:00	134	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	10 Mar 2022 06:00	109	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	10 Mar 2022 12:00	186	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	10 Mar 2022 18:00	181	-		-	-	-	-	-	Madagascar, Mozambique
14	11 Mar 2022 00:00	197	250 thousand			-	-	-	-	Malawi, Tanzania, Mozambique
15	11 Mar 2022 06:00	133	230 thousand			-	-	-	-	Mozambique
16	11 Mar 2022 12:00	111	3 thousand			-	-	-	-	Madagascar, Mozambique
17	11 Mar 2022 18:00	73	-		-	-	-	-	-	Madagascar
18	12 Mar 2022 00:00	44	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
19	12 Mar 2022 06:00	29	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
20	12 Mar 2022 12:00	71	-		-	-	-	-	-	Tanzania
21	12 Mar 2022 18:00	549	30 thousand			-	-	-	-	Democratic Republic of the Congo, Tanzania, Zambia, Mauritius, Madagascar, Mozambique, Malawi, Reunion, Eswatini, South Africa, Lesotho

Impact estimation for the next 72h

TOP

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.3m in Sadani, Tanzania. This height is estimated for 12 Mar 2022 21:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 12 Mar 2022 18:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	12 Mar 2022 21:15	Sadani	Tanzania	0.3
	12 Mar 2022 20:45	Ambanhe	Mozambique	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 20:45	Ampara	Mozambique	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 21:30	Mkadini	Tanzania	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 21:30	Kigongoni	Tanzania	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 21:30	Bagamoyo	Tanzania	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 21:45	Mbweni	Tanzania	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 21:45	Doriya	Tanzania	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 21:30	Zanzibar	Tanzania	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 21:30	Kiembi Samaki	Tanzania	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 21:30	Bet-el-Mali	Tanzania	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 21:30	Mchamba Wima	Tanzania	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 21:30	Kibele	Tanzania	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 21:00	Antunes	Mozambique	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 21:00	Chamba	Mozambique	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 21:00	Beira	Mozambique	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 21:00	Damiao	Mozambique	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 21:30	Fumba	Tanzania	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 21:15	Bumbwini	Tanzania	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 21:15	Donge	Tanzania	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 21:00	Manica	Mozambique	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 21:30	Mkwaja	Tanzania	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 21:00	Nova Sofala	Mozambique	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 21:15	Mkokotoni	Tanzania	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 21:15	Nhangau	Mozambique	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 21:30	Mkuuni	Tanzania	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 21:30	Metambanhe	Mozambique	0.2
	13 Mar 2022 00:00	Maconharumo	Mozambique	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 21:15	Divinhe	Mozambique	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 21:15	Chiloane	Mozambique	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 21:00	Chofandicho	Mozambique	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 21:00	Panaca	Mozambique	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 21:30	Sakura	Tanzania	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 21:30	Ushongo Mabaoni	Tanzania	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 18:45	Machesse	Mozambique	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 19:30	Ampapamena	Madagascar	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 19:30	Masokoamena	Madagascar	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 19:30	Katsepy	Madagascar	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 19:30	Majunga	Madagascar	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 19:30	Boanamary	Madagascar	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 19:30	Ampitilova	Madagascar	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 19:30	Moraharivo	Madagascar	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 19:30	Antsianitia	Madagascar	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 21:30	Bwereu	Tanzania	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 21:30	Msindaji	Tanzania	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 21:30	Mchungu	Tanzania	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 21:30	Nyambati	Tanzania	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 21:30	Salale	Tanzania	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 21:30	Kiombani	Tanzania	0.2
	13 Mar 2022 00:00	Rupia	Mozambique	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 18:45	Jonja	Mozambique	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 18:45	Bingue	Mozambique	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 18:30	Maroantsetra	Madagascar	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 18:30	Andranofotsy	Madagascar	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 18:30	Mahalevona	Madagascar	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 18:30	Ambanizana	Madagascar	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 18:30	Benjana	Madagascar	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 18:30	Anantoraka	Madagascar	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 21:30	Banda Kuu	Tanzania	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 18:15	Voloina	Madagascar	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 18:15	Manambia	Madagascar	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 18:15	Rantabe	Madagascar	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 21:30	Uzi	Tanzania	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 21:30	Mapopwe	Tanzania	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 21:30	Gazija	Tanzania	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 21:30	Gulioni	Tanzania	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 18:30	Chimuaza	Mozambique	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 18:30	Vila do Chinde	Mozambique	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 18:30	Nhamatamanga	Mozambique	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 18:30	Mulia	Mozambique	0.1
	13 Mar 2022 00:00	Tama	Mozambique	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 22:00	Chwaka	Tanzania	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 22:00	Kitogani	Tanzania	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 22:00	Kijini	Tanzania	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 22:00	Mkunguni	Tanzania	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 18:00	Maintimbato	Madagascar	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 18:00	Fananehana	Madagascar	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 18:15	Tampolo	Madagascar	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 20:15	Somanga	Tanzania	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 20:15	Pombwe	Tanzania	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 20:15	Jaja	Tanzania	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 21:45	Handeru	Tanzania	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 22:15	Ankaranakatra	Madagascar	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 22:15	Marovoha	Madagascar	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 22:15	Ampitily	Madagascar	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 22:15	Ambalatsingy	Madagascar	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 22:15	Ankinganomby	Madagascar	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 22:15	Antaribao	Madagascar	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 22:15	Anjiajia	Madagascar	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 22:15	Ambodibonara	Madagascar	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 22:15	Tsaratanana	Madagascar	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 22:15	Ampasindava	Madagascar	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 22:30	Amado	Mozambique	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 18:00	Anoromby	Madagascar	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 18:30	Manambolosy	Madagascar	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 18:30	Fahambahy	Madagascar	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 18:30	Tampolo	Madagascar	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 18:30	Andilamboahangy	Madagascar	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 18:30	Mananara	Madagascar	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 18:30	Ambatofitarafana	Madagascar	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 18:30	Ivontaka	Madagascar	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 18:30	Seranambe	Madagascar	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 21:15	Ampombilava	Madagascar	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 21:15	Andriana	Madagascar	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 21:15	Ambatoxavavy	Madagascar	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 21:15	Andrafia	Madagascar	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 21:15	Anjiabe	Madagascar	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 21:15	Nosy Faly	Madagascar	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 21:15	Ambato	Madagascar	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 20:30	Antsahampano	Madagascar	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 20:30	Ambohimena	Madagascar	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 20:30	Ambolikapika	Madagascar	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 18:00	Antalavia	Madagascar	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 22:00	Ankinganifahatelo	Madagascar	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 20:45	Mwera	Tanzania	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 21:30	Konduchi	Tanzania	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 22:00	Singalana	Madagascar	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 22:00	Antetikireja	Madagascar	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 20:30	Mbwera	Tanzania	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 20:30	Kiechuru	Tanzania	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 21:15	Magawa	Tanzania	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 20:15	Ambaliha	Madagascar	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 18:15	Barra	Mozambique	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 20:15	Matapatapa	Tanzania	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 22:15	Ambodiadabo	Madagascar	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 22:15	Androlavy	Madagascar	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 20:15	Andanivato	Madagascar	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 20:15	Ambatojoby	Madagascar	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 20:15	Mahabo	Madagascar	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 20:15	Andramy	Madagascar	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 20:15	Marotaola	Madagascar	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 18:15	Rantranavona	Madagascar	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 21:15	Kovkovu	Tanzania	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 21:15	Pangani	Tanzania	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 21:15	Vumbi	Tanzania	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 21:00	Kilindoni	Tanzania	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 20:45	Mkarangama	Tanzania	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 20:45	Chole	Tanzania	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 20:45	Kipingwe	Tanzania	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 20:45	Antanamazava	Madagascar	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 21:00	Andranira	Madagascar	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 21:00	Ambaliha	Madagascar	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 21:00	Mandrorohabe	Madagascar	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 21:00	Mailakapasy	Madagascar	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 21:00	Kisiju	Tanzania	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 22:15	Paje	Tanzania	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 22:15	Kipandoni	Tanzania	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 22:15	Hiari	Tanzania	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 21:00	Antotoro	Madagascar	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 21:00	Ampohana	Madagascar	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 21:30	Tsilambana	Madagascar	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 21:30	Andranovoribe	Madagascar	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 21:30	Analalava	Madagascar	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 21:30	Ananalava	Madagascar	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 21:45	Marovato	Madagascar	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 21:45	Ampasibe	Madagascar	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 21:30	Kilale	Tanzania	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 21:30	Dondo	Tanzania	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 21:30	Mpafu	Tanzania	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 18:15	Fampotabe	Madagascar	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 22:15	Kawi	Tanzania	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 22:15	Msasani	Tanzania	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 20:30	Manehoko	Madagascar	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 20:30	Antanimandry	Madagascar	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 20:30	Ambodibonara	Madagascar	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 20:30	Anjabe	Madagascar	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 20:30	Andranomena	Madagascar	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 20:30	Dzamandzar	Madagascar	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.