Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for ROSLYN-22
in Mexico
20 Oct 2022 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ROSLYN-22 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 76 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (20 Oct 04:45 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 76 km/h 0.3 m 248 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 216 km/h 0.5 m 483 mm 1.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

216 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 20 Oct 2022 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 20 Oct 2022 00:00 169 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 20 Oct 2022 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmMexico3,813 
50-100 mmMexico29,493 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 20 Oct 2022 00:00 769 4 thousand
- - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in El Cuyo, Mexico. This height is estimated for 20 Oct 2022 04:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 20 Oct 2022 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
20 Oct 2022 04:45 El Cuyo Mexico  0.3
20 Oct 2022 03:00 Ciudad del Carmen Mexico  0.3
20 Oct 2022 02:45 San Pedro Mexico  0.3
20 Oct 2022 02:15 Monte de Oro Mexico  0.3
20 Oct 2022 04:30 Chisahcab Mexico  0.3
20 Oct 2022 04:45 Chipepte Mexico  0.3
20 Oct 2022 02:15 Hidalgo Mexico  0.3
20 Oct 2022 02:15 Francisco I. Madero Mexico  0.3
20 Oct 2022 03:30 Boca Nueva Mexico  0.3
20 Oct 2022 03:30 Paso Real Mexico  0.3
20 Oct 2022 05:00 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.2
20 Oct 2022 05:00 Rio Lagartos Mexico  0.2
20 Oct 2022 05:15 Victoria Mexico  0.2
20 Oct 2022 02:15 Sanchez Magallanes Mexico  0.2
20 Oct 2022 04:15 Telchac Puerto Mexico  0.2
20 Oct 2022 04:15 Chabihau Mexico  0.2
20 Oct 2022 04:15 Pixoy Mexico  0.2
20 Oct 2022 02:00 Chiltepec Mexico  0.2
20 Oct 2022 04:00 Mina de Oro Mexico  0.2
20 Oct 2022 02:30 Las Barrillas Mexico  0.2
20 Oct 2022 02:30 Coatzacoalcos Mexico  0.2
20 Oct 2022 04:00 Progreso Mexico  0.2
20 Oct 2022 04:15 Chelem Mexico  0.2
20 Oct 2022 04:15 Cerrito Mexico  0.2
20 Oct 2022 05:30 Balchacah Mexico  0.2
20 Oct 2022 03:45 Sisal Mexico  0.2
20 Oct 2022 04:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
20 Oct 2022 04:00 Sabancuy Mexico  0.2
20 Oct 2022 04:00 Noham Mexico  0.2
20 Oct 2022 02:00 Tonala Mexico  0.2
20 Oct 2022 01:45 Tupilco Mexico  0.2
20 Oct 2022 03:00 Laja Mexico  0.1
20 Oct 2022 03:15 Tamiahua Mexico  0.1
20 Oct 2022 05:30 Porfirio Diaz Mexico  0.1
20 Oct 2022 05:30 Chenkan Mexico  0.1
20 Oct 2022 06:00 Arrozal Mexico  0.1
20 Oct 2022 01:45 La Guadalupe Mexico  0.1
20 Oct 2022 01:45 Monte Gordo Mexico  0.1
20 Oct 2022 01:45 Nautla Mexico  0.1
20 Oct 2022 06:00 Hoquel Mexico  0.1
20 Oct 2022 06:00 Champoton Mexico  0.1
20 Oct 2022 06:00 Haltunchen Mexico  0.1
20 Oct 2022 04:45 Real de Salinas Mexico  0.1
20 Oct 2022 04:45 Celestum Mexico  0.1
20 Oct 2022 02:15 Tecolutla Mexico  0.1
20 Oct 2022 02:45 Tenixtepec Mexico  0.1
20 Oct 2022 06:00 Santa Cruz United States  0.1
20 Oct 2022 06:00 Twin Lakes United States  0.1
20 Oct 2022 06:00 Live Oak United States  0.1
20 Oct 2022 06:00 Opal Cliffs United States  0.1
20 Oct 2022 06:00 Capitola United States  0.1
20 Oct 2022 06:00 Soquel United States  0.1
20 Oct 2022 06:00 Aptos United States  0.1
20 Oct 2022 06:00 Rio del Mar United States  0.1
20 Oct 2022 06:00 Rob Roy Junction United States  0.1
20 Oct 2022 06:00 La Selva Beach United States  0.1
20 Oct 2022 06:00 Ellicott United States  0.1
20 Oct 2022 06:00 Moss Landing United States  0.1
20 Oct 2022 06:00 Castroville United States  0.1
20 Oct 2022 06:00 Del Monte Forest United States  0.1
20 Oct 2022 06:00 Pebble Beach United States  0.1
20 Oct 2022 06:00 Carmel Highlands United States  0.1
20 Oct 2022 06:00 Carmel-by-the-Sea United States  0.1
20 Oct 2022 06:00 Pacific Grove United States  0.1
20 Oct 2022 06:00 Carmel United States  0.1
20 Oct 2022 06:00 Monterey United States  0.1
20 Oct 2022 06:00 Del Rey Oaks United States  0.1
20 Oct 2022 06:00 Workfield United States  0.1
20 Oct 2022 06:00 Seaside United States  0.1
20 Oct 2022 06:00 Ord United States  0.1
20 Oct 2022 06:00 Marina United States  0.1
20 Oct 2022 06:00 Neponset United States  0.1
20 Oct 2022 06:00 Nashua United States  0.1
20 Oct 2022 04:30 Guerrero Mexico  0.1
20 Oct 2022 03:45 Boqueron Mexico  0.1
20 Oct 2022 03:45 Pasito de la Senora Mexico  0.1
20 Oct 2022 03:15 Arista Mexico  0.1
20 Oct 2022 04:30 Condega Honduras  0.1
20 Oct 2022 04:30 Cedeno Honduras  0.1
20 Oct 2022 04:30 Mangle Alto Nicaragua  0.1
20 Oct 2022 04:30 Albania Honduras  0.1
20 Oct 2022 03:15 Buenavista Mexico  0.1
20 Oct 2022 04:45 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.1
20 Oct 2022 04:45 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.1
20 Oct 2022 03:45 Solo Dios Mexico  0.1