Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for BIPARJOY-23
in India, Pakistan

Impact

Tropical Cyclone BIPARJOY-23 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries India, Pakistan
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 97 km/h
Maximum storm surge 1.5 m (16 Jun 02:15 UTC)
Vulnerability High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 97 km/h 1.5 m 459 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 97 km/h 1.7 m 2147 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

97 km/h

Up to 6 million can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 15 Jun 2023 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormIndia, Pakistan5,995,249
+
India5,203,248 
Pakistan792,000 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 06 Jun 2023 00:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 06 Jun 2023 12:00 119 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 07 Jun 2023 00:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 07 Jun 2023 12:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 08 Jun 2023 00:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 08 Jun 2023 12:00 126 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 09 Jun 2023 00:00 126 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 09 Jun 2023 12:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 10 Jun 2023 00:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 10 Jun 2023 12:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 11 Jun 2023 00:00 130 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 11 Jun 2023 12:00 133 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 12 Jun 2023 00:00 148 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 12 Jun 2023 12:00 130 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 13 Jun 2023 00:00 126 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 13 Jun 2023 12:00 112 -
- - - - - Oman
GREEN 17 14 Jun 2023 00:00 115 -
- - - - - India, Oman
GREEN 18 14 Jun 2023 12:00 112 -
- - - - - Pakistan, India, Oman
GREEN 19 15 Jun 2023 00:00 90 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 20 15 Jun 2023 12:00 104 -
- - - - - India, Pakistan
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 15 Jun 2023 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmIndia, Pakistan3,949,552
+
India3,803,865 
Pakistan145,687 
100-250 mmIndia, Pakistan16,187,175
+
India15,285,924 
Pakistan901,250 
50-100 mmIndia, Pakistan10,163,902
+
India9,161,667 
Pakistan1,002,234 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 06 Jun 2023 00:00 303 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 06 Jun 2023 12:00 758 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 07 Jun 2023 00:00 699 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 07 Jun 2023 12:00 373 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 08 Jun 2023 00:00 472 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 08 Jun 2023 12:00 318 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 09 Jun 2023 00:00 263 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 09 Jun 2023 12:00 321 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 10 Jun 2023 00:00 356 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 10 Jun 2023 12:00 543 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 11 Jun 2023 00:00 366 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 11 Jun 2023 12:00 458 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 12 Jun 2023 00:00 482 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 12 Jun 2023 12:00 513 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 13 Jun 2023 00:00 805 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 13 Jun 2023 12:00 619 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 14 Jun 2023 00:00 482 - - - - - - -
Blue 18 14 Jun 2023 12:00 1056 - - - - - - -
Blue 19 15 Jun 2023 00:00 330 -
- - - - - India
Blue 20 15 Jun 2023 12:00 813 20.1 million
- - - India, Pakistan




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

1.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  1.5m in New Kandla, India. This height is estimated for 16 Jun 2023 02:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 15 Jun 2023 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
16 Jun 2023 02:15 New Kandla India  1.5
16 Jun 2023 02:15 Tuna India  1.5
16 Jun 2023 02:00 Jodiya India  1.4
16 Jun 2023 04:30 Akri India  1.2
16 Jun 2023 01:30 Jambura India  1.2
15 Jun 2023 15:15 Suthri India  1.2
15 Jun 2023 13:00 Navinal India  1.1
15 Jun 2023 13:00 Mundra India  1.1
15 Jun 2023 15:30 Mandvi India  1.1
15 Jun 2023 15:30 Bhadia India  1.1
16 Jun 2023 08:45 Kambhat India  1.1
16 Jun 2023 08:45 Kavi India  1.1
16 Jun 2023 08:45 Sarod India  1.1
16 Jun 2023 08:45 Wadgam India  1.0
16 Jun 2023 02:45 Sika India  1.0
16 Jun 2023 03:15 Jhankhar India  1.0
16 Jun 2023 07:00 Asarsa India  0.9
16 Jun 2023 02:30 Salaya India  0.9
16 Jun 2023 03:00 Chudeswar India  0.9
15 Jun 2023 15:45 Okha India  0.8
15 Jun 2023 15:45 Aramda India  0.8
15 Jun 2023 14:15 Gadechi India  0.8
16 Jun 2023 07:00 Harinagar India  0.8
16 Jun 2023 06:45 Dahej India  0.8
15 Jun 2023 21:30 Ghogha India  0.7
15 Jun 2023 14:00 Dwarka India  0.7
16 Jun 2023 04:45 Bhagva India  0.7
16 Jun 2023 04:45 Olpad India  0.7
16 Jun 2023 03:45 Damka India  0.6
16 Jun 2023 03:30 Surat India  0.6
16 Jun 2023 03:30 Jalalpur India  0.6
16 Jun 2023 03:30 Mahuver India  0.6
16 Jun 2023 03:30 Navsari India  0.6
16 Jun 2023 03:45 Nausari India  0.6
16 Jun 2023 03:45 Dharasana India  0.6
16 Jun 2023 03:45 Bilimora India  0.6
16 Jun 2023 03:45 Valsad India  0.6
15 Jun 2023 14:15 Madhi India  0.6
15 Jun 2023 12:30 Ghuar Mota India  0.5
16 Jun 2023 02:30 Kotada India  0.5
15 Jun 2023 14:00 Mahuva India  0.5
15 Jun 2023 14:45 Kathiwadar Bandar India  0.5
15 Jun 2023 14:00 Bhogat India  0.5
15 Jun 2023 14:00 Lamba India  0.5
15 Jun 2023 14:00 Miyani India  0.5
16 Jun 2023 02:30 Daman India  0.5
16 Jun 2023 02:30 Udvada India  0.5
15 Jun 2023 14:45 Porbandar India  0.4
15 Jun 2023 14:45 Adodar India  0.4
16 Jun 2023 02:15 Maroli India  0.4
15 Jun 2023 15:00 Ratia India  0.4
15 Jun 2023 14:15 Jafarabad India  0.4
16 Jun 2023 02:00 Gholvad India  0.4
16 Jun 2023 02:00 Malyan India  0.4
16 Jun 2023 02:00 Bordi India  0.4
16 Jun 2023 02:00 Umbargam India  0.4
16 Jun 2023 02:15 Sakhare India  0.4
15 Jun 2023 15:00 Gorser India  0.4
16 Jun 2023 02:00 Tarapur India  0.4
16 Jun 2023 01:30 Shirgaon India  0.4
16 Jun 2023 01:30 Palghar India  0.4
16 Jun 2023 01:30 Mahim India  0.4
16 Jun 2023 01:30 Boisar India  0.4
15 Jun 2023 23:45 Nalasopara India  0.4
15 Jun 2023 23:45 Agashi India  0.4
15 Jun 2023 23:45 Dongri India  0.4
15 Jun 2023 23:45 Vasai India  0.4
15 Jun 2023 23:45 Mira Bhayandar India  0.4
15 Jun 2023 23:45 Navghar India  0.4
15 Jun 2023 16:45 Cheru Pakistan  0.4
15 Jun 2023 16:45 Sonmiani Pakistan  0.4
15 Jun 2023 14:15 Dharabandar India  0.4
15 Jun 2023 14:15 Rohisa India  0.4
15 Jun 2023 14:30 Shil India  0.3
15 Jun 2023 14:15 Mangrol India  0.3
15 Jun 2023 16:15 Naka Kharari Pakistan  0.3
15 Jun 2023 16:15 Gadani Pakistan  0.3
15 Jun 2023 16:00 Nawabandar India  0.3
15 Jun 2023 16:15 Brar Pakistan  0.3
15 Jun 2023 16:15 Isa Pakistan  0.3
16 Jun 2023 14:45 Al Khaluf Oman  0.3
16 Jun 2023 14:45 Filim Oman  0.3
15 Jun 2023 16:30 Ras Muari Pakistan  0.3
15 Jun 2023 16:30 Goth Haji Muhammad Pakistan  0.3
15 Jun 2023 16:00 Goth Lashkari Pakistan  0.3
16 Jun 2023 01:45 Malad India  0.3
16 Jun 2023 01:45 Mumbai India  0.3
16 Jun 2023 01:45 Asumumbay India  0.3
16 Jun 2023 01:45 Uran India  0.3
16 Jun 2023 01:45 Trombay India  0.3
16 Jun 2023 01:45 Diva India  0.3
16 Jun 2023 01:45 Taloje India  0.3
16 Jun 2023 00:00 Mandve India  0.3
15 Jun 2023 15:00 Chorwad India  0.3
15 Jun 2023 15:00 Veraval India  0.3
15 Jun 2023 12:00 Bambu Khan Pakistan  0.3
15 Jun 2023 15:45 Delvada India  0.3
15 Jun 2023 15:45 Keti Pakistan  0.3
15 Jun 2023 15:15 Dangarvadi India  0.3
15 Jun 2023 20:30 Pahel Iran  0.3
15 Jun 2023 20:30 Bandar-e Laft Iran  0.3
15 Jun 2023 20:30 Laft Iran  0.3
15 Jun 2023 20:30 Payi Pusht Iran  0.3
15 Jun 2023 12:00 Jhol Pakistan  0.3
15 Jun 2023 15:00 Somnath India  0.3
15 Jun 2023 20:30 Bandar-e Suza Iran  0.3
15 Jun 2023 20:30 Bandar-e Dargaham Iran  0.3
16 Jun 2023 02:45 Abu Dhabi United Arab Emirates  0.3
15 Jun 2023 15:00 Lodhwa India  0.3
15 Jun 2023 15:00 Kodinar India  0.3
15 Jun 2023 15:00 Kotra Nes India  0.3
15 Jun 2023 15:15 Sutrapada India  0.3
15 Jun 2023 12:00 Goth Jumo Pakistan  0.3
15 Jun 2023 19:45 Dogerdan Iran  0.3
15 Jun 2023 23:30 Alibag India  0.2
15 Jun 2023 14:00 Ormara Raik Pakistan  0.2
15 Jun 2023 14:00 Ormara Pakistan  0.2
15 Jun 2023 23:15 Revadanda India  0.2
15 Jun 2023 19:15 Basaidu Iran  0.2
15 Jun 2023 19:15 Dustku Iran  0.2
15 Jun 2023 19:15 Chahu Shomali Iran  0.2
15 Jun 2023 13:45 Balaru Pakistan  0.2
15 Jun 2023 18:45 Bandar Suflin Iran  0.2
15 Jun 2023 15:15 Malan Pakistan  0.2
15 Jun 2023 17:15 Kuhestak Iran  0.2
17 Jun 2023 15:15 Sur Masirah Oman  0.2
15 Jun 2023 20:00 Bandar-e Band-e Iran  0.2
17 Jun 2023 15:15 Al Kalban Oman  0.2
17 Jun 2023 15:15 Mursays Oman  0.2
17 Jun 2023 15:15 Hiql Oman  0.2
17 Jun 2023 15:15 Dawwah Oman  0.2
17 Jun 2023 15:15 Maghilah Oman  0.2
15 Jun 2023 18:30 Hormoz Iran  0.2
15 Jun 2023 18:30 Arzeni Iran  0.2
15 Jun 2023 17:30 Khargun Iran  0.2
15 Jun 2023 21:15 Jimeirah United Arab Emirates  0.2
15 Jun 2023 21:15 Dubai United Arab Emirates  0.2
15 Jun 2023 19:45 Band-e Kong Iran  0.2
15 Jun 2023 18:00 Qeshm Iran  0.2
15 Jun 2023 18:00 Larak Kuhi Iran  0.2
15 Jun 2023 15:15 Kereti Iran  0.2
15 Jun 2023 15:15 Khowr Rapch Iran  0.2
15 Jun 2023 22:45 Ash Shariqah United Arab Emirates  0.2
15 Jun 2023 22:45 Ajman United Arab Emirates  0.2
15 Jun 2023 14:45 Kalat Pakistan  0.2
15 Jun 2023 14:45 Makola Pakistan  0.2
16 Jun 2023 00:00 Bandar Abbas Iran  0.2
15 Jun 2023 19:30 Bandar-e Lengeh Iran  0.2
15 Jun 2023 17:00 Sirik Iran  0.2
15 Jun 2023 16:45 Berizak Iran  0.2
15 Jun 2023 16:45 Bala Boland Iran  0.2
15 Jun 2023 15:45 Tawi Bedi Guish Oman  0.2
15 Jun 2023 15:45 Khadra' Oman  0.2
15 Jun 2023 15:45 As Suwayq Oman  0.2
15 Jun 2023 15:45 Al Mudayq Oman  0.2
15 Jun 2023 15:45 Masnaah Oman  0.2
15 Jun 2023 21:15 Safain Iran  0.2
15 Jun 2023 21:15 Masheh Iran  0.2
15 Jun 2023 16:15 Hisn Diba United Arab Emirates  0.2
15 Jun 2023 16:15 Haffah Oman  0.2
15 Jun 2023 15:45 Bu 'Abali Oman  0.2
15 Jun 2023 15:45 Abu 'Abali Oman  0.2
15 Jun 2023 15:45 Suwadi al Batsa' Oman  0.2
15 Jun 2023 15:45 Billa Oman  0.2
15 Jun 2023 15:45 Murayjat Oman  0.2
15 Jun 2023 16:15 Miski Iran  0.2
17 Jun 2023 15:00 'Urf Oman  0.2
15 Jun 2023 21:00 Tasuneh Iran  0.2
15 Jun 2023 21:00 Band-e Hasineh Iran  0.2
15 Jun 2023 19:45 Molgarat Iran  0.2
15 Jun 2023 16:15 Limah Oman  0.2
16 Jun 2023 14:15 Pasni Pakistan  0.2
16 Jun 2023 14:15 Miski Pakistan  0.2
16 Jun 2023 00:00 Al Khasab Oman  0.2
16 Jun 2023 00:00 Ash Shishah Oman  0.2
15 Jun 2023 16:00 Khawr Kalba United Arab Emirates  0.2
15 Jun 2023 16:00 Bu Baqarah Oman  0.2
15 Jun 2023 16:00 Shinas Oman  0.2
15 Jun 2023 20:30 Bandar-e Moghuyen Iran  0.2
15 Jun 2023 19:45 Bustaneh Iran  0.2
15 Jun 2023 16:15 Adgat United Arab Emirates  0.2
15 Jun 2023 14:00 Al Jumaylah Oman  0.2
15 Jun 2023 14:00 Ra's ar Ru'ays Oman  0.2
15 Jun 2023 21:45 Umm al Qaywayn United Arab Emirates  0.2
15 Jun 2023 23:30 Kumza Oman  0.2
15 Jun 2023 16:15 Kooh Mobarak Iran  0.2
15 Jun 2023 14:45 Gurdim Iran  0.2
15 Jun 2023 14:45 Guraim Iran  0.2
15 Jun 2023 14:45 Dorri Iran  0.2
15 Jun 2023 14:45 Pozm Tiab Iran  0.2
15 Jun 2023 14:45 Machan Iran  0.2
15 Jun 2023 14:45 Konarak Iran  0.2
16 Jun 2023 06:30 Rumra Pakistan  0.2
15 Jun 2023 18:45 Bandar-e Guran Iran  0.2
15 Jun 2023 18:45 Salagh Iran  0.2
16 Jun 2023 00:30 Khammasi Iran  0.2
15 Jun 2023 18:15 Tabl Iran  0.2
15 Jun 2023 15:30 Dawanij Oman  0.2
15 Jun 2023 15:30 Al Liwa Oman  0.2
16 Jun 2023 00:30 Bukha Oman  0.2
15 Jun 2023 14:30 Pusht Iran  0.2
15 Jun 2023 14:30 Pesabandar Iran  0.2
15 Jun 2023 15:45 Barka Oman  0.2
15 Jun 2023 15:45 Manumah Oman  0.2
15 Jun 2023 15:45 Sib Oman  0.2
16 Jun 2023 00:15 Jazirat Al Hamra United Arab Emirates  0.2
15 Jun 2023 18:15 Direstan Iran  0.2
17 Jun 2023 15:15 Dafiyat Oman  0.2
17 Jun 2023 15:15 Dhuwwah Oman  0.2
16 Jun 2023 00:00 Ras Al Khaymah United Arab Emirates  0.2
16 Jun 2023 00:00 Ar Rams United Arab Emirates  0.2
16 Jun 2023 00:00 Ghalilah United Arab Emirates  0.2
15 Jun 2023 15:45 Baghan Iran  0.2
15 Jun 2023 15:15 Al Ashkharah Oman  0.2
15 Jun 2023 15:30 As Sahm Oman  0.2
15 Jun 2023 15:30 Dayl Oman  0.2
15 Jun 2023 15:30 Al Qasabiyat Oman  0.2
15 Jun 2023 15:30 Al Khaburah Oman  0.2
15 Jun 2023 15:30 Vanak Iran  0.2
15 Jun 2023 22:30 Khalil Oman  0.2
15 Jun 2023 22:15 Qasabiyat az Za'ab Oman  0.2
15 Jun 2023 16:45 Pishukan Pakistan  0.2
15 Jun 2023 16:45 Akara Pakistan  0.2
15 Jun 2023 16:45 Gwadar Pakistan  0.2
15 Jun 2023 14:15 Jiwani Pakistan  0.2
15 Jun 2023 15:30 Tis Iran  0.2
15 Jun 2023 15:30 Chah Bahar Iran  0.2
15 Jun 2023 23:30 Murud India  0.2
15 Jun 2023 16:30 Jask-e Kohneh Iran  0.2
15 Jun 2023 16:30 Jask Iran  0.2
15 Jun 2023 23:15 Mawalis Oman  0.2
15 Jun 2023 15:45 Suhar Oman  0.2
15 Jun 2023 16:15 Khawr Fakkan United Arab Emirates  0.2
15 Jun 2023 15:30 Al 'Uwaynat Oman  0.2
15 Jun 2023 21:15 Bi'r Bira' Oman  0.2
15 Jun 2023 21:15 Bilad as Sur Oman  0.2
15 Jun 2023 21:15 Sur Oman  0.2
15 Jun 2023 16:00 Karap Iran  0.2
15 Jun 2023 15:15 Bayahi Iran  0.2
15 Jun 2023 16:00 Al Fujayrah United Arab Emirates  0.2
15 Jun 2023 16:00 Al Qurayyah United Arab Emirates  0.2
15 Jun 2023 16:00 Kalba United Arab Emirates  0.2
15 Jun 2023 14:30 Barambah Pakistan  0.2
15 Jun 2023 22:45 Azaiba Oman  0.2
15 Jun 2023 22:45 Mina' al Fahl Oman  0.2
15 Jun 2023 15:45 Ahmadizeh Iran  0.2
15 Jun 2023 15:30 Sam Iran  0.2
15 Jun 2023 15:30 Beris Iran  0.2
15 Jun 2023 14:30 Kamshahr Iran  0.2
15 Jun 2023 15:15 Derangu Iran  0.2
15 Jun 2023 15:15 Bir Iran  0.2
15 Jun 2023 23:00 Matrah Oman  0.2
15 Jun 2023 23:00 Masqat Oman  0.2
15 Jun 2023 23:00 Al Bustan Oman  0.2
15 Jun 2023 23:15 Agar Panchaitan India  0.2
15 Jun 2023 15:30 Guran Kosh-E Pa'in Iran  0.2
15 Jun 2023 15:30 Kachow Iran  0.2
15 Jun 2023 16:45 As Sifah Oman  0.2
15 Jun 2023 16:45 Ramlah Oman  0.2
15 Jun 2023 16:45 Quryat Oman  0.2
15 Jun 2023 15:45 Yiti Oman  0.2
15 Jun 2023 15:30 Baleh Sar Iran  0.2
15 Jun 2023 15:30 Kizhdab Iran  0.2
16 Jun 2023 14:15 As Sirab Oman  0.2
16 Jun 2023 02:15 Srivardhan India  0.2
16 Jun 2023 02:15 Bankot India  0.2
15 Jun 2023 14:45 Ramin Iran  0.1
15 Jun 2023 15:15 Had Oman  0.1
15 Jun 2023 22:00 Daghmar Oman  0.1
15 Jun 2023 22:00 Dibab Oman  0.1
15 Jun 2023 22:00 Bimmah Oman  0.1
15 Jun 2023 14:30 Sharkh Oman  0.1
15 Jun 2023 22:45 Qalhat Oman  0.1
15 Jun 2023 23:00 Fins Oman  0.1
15 Jun 2023 22:45 Kelshi India  0.1
15 Jun 2023 14:45 Ghalat Oman  0.1
15 Jun 2023 22:30 Tiwi Oman  0.1
15 Jun 2023 22:30 Anjanwel India  0.1
15 Jun 2023 15:45 Duqm Oman  0.1
15 Jun 2023 15:45 Nafun Oman  0.1
16 Jun 2023 15:00 Shiinzi Oman  0.1