Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for TIFFANY-22 in Australia from 09 Jan 2022 06:00 UTC to 12 Jan 2022 00:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for TIFFANY-22

in Australia

11 Jan 2022 12 UTC

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone TIFFANY-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries	Australia
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	79 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.7 m (11 Jan 22:15 UTC)
Vulnerability	Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	79 km/h	0.7 m	141 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	101 km/h	0.7 m	430 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

101 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 11 Jan 2022 12:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	Australia	14

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	09 Jan 2022 06:00	68	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	09 Jan 2022 12:00	101	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	09 Jan 2022 18:00	101	-		-	-	-	-	-	Australia
4	10 Jan 2022 00:00	90	-		-	-	-	-	-	Australia
5	10 Jan 2022 06:00	68	-		-	-	-	-	-	Australia
6	10 Jan 2022 12:00	54	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	10 Jan 2022 18:00	65	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	11 Jan 2022 00:00	68	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	11 Jan 2022 06:00	72	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	11 Jan 2022 12:00	83	-		-	-	-	-	-	Australia

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 11 Jan 2022 12:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
250-500 mm	Australia	777
100-250 mm	Papua New Guinea, Australia	82,256	+
	Papua New Guinea	8,242
	Australia	74,013
50-100 mm	Papua New Guinea, Indonesia, Australia	1,381,099	+
	Papua New Guinea	1,287,571
	Indonesia	451
	Australia	93,075

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	09 Jan 2022 06:00	130	-		-	-	-	-	-	Australia
2	09 Jan 2022 12:00	157	-		-	-	-	-	-	Australia
3	09 Jan 2022 18:00	187	Few people			-	-	-	-	Australia
4	10 Jan 2022 00:00	138	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	10 Jan 2022 06:00	96	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	10 Jan 2022 12:00	54	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	10 Jan 2022 18:00	58	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	11 Jan 2022 00:00	108	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	11 Jan 2022 06:00	220	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	11 Jan 2022 12:00	468	80 thousand				-	-	-	Papua New Guinea, Indonesia, Australia

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.7 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 11 Jan 2022 12:00 UTC

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.