Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for SONGDA-22
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone SONGDA-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Mongolia, China, South Korea, Japan
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 86 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.6 m (01 Aug 06:45 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 86 km/h 0.6 m 95 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 86 km/h 0.7 m 378 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

86 km/h

Up to 40 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 30 Jul 2022 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMongolia, China, South Korea, Japan40,399
+
Mongolia148 
South Korea11,389 
Japan28,860 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 29 Jul 2022 00:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 29 Jul 2022 06:00 79 -
- - - - - Mongolia, China, Japan
GREEN 3 29 Jul 2022 12:00 72 -
- - - - - Japan
GREEN 4 29 Jul 2022 18:00 83 -
- - - - - Mongolia, China
GREEN 5 30 Jul 2022 00:00 94 -
- - - - - Mongolia, China, South Korea, Japan
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 30 Jul 2022 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmPhilippines43,762 
100-250 mmRussia, Japan, North Korea, China, South Korea, Taiwan, Vietnam, Philippines, Laos, Cambodia28,914,455
+
Russia228,857 
Japan125,007 
North Korea12,610,623 
China341,785 
South Korea777,802 
Taiwan824 
Vietnam906,241 
Philippines13,921,409 
Laos447 
Cambodia1,453 
50-100 mmRussia, Japan, North Korea, China, South Korea, Taiwan, Vietnam, Philippines, Laos, Thailand, Cambodia66,039,216
+
Russia55,086 
Japan2,353,879 
North Korea6,723,595 
China8,167,449 
South Korea6,357,282 
Taiwan3,041,473 
Vietnam15,437,702 
Philippines23,123,474 
Laos548,794 
Thailand4,594 
Cambodia225,884 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 29 Jul 2022 00:00 128 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 29 Jul 2022 06:00 75 -
- - - - - China
Blue 3 29 Jul 2022 12:00 66 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 29 Jul 2022 18:00 86 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 30 Jul 2022 00:00 288 29 million
- - - Russia, Japan, North Korea, China, South Korea, Taiwan, Vietnam, Philippines, Laos, Thailand, Cambodia




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.6 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 30 Jul 2022 00:00 UTC