Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for SONGDA-22
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone SONGDA-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Mongolia, China, South Korea, Japan
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 86 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.7 m (31 Jul 03:15 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 86 km/h 0.7 m 378 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 86 km/h 0.7 m 378 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

86 km/h

Up to 120 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 31 Jul 2022 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMongolia, China, South Korea, Japan120,315
+
Mongolia1,288 
China33,026 
South Korea737 
Japan85,262 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 29 Jul 2022 00:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 29 Jul 2022 06:00 79 -
- - - - - Mongolia, China, Japan
GREEN 3 29 Jul 2022 12:00 72 -
- - - - - Japan
GREEN 4 29 Jul 2022 18:00 83 -
- - - - - Mongolia, China
GREEN 5 30 Jul 2022 00:00 86 -
- - - - - Mongolia, China
GREEN 6 30 Jul 2022 06:00 79 -
- - - - - Mongolia
GREEN 7 30 Jul 2022 12:00 68 -
- - - - - Japan
GREEN 8 30 Jul 2022 18:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 31 Jul 2022 00:00 79 -
- - - - - China, South Korea, Japan
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 31 Jul 2022 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmJapan, Russia, North Korea, South Korea, Taiwan, China, Philippines, Vietnam31,417,063
+
China3,432 
Japan2,639,578 
Russia305 
North Korea2,083,492 
South Korea62,203 
Taiwan715,694 
Vietnam377,421 
Philippines25,534,935 
50-100 mmChina, Japan, Russia, North Korea, South Korea, Taiwan, Hong Kong, Vietnam, Philippines, Laos, Thailand, Cambodia114,592,663
+
China31,029,757 
Japan11,046,345 
Russia179,686 
North Korea15,255,829 
South Korea14,055,972 
Taiwan6,531,282 
Hong Kong16,232 
Vietnam15,850,787 
Philippines19,187,857 
Laos1,250,274 
Thailand4,608 
Cambodia184,031 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 29 Jul 2022 00:00 128 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 29 Jul 2022 06:00 75 -
- - - - - China
Blue 3 29 Jul 2022 12:00 66 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 29 Jul 2022 18:00 86 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 30 Jul 2022 00:00 95 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 30 Jul 2022 06:00 81 -
- - - - - China, Vietnam
Blue 7 30 Jul 2022 12:00 87 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 30 Jul 2022 18:00 115 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 31 Jul 2022 00:00 231 3.7 million
- - - - China, Japan, Russia, North Korea, South Korea, Taiwan, Vietnam, Philippines, Laos, Thailand




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.7 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 31 Jul 2022 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
0.5 - 1.0 mChina45,778 
0.25 - 0.5 mRussia, Japan, China, North Korea, South Korea, Hong Kong, Vietnam, Philippines7,712,820
+
Russia28 
Japan661,694 
China5,974,877 
North Korea120,054 
South Korea267,552 
Hong Kong110,973 
Vietnam425,670 
Philippines151,969 

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 31 Jul 2022 00:00 UTC