Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for NANMADOL-22
in Japan

Impact

Tropical Cyclone NANMADOL-22 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries Russia, China, Japan
Exposed population Few people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 140 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.8 m (13 Sep 11:15 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Japan)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 140 km/h 0.8 m 293 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 130 km/h 2.1 m 735 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

130 km/h

Up to Few people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 13 Sep 2022 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 1China328 
Tropical StormRussia, China, Japan10,816,847
+
Russia657 
China10,805,174 
Japan11,015 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 12 Sep 2022 00:00 162 Few people
- - - - Japan
GREEN 2 12 Sep 2022 12:00 133 Few people
- - - - Japan
GREEN 3 13 Sep 2022 00:00 140 Few people
- - - - Russia, China, Japan
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 13 Sep 2022 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmChina8,705 
100-250 mmChina, South Korea, Japan, Taiwan, Philippines, Malaysia86,818,963
+
China86,590,774 
South Korea2,364 
Japan183,633 
Taiwan28,081 
Philippines13,852 
Malaysia256 
50-100 mmChina, North Korea, South Korea, Japan, Taiwan, Northern Mariana Islands, Philippines, Guam, Malaysia139,093,840
+
China132,229,284 
North Korea394,065 
South Korea72,164 
Japan541,799 
Taiwan1,627,703 
Northern Mariana Islands53,511 
Philippines4,166,485 
Guam389 
Malaysia8,437 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 12 Sep 2022 00:00 243 3 thousand
- - - - China, Taiwan, Japan
Blue 2 12 Sep 2022 12:00 193 140 thousand
- - - - Taiwan, Japan
Blue 3 13 Sep 2022 00:00 319 86.8 million
- - - China, North Korea, South Korea, Japan, Taiwan, Northern Mariana Islands, Philippines, Guam, Malaysia




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.8 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 13 Sep 2022 00:00 UTC