Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for NANMADOL-22
in Japan
20 Sep 2022 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone NANMADOL-22 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries Russia, Japan, China, North Korea, South Korea
Exposed population Few people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 130 km/h
Maximum storm surge 2.1 m (14 Sep 16:30 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Japan)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 130 km/h 2.1 m 735 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 130 km/h 2.1 m 735 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

130 km/h

Up to Few people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 20 Sep 2022 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 1Japan299 
Tropical StormRussia, Japan, China, North Korea, South Korea15,199,054
+
Russia2,284 
Japan5,316,637 
China9,845,719 
North Korea3,956 
South Korea30,456 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 12 Sep 2022 00:00 162 Few people
- - - - Japan
GREEN 2 12 Sep 2022 12:00 133 Few people
- - - - Japan
GREEN 3 13 Sep 2022 00:00 140 -
- - - - - Japan
GREEN 4 13 Sep 2022 12:00 119 -
- - - - - Russia, China
GREEN 5 14 Sep 2022 00:00 119 -
- - - - - Russia, China, Japan
GREEN 6 14 Sep 2022 12:00 112 -
- - - - - China, Japan
GREEN 7 15 Sep 2022 00:00 86 -
- - - - - China, Japan
GREEN 8 15 Sep 2022 12:00 79 -
- - - - - China
GREEN 9 16 Sep 2022 00:00 94 -
- - - - - China, North Korea
GREEN 10 16 Sep 2022 12:00 119 -
- - - - - Japan
GREEN 11 17 Sep 2022 00:00 126 -
- - - - - Japan
GREEN 12 17 Sep 2022 12:00 119 -
- - - - - Japan
GREEN 13 18 Sep 2022 00:00 140 -
- - - - - Japan, South Korea
GREEN 14 18 Sep 2022 12:00 104 -
- - - - - South Korea, Japan
GREEN 15 19 Sep 2022 00:00 101 -
- - - - - North Korea, South Korea, Japan
GREEN 16 19 Sep 2022 12:00 104 -
- - - - - Russia, Japan, South Korea
GREEN 17 20 Sep 2022 00:00 68 -
- - - - - China, Japan
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 20 Sep 2022 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
500-750 mmJapan26,869 
250-500 mmChina, Japan, Taiwan, Philippines7,268,356
+
China4,802,030 
Japan2,201,877 
Taiwan136,013 
Philippines128,435 
100-250 mmJapan, Russia, China, North Korea, South Korea, Taiwan, Philippines, Northern Mariana Islands, Guam, Micronesia, Palau, Malaysia217,723,985
+
Russia4,390 
China125,486,228 
Japan36,352,707 
North Korea2,165,788 
South Korea4,177,289 
Taiwan9,251,205 
Philippines39,901,351 
Northern Mariana Islands55,070 
Guam169,884 
Micronesia349 
Palau19,078 
Malaysia140,642 
50-100 mmRussia, China, Japan, North Korea, South Korea, Taiwan, Philippines, Micronesia, Palau, Malaysia209,309,994
+
Russia257,503 
China83,020,080 
Japan74,280,709 
North Korea6,542,739 
South Korea4,797,712 
Taiwan2,593,712 
Philippines36,572,212 
Micronesia55,594 
Palau1,974 
Malaysia1,187,755 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 12 Sep 2022 00:00 243 3 thousand
- - - - China, Taiwan, Japan
Blue 2 12 Sep 2022 12:00 193 140 thousand
- - - - Taiwan, Japan
Blue 3 13 Sep 2022 00:00 293 Few people
- - - - Taiwan
Blue 4 13 Sep 2022 12:00 200 800 thousand
- - - - China
Blue 5 14 Sep 2022 00:00 224 6.5 million
- - - - China
Blue 6 14 Sep 2022 12:00 106 -
- - - - - China
Blue 7 15 Sep 2022 00:00 127 Few people
- - - - China, Philippines
Blue 8 15 Sep 2022 12:00 109 -
- - - - - China, North Korea, Philippines
Blue 9 16 Sep 2022 00:00 120 430 thousand
- - - - China, North Korea
Blue 10 16 Sep 2022 12:00 140 -
- - - - - China, Russia, Japan
Blue 11 17 Sep 2022 00:00 216 2 thousand
- - - - Japan
Blue 12 17 Sep 2022 12:00 188 4 thousand
- - - - Japan
Blue 13 18 Sep 2022 00:00 343 3.1 million
- - - Japan, Philippines
Blue 14 18 Sep 2022 12:00 221 1.9 million
- - - - Japan, Russia, South Korea
Blue 15 19 Sep 2022 00:00 209 5 thousand
- - - - Japan, Philippines, Malaysia
Blue 16 19 Sep 2022 12:00 154 40 thousand
- - - - Japan, Russia
Blue 17 20 Sep 2022 00:00 198 110 thousand
- - - - China, North Korea, Japan, Taiwan, Philippines, Malaysia




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

2.1 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 20 Sep 2022 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
2.0 - 3.0 mChina130,268 
1.0 - 2.0 mChina, North Korea, Japan2,474,758
+
Japan167,043 
China2,301,521 
North Korea6,193 
0.5 - 1.0 mChina, North Korea, South Korea, Japan, Philippines4,057,943
+
Japan1,008,455 
China2,759,221 
North Korea47,509 
South Korea166,888 
Philippines75,869 
0.25 - 0.5 mRussia, Japan, China, North Korea, South Korea, Taiwan, Hong Kong, Philippines, Malaysia6,915,710
+
Russia707 
Japan2,024,504 
China3,805,752 
North Korea175,777 
South Korea260,197 
Taiwan23,399 
Hong Kong140,862 
Philippines483,956 
Malaysia552 

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 20 Sep 2022 00:00 UTC