Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for TWELVE-22
Off-shore
07 Oct 2022 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone TWELVE-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 54 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (07 Oct 16:30 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 54 km/h 0.5 m 62 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 54 km/h 0.5 m 62 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

54 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 07 Oct 2022 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 04 Oct 2022 00:00 47 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 04 Oct 2022 12:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 05 Oct 2022 00:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 05 Oct 2022 12:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 06 Oct 2022 00:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 06 Oct 2022 12:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 07 Oct 2022 00:00 54 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 07 Oct 2022 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
50-100 mmSpain, Gambia, Senegal, Guinea-Bissau131,607
+
Spain994 
Gambia122,313 
Senegal4,851 
Guinea-Bissau3,448 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 04 Oct 2022 00:00 194 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 04 Oct 2022 12:00 194 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 05 Oct 2022 00:00 72 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 05 Oct 2022 12:00 131 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 06 Oct 2022 00:00 90 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 06 Oct 2022 12:00 56 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 07 Oct 2022 00:00 53 -
- - - - - Guinea-Bissau




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Amapa, Agua Doce, Brazil. This height is estimated for 07/10/2022 02:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 0.25m) based on the bulletin of 07 Oct 2022 00:00 UTC

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 07 Oct 2022 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
07/10/2022 02:00 Amapa, Agua Doce Brazil  0.2
07/10/2022 04:00 Amapa, Euca Brazil  0.2
05/10/2022 16:00 Trarza, Boyo Mauritania  0.1
05/10/2022 16:00 , Tiong Senegal  0.1
05/10/2022 16:00 , Saint-Louis Senegal  0.1
05/10/2022 16:00 , Sor Senegal  0.1
05/10/2022 16:00 , Diouk Senegal  0.1
05/10/2022 16:00 , Khar Senegal  0.1
05/10/2022 16:00 , Maka Senegal  0.1
05/10/2022 19:00 , Gabar Senegal  0.1
05/10/2022 19:00 , Gnayam Senegal  0.1
05/10/2022 19:00 , Tare Senegal  0.1
05/10/2022 19:00 , Mbao Senegal  0.1
05/10/2022 19:00 , Degounaye Senegal  0.1
05/10/2022 19:00 , Mboumbaye Senegal  0.1
05/10/2022 19:00 , Guembeng Senegal  0.1
05/10/2022 19:00 , Mouit Senegal  0.1
05/10/2022 16:00 , El Mamghar Mauritania  0.1
05/10/2022 19:00 , Quassoumassal Senegal  0.1
05/10/2022 19:00 , Sag Senegal  0.1
05/10/2022 19:00 , Dao Senegal  0.1
05/10/2022 19:00 , Keur Koura Senegal  0.1
05/10/2022 17:00 , Niol Senegal  0.1
05/10/2022 17:00 , Ndieben Senegal  0.1
05/10/2022 17:00 , Ndiedene Senegal  0.1