Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for CONSON-21
in Viet Nam, Philippines

Global Telecommunication Service

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Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 121646

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 121500 UTC, TROPICAL DEPRESSION CONSON (2113) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE FIVE POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (15.3
N) ONE ZERO NINE POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (109.2 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO REMAIN ALMOST STATIONARY AT FIRST AND MOVE
NORTHWEST SLOWLY LATER FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 60 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 131500 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 121346

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 121200 UTC, TROPICAL DEPRESSION CONSON (2113) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE FIVE POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (15.3
N) ONE ZERO NINE POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (109.2 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO BE SLOW MOVING AT FIRST AND TURN NORTHWEST
LATER FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 30 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 90 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 131200 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 121046

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 120900 UTC, TROPICAL DEPRESSION CONSON (2113) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE FIVE POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (15.3
N) ONE ZERO NINE POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (109.2 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO BE SLOW MOVING AT FIRST AND TURN NORTHWEST
LATER FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 30 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 90 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 130900 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 120446

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 120300 UTC, TROPICAL STORM CONSON (2113) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 996 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL
MILES OF ONE FIVE POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (15.4 N) ONE
ZERO NINE POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (109.0 E) AND IS FORECAST
TO MOVE WEST SLOWLY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 35 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 130300 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 120146

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 120000 UTC, TROPICAL STORM CONSON (2113) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 996 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL
MILES OF ONE FIVE POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (15.4 N) ONE
ZERO NINE POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (109.1 E) AND IS FORECAST
TO MOVE WEST SLOWLY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 35 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 130000 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 112246

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 112100 UTC, TROPICAL STORM CONSON (2113) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 992 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL
MILES OF ONE FIVE POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (15.2 N) ONE ZERO
NINE POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (109.1 E) AND IS FORECAST TO
MOVE WEST SLOWLY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 35 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 122100 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 111946

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 111800 UTC, TROPICAL STORM CONSON (2113) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 990 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL
MILES OF ONE FIVE POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (15.2 N) ONE ZERO
NINE POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (109.1 E) AND IS FORECAST TO
MOVE WEST SLOWLY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 40 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 150 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 121800 UTC
ONE FIVE POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (15.4 N)
ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (108.7 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 131800 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 111646

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 111500 UTC, TROPICAL STORM CONSON (2113) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 988 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL
MILES OF ONE FIVE POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (15.3 N) ONE
ZERO NINE POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (109.2 E) AND IS FORECAST
TO MOVE WEST SLOWLY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 45 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 45 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 150 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 121500 UTC
ONE FIVE POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (15.4 N)
ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (108.7 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 131500 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 111300
WARNING ATCG MIL 18W NWP 210911130723
2021091112 18W CONSON 023 02 245 04 SATL RADR 060
T000 154N 1091E 040 R034 060 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 055 NW QD
T012 153N 1087E 035 R034 030 NE QD 060 SE QD 040 SW QD 020 NW QD
T024 155N 1083E 030
T036 158N 1077E 025
T048 161N 1069E 020
AMP
024HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
036HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
048HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 18W (CONSON) WARNING NR 023
1. TROPICAL STORM 18W (CONSON) WARNING NR 023
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
111200Z --- NEAR 15.4N 109.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 04 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.4N 109.1E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
120000Z --- 15.3N 108.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
121200Z --- 15.5N 108.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
130000Z --- 15.8N 107.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
131200Z --- 16.1N 106.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
111500Z POSITION NEAR 15.4N 109.0E.
11SEP21. TROPICAL STORM 18W (CONSON), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 59 NM
SOUTHEAST OF DA NANG, VIETNAM, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT
04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 111200Z IS 18 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 112100Z, 120300Z, 120900Z AND 121500Z.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
1821090412 110N1319E 15
1821090418 111N1315E 15
1821090500 110N1310E 15
1821090506 108N1305E 15
1821090512 104N1296E 30
1821090518 102N1285E 40
1821090600 105N1275E 50
1821090606 108N1268E 60
1821090606 108N1268E 60
1821090612 112N1259E 65
1821090612 112N1259E 65
1821090618 115N1249E 60
1821090618 115N1249E 60
1821090700 119N1243E 55
1821090700 119N1243E 55
1821090706 125N1233E 50
1821090706 125N1233E 50
1821090712 130N1228E 55
1821090712 130N1228E 55
1821090718 133N1220E 55
1821090718 133N1220E 55
1821090800 137N1214E 55
1821090800 137N1214E 55
1821090806 141N1208E 55
1821090806 141N1208E 55
1821090812 147N1201E 50
1821090812 147N1201E 50
1821090818 148N1192E 50
1821090818 148N1192E 50
1821090900 153N1183E 50
1821090900 153N1183E 50
1821090906 160N1171E 50
1821090906 160N1171E 50
1821090912 162N1150E 45
1821090918 161N1137E 45
1821091000 159N1130E 45
1821091006 158N1122E 45
1821091012 158N1114E 45
1821091018 158N1107E 50
1821091100 157N1099E 50
1821091100 157N1099E 50
1821091106 156N1095E 50
1821091106 156N1095E 50
1821091112 154N1091E 40
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 111300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 18W (CONSON) WARNING NR 023//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 18W (CONSON) WARNING NR 023
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
111200Z --- NEAR 15.4N 109.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 04 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.4N 109.1E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
120000Z --- 15.3N 108.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
121200Z --- 15.5N 108.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
130000Z --- 15.8N 107.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
131200Z --- 16.1N 106.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
111500Z POSITION NEAR 15.4N 109.0E.
11SEP21. TROPICAL STORM 18W (CONSON), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 59 NM
SOUTHEAST OF DA NANG, VIETNAM, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT
04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 111200Z IS 18 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 112100Z, 120300Z, 120900Z AND 121500Z.
REFER TO TYPHOON 19W (CHANTHU) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 111200
WARNING 111200.
WARNING VALID 121200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2113 CONSON (2113) DOWNGRADED FROM SEVERE TROPICAL
STORM 994 HPA
AT 15.3N 109.3E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WESTSOUTHWEST SLOWLY.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 70 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 121200UTC AT 15.3N 108.7E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
996 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 111046

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 110900 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM CONSON (2113) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE FIVE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (15.6 N)
ONE ZERO NINE POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (109.6 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WEST AT ABOUT 5 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 50 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 150 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 120900 UTC
ONE FIVE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (15.6 N)
ONE ZERO NINE POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (109.0 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 130900 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 110746

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 110600 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM CONSON (2113) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE FIVE POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (15.7
N) ONE ZERO NINE POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (109.7 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WEST AT ABOUT 5 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 50 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 150 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 120600 UTC
ONE FIVE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (15.6 N)
ONE ZERO NINE POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (109.0 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 130600 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 110600
WARNING 110600.
WARNING VALID 120600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2113 CONSON (2113) 990 HPA
AT 15.6N 109.6E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 07 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 90 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 120600UTC AT 15.3N 108.6E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
996 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 130600UTC AT 15.6N 107.2E WITH 90 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1004 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 110446

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 110300 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM CONSON (2113) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE FIVE POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (15.8
N) ONE ZERO NINE POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (109.9 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WEST AT ABOUT 5 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 50 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 120300 UTC
ONE FIVE POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (15.8 N)
ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (108.6 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 130300 UTC
ONE SIX POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (16.0 N)
ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (107.3 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 140300 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 110300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2113 CONSON (2113)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 110300UTC 15.7N 109.9E FAIR
MOVE W 07KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
50KT 30NM
30KT 120NM
FORECAST
24HF 120300UTC 15.6N 108.3E 50NM 70%
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
45HF 130000UTC 15.8N 108.0E 90NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 110300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2113 CONSON (2113)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 110300UTC 15.7N 109.9E FAIR
MOVE W 07KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
50KT 30NM
30KT 120NM
FORECAST
24HF 120300UTC 15.6N 108.3E 50NM 70%
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
45HF 130000UTC 15.8N 108.0E 90NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 110300
WARNING 110300.
WARNING VALID 120300.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2113 CONSON (2113) 985 HPA
AT 15.7N 109.9E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 07 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 30 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 120300UTC AT 15.6N 108.3E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 110000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.20 FOR STS 2113 CONSON (2113)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
STS CONSON IS LOCATED AT 15.7N, 110.2E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 985HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 55KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN A NEUTRAL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP AND STRONG VWS. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO
MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE SEPARATION OF
ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD CLUSTERS FROM THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT48. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM
PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE
OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS AND STRONG VWS. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
WEAKEN UNTIL FT48 DUE TO ITS LANDFALL. THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO
TD INTENSITY BY FT48. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A
CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 110146

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 110000 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM CONSON (2113) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE FIVE POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (15.8
N) ONE ONE ZERO POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (110.1 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WEST AT ABOUT 5 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 50 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 120000 UTC
ONE FIVE POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (15.8 N)
ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (108.8 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 130000 UTC
ONE FIVE POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (15.9 N)
ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (107.5 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 140000 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 110000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2113 CONSON (2113)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 110000UTC 15.7N 110.2E FAIR
MOVE W 08KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
50KT 30NM
30KT 150NM
FORECAST
24HF 120000UTC 15.7N 108.7E 50NM 70%
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
48HF 130000UTC 15.8N 108.0E 90NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 110000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2113 CONSON (2113)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 110000UTC 15.7N 110.2E FAIR
MOVE W 08KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
50KT 30NM
30KT 150NM
FORECAST
24HF 120000UTC 15.7N 108.7E 50NM 70%
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
48HF 130000UTC 15.8N 108.0E 90NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 110000
WARNING 110000.
WARNING VALID 120000.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2113 CONSON (2113) 985 HPA
AT 15.7N 110.2E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 08 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 30 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 120000UTC AT 15.7N 108.7E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 130000UTC AT 15.8N 108.0E WITH 90 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1004 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 102246

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 102100 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM CONSON (2113) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE FIVE POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (15.7
N) ONE ONE ZERO POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (110.7 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WEST SLOWLY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 50 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 112100 UTC
ONE FIVE POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (15.8 N)
ONE ZERO NINE POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (109.1 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 122100 UTC
ONE FIVE POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (15.8 N)
ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (107.7 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 132100 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 102100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2113 CONSON (2113)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 102100UTC 15.6N 110.5E FAIR
MOVE W 07KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
50KT 30NM
30KT 150NM
FORECAST
24HF 112100UTC 15.6N 109.3E 50NM 70%
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
45HF 121800UTC 16.0N 107.4E 90NM 70%
MOVE W 06KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
69HF 131800UTC 16.2N 104.9E 140NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 102100
WARNING 102100.
WARNING VALID 112100.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2113 CONSON (2113) 985 HPA
AT 15.6N 110.5E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 07 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 30 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 112100UTC AT 15.6N 109.3E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 102100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2113 CONSON (2113)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 102100UTC 15.6N 110.5E FAIR
MOVE W 07KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
50KT 30NM
30KT 150NM
FORECAST
24HF 112100UTC 15.6N 109.3E 50NM 70%
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
45HF 121800UTC 16.0N 107.4E 90NM 70%
MOVE W 06KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
69HF 131800UTC 16.2N 104.9E 140NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 101800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.19 FOR STS 2113 CONSON (2113)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
STS CONSON IS LOCATED AT 15.7N, 111.0E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 985HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 55KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS IN A NEUTRAL
ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, HIGH
TCHP AND STRONG VWS. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN ITS
INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY
OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE SYSTEM
HAS A BAND WITH A CURVATURE SUGGESTING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT72. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM
PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE
OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP AND STRONG VWS. THE
SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT72 DUE TO ITS LANDFALL. THE SYSTEM
WILL WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY FT72. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS
BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 101946

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 101800 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM CONSON (2113) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE FIVE POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (15.7
N) ONE ONE ONE POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (111.0 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WEST SLOWLY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 50 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 111800 UTC
ONE FIVE POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (15.8 N)
ONE ZERO NINE POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (109.6 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 121800 UTC
ONE FIVE POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (15.9 N)
ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (108.1 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 131800 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 101800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2113 CONSON (2113)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 101800UTC 15.7N 111.0E FAIR
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
50KT 30NM
30KT 150NM
FORECAST
24HF 111800UTC 15.8N 109.7E 50NM 70%
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
48HF 121800UTC 16.0N 107.4E 90NM 70%
MOVE W 06KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
72HF 131800UTC 16.2N 104.9E 140NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 101800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2113 CONSON (2113)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 101800UTC 15.7N 111.0E FAIR
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
50KT 30NM
30KT 150NM
FORECAST
24HF 111800UTC 15.8N 109.7E 50NM 70%
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
48HF 121800UTC 16.0N 107.4E 90NM 70%
MOVE W 06KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
72HF 131800UTC 16.2N 104.9E 140NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 101800
WARNING 101800.
WARNING VALID 111800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2113 CONSON (2113) 985 HPA
AT 15.7N 111.0E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST SLOWLY.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 30 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 111800UTC AT 15.8N 109.7E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 121800UTC AT 16.0N 107.4E WITH 90 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
998 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 131800UTC AT 16.2N 104.9E WITH 140 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1004 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 101646

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 101500 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM CONSON (2113) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE FIVE POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (15.7
N) ONE ONE ONE POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (111.2 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WEST SLOWLY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 50 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 111500 UTC
ONE FIVE POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (15.8 N)
ONE ONE ZERO POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (110.2 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 121500 UTC
ONE FIVE POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (15.8 N)
ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (108.7 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 131500 UTC
ONE SIX POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (16.8 N)
ONE ZERO SIX POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (106.0 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 141500 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 101500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2113 CONSON (2113)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 101500UTC 15.7N 111.2E FAIR
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
50KT 30NM
30KT 150NM
FORECAST
24HF 111500UTC 15.7N 109.7E 50NM 70%
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
45HF 121200UTC 15.8N 108.6E 90NM 70%
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
69HF 131200UTC 16.1N 105.8E 140NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 101500
WARNING 101500.
WARNING VALID 111500.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2113 CONSON (2113) 985 HPA
AT 15.7N 111.2E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST SLOWLY.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 30 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 111500UTC AT 15.7N 109.7E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 101500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2113 CONSON (2113)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 101500UTC 15.7N 111.2E FAIR
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
50KT 30NM
30KT 150NM
FORECAST
24HF 111500UTC 15.7N 109.7E 50NM 70%
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
45HF 121200UTC 15.8N 108.6E 90NM 70%
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
69HF 131200UTC 16.1N 105.8E 140NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 101200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.18 FOR STS 2113 CONSON (2113)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
STS CONSON IS LOCATED AT 15.7N, 111.5E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 985HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 55KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS IN A NEUTRAL
ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, HIGH
TCHP AND STRONG VWS. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN ITS
INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB CLUSTERS
GATHERING AROUND THE CSC AND FORMING A CURVED BAND. DMSP-F17/SSMIS
89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS ACTIVE CONVECTIVE
CLOUD CLUSTERS AROUND THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT72. THE SYSTEM WILL HIT VIET-NAM BY
FT60. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND
REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR
BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP AND STRONG VWS.
THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH STRONG VWS AND LAND. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN
UNTIL FT72 DUE TO ITS LANDFALL. THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO TD
INTENSITY BY FT72. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS
OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 101346

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 101200 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM CONSON (2113) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE FIVE POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (15.7
N) ONE ONE ONE POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (111.4 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WEST SLOWLY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 50 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 111200 UTC
ONE FIVE POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (15.8 N)
ONE ONE ZERO POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (110.3 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 121200 UTC
ONE FIVE POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (15.8 N)
ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (108.9 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 131200 UTC
ONE SIX POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (16.7 N)
ONE ZERO SIX POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (106.4 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 141200 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 101200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2113 CONSON (2113)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 101200UTC 15.7N 111.5E FAIR
MOVE W 07KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
50KT 30NM
30KT 150NM
FORECAST
24HF 111200UTC 15.7N 109.7E 50NM 70%
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
48HF 121200UTC 15.8N 108.6E 90NM 70%
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
72HF 131200UTC 16.1N 105.8E 140NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 101200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2113 CONSON (2113)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 101200UTC 15.7N 111.5E FAIR
MOVE W 07KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
50KT 30NM
30KT 150NM
FORECAST
24HF 111200UTC 15.7N 109.7E 50NM 70%
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
48HF 121200UTC 15.8N 108.6E 90NM 70%
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
72HF 131200UTC 16.1N 105.8E 140NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 101200
WARNING 101200.
WARNING VALID 111200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2113 CONSON (2113) 985 HPA
AT 15.7N 111.5E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 07 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 30 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 111200UTC AT 15.7N 109.7E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 121200UTC AT 15.8N 108.6E WITH 90 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
998 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 131200UTC AT 16.1N 105.8E WITH 140 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1002 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 101200
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 18
NAME 2113 CONSON
ANALYSIS
POSITION 101200UTC 15.8N 111.4E
MOVEMENT NW 3KT
PRES/VMAX 980HPA 56KT
FORECAST
12HR
POSITION 110000UTC 15.8N 111.1E WITHIN 30NM
PRES/VMAX 980HPA 56KT
24HR
POSITION 111200UTC 15.9N 110.3E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 980HPA 56KT
36HR
POSITION 120000UTC 16.1N 109.6E WITHIN 75NM
PRES/VMAX 980HPA 56KT
48HR
POSITION 121200UTC 16.4N 108.5E WITHIN 90NM
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT
72HR
POSITION 131200UTC 17.1N 106.3E WITHIN 125NM
PRES/VMAX 998HPA 37KT
96HR
POSITION 141200UTC 17.7N 104.3E WITHIN 0NM
PRES/VMAX 1006HPA 23KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 101046

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 100900 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM CONSON (2113) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE FIVE POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (15.7
N) ONE ONE ONE POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (111.9 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WEST SLOWLY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 50 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 110900 UTC
ONE FIVE POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (15.8 N)
ONE ONE ZERO POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (110.5 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 120900 UTC
ONE FIVE POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (15.8 N)
ONE ZERO NINE POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (109.1 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 130900 UTC
ONE SIX POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (16.6 N)
ONE ZERO SIX POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (106.8 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 140900 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 100900
WARNING 100900.
WARNING VALID 110900.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2113 CONSON (2113) 985 HPA
AT 15.7N 111.7E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 08 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 30 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 110900UTC AT 15.9N 110.0E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 100900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2113 CONSON (2113)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 100900UTC 15.7N 111.7E FAIR
MOVE W 08KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
50KT 30NM
30KT 150NM
FORECAST
24HF 110900UTC 15.9N 110.0E 50NM 70%
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
45HF 120600UTC 15.8N 109.3E 90NM 70%
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
69HF 130600UTC 16.4N 107.5E 140NM 70%
MOVE WNW SLOWLY
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
93HF 140600UTC 17.2N 104.1E 200NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 100900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2113 CONSON (2113)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 100900UTC 15.7N 111.7E FAIR
MOVE W 08KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
50KT 30NM
30KT 150NM
FORECAST
24HF 110900UTC 15.9N 110.0E 50NM 70%
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
45HF 120600UTC 15.8N 109.3E 90NM 70%
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
69HF 130600UTC 16.4N 107.5E 140NM 70%
MOVE WNW SLOWLY
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT =


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 100900
WARNING ATCG MIL 18W NWP 210910083359
2021091006 18W CONSON 018 02 265 08 SATL 030
T000 156N 1120E 040 R034 040 NE QD 050 SE QD 060 SW QD 110 NW QD
T012 158N 1107E 045 R034 050 NE QD 090 SE QD 080 SW QD 100 NW QD
T024 159N 1097E 045 R034 050 NE QD 070 SE QD 070 SW QD 080 NW QD
T036 159N 1089E 040 R034 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD
T048 158N 1082E 030
T072 162N 1064E 020
AMP
048HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
072HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 18W (CONSON) WARNING NR 018
1. TROPICAL STORM 18W (CONSON) WARNING NR 018
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
100600Z --- NEAR 15.6N 112.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.6N 112.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
101800Z --- 15.8N 110.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
110600Z --- 15.9N 109.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
111800Z --- 15.9N 108.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
120600Z --- 15.8N 108.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
130600Z --- 16.2N 106.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
100900Z POSITION NEAR 15.6N 111.7E.
10SEP21. TROPICAL STORM 18W (CONSON), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 215
NM EAST OF DA NANG, VIETNAM, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 100600Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 101500Z, 102100Z, 110300Z AND 110900Z.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
1821090412 110N1319E 15
1821090418 111N1315E 15
1821090500 110N1310E 15
1821090506 108N1305E 15
1821090512 104N1296E 30
1821090518 102N1285E 40
1821090600 105N1275E 50
1821090606 108N1268E 60
1821090606 108N1268E 60
1821090612 112N1259E 65
1821090612 112N1259E 65
1821090618 115N1249E 60
1821090618 115N1249E 60
1821090700 119N1243E 55
1821090700 119N1243E 55
1821090706 125N1233E 50
1821090706 125N1233E 50
1821090712 130N1228E 55
1821090712 130N1228E 55
1821090718 133N1220E 55
1821090718 133N1220E 55
1821090800 137N1214E 55
1821090800 137N1214E 55
1821090806 141N1208E 55
1821090806 141N1208E 55
1821090812 147N1201E 50
1821090812 147N1201E 50
1821090818 148N1192E 50
1821090818 148N1192E 50
1821090900 153N1183E 50
1821090900 153N1183E 50
1821090906 160N1171E 50
1821090906 160N1171E 50
1821090912 162N1150E 45
1821090918 161N1137E 45
1821091000 157N1128E 40
1821091006 156N1120E 40
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 100900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 18W (CONSON) WARNING NR 018//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 18W (CONSON) WARNING NR 018
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
100600Z --- NEAR 15.6N 112.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.6N 112.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
101800Z --- 15.8N 110.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
110600Z --- 15.9N 109.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
111800Z --- 15.9N 108.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
120600Z --- 15.8N 108.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
130600Z --- 16.2N 106.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
100900Z POSITION NEAR 15.6N 111.7E.
10SEP21. TROPICAL STORM 18W (CONSON), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 215
NM EAST OF DA NANG, VIETNAM, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 100600Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 101500Z, 102100Z, 110300Z AND 110900Z.
REFER TO SUPER TYPHOON 19W (CHANTHU) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 100600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.17 FOR STS 2113 CONSON (2113)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
STS CONSON IS LOCATED AT 15.6N, 112.2E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 985HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 55KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS IN A FAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, HIGH
TCHP AND STRONG VWS. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO DEVELOP OVER
THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED
ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A
BAND WITH A CURVATURE SUGGESTING THE CSC. GCOM-W/AMSR2 89 GHZ
MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH CURVATURE
INDICATING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WESTWARD UNTIL FT96. THE TRACK FORECAST IS
BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK
FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE
AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP AND STRONG VWS.
THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT72 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, STRONG VWS AND DRY AIR. THE SYSTEM
WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT96 DUE TO ITS LANDFALL. THE SYSTEM WILL
WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY FT96. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON
A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 100746

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 100600 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM CONSON (2113) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE FIVE POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (15.7
N) ONE ONE TWO POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (112.4 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WEST AT ABOUT 5 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 50 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 110600 UTC
ONE FIVE POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (15.9 N)
ONE ONE ZERO POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (110.7 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 120600 UTC
ONE FIVE POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (15.9 N)
ONE ZERO NINE POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (109.5 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 130600 UTC
ONE SIX POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (16.6 N)
ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (107.3 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 140600 UTC
ONE SEVEN POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (17.4 N)
ONE ZERO FOUR POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (104.0 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 150600 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 100600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2113 CONSON (2113)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 100600UTC 15.6N 112.2E FAIR
MOVE W 08KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
50KT 30NM
30KT 150NM NORTHWEST 90NM SOUTHEAST
FORECAST
12HF 101800UTC 16.0N 111.2E 35NM 70%
MOVE WNW SLOWLY
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
24HF 110600UTC 16.0N 110.7E 50NM 70%
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
48HF 120600UTC 15.8N 109.3E 90NM 70%
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
72HF 130600UTC 16.4N 107.5E 140NM 70%
MOVE WNW SLOWLY
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
96HF 140600UTC 17.2N 104.1E 200NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 100600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2113 CONSON (2113)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 100600UTC 15.6N 112.2E FAIR
MOVE W 08KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
50KT 30NM
30KT 150NM NORTHWEST 90NM SOUTHEAST
FORECAST
24HF 110600UTC 16.0N 110.7E 50NM 70%
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
48HF 120600UTC 15.8N 109.3E 90NM 70%
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
72HF 130600UTC 16.4N 107.5E 140NM 70%
MOVE WNW SLOWLY
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 100600
WARNING 100600.
WARNING VALID 110600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2113 CONSON (2113) 985 HPA
AT 15.6N 112.2E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 08 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 30 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 90
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 101800UTC AT 16.0N 111.2E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 110600UTC AT 16.0N 110.7E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 120600UTC AT 15.8N 109.3E WITH 90 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 130600UTC AT 16.4N 107.5E WITH 140 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
998 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 140600UTC AT 17.2N 104.1E WITH 200 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1000 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 100446

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 100300 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM CONSON (2113) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE FIVE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (15.6 N)
ONE ONE TWO POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (112.7 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WEST AT ABOUT 5 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 50 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 110300 UTC
ONE FIVE POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (15.8 N)
ONE ONE ONE POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (111.4 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 120300 UTC
ONE SIX POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (16.2 N)
ONE ONE ZERO POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (110.0 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 130300 UTC
ONE SIX POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (16.8 N)
ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (108.3 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 140300 UTC
ONE SEVEN POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (17.8 N)
ONE ZERO SIX POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (106.4 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 150300 UTC
TWO ZERO POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (20.1 N)
ONE ZERO THREE POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (103.5 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 20 KNOTS.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 100300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2113 CONSON (2113)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 100300UTC 15.5N 112.5E FAIR
MOVE WSW 09KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
30KT 150NM NORTHWEST 90NM SOUTHEAST
FORECAST
12HF 101500UTC 15.9N 111.4E 35NM 70%
MOVE WNW 06KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
24HF 110300UTC 16.0N 110.7E 50NM 70%
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
45HF 120000UTC 16.0N 109.5E 90NM 70%
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
69HF 130000UTC 16.3N 108.3E 140NM 70%
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
93HF 140000UTC 17.1N 104.9E 200NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 100300
WARNING 100300.
WARNING VALID 110300.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2113 CONSON (2113) 990 HPA
AT 15.5N 112.5E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WESTSOUTHWEST 09 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 90
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 101500UTC AT 15.9N 111.4E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 110300UTC AT 16.0N 110.7E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 100300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2113 CONSON (2113)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 100300UTC 15.5N 112.5E FAIR
MOVE WSW 09KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
30KT 150NM NORTHWEST 90NM SOUTHEAST
FORECAST
24HF 110300UTC 16.0N 110.7E 50NM 70%
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
45HF 120000UTC 16.0N 109.5E 90NM 70%
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
69HF 130000UTC 16.3N 108.3E 140NM 70%
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 100000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.16 FOR STS 2113 CONSON (2113)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
STS CONSON IS LOCATED AT 15.6N, 113.0E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 50KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS IN A NEUTRAL
ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, HIGH
TCHP, WEAK VWS AND DRY AIR. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN
ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE
FORMATION OF A BAND WITH A CURVATURE SUGGESTING THE CSC. WATER
VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WESTWARD UNTIL FT96. THE TRACK FORECAST IS
BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK
FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE
AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS AND HIGH TCHP. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS AND REDUCED TCHP. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
WEAKEN UNTIL FT72 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH REDUCED
TCHP AND LAND. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT96 DUE TO ITS
LANDFALL. THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY FT96. THE
INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA
INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 100300
WARNING ATCG MIL 18W NWP 210910010609
2021091000 18W CONSON 017 02 255 11 SATL SYNP 025
T000 158N 1126E 045 R034 045 NE QD 050 SE QD 070 SW QD 080 NW QD
T012 158N 1111E 055 R050 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 050 NE QD 070 SE QD 070 SW QD 100 NW QD
T024 159N 1102E 065 R064 005 NE QD 010 SE QD 005 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 040 NE QD 060 SE QD 070 SW QD 070 NW QD
T036 160N 1094E 055 R050 000 NE QD 040 SE QD 060 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 030 NE QD 050 SE QD 080 SW QD 060 NW QD
T048 161N 1088E 050 R050 010 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD
T072 163N 1077E 035 R034 015 NE QD 030 SE QD 025 SW QD 025 NW QD
T096 170N 1050E 020
AMP
072HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
096HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 18W (CONSON) WARNING NR 017
1. TROPICAL STORM 18W (CONSON) WARNING NR 017
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
100000Z --- NEAR 15.8N 112.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.8N 112.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
101200Z --- 15.8N 111.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
110000Z --- 15.9N 110.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 005 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
005 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
111200Z --- 16.0N 109.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
120000Z --- 16.1N 108.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
130000Z --- 16.3N 107.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
140000Z --- 17.0N 105.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
100300Z POSITION NEAR 15.8N 112.2E.
10SEP21. TROPICAL STORM 18W (CONSON), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 248 NM
EAST OF DA NANG, VIETNAM, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 100000Z
IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 100900Z, 101500Z, 102100Z AND 110300Z.
SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
1821090412 110N1319E 15
1821090418 111N1315E 15
1821090500 110N1310E 15
1821090506 108N1305E 15
1821090512 104N1296E 30
1821090518 102N1285E 40
1821090600 105N1275E 50
1821090606 108N1268E 60
1821090606 108N1268E 60
1821090612 112N1259E 65
1821090612 112N1259E 65
1821090618 115N1249E 60
1821090618 115N1249E 60
1821090700 119N1243E 55
1821090700 119N1243E 55
1821090706 125N1233E 50
1821090706 125N1233E 50
1821090712 130N1228E 55
1821090712 130N1228E 55
1821090718 133N1220E 55
1821090718 133N1220E 55
1821090800 137N1214E 55
1821090800 137N1214E 55
1821090806 141N1208E 55
1821090806 141N1208E 55
1821090812 147N1201E 50
1821090812 147N1201E 50
1821090818 148N1192E 50
1821090818 148N1192E 50
1821090900 153N1183E 50
1821090900 153N1183E 50
1821090906 160N1171E 50
1821090906 160N1171E 50
1821090912 162N1150E 45
1821090918 161N1137E 45
1821091000 158N1126E 45
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 100300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 18W (CONSON) WARNING NR 017//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 18W (CONSON) WARNING NR 017
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
100000Z --- NEAR 15.8N 112.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.8N 112.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
101200Z --- 15.8N 111.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
110000Z --- 15.9N 110.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 005 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
005 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
111200Z --- 16.0N 109.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
120000Z --- 16.1N 108.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
130000Z --- 16.3N 107.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
140000Z --- 17.0N 105.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
100300Z POSITION NEAR 15.8N 112.2E.
10SEP21. TROPICAL STORM 18W (CONSON), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 248 NM
EAST OF DA NANG, VIETNAM, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 100000Z
IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 100900Z, 101500Z, 102100Z AND 110300Z.
REFER TO SUPER TYPHOON 19W (CHANTHU) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR
SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 100146

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 100000 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM CONSON (2113) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE FIVE POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (15.7
N) ONE ONE TWO POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (112.9 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WEST AT ABOUT 5 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 50 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 110000 UTC
ONE FIVE POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (15.8 N)
ONE ONE ONE POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (111.5 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 120000 UTC
ONE SIX POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (16.1 N)
ONE ONE ZERO POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (110.2 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 130000 UTC
ONE SIX POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (16.7 N)
ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (108.5 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 140000 UTC
ONE SEVEN POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (17.6 N)
ONE ZERO SIX POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (106.7 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 150000 UTC
ONE NINE POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (19.8 N)
ONE ZERO THREE POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (103.9 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 100000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2113 CONSON (2113)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 100000UTC 15.6N 113.0E FAIR
MOVE WSW 10KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
30KT 90NM
FORECAST
12HF 101200UTC 15.8N 111.6E 35NM 70%
MOVE W 07KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
24HF 110000UTC 16.0N 110.9E 50NM 70%
MOVE WNW SLOWLY
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
48HF 120000UTC 16.0N 109.5E 90NM 70%
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
72HF 130000UTC 16.3N 108.3E 140NM 70%
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
96HF 140000UTC 17.1N 104.9E 200NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 100000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2113 CONSON (2113)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 100000UTC 15.6N 113.0E FAIR
MOVE WSW 10KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
30KT 90NM
FORECAST
24HF 110000UTC 16.0N 110.9E 50NM 70%
MOVE WNW SLOWLY
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
48HF 120000UTC 16.0N 109.5E 90NM 70%
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
72HF 130000UTC 16.3N 108.3E 140NM 70%
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 100000
WARNING 100000.
WARNING VALID 110000.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2113 CONSON (2113) 990 HPA
AT 15.6N 113.0E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WESTSOUTHWEST 10 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 90 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 101200UTC AT 15.8N 111.6E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 110000UTC AT 16.0N 110.9E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 120000UTC AT 16.0N 109.5E WITH 90 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 130000UTC AT 16.3N 108.3E WITH 140 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 140000UTC AT 17.1N 104.9E WITH 200 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1000 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 092246

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 092100 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM CONSON (2113) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE FIVE POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (15.9
N) ONE ONE THREE POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (113.6 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WEST AT ABOUT 8 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 50 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 102100 UTC
ONE FIVE POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (15.8 N)
ONE ONE ONE POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (111.6 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 112100 UTC
ONE SIX POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (16.1 N)
ONE ONE ZERO POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (110.4 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 122100 UTC
ONE SIX POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (16.6 N)
ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (108.7 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 132100 UTC
ONE SEVEN POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (17.5 N)
ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (107.0 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 142100 UTC
ONE NINE POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (19.5 N)
ONE ZERO FOUR POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (104.3 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 092100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2113 CONSON (2113)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 092100UTC 15.9N 113.3E FAIR
MOVE W 12KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
30KT 90NM
FORECAST
12HF 100900UTC 15.9N 112.1E 35NM 70%
MOVE W 07KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
24HF 102100UTC 16.0N 111.1E 50NM 70%
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
45HF 111800UTC 16.1N 110.3E 90NM 70%
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
69HF 121800UTC 16.5N 108.5E 140NM 70%
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
93HF 131800UTC 17.1N 105.2E 200NM 70%
MOVE W 08KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
117HF 141800UTC 19.1N 101.8E 280NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 092100
WARNING 092100.
WARNING VALID 102100.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2113 CONSON (2113) 990 HPA
AT 15.9N 113.3E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 12 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 90 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 100900UTC AT 15.9N 112.1E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 102100UTC AT 16.0N 111.1E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 092100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2113 CONSON (2113)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 092100UTC 15.9N 113.3E FAIR
MOVE W 12KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
30KT 90NM
FORECAST
24HF 102100UTC 16.0N 111.1E 50NM 70%
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
45HF 111800UTC 16.1N 110.3E 90NM 70%
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
69HF 121800UTC 16.5N 108.5E 140NM 70%
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT =


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 092100
WARNING ATCG MIL 18W NWP 210909193258
2021090918 18W CONSON 016 02 265 13 SATL 020
T000 161N 1137E 045 R034 070 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 115 NW QD
T012 160N 1121E 055 R050 010 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 050 NE QD 090 SE QD 090 SW QD 120 NW QD
T024 162N 1109E 065 R064 005 NE QD 010 SE QD 005 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 050 NE QD 070 SE QD 080 SW QD 100 NW QD
T036 163N 1102E 070 R064 010 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 010 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 050 NE QD 070 SE QD 080 SW QD 090 NW QD
T048 164N 1095E 070 R064 010 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 000 NE QD 020 SE QD 000 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 060 SW QD 070 NW QD
T072 167N 1076E 060 R050 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 020 NW QD
T096 174N 1049E 030
T120 196N 1027E 020
AMP
096HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
120HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 18W (CONSON) WARNING NR 016
1. TROPICAL STORM 18W (CONSON) WARNING NR 016
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
091800Z --- NEAR 16.1N 113.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 16.1N 113.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
100600Z --- 16.0N 112.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
101800Z --- 16.2N 110.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 005 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
005 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
110600Z --- 16.3N 110.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
111800Z --- 16.4N 109.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
121800Z --- 16.7N 107.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
131800Z --- 17.4N 104.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
141800Z --- 19.6N 102.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
092100Z POSITION NEAR 16.1N 113.3E.
09SEP21. TROPICAL STORM 18W (CONSON), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 311
NM EAST OF DA NANG, VIETNAM, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 091800Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 100300Z, 100900Z, 101500Z AND 102100Z.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
1821090412 110N1319E 15
1821090418 111N1315E 15
1821090500 110N1310E 15
1821090506 108N1305E 15
1821090512 104N1296E 30
1821090518 102N1285E 40
1821090600 105N1275E 50
1821090606 108N1268E 60
1821090606 108N1268E 60
1821090612 112N1259E 65
1821090612 112N1259E 65
1821090618 115N1249E 60
1821090618 115N1249E 60
1821090700 119N1243E 55
1821090700 119N1243E 55
1821090706 125N1233E 50
1821090706 125N1233E 50
1821090712 130N1228E 55
1821090712 130N1228E 55
1821090718 133N1220E 55
1821090718 133N1220E 55
1821090800 137N1214E 55
1821090800 137N1214E 55
1821090806 141N1208E 55
1821090806 141N1208E 55
1821090812 147N1201E 50
1821090812 147N1201E 50
1821090818 148N1192E 50
1821090818 148N1192E 50
1821090900 153N1183E 50
1821090900 153N1183E 50
1821090906 160N1171E 50
1821090906 160N1171E 50
1821090912 162N1150E 45
1821090918 161N1137E 45
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 092100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 18W (CONSON) WARNING NR 016//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 18W (CONSON) WARNING NR 016
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
091800Z --- NEAR 16.1N 113.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 16.1N 113.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
100600Z --- 16.0N 112.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
101800Z --- 16.2N 110.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 005 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
005 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
110600Z --- 16.3N 110.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
111800Z --- 16.4N 109.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
121800Z --- 16.7N 107.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
131800Z --- 17.4N 104.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
141800Z --- 19.6N 102.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
092100Z POSITION NEAR 16.1N 113.3E.
09SEP21. TROPICAL STORM 18W (CONSON), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 311
NM EAST OF DA NANG, VIETNAM, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 091800Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 100300Z, 100900Z, 101500Z AND 102100Z.
REFER TO TYPHOON 19W (CHANTHU) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 091800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.15 FOR STS 2113 CONSON (2113)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
STS CONSON IS LOCATED AT 16.1N, 113.8E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 50KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
HIGH SSTS. HOWEVER, THE LIMITED FIRMNESS OF ITS STRUCTURE HAS
CAUSED IT TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS.
INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY
ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A
BAND WITH A CURVATURE SUGGESTING THE CSC. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD
CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT96. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD UNTIL FT120. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM
PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH
SSTS. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT120 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE
OF INTERACTION WITH REDUCED TCHP AND LAND. THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN
TO TD INTENSITY BY FT120. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A
CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 091946

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 091800 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM CONSON (2113) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE FIVE POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (15.9
N) ONE ONE FOUR POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (114.3 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WEST AT ABOUT 8 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 50 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 101800 UTC
ONE FIVE POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (15.8 N)
ONE ONE ONE POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (111.8 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 111800 UTC
ONE SIX POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (16.1 N)
ONE ONE ZERO POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (110.6 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 121800 UTC
ONE SIX POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (16.7 N)
ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (108.9 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 131800 UTC
ONE SEVEN POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (17.9 N)
ONE ZERO SIX POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (106.7 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 141800 UTC
ONE NINE POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (19.9 N)
ONE ZERO FOUR POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (104.3 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 091800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2113 CONSON (2113)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 091800UTC 16.1N 113.8E FAIR
MOVE W 12KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
30KT 90NM
FORECAST
12HF 100600UTC 16.0N 112.4E 35NM 70%
MOVE W 07KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
24HF 101800UTC 16.0N 111.3E 50NM 70%
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
48HF 111800UTC 16.1N 110.3E 90NM 70%
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
72HF 121800UTC 16.5N 108.5E 140NM 70%
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
96HF 131800UTC 17.1N 105.2E 200NM 70%
MOVE W 08KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
120HF 141800UTC 19.1N 101.8E 280NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 091800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2113 CONSON (2113)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 091800UTC 16.1N 113.8E FAIR
MOVE W 12KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
30KT 90NM
FORECAST
24HF 101800UTC 16.0N 111.3E 50NM 70%
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
48HF 111800UTC 16.1N 110.3E 90NM 70%
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
72HF 121800UTC 16.5N 108.5E 140NM 70%
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 091800
WARNING 091800.
WARNING VALID 101800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2113 CONSON (2113) 990 HPA
AT 16.1N 113.8E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 12 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 90 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 100600UTC AT 16.0N 112.4E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 101800UTC AT 16.0N 111.3E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 111800UTC AT 16.1N 110.3E WITH 90 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 121800UTC AT 16.5N 108.5E WITH 140 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 131800UTC AT 17.1N 105.2E WITH 200 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
998 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 141800UTC AT 19.1N 101.8E WITH 280 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1000 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 091646

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 091500 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM CONSON (2113) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 90
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE FIVE POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (15.9
N) ONE ONE FOUR POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (114.9 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WEST AT ABOUT 8 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 50 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 101500 UTC
ONE FIVE POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (15.7 N)
ONE ONE TWO POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (112.2 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 111500 UTC
ONE SIX POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (16.0 N)
ONE ONE ONE POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (111.3 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 121500 UTC
ONE SIX POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (16.9 N)
ONE ZERO NINE POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (109.8 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 131500 UTC
ONE EIGHT POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (18.4 N)
ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (107.4 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 141500 UTC
TWO ZERO POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (20.4 N)
ONE ZERO FIVE POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (105.6 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 091500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2113 CONSON (2113)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 091500UTC 16.0N 114.5E FAIR
MOVE W 14KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
30KT 90NM
FORECAST
12HF 100300UTC 16.0N 112.8E 40NM 70%
MOVE W 08KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
24HF 101500UTC 16.0N 111.8E 57NM 70%
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
45HF 111200UTC 16.1N 110.9E 90NM 70%
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
69HF 121200UTC 16.5N 109.3E 140NM 70%
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
93HF 131200UTC 17.5N 106.4E 200NM 70%
MOVE WNW 07KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
117HF 141200UTC 19.4N 102.2E 280NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 091500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2113 CONSON (2113)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 091500UTC 16.0N 114.5E FAIR
MOVE W 14KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
30KT 90NM
FORECAST
24HF 101500UTC 16.0N 111.8E 57NM 70%
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
45HF 111200UTC 16.1N 110.9E 90NM 70%
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
69HF 121200UTC 16.5N 109.3E 140NM 70%
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT =


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 091500
WARNING 091500.
WARNING VALID 101500.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2113 CONSON (2113) 990 HPA
AT 16.0N 114.5E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 14 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 90 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 100300UTC AT 16.0N 112.8E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 101500UTC AT 16.0N 111.8E WITH 57 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 091500
WARNING ATCG MIL 18W NWP 210909125902
2021090912 18W CONSON 015 02 275 20 SATL 060
T000 162N 1150E 045 R034 065 NE QD 030 SE QD 025 SW QD 065 NW QD
T012 163N 1132E 055 R050 020 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 070 NW QD
T024 164N 1118E 065 R064 005 NE QD 010 SE QD 005 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 060 NE QD 070 SE QD 070 SW QD 090 NW QD
T036 165N 1110E 070 R064 010 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 110 SE QD 090 SW QD 110 NW QD
T048 166N 1103E 070 R064 010 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 090 SE QD 080 SW QD 090 NW QD
T072 171N 1088E 050 R050 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 070 SE QD 080 SW QD 080 NW QD
T096 185N 1060E 030
T120 199N 1027E 020
AMP
096HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
120HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 18W (CONSON) WARNING NR 015
1. TROPICAL STORM 18W (CONSON) WARNING NR 015
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
091200Z --- NEAR 16.2N 115.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 20 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 16.2N 115.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
100000Z --- 16.3N 113.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
101200Z --- 16.4N 111.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 005 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
005 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
110000Z --- 16.5N 111.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
111200Z --- 16.6N 110.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
121200Z --- 17.1N 108.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
131200Z --- 18.5N 106.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
141200Z --- 19.9N 102.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
091500Z POSITION NEAR 16.2N 114.5E.
09SEP21. TROPICAL STORM 18W (CONSON), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 360
NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT
20 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 091200Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 092100Z, 100300Z, 100900Z AND 101500Z.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
1821090412 110N1319E 15
1821090418 111N1315E 15
1821090500 110N1310E 15
1821090506 108N1305E 15
1821090512 104N1296E 30
1821090518 102N1285E 40
1821090600 105N1275E 50
1821090606 108N1268E 60
1821090606 108N1268E 60
1821090612 112N1259E 65
1821090612 112N1259E 65
1821090618 115N1249E 60
1821090618 115N1249E 60
1821090700 119N1243E 55
1821090700 119N1243E 55
1821090706 125N1233E 50
1821090706 125N1233E 50
1821090712 130N1228E 55
1821090712 130N1228E 55
1821090718 133N1220E 55
1821090718 133N1220E 55
1821090800 137N1214E 55
1821090800 137N1214E 55
1821090806 141N1208E 55
1821090806 141N1208E 55
1821090812 147N1201E 50
1821090812 147N1201E 50
1821090818 148N1192E 50
1821090818 148N1192E 50
1821090900 153N1183E 50
1821090900 153N1183E 50
1821090906 160N1171E 50
1821090906 160N1171E 50
1821090912 162N1150E 45
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 091500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 18W (CONSON) WARNING NR 015//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 18W (CONSON) WARNING NR 015
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
091200Z --- NEAR 16.2N 115.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 20 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 16.2N 115.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
100000Z --- 16.3N 113.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
101200Z --- 16.4N 111.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 005 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
005 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
110000Z --- 16.5N 111.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
111200Z --- 16.6N 110.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
121200Z --- 17.1N 108.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
131200Z --- 18.5N 106.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
141200Z --- 19.9N 102.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
091500Z POSITION NEAR 16.2N 114.5E.
09SEP21. TROPICAL STORM 18W (CONSON), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 360
NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT
20 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
091200Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 092100Z, 100300Z, 100900Z AND
101500Z. REFER TO TYPHOON 19W (CHANTHU) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 091200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.14 FOR STS 2113 CONSON (2113)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
STS CONSON IS LOCATED AT 15.9N, 114.8E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 50KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP AND WEAK VWS. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO
DEVELOP OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A
BAND WITH A CURVATURE SUGGESTING THE CSC. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD
CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY
SHOWS DRY AIR IN THE DIRECTION OF THE MOVEMENT.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT72. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD UNTIL FT120. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM
PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS FAIR UNTIL FT72 BUT LOW THEREAFTER DUE TO
SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NWP MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS AND WEAK VWS. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT72 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS AND REDUCED TCHP. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
WEAKEN UNTIL FT120 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH
REDUCED TCHP AND LAND. THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY
FT120. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE
DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 091346

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 091200 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM CONSON (2113) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE FIVE POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (15.9
N) ONE ONE FIVE POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (115.4 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WEST AT ABOUT 8 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 50 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 101200 UTC
ONE FIVE POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (15.7 N)
ONE ONE TWO POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (112.7 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 111200 UTC
ONE FIVE POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (15.9 N)
ONE ONE ONE POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (111.6 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 121200 UTC
ONE SIX POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (16.7 N)
ONE ONE ZERO POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (110.1 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 131200 UTC
ONE EIGHT POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (18.1 N)
ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (107.8 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 141200 UTC
ONE NINE POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (19.5 N)
ONE ZERO SIX POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (106.4 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 091200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2113 CONSON (2113) UPGRADED FROM TS
ANALYSIS
PSTN 091200UTC 15.9N 114.8E FAIR
MOVE W 14KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
30KT 90NM
FORECAST
12HF 100000UTC 15.9N 113.2E 40NM 70%
MOVE W 08KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
24HF 101200UTC 16.0N 112.1E 57NM 70%
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
48HF 111200UTC 16.1N 110.9E 90NM 70%
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
72HF 121200UTC 16.5N 109.3E 140NM 70%
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
96HF 131200UTC 17.5N 106.4E 200NM 70%
MOVE WNW 07KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
120HF 141200UTC 19.4N 102.2E 280NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 091200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2113 CONSON (2113) UPGRADED FROM TS
ANALYSIS
PSTN 091200UTC 15.9N 114.8E FAIR
MOVE W 14KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
30KT 90NM
FORECAST
24HF 101200UTC 16.0N 112.1E 57NM 70%
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
48HF 111200UTC 16.1N 110.9E 90NM 70%
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
72HF 121200UTC 16.5N 109.3E 140NM 70%
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 091200
WARNING 091200.
WARNING VALID 101200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2113 CONSON (2113) UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM
990 HPA
AT 15.9N 114.8E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 14 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 90 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 100000UTC AT 15.9N 113.2E WITH 40 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 101200UTC AT 16.0N 112.1E WITH 57 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 111200UTC AT 16.1N 110.9E WITH 90 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 121200UTC AT 16.5N 109.3E WITH 140 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 131200UTC AT 17.5N 106.4E WITH 200 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 141200UTC AT 19.4N 102.2E WITH 280 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1000 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 091046

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 090900 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM CONSON (2113) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE FIVE POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (15.8
N) ONE ONE FIVE POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (115.7 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 10 KNOTS
FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 50 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 150 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 100900 UTC
ONE FIVE POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (15.8 N)
ONE ONE TWO POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (112.9 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 110900 UTC
ONE FIVE POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (15.9 N)
ONE ONE ONE POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (111.7 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 120900 UTC
ONE SIX POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (16.6 N)
ONE ONE ZERO POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (110.3 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 130900 UTC
ONE SEVEN POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (17.9 N)
ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (108.1 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 140900 UTC
ONE NINE POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (19.3 N)
ONE ZERO SIX POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (106.6 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 090900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2113 CONSON (2113)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 090900UTC 15.8N 115.1E FAIR
MOVE W 17KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
30KT 90NM
FORECAST
12HF 092100UTC 15.9N 113.6E 45NM 70%
MOVE W 08KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
24HF 100900UTC 15.9N 112.5E 57NM 70%
MOVE W 06KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
45HF 110600UTC 16.0N 111.6E 90NM 70%
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
69HF 120600UTC 16.6N 110.1E 140NM 70%
MOVE WNW SLOWLY
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
93HF 130600UTC 17.4N 107.1E 200NM 70%
MOVE WNW 07KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
117HF 140600UTC 18.7N 102.3E 320NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 090900
WARNING 090900.
WARNING VALID 100900.
STORM WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2113 CONSON (2113) 994 HPA
AT 15.8N 115.1E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 17 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 90 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 092100UTC AT 15.9N 113.6E WITH 45 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 100900UTC AT 15.9N 112.5E WITH 57 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 090900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2113 CONSON (2113)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 090900UTC 15.8N 115.1E FAIR
MOVE W 17KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
30KT 90NM
FORECAST
24HF 100900UTC 15.9N 112.5E 57NM 70%
MOVE W 06KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
45HF 110600UTC 16.0N 111.6E 90NM 70%
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
69HF 120600UTC 16.6N 110.1E 140NM 70%
MOVE WNW SLOWLY
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 090600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.13 FOR TS 2113 CONSON (2113)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS CONSON IS LOCATED AT 15.8N, 115.6E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND MICROWAVE IMAGERY.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 45KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
HIGH SSTS AND WEAK VWS. HOWEVER, THE LIMITED FIRMNESS OF ITS
STRUCTURE HAS CAUSED IT TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST
SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK
INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE WINDS DATA ESTIMATED FROM SATELLITE
SCATTEROMETERS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A
BAND WITH A CURVATURE SUGGESTING THE CSC. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD
CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. GCOM-W/AMSR2 89 GHZ
MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH CURVATURE
INDICATING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL
HIGH UNTIL FT120. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS,
AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS
FAIR UNTIL FT72 BUT LOW THEREAFTER DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES
AMONG NWP MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS AND WEAK VWS. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT72 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH
SSTS. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT120 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE
OF LAND. THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY FT120. THE
INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON GUIDANCE DATA.
=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 090746

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 090600 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM CONSON (2113) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE FIVE POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (15.8
N) ONE ONE SIX POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (116.1 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 10 KNOTS
FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 50 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 100600 UTC
ONE SIX POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (16.0 N)
ONE ONE THREE POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (113.2 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 110600 UTC
ONE FIVE POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (15.9 N)
ONE ONE ONE POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (111.8 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 120600 UTC
ONE SIX POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (16.5 N)
ONE ONE ZERO POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (110.5 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 130600 UTC
ONE SEVEN POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (17.8 N)
ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (108.4 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 140600 UTC
ONE NINE POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (19.3 N)
ONE ZERO SIX POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (106.9 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS.
0000015400
90351

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 090600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2113 CONSON (2113)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 090600UTC 15.8N 115.6E FAIR
MOVE W 17KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
30KT 90NM
FORECAST
12HF 091800UTC 15.8N 113.9E 45NM 70%
MOVE W 08KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
24HF 100600UTC 15.8N 112.6E 57NM 70%
MOVE W 06KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
48HF 110600UTC 16.0N 111.6E 90NM 70%
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
72HF 120600UTC 16.6N 110.1E 140NM 70%
MOVE WNW SLOWLY
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
96HF 130600UTC 17.4N 107.1E 200NM 70%
MOVE WNW 07KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
120HF 140600UTC 18.7N 102.3E 320NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 090600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2113 CONSON (2113)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 090600UTC 15.8N 115.6E FAIR
MOVE W 17KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
30KT 90NM
FORECAST
24HF 100600UTC 15.8N 112.6E 57NM 70%
MOVE W 06KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
48HF 110600UTC 16.0N 111.6E 90NM 70%
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
72HF 120600UTC 16.6N 110.1E 140NM 70%
MOVE WNW SLOWLY
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT =


Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 090600
WARNING 090600.
WARNING VALID 100600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2113 CONSON (2113) 994 HPA
AT 15.8N 115.6E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 17 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 90 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 091800UTC AT 15.8N 113.9E WITH 45 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 100600UTC AT 15.8N 112.6E WITH 57 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 110600UTC AT 16.0N 111.6E WITH 90 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 120600UTC AT 16.6N 110.1E WITH 140 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 130600UTC AT 17.4N 107.1E WITH 200 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 140600UTC AT 18.7N 102.3E WITH 320 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1000 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 090446

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 090300 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM CONSON (2113) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE FIVE POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (15.8
N) ONE ONE SIX POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (116.7 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 10 KNOTS FOR THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 50 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 100300 UTC
ONE SIX POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (16.0 N)
ONE ONE THREE POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (113.1 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 110300 UTC
ONE SIX POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (16.0 N)
ONE ONE TWO POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (112.0 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 120300 UTC
ONE SIX POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (16.2 N)
ONE ONE ONE POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (111.3 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 130300 UTC
ONE SEVEN POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (17.4 N)
ONE ZERO NINE POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (109.4 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 140300 UTC
ONE NINE POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (19.2 N)
ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (107.9 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ50 RJTD 090300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2113 CONSON (2113)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 090300UTC 15.9N 117.1E FAIR
MOVE W 14KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
30KT 90NM
FORECAST
12HF 091500UTC 16.1N 115.5E 45NM 70%
MOVE W 08KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
24HF 100300UTC 16.0N 114.1E 65NM 70%
MOVE W 07KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
45HF 110000UTC 16.0N 112.3E 90NM 70%
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
69HF 120000UTC 16.3N 111.3E 140NM 70%
MOVE WNW SLOWLY
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
93HF 130000UTC 17.1N 109.4E 200NM 70%
MOVE WNW SLOWLY
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
117HF 140000UTC 19.0N 106.2E 280NM 70%
MOVE WNW 09KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT =


Original Message :

WTPQ20 RJTD 090300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2113 CONSON (2113)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 090300UTC 15.9N 117.1E FAIR
MOVE W 14KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
30KT 90NM
FORECAST
24HF 100300UTC 16.0N 114.1E 65NM 70%
MOVE W 07KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
45HF 110000UTC 16.0N 112.3E 90NM 70%
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
69HF 120000UTC 16.3N 111.3E 140NM 70%
MOVE WNW SLOWLY
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT =


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 090300
WARNING 090300.
WARNING VALID 100300.
STORM WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2113 CONSON (2113) 994 HPA
AT 15.9N 117.1E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 14 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 90 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 091500UTC AT 16.1N 115.5E WITH 45 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 100300UTC AT 16.0N 114.1E WITH 65 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ30 RJTD 090000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.12 FOR TS 2113 CONSON (2113)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS CONSON IS LOCATED AT 15.8N, 118.4E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 45KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN A NEUTRAL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
HIGH SSTS, WEAK VWS AND LAND. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO
MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A
BAND WITH A CURVATURE SUGGESTING THE CSC. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD
CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. GPM/GMI 89 GHZ
MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH CURVATURE
INDICATING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY TURN
TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST UNTIL FT120. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON
GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS FAIR UNTIL FT48 BUT LOW THEREAFTER DUE TO
SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NWP MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS AND WEAK VWS. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN
MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT96 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH
SSTS. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN GRADUALLY WEAKEN UNTIL FT120 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF LAND. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON GUIDANCE
DATA.
=


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 090200
WARNING ATCG MIL 18W NWP 210909010110
2021090900 18W CONSON 013 02 285 08 SATL 020
T000 158N 1183E 050 R050 025 NE QD 015 SE QD 015 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 060 NE QD 045 SE QD 045 SW Q
D 055 NW QD
T012 162N 1161E 055 R050 020 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW Q
D 070 NW QD
T024 163N 1141E 060 R050 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 060 NE QD 070 SE QD 070 SW Q
D 090 NW QD
T036 164N 1127E 065 R064 010 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW Q
D 020 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 110 SE QD 090 SW QD 110 NW QD
T048 165N 1120E 070 R064 010 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 040 SW Q
D 030 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 090 SE QD 080 SW QD 090 NW QD
T072 169N 1110E 070 R064 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW Q
D 030 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 070 SE QD 080 SW QD 080 NW QD
T096 181N 1089E 050 R050 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 060 SE QD 070 SW Q
D 080 NW QD
T120 197N 1058E 035 R034 040 NE QD 060 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 18W (CONSON) WARNING NR 013
1. TROPICAL STORM 18W (CONSON) WARNING NR 013
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
090000Z --- NEAR 15.8N 118.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.8N 118.3E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
091200Z --- 16.2N 116.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
100000Z --- 16.3N 114.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
101200Z --- 16.4N 112.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
110000Z --- 16.5N 112.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
120000Z --- 16.9N 111.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
130000Z --- 18.1N 108.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
140000Z --- 19.7N 105.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
090300Z POSITION NEAR 15.9N 117.7E.
09SEP21. TROPICAL STORM 18W (CONSON), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 172 NM
WEST-NORTHWEST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 090000Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090900Z, 091500Z, 092100Z AND
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
1821090412 110N1319E 15
1821090418 111N1315E 15
1821090500 110N1310E 15
1821090506 108N1305E 15
1821090512 104N1296E 30
1821090518 102N1285E 40
1821090600 105N1275E 50
1821090606 108N1268E 60
1821090606 108N1268E 60
1821090612 112N1259E 65
1821090612 112N1259E 65
1821090618 115N1249E 60
1821090618 115N1249E 60
1821090700 119N1243E 55
1821090700 119N1243E 55
1821090706 125N1233E 50
1821090706 125N1233E 50
1821090712 130N1228E 55
1821090712 130N1228E 55
1821090718 133N1220E 55
1821090718 133N1220E 55
1821090800 137N1214E 55
1821090800 137N1214E 55
1821090806 141N1208E 55
1821090806 141N1208E 55
1821090812 147N1201E 50
1821090812 147N1201E 50
1821090818 156N1191E 50
1821090818 156N1191E 50
1821090900 158N1183E 50
1821090900 158N1183E 50

>

Original Message :

WTPN31 PGTW 090200
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 18W (CONSON) WARNING NR 013//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 18W (CONSON) WARNING NR 013
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
090000Z --- NEAR 15.8N 118.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.8N 118.3E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
091200Z --- 16.2N 116.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
100000Z --- 16.3N 114.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
101200Z --- 16.4N 112.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
110000Z --- 16.5N 112.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
120000Z --- 16.9N 111.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
130000Z --- 18.1N 108.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
140000Z --- 19.7N 105.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
090300Z POSITION NEAR 15.9N 117.7E.
09SEP21. TROPICAL STORM 18W (CONSON), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 172 NM
WEST-NORTHWEST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 090000Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090900Z, 091500Z, 092100Z
AND 100300Z. REFER TO SUPER TYPHOON 19W (CHANTHU) WARNINGS (WTPN32
PGTW)FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 090146

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 090000 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM CONSON (2113) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE FIVE POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (15.7
N) ONE ONE EIGHT POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (118.2 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 10 KNOTS FOR THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 50 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 100000 UTC
ONE SIX POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (16.2 N)
ONE ONE THREE POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (113.9 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 110000 UTC
ONE SIX POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (16.0 N)
ONE ONE TWO POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (112.1 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 120000 UTC
ONE SIX POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (16.2 N)
ONE ONE ONE POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (111.4 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 130000 UTC
ONE SEVEN POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (17.2 N)
ONE ZERO NINE POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (109.7 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 140000 UTC
ONE NINE POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (19.0 N)
ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (108.0 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS.

>

Original Message :

WTJP21 RJTD 090000
WARNING 090000.
WARNING VALID 100000.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2113 CONSON (2113) 994 HPA
AT 15.8N 118.4E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 10 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 90 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 091200UTC AT 16.1N 116.2E WITH 45 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 100000UTC AT 16.0N 114.4E WITH 65 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
985 HPA, MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 110000UTC AT 16.0N 112.3E WITH 90 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 120000UTC AT 16.3N 111.3E WITH 140 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 130000UTC AT 17.1N 109.4E WITH 200 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
975 HPA, MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 140000UTC AT 19.0N 106.2E WITH 280 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 082246

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 082100 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM CONSON (2113) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE FIVE POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (15.7
N) ONE ONE EIGHT POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (118.9 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 10 KNOTS FOR THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 50 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 092100 UTC
ONE SIX POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (16.3 N)
ONE ONE FOUR POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (114.7 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 102100 UTC
ONE SIX POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (16.3 N)
ONE ONE TWO POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (112.3 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 112100 UTC
ONE SIX POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (16.4 N)
ONE ONE ONE POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (111.4 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 122100 UTC
ONE SEVEN POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (17.2 N)
ONE ONE ZERO POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (110.0 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 132100 UTC
ONE EIGHT POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (18.8 N)
ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (108.5 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS.

>

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 081946

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 081800 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM CONSON (2113) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE FIVE POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (15.5
N) ONE ONE NINE POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (119.4 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 10 KNOTS FOR THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 50 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 091800 UTC
ONE SIX POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (16.3 N)
ONE ONE FIVE POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (115.1 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 101800 UTC
ONE SIX POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (16.2 N)
ONE ONE TWO POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (112.5 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 111800 UTC
ONE SIX POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (16.3 N)
ONE ONE ONE POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (111.6 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 121800 UTC
ONE SEVEN POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (17.0 N)
ONE ONE ZERO POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (110.1 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 131800 UTC
ONE EIGHT POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (18.5 N)
ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (108.4 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS.

>

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 081646

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 081500 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM CONSON (2113) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE FIVE POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (15.3
N) ONE ONE NINE POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (119.8 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 8
KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 50 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 091500 UTC
ONE SIX POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (16.6 N)
ONE ONE SIX POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (116.0 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 101500 UTC
ONE SIX POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (16.4 N)
ONE ONE TWO POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (112.8 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 111500 UTC
ONE SIX POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (16.5 N)
ONE ONE ONE POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (111.8 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 121500 UTC
ONE SEVEN POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (17.3 N)
ONE ONE ZERO POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (110.6 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 131500 UTC
ONE EIGHT POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (18.8 N)
ONE ZERO NINE POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (109.4 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS.

>

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 081346

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 081200 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM CONSON (2113) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE FIVE POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (15.0
N) ONE TWO ZERO POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (120.0 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 8
KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 50 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 091200 UTC
ONE SIX POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (16.6 N)
ONE ONE SIX POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (116.7 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 101200 UTC
ONE SIX POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (16.4 N)
ONE ONE THREE POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (113.0 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 111200 UTC
ONE SIX POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (16.5 N)
ONE ONE ONE POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (111.9 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 121200 UTC
ONE SEVEN POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (17.0 N)
ONE ONE ONE POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (111.0 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 131200 UTC
ONE EIGHT POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (18.6 N)
ONE ZERO NINE POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (109.5 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS.

>

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 081046

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 080900 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM CONSON (2113) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE FOUR POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (14.6 N)
ONE TWO ZERO POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (120.4 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 8 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 50 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 090900 UTC
ONE SIX POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (16.6 N)
ONE ONE SEVEN POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (117.5 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 100900 UTC
ONE SIX POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (16.5 N)
ONE ONE THREE POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (113.3 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 110900 UTC
ONE SIX POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (16.7 N)
ONE ONE TWO POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (112.0 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 120900 UTC
ONE SEVEN POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (17.1 N)
ONE ONE ONE POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (111.2 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 130900 UTC
ONE EIGHT POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (18.6 N)
ONE ZERO NINE POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (109.8 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS.

>

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 080746

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 080600 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM CONSON (2113) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE FOUR POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (14.4
N) ONE TWO ZERO POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (120.7 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 8 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 50 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 090600 UTC
ONE SIX POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (16.4 N)
ONE ONE EIGHT POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (118.0 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 100600 UTC
ONE SIX POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (16.5 N)
ONE ONE THREE POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (113.7 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 110600 UTC
ONE SIX POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (16.7 N)
ONE ONE TWO POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (112.1 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 120600 UTC
ONE SEVEN POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (17.0 N)
ONE ONE ONE POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (111.3 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 130600 UTC
ONE EIGHT POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (18.5 N)
ONE ZERO NINE POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (109.9 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ20 VHHH 080446

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 080300 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM CONSON (2113) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE FOUR POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (14.1 N)
ONE TWO ONE POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (121.2 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 8 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 50 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 090300 UTC
ONE SIX POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (16.1 N)
ONE ONE EIGHT POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (118.6 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 100300 UTC
ONE SIX POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (16.6 N)
ONE ONE FOUR POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (114.5 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 110300 UTC
ONE SIX POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (16.8 N)
ONE ONE TWO POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (112.2 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 120300 UTC
ONE SEVEN POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (17.3 N)
ONE ONE ZERO POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (110.9 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 130300 UTC
ONE EIGHT POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (18.3 N)
ONE ZERO NINE POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (109.4 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ20 VHHH 080146

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 080000 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM CONSON (2113) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE THREE POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (13.8
N) ONE TWO ONE POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (121.6 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 8 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 50 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 090000 UTC
ONE FIVE POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (15.9 N)
ONE ONE NINE POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (119.1 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 100000 UTC
ONE SIX POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (16.6 N)
ONE ONE FOUR POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (114.9 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 110000 UTC
ONE SIX POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (16.7 N)
ONE ONE TWO POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (112.4 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 120000 UTC
ONE SEVEN POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (17.4 N)
ONE ONE ZERO POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (110.8 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 130000 UTC
ONE EIGHT POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (18.4 N)
ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (108.8 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ20 VHHH 072246

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 072100 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM CONSON (2113) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE THREE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (13.6
N) ONE TWO ONE POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (121.6 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 6 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 50 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 082100 UTC
ONE FIVE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (15.6 N)
ONE ONE NINE POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (119.7 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 092100 UTC
ONE SIX POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (16.6 N)
ONE ONE FIVE POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (115.4 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 102100 UTC
ONE SIX POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (16.7 N)
ONE ONE TWO POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (112.6 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 112100 UTC
ONE SEVEN POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (17.3 N)
ONE ONE ONE POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (111.0 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 122100 UTC
ONE EIGHT POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (18.3 N)
ONE ZERO NINE POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (109.1 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ20 VHHH 071946

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 071800 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM CONSON (2113) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE THREE POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (13.3
N) ONE TWO TWO POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (122.2 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 6 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 50 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 081800 UTC
ONE FIVE POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (15.3 N)
ONE TWO ZERO POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (120.3 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 091800 UTC
ONE SIX POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (16.7 N)
ONE ONE SIX POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (116.2 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 101800 UTC
ONE SIX POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (16.9 N)
ONE ONE THREE POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (113.1 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 111800 UTC
ONE SEVEN POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (17.5 N)
ONE ONE ONE POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (111.2 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 121800 UTC
ONE EIGHT POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (18.4 N)
ONE ZERO NINE POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (109.3 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ20 VHHH 071646

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 071500 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM CONSON (2113) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE THREE POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (13.2
N) ONE TWO TWO POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (122.6 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 6 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 50 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 081500 UTC
ONE FIVE POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (15.0 N)
ONE TWO ZERO POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (120.6 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 091500 UTC
ONE SIX POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (16.8 N)
ONE ONE SIX POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (116.8 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 101500 UTC
ONE SEVEN POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (17.3 N)
ONE ONE THREE POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (113.2 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 111500 UTC
ONE SEVEN POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (17.9 N)
ONE ONE ONE POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (111.3 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 121500 UTC
ONE EIGHT POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (18.8 N)
ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (108.9 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ20 VHHH 071346

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 071200 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM CONSON (2113) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE THREE POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (13.1
N) ONE TWO THREE POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (123.0 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 6 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 50 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 081200 UTC
ONE FOUR POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (14.6 N)
ONE TWO ONE POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (121.0 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 091200 UTC
ONE SIX POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (16.7 N)
ONE ONE SEVEN POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (117.3 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 101200 UTC
ONE SEVEN POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (17.2 N)
ONE ONE THREE POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (113.6 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 111200 UTC
ONE SEVEN POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (17.8 N)
ONE ONE ONE POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (111.6 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 121200 UTC
ONE EIGHT POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (18.7 N)
ONE ZERO NINE POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (109.2 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ20 VHHH 071046

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 070900 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM CONSON (2113) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE TWO POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (12.8
N) ONE TWO THREE POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (123.2 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 6 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 50 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 080900 UTC
ONE FOUR POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (14.2 N)
ONE TWO ONE POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (121.3 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 090900 UTC
ONE SIX POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (16.6 N)
ONE ONE SEVEN POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (117.8 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 100900 UTC
ONE SEVEN POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (17.2 N)
ONE ONE FOUR POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (114.2 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 110900 UTC
ONE SEVEN POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (17.7 N)
ONE ONE ONE POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (111.8 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 120900 UTC
ONE EIGHT POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (18.6 N)
ONE ZERO NINE POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (109.5 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ20 VHHH 070746

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 070600 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM CONSON (2113) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE TWO POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (12.6 N)
ONE TWO THREE POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (123.5 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 6 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 50 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 120 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 080600 UTC
ONE FOUR POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (14.1 N)
ONE TWO ONE POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (121.6 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 090600 UTC
ONE SIX POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (16.6 N)
ONE ONE EIGHT POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (118.1 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 100600 UTC
ONE SEVEN POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (17.3 N)
ONE ONE FOUR POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (114.4 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 110600 UTC
ONE EIGHT POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (18.0 N)
ONE ONE ONE POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (111.7 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 120600 UTC
ONE EIGHT POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (18.9 N)
ONE ZERO NINE POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (109.3 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ20 VHHH 070446

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 070300 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM CONSON (2113) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE TWO POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (12.2 N)
ONE TWO THREE POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (123.9 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 6 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 50 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 150 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 080300 UTC
ONE FOUR POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (14.2 N)
ONE TWO TWO POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (122.4 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 090300 UTC
ONE SIX POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (16.3 N)
ONE ONE NINE POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (119.6 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 100300 UTC
ONE SEVEN POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (17.1 N)
ONE ONE SIX POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (116.0 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 110300 UTC
ONE EIGHT POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (18.0 N)
ONE ONE TWO POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (112.4 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 120300 UTC
ONE EIGHT POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (18.8 N)
ONE ONE ZERO POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (110.3 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ20 VHHH 070146

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 070000 UTC, SEVERE TROPICAL STORM CONSON (2113) WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60
NAUTICAL MILES OF ONE TWO POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (12.1 N)
ONE TWO FOUR POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (124.2 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 6 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 50 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 150 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 080000 UTC
ONE THREE POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (13.9 N)
ONE TWO TWO POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (122.6 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 090000 UTC
ONE SIX POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (16.1 N)
ONE TWO ZERO POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (120.0 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 100000 UTC
ONE SEVEN POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (17.0 N)
ONE ONE SIX POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (116.5 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 50 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 110000 UTC
ONE SEVEN POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (17.9 N)
ONE ONE TWO POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (112.8 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 120000 UTC
ONE EIGHT POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (18.5 N)
ONE ZERO NINE POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (109.9 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

>

Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 062100
WARNING 062100.
WARNING VALID 072100.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2113 CONSON (2113) 996 HPA
AT 12.0N 124.5E PHILIPPINES MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 10 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 90 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 070900UTC AT 12.9N 123.9E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
998 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 072100UTC AT 13.9N 122.9E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
998 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTJP31 RJTD 061500
WARNING 061500.
WARNING VALID 071500.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2113 CONSON (2113) UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM
992 HPA
AT 11.4N 125.5E PHILIPPINES MOVING WEST 09 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 90 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 070300UTC AT 12.7N 125.1E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 071500UTC AT 13.5N 124.1E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPN51 PGTW 060900 AMD
WARNING ATCG MIL 18W NWP 210906082037
2021090606 18W CONSON 002 02 295 07 SATL 025
T000 108N 1269E 050 R034 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 010 SW QD 015 NW QD
T012 116N 1258E 060 R050 010 NE QD 010 SE QD 005 SW QD 005 NW QD R034 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD
T024 125N 1248E 065 R064 000 NE QD 005 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 000 NE QD 010 SE QD 005 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 010 SW QD 015 NW QD
T036 132N 1241E 065 R064 005 NE QD 005 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 010 NE QD 010 SE QD 005 SW QD 005 NW QD R034 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 015 SW QD 015 NW QD
T048 140N 1232E 065 R064 010 NE QD 010 SE QD 005 SW QD 005 NW QD R050 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 050 NE QD 035 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD
T072 153N 1210E 055 R050 010 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD
T096 169N 1161E 060 R050 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 090 SE QD 060 SW QD 090 NW QD
T120 183N 1112E 070 R064 000 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 090 SE QD 070 SW QD 090 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 18W (CONSON) WARNING NR 002
1. TROPICAL STORM 18W (CONSON) WARNING NR 002
UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
060600Z --- NEAR 10.8N 126.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 10.8N 126.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
061800Z --- 11.6N 125.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
005 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
005 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
070600Z --- 12.5N 124.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
005 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
005 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
071800Z --- 13.2N 124.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 005 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
005 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
005 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
005 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
080600Z --- 14.0N 123.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
005 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
005 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
090600Z --- 15.3N 121.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
100600Z --- 16.9N 116.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
110600Z --- 18.3N 111.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
060900Z POSITION NEAR 11.0N 126.6E.
06SEP21. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 18W (CONSON), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 414
NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WEST-
NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060600Z IS 23 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 061500Z, 062100Z, 070300Z AND 070900Z.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
2. JUSTIFICATION FOR AMENDMENT: AMENDED FORECAST INTENSITY FROM PREVIOUS WARNING.//
1821090412 110N1319E 15
1821090418 111N1315E 15
1821090500 110N1310E 15
1821090506 108N1305E 15
1821090512 104N1296E 20
1821090518 102N1285E 20
1821090600 105N1275E 30
1821090606 108N1269E 50
1821090606 108N1269E 50
NNNN

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