Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for MANGKHUT-18
in China, Philippines, Guam, Northern Mariana Islands, Viet Nam, Laos, Myanmar

Event summary

Tropical Cyclone MANGKHUT-18 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed, exposed population and vulnerability.

GDACS ID TC 1000498
Name MANGKHUT-18
From - To 07 Sep - 16 Sep
Exposed countries China, Philippines, Guam, Northern Mariana Islands, Viet Nam, Laos, Myanmar
Exposed population 60.9 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 287 km/h Category 5
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (10 Sep 23:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (China)

GDACS Score

For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GDACS 287 km/h 0.5 m n.a. 1.5
Single TC: maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge, rainfall)
HWRF 287 km/h 3.1 m n.a. 2.5
GFS 133 km/h 0.8 m n.a. 0.5
ECMWF 195 km/h 2.2 m n.a. 2.5
Beta Version - All weather systems in the area: maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge, rainfall)
Maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge and rainfall) using different data sources.
Virtual OSOCC
Meteo assessment
Satellite products
Analytical products
Detailed event map. European Union, 2021. Map produced by EC-JRC.
The boundaries and the names shown on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the European Union.

Updates on volcanic activity (Smithsonian)

Latest media headlines

Articles: 826 | About casualties: 108 | Last hour: 0

New landslide kills 10, buries houses in PhilippinesThu, 20 Sep 2018 11:53:00 +0200.

MANILA, Philippines (AP) — A massive landslide buried dozens of homes near a central Philippine mountain Thursday, killing at least 10 people and sending rescuers scrambling to find survivors after some sent cellphone text messages pleading
...(more)
BMKG warns of heavy rains, high waves as Typhoon Mangkhut endsThu, 20 Sep 2018 11:52:00 +0200.

The Meteorology, Climatology and Geophysics Agency (BMKG) has warned the residents of 17 provinces across the country to be wary of potential heavy rains in the regions. The agency’s meteorology deputy, Mulyono R. Prabowo, said in a stateme
...(more)
SE Asia Six killed, dozens missing in new Philippine landslideThu, 20 Sep 2018 11:52:00 +0200.

Six people were killed and dozens are missing after a landslide unleashed by monsoon rains struck in the central Philippines Thursday, inflicting more misery on the already storm-battered nation. The new tragedy comes just days after 2018's
...(more)
Philippine : Massive landslide buried dozens of homesThu, 20 Sep 2018 11:44:00 +0200.

Massive landslide buries dozens of homes in Philippines. A massive landslide buried dozens of homes near a central Philippine mountain Thursday, killing at least 10 people and sending rescuers scrambling to find survivors after some sent ce
...(more)

Estimated casualties (PAGER)

USGS estimates the number of casualties for each earthquake for the Prompt Assessment of Global Earthquakes for Response (PAGER) product.
The graph shows the current fatalities estimate.

Exposed population

Analytical products

Tropical Cyclone MANGKHUT - UPDATE - JRC Emergency report

14/Sep/2018 14:38 UTC

This report is an update of the first report (issued on 12 September). Tropical Cyclone MANGKHUT (OMPONG in the Philippines) is currently approaching the northern Philippines as a very intense Typhoon. It is expected to reach the eastern coast of Cagayan Province on 14 September evening (UTC) with max. sustained winds up to 260-270 km/h (equivalent to a Category 5 in the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Scale). After the landfall in Philippines it is forecast to cross northern Luzon and start moving over the South China Sea, still as an intense Typhoon. It could reach the south-western coastal areas of Guangdong, near Yangjiang, west of Hong Kong / Macau on 16 September morning (UTC), still as a Typhoon (max. sustained winds up to 200 km/h). In China, extreme high levels of storm surge are expected (more than 3.1 m), in particular in the area of Zhanjiang. The Joint Research Centre (JRC) is following the event through the information automatically collected and analysed in the Global Disasters Alerts and Coordination System (GDACS). GDACS issued a RED alert on 7th September for potential disaster in the Philippines and in China. The Copernicus Emergency Response Mapping service was activated by ERCC on 14 September for several locations in the northern Philippines.

Tropical Cyclones MANGKHUT and BARIJAT - JRC Emergency report

12/Sep/2018 13:47 UTC

Tropical Cyclone MANGKHUT (OMPONG in the Philippines) passed over Rota island (Northern Mariana Islands) in the morning (UTC) of 10 September, as an intense Typhoon. During its passage, strong winds (max. sustained winds 170-180 km/h ), heavy rainfall (over 200 mm) and storm surge (about 0.5 m) affected the Northern Mariana Islands, especially the southern Islands of Rota, Tinian and Saipan, as well as Guam, causing power outages and, according to media, some local flooding. Afterwards it continued moving west-northwest over the Philippine Sea, strengthening and entering the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) on 12 September morning (UTC). MANGKHUT is forecast to reach the coast of north-eastern Philippines (Cagayan province, Babuyan islands) on 14 September, as a very intense Typhoon (winds up to 260 km/h , rainfall greater than 500 mm, storm surge about 1 m), and the coast of south-western Guangdong (China), west of Hong Kong and Macau, on 16 September, still as a Typhoon. However the uncertainty of the forecast track/intensity is still very high. It should be noted that the heavy rainfall could affect several areas of northern Philippines, already affected just few days ago by the Tropical Cyclone BARIJAT (NENENG in the Philippines), that is currently moving west over the South China Sea and is forecast to reach the area of Zhanjiang on 12 September evening (UTC) and the coast of northern Vietnam on 13 September, as a Tropical Depression. Heavy rain, winds and storm surge could affect these areas during its passage. The same areas will be affected again on 16-17 September by the passage of MANGKHUT. The Joint Research Centre (JRC) is following the event through the information automatically collected and analysed in the Global Disasters Alerts and Coordination System (GDACS). GDACS issued a RED alert for TC MANGKHUT in Guam and Northern Mariana Islands on 7 September for the possible impact in the Philippines. TC BARIJAT is currently classified as GREEN alert in the same system. The Copernicus Emergency Response Mapping service was activated by ERCC on request of the US FEMA on 10 September for Guam and The Northern Mariana Islands. The Philippines National Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Operation Center (NDRRMOC) raised his alert level to RED at 8:00AM of 11th September local time. Preparedness measures have been identified.

Data, images, links, services and documents

For this events, GDACS has links to information from the following sources: EMSR (6), UNOSAT (1), EC-JRC (36), (1), WMO (1), INFORM (2),