Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for NESTOR-19 in United States from 17 Oct 2019 15:00 UTC to 19 Oct 2019 21:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for NESTOR-19

in United States

17 Oct 2019 18 UTC

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone NESTOR-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries	United States
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	72 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.2 m (17 Oct 21:15 UTC)
Vulnerability	Low (United States)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	72 km/h	0.2 m	97 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	90 km/h	0.8 m	357 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

90 km/h

Up to 4 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 17 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	United States	3,919

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

Alert	N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
	1	17 Oct 2019 12:00	72	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
	2	17 Oct 2019 18:00	90	-		-	-	-	-	-	United States

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 17 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
100-250 mm	United States	163,619
50-100 mm	United States, Mexico	16,312,017	+
	United States	5,382,151
	Mexico	10,929,866

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

Alert	N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
	1	17 Oct 2019 12:00	220	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
	2	17 Oct 2019 18:00	314	160 thousand			-	-	-	-	United States, Mexico

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.2m in Cape Canaveral, United States. This height is estimated for 17 Oct 2019 21:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 17 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	17 Oct 2019 21:15	Cape Canaveral	United States	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 21:15	Cocoa Beach	United States	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 22:45	Mound Grove	United States	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 22:45	Ormond-by-the-Sea	United States	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 22:45	Daytona Beach	United States	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 22:45	Holly Hill	United States	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 22:45	Ellinor Village	United States	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 22:45	Ortona	United States	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 22:45	Seabreeze	United States	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 22:45	South Daytona	United States	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 22:45	Daytona Beach Shores	United States	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 22:45	Allandale	United States	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 22:45	Halifax Estates	United States	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 22:45	Wilbur-by-the-Sea	United States	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 21:15	South Patrick Shores	United States	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 21:15	Satellite Beach	United States	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 21:15	Tropic	United States	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 21:15	Indian Harbour Beach	United States	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 21:15	Canova Beach	United States	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 21:30	Melbourne Beach	United States	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 21:30	Indialantic	United States	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 21:30	Valkaria	United States	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 21:30	Grant	United States	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 21:30	Melbourne Shores	United States	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 21:30	Evans Pines	United States	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 21:30	Ballard Pines	United States	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 22:15	Isleboro	United States	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 22:15	New Smyrna Beach	United States	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 22:15	Ponce Inlet	United States	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 22:15	Ponce Park	United States	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 21:15	Cummings	United States	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 21:15	Orchid	United States	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 23:00	Casa Cola	United States	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 23:00	Araquey	United States	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 23:00	South Ponte Vedra Beach	United States	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 23:00	Saint Augustine	United States	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 23:00	Villano Beach	United States	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 23:00	Anastasia	United States	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 23:00	Saint Augustine Beach	United States	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 23:00	Butler Beach	United States	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 22:30	Summer Haven	United States	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 22:30	Palm Coast	United States	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 22:30	Marineland	United States	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 22:30	Bon Terra	United States	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 22:30	Beverly Beach	United States	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 22:30	Flagler Beach	United States	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 18:00	Isle of Palms	United States	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 18:00	Palm Valley Landing	United States	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 18:00	Jacksonville Beach	United States	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 18:00	Palm Valley	United States	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 18:00	Ponte Vedra Beach	United States	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 18:00	Sawgrass	United States	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 18:00	Mickler Landing	United States	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 21:30	Wabasso	United States	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 21:30	Indian River Shores	United States	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 21:30	Riomar	United States	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 21:45	Bethune Beach	United States	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 21:45	Eldora	United States	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 21:45	The Landings	United States	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 22:30	Crescent Beach	United States	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 22:00	Anton Lizardo	Mexico	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 22:00	Salinas	Mexico	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 22:00	Buen Pais	Mexico	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 23:15	Raya	Honduras	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 23:15	Clubki	Honduras	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 23:15	Irlaya	Honduras	0.2
	17 Oct 2019 21:30	Forked River	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 21:30	Brookside Heights	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 21:30	Bayville	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 21:30	Oak Glen	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 21:30	Cedar Beach	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 21:30	Island Heights	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 21:30	Sunrise Beach	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 21:30	Ocean Gate	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 21:30	Beachwood	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 21:30	Barnegat Bay Estates	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 21:30	Bay Shore	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 21:30	Island Beach	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 21:30	Seaside Park	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 21:30	Seaside Heights	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 21:30	Lavallette	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 21:45	Fort Screven	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 21:45	Tybee Island	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 19:15	Alvarado	Mexico	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 21:30	Sapelo Island	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 21:30	Raccoon Bluff	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 21:30	Barnegat	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 21:30	South Toms River	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 21:30	Pebble Beach	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 21:30	Waretown	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 21:30	Toms River	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 21:30	Pine Beach	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 21:30	Pineward	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 21:30	Harvey Cedars	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 21:30	Barnegat Light	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 22:45	Corozo	Guatemala	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 22:45	Cabeza de Vaca	Guatemala	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 22:45	Baranca	Belize	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 22:45	San Juan	Guatemala	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 22:45	Cocoli	Guatemala	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 22:45	Buena Vista	Guatemala	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 22:45	Livingston	Guatemala	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 20:15	Mina de Oro	Mexico	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 20:15	Cerrito	Mexico	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 21:45	Daufuskie Landing	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 21:45	Cooper River Landing	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 21:45	South Beach Villas	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 21:45	Greenwood Forest	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 21:45	Calibogue Cay	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 21:45	Sea Pines Plantation	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 21:45	Forest Beach	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 22:15	Macho Creek	Guatemala	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 22:15	Puerto Santo Tomas de Castilla	Guatemala	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 22:15	Punta Manabique	Guatemala	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 22:15	Puerto Barrios	Guatemala	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 22:15	Cambalache	Guatemala	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 22:15	Piedra Parada	Guatemala	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 22:15	Corozo	Guatemala	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 22:15	La Graciosa	Guatemala	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 22:15	Machacal	Guatemala	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 18:00	Oak Harbor	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 18:00	Atlantic Beach	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 21:00	Nevins	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 21:00	South Beach	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 18:30	Guerrero	Mexico	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 18:30	Real de Salinas	Mexico	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 20:45	Pixoy	Mexico	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 20:45	Telchac Puerto	Mexico	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 20:45	Chabihau	Mexico	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 21:30	Ship Bottom	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 21:30	Surf City	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 21:30	Long Beach	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 23:30	Tay Lirila	Honduras	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 23:30	Canco	Honduras	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 23:30	Barra Kruta	Honduras	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 23:30	Kanko	Honduras	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 23:30	Dapat	Honduras	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 23:30	Cauauira	Honduras	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 21:15	German Village	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 21:15	Sea Island	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 18:30	Black Hammock	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 18:30	Amelia City	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 18:30	Fernandina Beach	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 18:30	Franklintown	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 18:30	American Beach	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 18:30	Mayport	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 18:30	East Mayport	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 22:15	Cattle Landing	Belize	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 18:30	Dungeness	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 18:30	Stafford	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 18:30	Greyfield	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 23:30	Kaski	Honduras	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 18:30	Arcadian Shores	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 18:30	Briarcliffe Acres	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 18:30	Atlantic Beach	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 18:30	Ingram Beach	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 18:30	North Myrtle Beach	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 18:30	Nixons Crossroads	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 18:30	Cherry Grove Beach	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 18:30	Creekside	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 18:30	Little River	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 18:30	Calabash	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 18:30	Shady Forest	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 18:30	Sunset Beach	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 19:30	Calderas	Mexico	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 19:30	Dos Hermanas	Mexico	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 22:30	San Francisco del Mar	Guatemala	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 23:00	Port Mansfield	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 21:45	Hickory Bluff	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 21:45	Hilton Head Island	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 21:45	Long Cove Plantation	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 21:45	Seabrook Landing	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 21:45	Bram Landing	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 21:45	Palmetto Dunes	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 21:45	Hilton Head Plantation	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 21:45	Gator Field	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 21:45	Parris Island	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 21:45	Folly Field	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 21:45	Fort Fremont	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 21:45	Scott	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 21:45	Longwood	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 18:45	Fort Caswell	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 18:45	Southport	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 18:45	Bald Head Island	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 18:45	Old Town	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 18:45	Kendall Chapel	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 18:45	Sheephead Rock	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 18:45	Silver Lake	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 18:45	Kure Beach	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 18:45	Carolina Beach	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 18:45	Myrtle Sound	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 18:45	Myrtle Grove	United States	0.1
	17 Oct 2019 18:45	Masonboro	United States	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.