Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for KIMI-21 in Australia from 17 Jan 2021 00:00 UTC to 18 Jan 2021 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KIMI-21

in Australia

17 Jan 2021 00 UTC

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to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KIMI-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	68 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.3 m (18 Jan 11:45 UTC)
Vulnerability	Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
ECMWF Current	68 km/h	0.3 m	19 mm	0.5
ECMWF Overall	76 km/h	0.3 m	785 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

76 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 17 Jan 2021 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

Alert	N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
	1	16 Jan 2021 12:00	58	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
	2	17 Jan 2021 00:00	68	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 17 Jan 2021 00:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
more than 1000 mm	Australia	1,231
750-1000 mm	Australia	440
500-750 mm	Australia	2,529
250-500 mm	Papua New Guinea, Australia	44,053	+
	Papua New Guinea	147
	Australia	43,906
100-250 mm	Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia	570,011	+
	Indonesia	14,692
	Papua New Guinea	132,226
	Australia	423,093
50-100 mm	Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia	687,215	+
	Indonesia	58,778
	Papua New Guinea	606,208
	Australia	22,229

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

Alert	N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
	1	16 Jan 2021 12:00	16	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
	2	17 Jan 2021 00:00	1132	620 thousand							Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.3m in Lower Tully, Australia. This height is estimated for 18 Jan 2021 11:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 17 Jan 2021 00:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	18 Jan 2021 11:45	Lower Tully	Australia	0.3
	18 Jan 2021 11:45	Cardwell	Australia	0.3
	18 Jan 2021 12:30	South Mission Beach	Australia	0.2
	17 Jan 2021 21:45	Trinity Beach	Australia	0.2
	17 Jan 2021 21:45	Barron Falls	Australia	0.2
	17 Jan 2021 21:45	Freshwater	Australia	0.2
	17 Jan 2021 21:45	Yorkeys Knob	Australia	0.2
	17 Jan 2021 21:45	Stratford	Australia	0.2
	17 Jan 2021 21:45	Woree	Australia	0.2
	17 Jan 2021 21:45	Edge Hill	Australia	0.2
	17 Jan 2021 21:45	Cairns	Australia	0.2
	17 Jan 2021 21:45	Yarrabah Aboriginal Community	Australia	0.2
	18 Jan 2021 11:15	Coolbie	Australia	0.2
	18 Jan 2021 11:15	Mutarnee	Australia	0.2
	18 Jan 2021 11:30	Halifax	Australia	0.2
	18 Jan 2021 11:30	Cassady	Australia	0.2
	17 Jan 2021 17:30	Miallo	Australia	0.2
	17 Jan 2021 17:30	Wonga	Australia	0.2
	17 Jan 2021 19:00	Mossman	Australia	0.2
	17 Jan 2021 19:00	Port Douglas	Australia	0.2
	18 Jan 2021 11:15	Lucinda	Australia	0.2
	17 Jan 2021 20:15	Hockley	Australia	0.2
	18 Jan 2021 11:45	Moongobulla	Australia	0.2
	18 Jan 2021 11:45	Kinduro	Australia	0.2
	18 Jan 2021 12:00	Rollingstone	Australia	0.2
	18 Jan 2021 00:45	Deeral	Australia	0.2
	18 Jan 2021 00:45	Bellenden Ker	Australia	0.2
	18 Jan 2021 04:30	Innisfail	Australia	0.2
	17 Jan 2021 22:00	Kamma	Australia	0.2
	17 Jan 2021 10:45	Karumba	Australia	0.2
	19 Jan 2021 16:30	Sidabadu	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Jan 2021 16:30	Saibai	Australia	0.1
	19 Jan 2021 16:30	Hamlet of Togo	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Jan 2021 16:30	Mabaduan	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Jan 2021 16:30	Waidoro	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	18 Jan 2021 01:45	Banana Pocket	Australia	0.1
	18 Jan 2021 01:45	Lethebrook	Australia	0.1
	18 Jan 2021 01:45	Conway	Australia	0.1
	18 Jan 2021 01:45	Midgeton	Australia	0.1
	18 Jan 2021 18:00	Pallarenda	Australia	0.1
	18 Jan 2021 18:00	Belgian Gardens	Australia	0.1
	18 Jan 2021 18:00	Townsville	Australia	0.1
	18 Jan 2021 18:00	Oonoonba	Australia	0.1
	17 Jan 2021 20:45	Carstairs	Australia	0.1
	17 Jan 2021 20:45	Jarvisfield	Australia	0.1
	17 Jan 2021 20:45	Alva	Australia	0.1
	17 Jan 2021 20:45	Rita Island	Australia	0.1
	19 Jan 2021 16:15	Dauan	Australia	0.1
	19 Jan 2021 16:00	Boigu	Australia	0.1
	19 Jan 2021 16:00	Bugi	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Jan 2021 15:45	Tais	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	18 Jan 2021 04:30	Cluden	Australia	0.1
	18 Jan 2021 04:30	Oolbun	Australia	0.1
	18 Jan 2021 20:00	Sarire	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Jan 2021 20:00	Tamarike	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Jan 2021 20:00	Tamerau	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Jan 2021 19:00	Kotad	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Jan 2021 19:00	Dumande	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Jan 2021 19:00	Onggalie	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Jan 2021 19:30	Anansai	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Jan 2021 19:30	Wendu	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Jan 2021 19:30	Matara	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Jan 2021 19:30	Urum	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Jan 2021 19:30	Merauke	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Jan 2021 19:30	Daub	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Jan 2021 19:00	Kumbe	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Jan 2021 15:00	Kladar	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Jan 2021 15:00	Sabon	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Jan 2021 15:00	Tor	Indonesia	0.1
	17 Jan 2021 08:15	Kowanyama	Australia	0.1
	17 Jan 2021 07:00	Ayton	Australia	0.1
	17 Jan 2021 12:30	Barattar	Indonesia	0.1
	17 Jan 2021 12:30	Kondomiraf	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Jan 2021 19:45	Alatepi	Indonesia	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.