Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KIMI-21
in Australia
19 Jan 2021 06 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KIMI-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 122 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (18 Jan 03:30 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 122 km/h 0.2 m 805 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 122 km/h 0.2 m 805 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 19 Jan 2021 06:00 UTC (Overall situation)

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 17 Jan 2021 00:00 47 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 17 Jan 2021 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 17 Jan 2021 12:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 17 Jan 2021 18:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 18 Jan 2021 00:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 18 Jan 2021 06:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 18 Jan 2021 12:00 112 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 18 Jan 2021 18:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 19 Jan 2021 00:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 19 Jan 2021 06:00 50 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall

805 mm

Up to 310 thousand can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 19 Jan 2021 06:00 UTC (Overall situation)
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmIndonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia306,644
+
Indonesia36,505 
Papua New Guinea224,346 
Australia45,793 
50-100 mmIndonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia1,722,295
+
Indonesia305,792 
Papua New Guinea991,572 
Australia424,931 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 17 Jan 2021 00:00 13 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 17 Jan 2021 06:00 23 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 17 Jan 2021 12:00 23 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 17 Jan 2021 18:00 26 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 18 Jan 2021 00:00 34 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 18 Jan 2021 06:00 32 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 18 Jan 2021 12:00 31 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 18 Jan 2021 18:00 23 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 19 Jan 2021 00:00 16 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 19 Jan 2021 06:00 196 10 thousand
- - - - Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Coolbie, Australia. This height is estimated for 18 Jan 2021 03:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 19 Jan 2021 06:00 UTC (Overall situation)
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
18 Jan 2021 03:30 Coolbie Australia  0.2
18 Jan 2021 03:30 Mutarnee Australia  0.2
18 Jan 2021 11:00 Moongobulla Australia  0.2
18 Jan 2021 11:00 Rollingstone Australia  0.2
18 Jan 2021 11:00 Kinduro Australia  0.2
18 Jan 2021 12:00 Halifax Australia  0.2
18 Jan 2021 12:00 Cassady Australia  0.2
18 Jan 2021 03:15 Cardwell Australia  0.2
17 Jan 2021 14:15 Karumba Australia  0.2
18 Jan 2021 00:45 South Mission Beach Australia  0.2
18 Jan 2021 01:00 Lower Tully Australia  0.2
18 Jan 2021 00:15 Innisfail Australia  0.2
18 Jan 2021 10:45 Pallarenda Australia  0.2
18 Jan 2021 10:45 Belgian Gardens Australia  0.2
18 Jan 2021 10:45 Townsville Australia  0.2
18 Jan 2021 10:45 Oonoonba Australia  0.2
18 Jan 2021 10:45 Cluden Australia  0.2
18 Jan 2021 10:45 Oolbun Australia  0.2
18 Jan 2021 12:45 Lucinda Australia  0.2
17 Jan 2021 07:30 Soeam Indonesia  0.2
18 Jan 2021 01:45 Cairns Australia  0.2
18 Jan 2021 01:45 Kamma Australia  0.2
18 Jan 2021 01:45 Yarrabah Aboriginal Community Australia  0.2
18 Jan 2021 01:45 Deeral Australia  0.2
18 Jan 2021 01:15 Bellenden Ker Australia  0.2
17 Jan 2021 12:30 Anansai Indonesia  0.2
17 Jan 2021 12:30 Wendu Indonesia  0.2
17 Jan 2021 12:30 Matara Indonesia  0.2
17 Jan 2021 12:30 Urum Indonesia  0.2
17 Jan 2021 12:30 Merauke Indonesia  0.2
17 Jan 2021 12:30 Sarire Indonesia  0.2
17 Jan 2021 12:30 Daub Indonesia  0.2
17 Jan 2021 12:15 Kumbe Indonesia  0.2
17 Jan 2021 12:30 Tamarike Indonesia  0.2
17 Jan 2021 12:45 Tamerau Indonesia  0.2
17 Jan 2021 07:00 Heits Indonesia  0.2
18 Jan 2021 09:00 Alva Australia  0.2
17 Jan 2021 12:15 Onggalie Indonesia  0.1
21 Jan 2021 02:15 Carmila Australia  0.1
21 Jan 2021 02:15 Flaggy Rock Australia  0.1
17 Jan 2021 12:00 Kotad Indonesia  0.1
17 Jan 2021 12:00 Dumande Indonesia  0.1
19 Jan 2021 01:00 Barattar Indonesia  0.1
19 Jan 2021 01:00 Kondomiraf Indonesia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 08:45 Kowanyama Australia  0.1
19 Jan 2021 06:45 Sidabadu Papua New Guinea  0.1
19 Jan 2021 06:45 Saibai Australia  0.1
19 Jan 2021 06:45 Hamlet of Togo Papua New Guinea  0.1
19 Jan 2021 06:45 Mabaduan Papua New Guinea  0.1
19 Jan 2021 06:45 Waidoro Papua New Guinea  0.1
19 Jan 2021 01:15 Bula Papua New Guinea  0.1
17 Jan 2021 02:15 Elim Australia  0.1
19 Jan 2021 02:45 Mari Papua New Guinea  0.1
19 Jan 2021 01:30 Jara Papua New Guinea  0.1
17 Jan 2021 02:00 Cooktown Australia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 04:00 Carstairs Australia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 04:00 Jarvisfield Australia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 04:00 Rita Island Australia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 22:30 Alatepi Indonesia  0.1
19 Jan 2021 06:30 Dauan Australia  0.1
19 Jan 2021 06:15 Boigu Australia  0.1
19 Jan 2021 06:15 Bugi Papua New Guinea  0.1
18 Jan 2021 22:45 Moegaigare Indonesia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 22:45 Alakoe Indonesia  0.1
17 Jan 2021 10:30 Daware Papua New Guinea  0.1
17 Jan 2021 10:30 Mibu Papua New Guinea  0.1
17 Jan 2021 10:30 Iasa Papua New Guinea  0.1
17 Jan 2021 10:30 Aibinio Papua New Guinea  0.1
17 Jan 2021 10:30 Ipisia Papua New Guinea  0.1
17 Jan 2021 10:30 Agobara Papua New Guinea  0.1
17 Jan 2021 02:00 Ayton Australia  0.1
17 Jan 2021 05:45 Avioua Papua New Guinea  0.1
17 Jan 2021 05:45 Veraibari Papua New Guinea  0.1
17 Jan 2021 05:45 Mirimairau Papua New Guinea  0.1
17 Jan 2021 05:45 Uramu I Papua New Guinea  0.1
17 Jan 2021 05:45 Kaivu Papua New Guinea  0.1
17 Jan 2021 05:45 Mairipepea Papua New Guinea  0.1
17 Jan 2021 05:45 Moravamu Papua New Guinea  0.1
17 Jan 2021 05:45 Kamaua Papua New Guinea  0.1
18 Jan 2021 22:45 Okaba Indonesia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 23:15 Kobiem Indonesia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 01:45 Trinity Beach Australia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 01:45 Barron Falls Australia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 01:45 Freshwater Australia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 01:45 Yorkeys Knob Australia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 01:45 Stratford Australia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 01:45 Woree Australia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 01:45 Edge Hill Australia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 09:00 Weipa Australia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 09:00 Weipa South Australia  0.1
17 Jan 2021 17:45 Tais Papua New Guinea  0.1
18 Jan 2021 23:00 Papisote Indonesia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 23:00 Welab Indonesia  0.1
17 Jan 2021 08:15 Umuda I Papua New Guinea  0.1
18 Jan 2021 22:45 Kandala Jawal Indonesia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 22:45 Wamal Indonesia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 22:45 Gelib Indonesia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 22:45 Dokib Indonesia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 03:30 Banana Pocket Australia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 03:30 Lethebrook Australia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 03:30 Conway Australia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 03:30 Midgeton Australia  0.1
17 Jan 2021 08:15 Bina No 1 Papua New Guinea  0.1
17 Jan 2021 08:15 Maipani Papua New Guinea  0.1
18 Jan 2021 23:00 Dodalim Indonesia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 23:00 Yulbabuti Indonesia  0.1
17 Jan 2021 02:00 Gove Australia  0.1
17 Jan 2021 02:00 Yirrkala Mission Australia  0.1
17 Jan 2021 02:00 Yirrkala Australia  0.1
17 Jan 2021 08:15 Sisiama No 1 Papua New Guinea  0.1
17 Jan 2021 08:15 Tugara Papua New Guinea  0.1
17 Jan 2021 08:15 Bamio Papua New Guinea  0.1
17 Jan 2021 08:15 Orapoi Papua New Guinea  0.1
17 Jan 2021 08:15 Oropai Papua New Guinea  0.1
17 Jan 2021 08:15 Buniki Papua New Guinea  0.1
17 Jan 2021 08:15 Bunigi Papua New Guinea  0.1
17 Jan 2021 08:15 Giwaretore Papua New Guinea  0.1
17 Jan 2021 08:15 Ibou Papua New Guinea  0.1