Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KIMI-21
in Australia
19 Jan 2021 06 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KIMI-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Australia
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 148 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (18 Jan 07:15 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 148 km/h 0.3 m 857 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 148 km/h 0.3 m 857 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 19 Jan 2021 06:00 UTC (Overall situation)
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormAustralia491 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 17 Jan 2021 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 17 Jan 2021 06:00 104 -
- - - - - Australia
GREEN 3 17 Jan 2021 12:00 148 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 17 Jan 2021 18:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 18 Jan 2021 00:00 133 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 18 Jan 2021 06:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 18 Jan 2021 12:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 18 Jan 2021 18:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 19 Jan 2021 00:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 19 Jan 2021 06:00 54 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall

857 mm

Up to 240 thousand can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 19 Jan 2021 06:00 UTC (Overall situation)
LevelCountryPopulation 
500-750 mmAustralia2,488 
250-500 mmAustralia170,236 
100-250 mmAustralia62,649 
50-100 mmAustralia18,057 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 17 Jan 2021 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 17 Jan 2021 06:00 29 Few people - - - - - - Australia
Blue 3 17 Jan 2021 12:00 41 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 17 Jan 2021 18:00 28 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 18 Jan 2021 00:00 37 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 18 Jan 2021 06:00 25 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 18 Jan 2021 12:00 23 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 18 Jan 2021 18:00 28 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 19 Jan 2021 00:00 22 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 19 Jan 2021 06:00 449 170 thousand
- - - Australia




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Coolbie, Australia. This height is estimated for 18 Jan 2021 07:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 19 Jan 2021 06:00 UTC (Overall situation)
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
18 Jan 2021 07:15 Coolbie Australia  0.3
18 Jan 2021 07:15 Mutarnee Australia  0.3
17 Jan 2021 17:00 Lower Tully Australia  0.2
17 Jan 2021 17:00 Cardwell Australia  0.2
18 Jan 2021 07:45 Halifax Australia  0.2
18 Jan 2021 07:45 Cassady Australia  0.2
18 Jan 2021 07:45 Moongobulla Australia  0.2
18 Jan 2021 07:45 Rollingstone Australia  0.2
18 Jan 2021 07:45 Kinduro Australia  0.2
18 Jan 2021 08:00 Lucinda Australia  0.2
17 Jan 2021 21:45 Soeam Indonesia  0.2
17 Jan 2021 17:15 South Mission Beach Australia  0.2
17 Jan 2021 09:30 Mossman Australia  0.2
17 Jan 2021 09:30 Miallo Australia  0.2
17 Jan 2021 09:30 Wonga Australia  0.2
17 Jan 2021 09:30 Port Douglas Australia  0.2
18 Jan 2021 10:15 Pallarenda Australia  0.2
18 Jan 2021 10:15 Belgian Gardens Australia  0.2
18 Jan 2021 10:15 Townsville Australia  0.2
18 Jan 2021 10:15 Oonoonba Australia  0.2
17 Jan 2021 16:00 Deeral Australia  0.2
17 Jan 2021 16:00 Bellenden Ker Australia  0.2
22 Jan 2021 06:00 Heits Indonesia  0.2
17 Jan 2021 15:45 Innisfail Australia  0.2
17 Jan 2021 15:00 Hockley Australia  0.2
18 Jan 2021 09:45 Cluden Australia  0.2
18 Jan 2021 09:45 Oolbun Australia  0.2
18 Jan 2021 08:45 Alva Australia  0.2
18 Jan 2021 09:00 Carstairs Australia  0.2
18 Jan 2021 09:00 Jarvisfield Australia  0.2
18 Jan 2021 09:00 Rita Island Australia  0.2
17 Jan 2021 15:45 Yarrabah Aboriginal Community Australia  0.2
17 Jan 2021 15:45 Cairns Australia  0.2
17 Jan 2021 15:45 Kamma Australia  0.2
17 Jan 2021 15:15 Trinity Beach Australia  0.2
17 Jan 2021 15:15 Barron Falls Australia  0.2
17 Jan 2021 15:15 Freshwater Australia  0.2
17 Jan 2021 15:15 Yorkeys Knob Australia  0.2
17 Jan 2021 15:15 Stratford Australia  0.2
17 Jan 2021 15:15 Woree Australia  0.2
17 Jan 2021 15:15 Edge Hill Australia  0.2
22 Jan 2021 02:15 Per Indonesia  0.2
22 Jan 2021 02:15 Amborip Indonesia  0.2
22 Jan 2021 02:15 Biwarlaut Indonesia  0.2
22 Jan 2021 02:15 Jow Indonesia  0.2
22 Jan 2021 01:30 Otsjanep Indonesia  0.2
22 Jan 2021 00:30 Jofar Indonesia  0.2
22 Jan 2021 00:30 Agats Indonesia  0.2
22 Jan 2021 01:00 Birab Indonesia  0.1
22 Jan 2021 06:00 Taroea Anim Indonesia  0.1
22 Jan 2021 05:30 Dolatanden Indonesia  0.1
17 Jan 2021 09:30 Ayton Australia  0.1
17 Jan 2021 10:45 Banana Pocket Australia  0.1
17 Jan 2021 10:45 Lethebrook Australia  0.1
17 Jan 2021 10:45 Conway Australia  0.1
17 Jan 2021 10:45 Midgeton Australia  0.1
17 Jan 2021 14:45 Elim Australia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 23:00 Sarire Indonesia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 23:00 Tamarike Indonesia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 23:00 Tamerau Indonesia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 23:15 Matara Indonesia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 23:15 Urum Indonesia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 23:15 Merauke Indonesia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 23:15 Daub Indonesia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 07:45 Karumba Australia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 23:00 Anansai Indonesia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 23:00 Wendu Indonesia  0.1
20 Jan 2021 00:30 Kandala Jawal Indonesia  0.1
20 Jan 2021 00:30 Wamal Indonesia  0.1
20 Jan 2021 00:30 Gelib Indonesia  0.1
20 Jan 2021 00:30 Dokib Indonesia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 10:00 Carmila Australia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 10:00 Flaggy Rock Australia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 23:15 Kumbe Indonesia  0.1
20 Jan 2021 00:45 Dodalim Indonesia  0.1
20 Jan 2021 00:45 Yulbabuti Indonesia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 08:30 Kowanyama Australia  0.1
22 Jan 2021 05:00 Sabon Indonesia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 23:15 Barattar Indonesia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 23:15 Kondomiraf Indonesia  0.1
17 Jan 2021 10:45 Cannon Valley Australia  0.1
17 Jan 2021 10:45 Windermere Australia  0.1
17 Jan 2021 10:00 Cooktown Australia  0.1
22 Jan 2021 05:15 Kladar Indonesia  0.1
22 Jan 2021 05:15 Tor Indonesia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 09:15 Weipa Australia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 09:15 Weipa South Australia  0.1
18 Jan 2021 23:15 Onggalie Indonesia  0.1