Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for KIMI-21 in Australia from 17 Jan 2021 00:00 UTC to 18 Jan 2021 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KIMI-21

in Australia

18 Jan 2021 12 UTC

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to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KIMI-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	54 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.2 m (21 Jan 08:30 UTC)
Vulnerability	Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
ECMWF Current	54 km/h	0.2 m	15 mm	0.5
ECMWF Overall	76 km/h	0.3 m	785 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

76 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 18 Jan 2021 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5
1	16 Jan 2021 12:00	58	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	17 Jan 2021 00:00	68	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	17 Jan 2021 12:00	72	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	18 Jan 2021 00:00	61	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	18 Jan 2021 12:00	65	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 18 Jan 2021 12:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
250-500 mm	Indonesia, Australia	119,237	+
	Indonesia	3,689
	Australia	115,548
100-250 mm	Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia	205,534	+
	Indonesia	9,079
	Papua New Guinea	89,764
	Australia	106,691
50-100 mm	Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia	866,755	+
	Indonesia	42,085
	Papua New Guinea	786,899
	Australia	37,771

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	16 Jan 2021 12:00	16	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	17 Jan 2021 00:00	19	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	17 Jan 2021 12:00	20	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	18 Jan 2021 00:00	17	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	18 Jan 2021 12:00	1552	320 thousand				-	-	-	Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.2m in Coolbie, Australia. This height is estimated for 21 Jan 2021 08:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 18 Jan 2021 12:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	21 Jan 2021 08:30	Coolbie	Australia	0.2
	21 Jan 2021 08:30	Mutarnee	Australia	0.2
	21 Jan 2021 09:45	Halifax	Australia	0.2
	21 Jan 2021 09:45	Cassady	Australia	0.2
	21 Jan 2021 10:15	Cardwell	Australia	0.2
	21 Jan 2021 05:15	Lower Tully	Australia	0.2
	21 Jan 2021 09:00	Moongobulla	Australia	0.2
	21 Jan 2021 09:00	Rollingstone	Australia	0.2
	21 Jan 2021 09:00	Kinduro	Australia	0.2
	21 Jan 2021 09:15	Lucinda	Australia	0.2
	21 Jan 2021 04:45	South Mission Beach	Australia	0.2
	21 Jan 2021 03:15	Pallarenda	Australia	0.1
	21 Jan 2021 03:15	Belgian Gardens	Australia	0.1
	21 Jan 2021 03:15	Townsville	Australia	0.1
	21 Jan 2021 03:15	Oonoonba	Australia	0.1
	21 Jan 2021 11:45	Cluden	Australia	0.1
	21 Jan 2021 11:45	Oolbun	Australia	0.1
	19 Jan 2021 08:45	Karumba	Australia	0.1
	18 Jan 2021 19:00	Boigu	Australia	0.1
	18 Jan 2021 19:00	Bugi	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Jan 2021 11:15	Deeral	Australia	0.1
	20 Jan 2021 11:15	Bellenden Ker	Australia	0.1
	18 Jan 2021 14:00	Alva	Australia	0.1
	19 Jan 2021 16:00	Sidabadu	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Jan 2021 16:00	Saibai	Australia	0.1
	19 Jan 2021 16:00	Hamlet of Togo	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Jan 2021 16:00	Mabaduan	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Jan 2021 16:00	Waidoro	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Jan 2021 04:15	Banana Pocket	Australia	0.1
	20 Jan 2021 04:15	Lethebrook	Australia	0.1
	20 Jan 2021 04:15	Conway	Australia	0.1
	20 Jan 2021 04:15	Midgeton	Australia	0.1
	20 Jan 2021 01:30	Soeam	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Jan 2021 19:00	Tais	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Jan 2021 10:15	Innisfail	Australia	0.1
	20 Jan 2021 17:00	Dibiri	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Jan 2021 17:00	Gesco	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Jan 2021 17:00	Tirere	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Jan 2021 17:00	Dameramuda	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Jan 2021 17:00	Umuda I	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Jan 2021 17:00	Amagoa	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Jan 2021 17:00	Segero	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Jan 2021 17:00	Tugara	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Jan 2021 17:00	Orapoi	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Jan 2021 17:00	Oropai	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Jan 2021 17:00	Bina No 1	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Jan 2021 17:00	Maipani	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Jan 2021 21:45	Barattar	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Jan 2021 21:45	Kondomiraf	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Jan 2021 11:15	Carstairs	Australia	0.1
	19 Jan 2021 11:15	Jarvisfield	Australia	0.1
	19 Jan 2021 11:15	Rita Island	Australia	0.1
	21 Jan 2021 03:45	Avioua	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	21 Jan 2021 03:45	Veraibari	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	21 Jan 2021 03:45	Mirimairau	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	21 Jan 2021 03:45	Uramu I	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	21 Jan 2021 03:45	Moravamu	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	21 Jan 2021 03:45	Kaivu	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	21 Jan 2021 03:45	Mairipepea	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Jan 2021 15:30	Dauan	Australia	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.